EFTA01385390.pdf
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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite
Universal Hospital ll.lHOS)
We rate UHOS's bonds Buy. At an offer price of 100.75, investors can see an
above-market return (YTW 6.40% to the 8/15/18 call) for what we view as YTC
paper in a solid and improving credit story. We also believe UHOS's bonds
could serve as a hedge and potentially outperform in a market downturn as
bonds remain call constrained.
We believe UHOS's strategic focus around EVM will help it grow revenue and
EBITDA at inflated rates, and that it will create more meaningful FCF and
equity cushion in connection with this. And although we could envision UHOS
refinancing its bonds within the next year or so, we also believe it could have
other options at its disposal. If UHOS can continue to execute operationally,
we believe the public equity markets could be an avenue for the sponsor as we
believe growth prospects are currently better today given its CES focus than
they had been under previous strategies with former management.
On the M&A front, we believe UHOS will likely pursue smaller complementary
strategic acquisitions rather than transformative deals. Q317 results were
strong, and we suspect if UHOS continues on its current path that 2018 net
leverage could be < 5x and FCF would be more meaningfully positive.
The risks to our rating are largely operational. If UHOS does not achieve
expected growth rates, or if it loses a significant amount of business to a
competitor, the bonds could underperform.
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 115
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0086674
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00232858
EFTA01385390
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