podesta-emails
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*Main Topics:* Fundraising, offshore drilling, 527 attack ads, GOP albatross
*
Summary of Shift:* Every network and cable station made sure to cover a
recent competition to find America's ugliest dog. Saudi Arabia blames high
prices on oil speculation and offers to increase supply without
specifications as to how much. Roundtable discussions revolved mainly around
Obama's change of positions on public finance. (Nina Totenberg: "They're
both flip-floppers! That's what politicians do!") News segments also
contained several side-by-side comparisons of Obama's and McCain's energy
policies.
Highlights:
1) McCain surrogates on the airwaves
a. Lindsey Graham debates Joe Biden
b. Holtz-Eakin: Bush has disappointed Americans for eight years
c. Carly Fiorina alleges MoveOn is currently airing McCain
2) McBush on offshore drilling
3) McCain's huge GOP obstacles
Clips:
Highlight #1
*Graham and Biden Debate over Drilling, Iraq and NAFTA on "Meet the
Press"*(NBC 06/22/08 10:46am)
LINDSEY GRAHAM: It means his word is broken forever on this issue. […] You
tell people you're going to change this country. […] Senator McCain
supported campaign finance reform, to his detriment, with Senator Fiengold
on our side. It did not go over well but John did it anyway. He took a
beating to try to change the campaign finance system. Senator Obama […]
literally signed his name to I will accept public finance. And know for
whatever reason he has broken his word. And is it 1.4 million donors that
allow you to break your word. This is reinforcing everything that is wrong
with politics. […]
JOE BIDEN: Obama did say, I'm going to be a game changer. He has been a
game changer. Big money is not influencing his campaign. […]
GRAHAM: I would argue that MoveOn.org has played him like a fiddle on Iraq.
He said we will never to cut off funding. It was a mistake to go into Iraq,
but they're there and they need the equipment. MoveOn.org laid down the law
and the next supplemental, there should be times tables for withdrawal. Within
two or three days he's changed his position on Iraq. He has played very much
to the left. He has been told what to do by the hard left. There are a
million times […] how he is captive to the left.
BIDEN: That is not true.
BRIAN WILLIAMS: […] On campaign fundraising, you say he did this for
whatever reason. We know the reason it's because the Internet appeal. That
his campaign found out half way through.
GRAHAM: *He can out raise John.*
WILLIAMS: Had that been the McCain campaign wouldn't it have been just as
easy […] to make this same decision?
GRAHAM: John supported campaign finance reform and paid a heavy political
price […] the bottom line about Barack Obama whatever the position, whether
it be Iraq, campaign finance reform or public financing.
[…]
BIDEN: *We haven't even gotten to John's flip-flopping yet. Wait till we get
to oil. Talk about big influence*.
WILLIAMS: […] What's broken about NAFTA?
BIDEN: No Environmental protection […] and not giving the workers in Mexico
[…] to work for very little wages without protection giving another
advantage that not only hurt the Mexicans but hurts American workers […]
GRAHAM: I don't want anyone running for president telling the Unions what
they want to hear […] it hurts the United States for us, someone in his
position to be telling our neighbors we're going to withdraw from this deal.
America doesn't do it that way.
BIDEN: […] this has nothing to do with Unions; this has to do with middle
class jobs. […]
WILLIAMS: *Positions mostly similar between John McCain and President George
W. Bush.* […] Senator John McCain called for an end of the Federal ban on
offshore oil drilling. His announcement is a reversal […] The
environmentalist came out […] they see this as a gift, this current energy
crisis, $4 a gallon at the pump, a gift given to the United States to change
the way the country does business. […]
GRAHAM: […] I think it gets you some immediate relief. […] The democratic
solution here is to tax at home and get Saudi Arabia to drill more. […]
BIDEN: *This is a gift. A gift to the oil companies from John McCain*. […]
79% of all the offshore oil available […] lies within those acres that they
now have. Why are they not pumping? […] Why are these greedy fellows
deciding they want to go beyond that? They want to get it in before George
Bush leaves the presidency. They're not pumping the oil to keep the price
up. […]
GRAHAM: […] If you're looking for a difference on energy between Obama and
Senator McCain he will allow American companies to go extract off our coasts
with state consent. […] To get this country into energy independence and
reduce the price of gas.
BIDEN: They can do that already!
GRAHAM: No they can't. There's a Federal moratorium on off coast drilling.
BIDEN: NO NO No! This is off coast. Where do you think the 40 million acres
are Lindsey? They are off the coast. Off the coasts. 40 million acres off
the coasts. They want to get to the other 600 million acres that are not
included in that. 79% of the reserves they already have access to.
[…]
BIDEN: *You're entitled to your own opinion but not your own facts*. […]
[…]
[Visual of Graham's Quote against drilling from 2005]
"The Senate . . . may consider lifting bans on exploring for oil and natural
gas along the East and West coasts of the United States. … 'I feel terrible
about that,' Graham said 'the worst thing we can do as a nation is taking
the easy way out. … If you start opening up offshore drilling, then you are
buying time and you are not addressing the fundamental problem with fossil
fuels.' ''
GRAHAM: […] $4 a gallon has changed my mind.
[…]
WILLIAMS: […] We are just back from Afghanistan. […] More than one American
commander, while I was there, showed me what they call a HAV a High value
target and then said right *now I don't have […] the assets, the fighters,
the bombers, the predators to go get these high value targets in Afghanistan
because, as they put it, the resources are going to the other war.* […]
BIDEN: […] The commanding General in Afghanistan said to me "I do not have
the forces I need here to deal with where Al Qaeda lives, where Al Qaeda
resides, where the real threat of terror exists." […] John McCain is viewing
this like he is the commander and chief of Iraq. The President of the
United States has larger security concerns than just Iraq. And there needs
to be a balance here […]
GRAHAM: *The central battlefront of the war on terror according to General
Petraeus is Iraq. […] NATO is in charge of Afghanistan. […]*
<https://issuealliance.box.net/shared/static/g5vt5s5kww.mov>
*Holtz-Eakin: Bush is an Eight-Year Disappointment* *to Americans* (CNN
06/22/08 11:15am)
WOLF BLITZER: […] John McCain is warning that Barack Obama's economic policy
would take the United States back to the 1970s and the troubles of Jimmy
Carter's administration. […] this is a major reversal on the part of John
McCain who earlier had opposed offshore drilling off the coast of Florida
and California and elsewhere [and] now supports it. Is that right?
DOUGLAS HOLTZ-EAKIN: John McCain's always supported the state's ability to
make this decision. When the states had no protection he wanted the federal
moratorium in place. Now that there has been a deal, Louisiana has some
drilling in the Gulf, Florida wants some protection, he thinks it's
appropriate to get the Feds out of the way entirely and let the states make
this decision.
BLITZER: How long after they start drilling off the coast of California and
elsewhere, how long would it be before there was a real significant
additional supply that could have an effect? Because Senator Obama and
others say it could be ten years. Is that we're talking about?
HOLTZ-EAKIN: Well, *it would take about five years to get the oil on shore
and begin getting the real impacts in the supply and demand* but it will
send a signal to the world markets and send a signal to the futures markets
and will send a signal, in particular, to futures markets that the United
States is going to take control of its energy destiny *and not have to go as
the Bush Administration has hat in hand to the Saudis and ask for more oil*.
The truth is Barack Obama has no plan in energy He's opposed to lowering gas
taxes. He's opposed to additional exploration. He's opposed to nuclear
power. He thinks higher gas prices are just fine. The just happened too
quickly for his taste.
BLITZER: Well you heard [on an earlier segment] the whole litany of what
Governor Richardson just said [Obama] wants to do to reduce America's
addiction on imported oil.
HOLTZ-EAKIN: It's important. John McCain believes that we have to get rid of
the strategic weapon that is oil. We have to stop being held victim to this
around the world so what do we do? We take care of our business. Control a
little bit at home and then move on to more nuclear power, renewables,
alternatives. He's laid this all out.
BLITZER: The Saudis announcing they will increase oil production, oil
exports, is that something you welcome?
HOLTZ-EAKIN: It's important to have greater global supply, but it would be
better if the United States controlled its energy destiny. That's what John
McCain wants to do.
BLITZER: Are you concerned about the United States simply going to become
even more addicted to Saudi and other foreign oil sources?
HOLTZ-EAKIN: We've seen a bipartisan failure for 30 years, you know. In the
1970s we imported 30% of our oil and now we import 60% of our oil and our
national security is at risk. Our economy is at risk and our environment is
at risk. It's time to have some bipartisan leadership, take control of our
destiny.
BLITZER: Would it be wise, because Iraq is now exporting a lot and pumping a
lot of oil, much more than it was with a relative quiet that's developed in
certain parts of the country over the past year. They are exporting and
pumping more oil. Should the Iraqis be selling oil to the United States at a
discounted price?
HOLTZ-EAKIN: Oil should occur on the world market at market prices.
BLITZER: Why not—given the hundreds of billions of dollars the United States
has spent to rebuild that country and try to bring some stability to the
Iraqis, why not have them export oil to the United States at a reduced
price? They would still make some money, but they wouldn't make as much as
they are making right now.
HOLTZ-EAKIN: As Senator McCain, who has gone there and seen the conditions
on the ground eight times correctly pointed out, we had to bring a new
strategy to Iraq. We had to get some peace, a path to prosperity for the
Iraqis, but that path doesn't lie in the U.S. being dependent on Middle
Eastern oil. The entire strategy was built around getting the United States
to be able to exit with peace and build energy security for ourselves at
home.
BLITZER: So Senator McCain believes the Iraqis should export oil to the
United States at the going international price, which right now is about
$135 a barrel?
HOLTZ-EAKIN: Senator McCain believes there should be an international oil
market but believes the United States should not leave itself dependent on
that from the Iraqis or anyone else.
BLITZER: Here's the latest A.P./Ipsos poll asking this question: 'Which
track is the economy heading?'76% of the American people said the U.S. is
heading in the wrong economic track and 17% said they are heading in the
right track. That's a pretty disproportionate number. Give me an example of
what—other than pork barrel spending ear marks—a different strategy that
John McCain would take on economic policy than President Bush is taking
right now?
HOLTZ-EAKIN: Well, *this is more than the Bush Administration which has
disappointed Americans for eight years.* This is about a democratic congress
that cannot address great issues. It's about Washington being broken.
BLITZER: What would Senator McCain do differently, in the short term, if he
were President of the United States, differently than what's already being
done by President Bush, and I know you're going to say he would find ways to
eliminate pork barrel spending, the so-called ear marks, but beyond that
what would he do?
HOLTZ-EAKIN: Well that would be step one in reforming Washington. Senator
McCain is a person who reached across the aisle that needed judicial
appointments and got it done. When we recognized the importance of
immigration he stood with Senator Kennedy [and] tried to solve this great
problem. We'll see someone who wants to actually help America, not pursue
partisan politics.
[…]
HOLTZ-EAKIN: Well, Senator Obama has a problem with his own in that he talks
a lot about taxes, says he's going to cut taxes for 95% of Americans.
BLITZER: Is this true, the suggestion that he's saying you want to give a
huge tax break to those Americans making $2.8 million a year and more.
That's true, right?
*HOLTZ-EAKIN: No.* Senator McCain, if you examine the facts on the ground,
right now the top marginal tax rate in America is 35%. Under Senator
McCain's plan it would be 35%. Dividends, capital gains, the access for
capital to small businesses: right now [is] 15%. Under Senator McCain's
create jobs first plan 15%. Mr. Obama is talking about tax cuts for the
wealthy. They're not anywhere.
What John McCain would do is reduce the corporate tax rate that Is sending
jobs with pension benefits and health benefits and important security for
Americans, he's cutting rates—
BLITZER: You want to cut capital gains rate.
HOLTZ-EAKIN: 15%.
BLITZER: You want to cut it?
HOLTZ-EAKIN: It'll be 15% under John McCain. This is flowing rhetoric but
reality on the ground is that John McCain wants to create jobs in this
country, he doesn't want to burden small businesses, he wants to keep jobs
from going overseas. He's got a plan to do that.
Senator Obama, the one person who will raise taxes in this race is going to
tax small businesses, put employer mandates on for health insurance they
can't afford and really threaten the jobs that Americans need right now.
John McCain has jobs first. Senator Obama has talk first.
*Fiorina and Richardson Square off on Candidate 'Flip-Flops'* (CBS 06/22/08
10:36am)
CARLY FIORINA: I think the record is pretty clear that Barack Obama has, in
fact, said that all along he would accept public financing and now he's
changed his mind. He certainly has the right to do that. […] *The truth is
there are more 527s gearing up and currently attacking John McCain than
exist to attack Barack Obama *[…].
[…]
FIORINA: […] John McCain is on the record as having asked a couple of 527s
to stand down and *it's been well-documented, just in the last week, that
there are far more 527s gearing up and already announcing, for example,
they're gonna spend $53million to attack John McCain. MoveOn.org is the one
I reference. *[…]
[…]
FIORINA: I think a good leader is influenced by the facts on the ground.
Whether those facts are in Iraq or those facts are right here in the United
States and the reality is we have never before faced a situation where a
gallon of gas is over $4 and is likely to remain over $4. We've never before
faced a situation where the price of a barrel of oil has doubled in the last
12 months.
So what John McCain has said is that we now need to take control of our own
energy future and that involves, among other things, tapping our own
resources whether that's clean coal or natural gas (Barack Obama would tax
both coal and natural gas) or whether it's approaching the subject of
offshore drilling in a sensible way. [McCain] would continue to maintain
that ANWR is a pristine wilderness that shouldn't be touched but we have
very sizable reserves of oil off our shores and now is the time to take
control of our own energy future. We must. It's a matter of national
security, economic security and environmental security as well.
Highlight #2
*Reliable Sources Scrutinizes Media Response to McBush Endorsement of
Offshore Drilling* (CNN 06/20/08 10:18am)
HOWARD KURTZ: […] The first time John McCain ran for president […] he
opposed offshore oil drilling and blamed Washington special interests for
pushing the idea. Three weeks ago he said it would be temporary fix, at
best, for our energy problems. This week McCain flipped, coming out for
offshore oil-drilling and joined the next day by President Bush. The media's
reaction kind of seemed to be a collective yawn: 'Ho-hum, he changed his
position.'
ANN KORNBLUT: Well, I think the national media's reaction might have been
that. My understanding is that the local media reaction in places like
Florida where this has obviously been a big deal was somewhat greater but
[…] it's another example of an issue that seems to be very policy,
detail-oriented that people don't really care about […].
KURTZ: And *McCain trying to position himself as not the typical republican
on the environment and yet comes out with this position on offshore
oil-drilling*, which […], if you're in California or, if you're in Florida,
it's a local issue. […] Is this the wrong scorecard to be using? Politicians
are entitled to change their positions as new facts come in or they re-think
something but what bothers me is they never admit changing their positions.
They always try to rationalize it with some excuse.
LOLA OGUNNAIKE: Because, if they admit changing their positions, they're
vilified. […] So they decide they'd rather dance around the subject then
address it straight on.
KURTZ: Why are they vilified? Because the media likes to play gotcha? You
said this then and you're saying this now and therefore you're not sincere?
OGUNNAIKE: Exactly. There's no room for evolution of thought. There's no
room for, 'You know, I might have just changed my mind. Upon further
investigation I've decided this as opposed to this.' There's no room for
that. It's very black and white. There's no room for shades of grey anymore
in the media at all.
KURTZ: Do reporters go a little easier on McCain, on issues like this
because of the coziness that's built up among those who are riding the
Straight Talk Express?
JULIE MASON: I think there is. I mean, I certainly think there's the
perception that there is, which exacerbates the fact that there is some of
that. Now there appears to be a lot of that.
In the case of this flip-flop, you know, Bush did come out the next day and
endorse that plan, which sort of blew that second-day story out of the
water, which would have been the flip-flop. You know, that would have made a
nice second-day follow on McCain's story, which he made in Houston, which
was a huge story for us [at the *Houston Chronicle*]. Then Bush comes out
and endorses the plan and that becomes the story and then the debate becomes
offshore drilling or not offshore drilling instead of McCain flip-flop?
KURTZ: Wasn't it your sense and [for] people at the *Houston Chronicle* that
this was all very orchestrated. The president was going to come out the day
after [the] republican nominee suddenly changes his position on offshore oil
drilling?
MASON: Yes! Yes! Absolutely. Sure. Yeah, there was a clear sense of that.
KURTZ: And yet I have the impression that more attention was paid to Cindy
McCain's cookie recipe, which was ripped off by an intern and turned out to
be from some food network site.
KORNBLUT: […] That's easier to summarize in 30 seconds than to talk about
the merits—pro and con—of offshore drilling and what the effect will be on
gas prices 30 years from now, but nonetheless, there actually was a
treatment of a serious issue. The campaign certainly took it seriously and *we
even heard the Obama campaign describing the McCain campaign as 'the
Double-Talk Express,'* trying to re-brand the Straight Talk Express. So I
think actually that something has changed with this position this week, even
if it didn't dominate the news coverage.
Highlight #3
*May Be "Impossible to Believe that Another Republican Could get
Elected" * (NBC
06/22/08 10:09am)
CHRIS MATTHEWS: The situation right now, it really does take a Houdini to
get out of. It's almost like he is belted up with all these chains around
him and he's in some safe at the bottom of the Atlantic. He's got to get
out of the gas tax problem and defend that. He's got to defend himself
against a recession, against a dollar that's worth like an Old Portuguese
escudo right now. He's got every problem in the world economically, your
laughing but its true. Everything is wrong and he's gonna say you think
this is bad.
KATTY KAY: *Every single number is going in the wrong direction. And at a
time win 82% of American's think the country's on the wrong track it is
almost impossible to believe that another Republican could get elected*. But
here is his silver lining, the Republican's ratings are going down but John
McCain's ratings in comparison to his party are doing pretty well.
MATTHEWS: How do you masquerade yourself as not the defender of status quo
if you're John McCain? How do you just avoid all the hell that just comes
with just being in the incumbent party this time?
KATHLEEN PARKER: *Well he is clearly no longer the Maverick. He's the
mainstream candidate*. But I think what McCain is trying to do is paint
Obama as the Jimmy Carter candidate and he's trying to leapfrog over Bush
and over Clinton to Reagan, and attach himself to that legacy. And he's
likely to do that well because he does have a taxpayer friendly economic
plan. The problem is getting hurt at all. Because even if you say that the
class warfare is over Obama's platform is being perceived as the poor people
vs. the rich people. He wants to make it hard on corporate America. He's
going to raise the taxes on corporate America. Which does, 140 million
American's go to work in corporate America every single day.
KAY: But *there are plenty of Republican's that don't trust John McCain on
taxes either. Look how long it took Grover Norquest, the tax cuter of the
Republican Party to come out and support John McCain. It took him a pretty
long time. It's not as if John McCain is a completely solid pro-business
candidate anyways*. […]
JIM CRAMER: Not at all, No one trusts him.
[…]
ANDREW SULLIVAN: *The conditions are so overwhelming that it's very hard for
him to get out of this Republican taint*. But as a said before I do think
the fear, the fear of a new young president raising taxes is an important
fear […]
MATTHEWS: […] John McCain has to pay the piper for the bad times.
KAY: I just keep coming back to this 82% number, and I just find it very had
to see how there is another term of the same party when so many people in
the country, across the board, and these are Democrats and Republicans, are
both saying that its going in the wrong direction.
MATTHEWS: Speak for the investor class […]
CRAMER: Investor class is sick of it. Investor class is sick of
Republicans. They're sick of them. We have stagflation, it's the worst. It's
the worst for the rich, it's worst for poor, It's worst's for the middle
class. We need a new broom.
MATTHEWS: […] If Obama wins does the stock market go up?
CRAMER: Yes. […]
--
Jacob Roberts
Media Analyst
PMUSA
(c) 208.420.3470
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