podesta-emails
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** News as of February 5, 2016
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Weekly roundup about our democracy and The Common Good community
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Polls
Most voters don’t think any of the 2016 candidates would make a good president: Of the 9 candidates included in the survey, more voters said each would make a “terrible” president than a “great” one. Pew Research Center (http://www.people-press.org/2016/01/20/voters-skeptical-that-2016-candidates-would-make-good-presidents/)
Iowa Republican entrance poll finding: "Moderate" caucus-goers heavily favored Trump. "Somewhat conservative" ones picked Rubio. "Very conservative" ones picked Cruz. CBS News (http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/republican/iowa/exit/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Vox%20Sentences%20Feb%202%2C%202016&utm_term=Vox%20Newsletter%20All)
Iowa Democratic entrance poll finding: Young voters favored Sanders by a margin of 6 to 1, while older voters went overwhelmingly for Clinton—revealing a party split along generational lines. The Atlantic (http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/02/the-great-democratic-age-gap/459570/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Vox%20Sentences%20Feb%202%2C%202016&utm_term=Vox%20Newsletter%20All)
Trump holds lead in New Hampshire; Rubio gains ground: Trump holds 30% support of likely Republican primary followers while Rubio holds 17% support, up from 11%. Mark Murray,NBC News (http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/poll-trump-holds-lead-new-hampshire-rubio-gains-ground-n511646)
After Iowa, Sanders leads Clinton 2-to-1 in NH: Sanders 61% support, up from the 57%. Clinton holds 30%, down from the 34% she held before the caucuses. Jennifer Agiesta (http://www.cnn.com/profiles/jennifer-agiesta) , CNN (http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/04/politics/new-hampshire-poll-bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton/)
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2016 Campaign
Iowa caucus results are in: with 99.9% reporting: Cruz 27.7%, Trump 24.3%, Rubio 23.1%; Carson 9.3%, Paul 4.5%, Bush 2.8% , Fiorina 1.9%, Kasich 1.9%
Clinton claimed victory despite a virtual tie with Bernie Sanders, winning by approximately .3%. Dropping out: Martin O’Malley, Rand Paul and Mike Huckabee. Stephen Collinson, CNN (http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/01/politics/iowa-caucuses-2016-highlights/index.html)
Pollsters got Iowa wrong: They were close on the Democratic race, but all of them missed Ted Cruz's win," Steve Shepard, Politico (http://politi.co/1Pw34i5)
Rubio had a model in Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa), who has found support from both the right and the center of Iowa's GOP going back to 2014, when she navigated a crowded primary Bob Costa & Bill Rucker, Wash Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/the-inside-story-of-how-ted-cruz-won-iowa/2016/02/02/238b0b94-c839-11e5-a7b2-5a2f824b02c9_story.html)
What Iowa revealed about 2016: "As David Corn (TCG Speaker) of Mother Jones has described it..the system isn't working well enough to maintain the living standards of the vast bulk of Americans who live between the coast. ... You can't call Sanders a crank or an accident anymore. He embodies something real. ... [W]hat Clinton really must do now is engage the economic issues." David Ignatius, Op-Ed, Wash Post (http://wapo.st/1PgfF5q)
Ted Cruz on ‘dirty trick’ against Ben Carson: Cruz is on the defense after a caucus night email sent to his supporters suggested that Ben Carson was about to drop out of the Presidential race. “[Cruz] told reporters that his staff simply "passed on a CNN news story that CNN broke.”” Callum Borchers,NY Times (http://nyti.ms/20dJjmg)
Trump’s loss is significant, but don’t discount him just yet: “Even if [he] fizzles, the passions and discontents that have fueled him shouldn’t be ignored.” Rich Lowry, Op-Ed, Nat’l Review (http://www.nationalreview.com/article/430829/donald-trump-new-hampshire-primary)
Trump & Sanders voters share anger but express it differently: While on the opposite ends of the political spectrum, Trump and Sanders share striking similarities, particularly within the raced and gendered makeup of the majority of their followers and their shared distrust of Hillary Clinton. John Leland, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/31/us/bernie-sanders-and-donald-trump-voters-share-anger-but-direct-it-differently.html?emc=edit_th_20160131&nl=todaysheadlines&nlid=30283247&_r=0)
The GOP’s Holy War: While religion typically plays a prominent role in elections,the Republican candidates talk of religion in Iowa was excessive, with candidates professing their own piety and questioning that of their opponents. Frank Bruni, Op-Ed, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/31/opinion/sunday/the-gops-holy-war.html?partner=rssnyt&emc=rss)
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The Economy
American worker finally getting a raise? After years of scant real gains despite steadily falling unemployment and healthy hiring, wages picked up significantly last month, a sign the job market could be tightening enough to force companies to pay more to attract and retain employees. Nelson D. Schwartz, (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/06/business/economy/jobs-report-unemployment-january-fed-interest-rates.html?emc=edit_au_20160205&nl=afternoonupdate&nlid=30283247) New York Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/06/business/economy/jobs-report-unemployment-january-fed-interest-rates.html?emc=edit_au_20160205&nl=afternoonupdate&nlid=30283247)
US Service sector growing at the slowest pace in the past 2 years: Retail, banking, and healthcare companies have been in a steady decline for at least the last 3 months, according to the ISM service index, suggesting a lull in hiring practices this month. Jeffry Bartash, MarketWatch (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/biggest-part-of-us-economy-not-growing-as-fast-ism-finds-2016-02-03)
The market predicts slim chance for Fed interest hikes this year, despite Fed prediction of 4 raises in interest rates this year, as the beginning of this year has seen falling oil price and a raise on the dollar. Heather Long, CNN (http://money.cnn.com/2016/02/03/news/economy/federal-reserve-rate-hike-2016/index.html?iid=Lead)
Businesses are indicating an unwillingness to take on risk. Loan demand declined for the 1st time in 4 years: Jeff Cox, CNBC (http://www.cnbc.com/2016/02/02/banks-report-drop-in-demand-for-loans.html)
Last month 151,000 jobs were added, wages rose 2.5%, & the unemployment rate dropped below 5% for the 1st time since the recession. Camila Domonoske, NPR (http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2016/02/05/465686010/u-s-added-151-000-jobs-in-january-unemployment-dropped-to-4-9-percent)
Doug Elmendorf, former CBO director, on the shifting picture of US Debt: “Our analysis of the implications of low interest rates provides strong evidence that addressing the debt is not especially urgent and is not the overriding budget issue–and that a strategy of increasing federal investment now and addressing the debt on a delayed and gradual basis makes more sense.” David Wessel, WSJ (http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2016/02/03/a-shifting-picture-of-u-s-debt-and-an-opening-for-updated-policy/)
Obama to seek new tax on oil in budget proposal to support the nation’s transportation infrastructure: The bid would involve a $10-a-barrel tax on crude oil and would be paid by oil companies. This tax would be phased in over the next five years. NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2016/02/04/business/04reuters-usa-budget-oil.html)
Greece fears more austerity pain ahead to unlock bailout loans: The recent talks with the IMF and other European institutions have spurred fears of higher taxes and spending cuts in order to receive loans. “Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras is caught between creditors’ demands for fiscal retrenchment including pension cuts, and pressure from an austerity-weary public.” Stelios Bouras, WSJ (http://www.wsj.com/articles/greece-fears-more-austerity-pain-ahead-to-unlock-bailout-loans-1454562001)
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Foreign Affairs/National Security
Syrian forces press Aleppo, send thousands fleeing: “The Syrian government’s dramatic advance on Aleppo has sent insurgents scrambling, led thousands to flee toward the border with Turkey and scuttled peace talks in Geneva.” Ann Barnard, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/06/world/middleeast/syria-aleppo.html)
Syria talks open with shuttle diplomacy: The talks are the first since 2014 for negotiations “to end a war that has left more than a quarter-million people dead, displaced millions and entangled regional and global military powers. But unlike in the previous talks, the United States and Russia seem to have shown far more interest now in seeking an end to the war.” Somini Sengupta & Anne Barnard, New York Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/02/world/middleeast/syria-talks-take-tentative-step-forward-despite-new-attacks.html?nlid=30283247&src=recpb)
Saudi Arabia is ready to send ground troops into Syria: “The Saudi announcement came as pressure increased on international stakeholders in Syria’s separate, civil conflict to push for a ceasefire that would allow Syrians to shift their attention away from fighting each other and focus on the Islamic State.” Carol Morello & Karen DeYoung, Wash Post (https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/kerry-calls-on-russia-to-stop-bombing-syrian-civilians-and-let-aid-get-through/2016/02/04/75810fac-caaf-11e5-b9ab-26591104bb19_story.html)
United Nations human rights panel has concluded that Julian Assange, founder of WikiLeaks has been arbitrarily detained in violation of international law. Assange sought refuge in the Ecuadorean Embassy in London in 2012. Sewell Chan and Liam Stack, New York Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/05/world/europe/julian-assange-un-panel.html?em_pos=large&emc=edit_nn_20160205&nl=morning-briefing&nlid=30283247)
Turkey accuses Russia of again violating its airspace: “Russia denied that any of its aircraft had crossed into Turkish territory.” Liam Stack, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/31/world/middleeast/turkey-accuses-russia-of-again-violating-its-airspace.html?emc=edit_th_20160131&nl=todaysheadlines&nlid=30283247)
US missile destroyer sailed close to island claimed by China: ‘‘This operation was about challenging excessive maritime claims that restrict the rights and freedoms of the US and others, not about territorial claims to land features.’’ Missy Ryan, Boston Globe (http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/world/2016/01/30/missile-destroyer-sailed-close-island-claimed-china/GnaQoem5a5FH1kvNYzVMkM/story.html?s_campaign=email_BG_TodaysHeadline&s_campaign=)
Military intervention in Libya could be real possibility: With ISIS taking advantage of civil war and unrest in Libya, western military intervention might happen soon in attempt to counter its threat to international security. The Economist (http://www.economist.com/news/middle-east-and-africa/21690057-libyas-civil-war-has-given-caliphate-fresh-opportunities-western-military)
Obama forced again to rethink troop numbers in Afghanistan: “For a second time, Obama is rethinking his plan to drop U.S. troop levels from 9,800 to 5,500 before he leaves office in January 2017.” Deb Riechmann & Robert Burns, Boston Globe (http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/world/2016/01/30/obama-forced-again-rethink-troop-numbers-afghanistan/IKptTSgL4tw9QWuJWAOUdI/story.html?s_campaign=email_BG_TodaysHeadline&s_campaign=)
Nobody wins if Britain leaves the EU: The referendum to withdraw from the Union will “deal a serious blow to a European Union already battered by an economic crisis and an immigration crisis.” The Editorial Board, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/05/opinion/everyone-loses-if-britain-exits-the-eu.html?ref=opinion)
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Domestic Affairs
22 of Clinton’s email deemed too classified for release: While over 1,000 emails have had portions blocked out due to classified information, this is the first time that entire emails will be withheld from the release of the archive. Byron Tau, WSJ (http://www.wsj.com/articles/state-department-says-22-of-clintons-emails-contain-highly-classified-information-1454101286)
State Dept probe finds that Secretaries Colin Powell & Condoleezza Rice may have received classified information on personal email accounts: “Investigation looks at record-keeping practices of previous five secretaries of state.” Byron Tau, WSJ (http://www.wsj.com/articles/state-department-probe-finds-classified-emails-in-more-personal-accounts-1454623946)
CDC confirms Zika can be sexually transmitted: The virus, now found in the US and at least 28 other countries, is confirmed to be transmitted both by mosquitos and sexual intercourse. The new warning focuses especially on pregnant women due to the birth defects the virus causes in babies born to mothers infected with Zika. Sandee LaMotte, CNN (http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/02/health/zika-virus-sexual-contact-texas/)
Obama’s budget urges a $4 billion commitment to help states offer computer education: Michael D. Shear, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/31/us/politics/obamas-budget-urges-a-deeper-commitment-to-computer-education.html?emc=edit_th_20160131&nl=todaysheadlines&nlid=30283247)
Facebook banning gun sales: Vindu Goel & Mike Isaac, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/30/technology/facebook-gun-sales-ban.html?emc=edit_na_20160129&nlid=30283247&ref=cta)
Senator John Cornyn pushes fellow Republicans on criminal justice legislation: The legislation, written primarily by Mr. Cornyn, involves reducing some sentences and easing reentry into society. This is a continuation of the growing support of a “comprehensive criminal justice package aimed at easing mandatory minimum sentences for nonviolent offenders.” Carl Hulse, NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/30/us/politics/senator-john-cornyn-criminal-justice-reform-bill.html?emc=edit_th_20160130&nl=todaysheadlines&nlid=30283247)
Obama visits US Mosque, warns citizens to not be “bystanders to bigotry”: The Islamic Society of Baltimore was the first Mosque Obama has visited in his terms as president. Gardiner Harris,NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/04/us/politics/obama-muslims-baltimore-mosque.html)
Who poisoned Flint, Michigan?: "A writer returns home to find a toxic disaster, giant government failure and countless children exposed to lead." Stephen Rodrick, Rolling Stone (http://rol.st/1Tt1P4M)
How aviation made the modern modern mind: “Has the internet made air travel irrelevant?” Nathan Heller, The New Yorker (http://bit.ly/20d2yfJ)
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Books & Film
“Realpolitik - a History”: John Bew explores the many definition of realpolitik over history: politics based on practical rather than moral or ideological considerations, from the 16th century Niccolo Machiavelli to Harry Truman. WSJ (http://www.pressreader.com/belgium/the-wall-street-journal-europe/20160205/281818577868546/TextView)
"The Real Legacy of Steve Jobs" by Sue Halpern: NY Review of Books (http://bit.ly/1SqFnIQ)
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Monday, February 29, 2016
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The Comm Good Forum on "Security and Opportunity in Turbulent Times"
Friday, May 20, 2016, 8am-4pm, Sessions all day on national and economic security
http://thecommongood.net/2015/12/the-2016-common-good-forum/
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