Re: HRC and DMR

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like this. Michael Halle (217)649-4726 On Feb 4, 2016, at 9:37 PM, Lily Adams <[email protected]> wrote: This has some suggestions from Reynolds but wanted to get it to the full group since she's in debate mode. we still havent heard from the IDP on what the specific 11 precincts are. the math is what they gave us so we havent been able to double check. *Draft Medium Post on Iowa* There's been even more bluster than usual from the Sanders campaign, this time in an effort to disqualify Hillary Clinton's historic victory in Monday night's Iowa caucus. Disparaging good news for Hillary Clinton has become a pattern for the Sanders camp. It you support someone else? You're dismissed as part of the " establishment <http://www.kcci.com/politics/sanders-des-moines-register-is-media-establishment/37615894>," unless of course they want to claim your support in ads <http://bigstory.ap.org/b99bdd52d829418490695b81aa0bfeb7> anyways. If a process doesn't go their way? It's invalid or flawed or they blame the Iowans who ran it. In Iowa, the Sanders camp started floating conspiracy theories leading up to the caucus. First, it was two weeks ago when they posited that Microsoft <http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/sanders-campaign-suspicious-corporate-influence-iowa-caucus> might steal the caucus from them. Now that the caucus is over, they are calling into question the results that were reported by everyday *Iowans*. Hillary Clinton won the Iowa caucus with incredibly high turnout - a level of turnout the Sanders camp claimed would earn them a win. It was a close contest and a hard fought campaign. But Hillary won. And once it became apparent that they had lost, the Bernie Sanders campaign began to peddle frivolous claims that have been disproven in an effort to poison an otherwise historic night for Hillary Clinton, our supporters, and volunteers. Remember coin flip-gate where people claimed Hillary won all the coin tosses? Turns out that wasn't true <http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/02/politics/hillary-clinton-coin-flip-iowa-bernie-sanders/>. In fact, according to the official count, Sen. Sanders won more coin tosses than Hillary Clinton. Or how about the "90 precincts" with no chairs? Also untrue. Certainly there were precincts that took a while to report but once they all did, it was clear Hillary had won. Now the Sanders campaign is disputing the reported results that were sent in by everyday Iowans - volunteers, no less! - to the Democratic Party. All three campaigns have checked the results of certain precincts against their own data reported to them from volunteers. That's normal. For the Sanders campaign's challenges, there are 7 total precincts they are questioning (out of a whopping total 1,681 precincts!) and the Iowa Democratic Party is checking the results on a few more. And they will follow the same standard procedure for these questions as they did for precincts we asked them to look at - they'll look at the numbers reported that night, check the math and figure out if there are any discrepancies or misallocation of delegates. Here's the kicker. Even if the Sanders campaign were to win all of their challenges - the marginal bump they receive in support would not be enough to overcome Hillary Clinton's win margin. Those are just the facts. Here's the math. *Total Precincts in Contest: 11 (7 from Sanders and 4 from the Iowa Democratic Party)* *Total State Delegates being Contested: 1.7947 (not enough to change outcome)* *If every contest were to go in the favor of Sanders:* *HRC = -.775* *Sanders = +.758* *MOM = +.0166* It may be inconvenient for the Sanders campaign that Hillary Clinton won the Iowa caucus, but it's the truth. Eight years ago Hillary came in third here in Iowa and when she did, she congratulated the winner. We suggest Senator Sanders do the same. On Thu, Feb 4, 2016 at 5:07 PM, John Podesta <[email protected]> wrote: > +Teddy > > > > > Sent from my iPhone > > On Feb 4, 2016, at 5:47 PM, Michael Halle <[email protected]> > wrote: > > > > On Thu, Feb 4, 2016 at 4:05 PM, Michael Halle <[email protected]> > wrote: > >> Just talked to the IDP and have some good data here. First, Kathy >> Obradabadf;ljaksd from the DMR is writing a column on this to run either >> tomorrow or Sunday (we should have IDP push to have it run tomorrow) but >> that will give good ammo. We also need to push the IDP to release the below >> >> Total Precincts in Contest: 11 (7 from Sanders and 7 from Chairs) >> Total State Delegates being Contested: 1.7947 (not enough to change >> outcome >> >> If every contest were to go in the favor of Sanders: >> HRC = -.775 >> Sanders = +.758 >> MOM = +.0166 >> >> >> On Thu, Feb 4, 2016 at 3:56 PM, Jennifer Palmieri < >> [email protected]> wrote: >> >>> Sure >>> >>> >>> >>> *From:* Michael Halle [mailto:[email protected]] >>> *Sent:* Thursday, February 4, 2016 4:50 PM >>> *To:* Kate Offerdahl <[email protected]> >>> *Cc:* Jennifer Palmieri <[email protected]>; Lily Adams < >>> [email protected]>; Christina Reynolds < >>> [email protected]>; Marc Elias <[email protected]>; >>> Matt Paul <[email protected]>; Robby Mook < >>> [email protected]> >>> >>> *Subject:* Re: HRC and DMR >>> >>> >>> >>> Are people fine to have Troy Price join this call too? >>> >>> >>> >>> I think we need to get our endorsers behind this and hard. >>> >>> >>> >>> On Thu, Feb 4, 2016 at 3:22 PM, Kate Offerdahl < >>> [email protected]> wrote: >>> >>> Let's do 5:30pm. Sending around a number now. >>> >>> >>> >>> On Thu, Feb 4, 2016 at 4:07 PM, Jennifer Palmieri < >>> [email protected]> wrote: >>> >>> Adding Elias and adding Kate to see if she can set up a time for a call >>> for us to discuss. >>> >>> >>> >>> *From:* Lily Adams [mailto:[email protected]] >>> *Sent:* Thursday, February 4, 2016 4:05 PM >>> *To:* Christina Reynolds <[email protected]> >>> *Cc:* Jennifer Palmieri <[email protected]>; Matt Paul < >>> [email protected]>; Michael Halle <[email protected]>; >>> Robby Mook <[email protected]> >>> *Subject:* Re: HRC and DMR >>> >>> >>> >>> Same >>> >>> --------- >>> >>> Lily Adams >>> >>> cell: (202) 368-4013 >>> >>> >>> On Feb 4, 2016, at 2:58 PM, Christina Reynolds < >>> [email protected]> wrote: >>> >>> Free between now and 5 EST, then after 5:30 or so. >>> >>> >>> >>> *From:* Jennifer Palmieri [mailto:[email protected]] >>> *Sent:* Thursday, February 4, 2016 3:57 PM >>> *To:* Matt Paul <[email protected]>; Michael Halle < >>> [email protected]>; Robby Mook <[email protected]>; Lily >>> Adams <[email protected]>; Christina Reynolds < >>> [email protected]> >>> *Subject:* HRC and DMR >>> >>> >>> >>> I just told her about them calling for an audit and Sanders campaign >>> saying that they are looking at some inconsistencies. >>> >>> >>> >>> She is very upset about it – convinced they will try to take the victory >>> away from her and wear the party down. She wants a big effort to fight >>> here. >>> >>> >>> >>> Suggest a call…. >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> -- >>> >>> Michael Halle >>> >>> (217)649-4726 >>> >> >> >> >> -- >> Michael Halle >> (217)649-4726 >> > > > > -- > Michael Halle > (217)649-4726 > > -- Lily Adams Iowa Communications Director Hillary for America c: 202-368-4013