EFTA01479400.pdf

Subject: Re: Japanese Equity Basket... [C] From: Paul Morris ‹ > Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2014 15:38:09 -0500 To: Tazia Smith Cc: Vahe Stepanian Classification: Confidential hi did we ever buy the jap equities? Paul Morris Managing Director Deutsche Bank Private Bank 345 Park Avenue, 27th Floor New York, NY 10154 Office: 212-454-0701 Cell: 917-971-2507 From: Tazia Smith/db/- dbcom To: [email protected], Cc: , Paul Morris, Vahe Stepanian/db/- dbcom@DBAmericas Date: 12/18/2013 02:31 PM Subject: Japanese Equity Basket... [C] EFTA01479400 Classification: Confidential Jeffrey - Now that the FOMC decision is behind us (with the $10bn taper we just talked about), here is the basket of single-name Japanese equities that we put together to build on your bullish view (presently in DXJ). To incorporate your bearish yen view, we could quanto this basket like we talked about...in note form, we priced 13mos with HSBC, comes to a 95% participation eg. if the basket was up 18%, note would be up 17.1%; if basket is down 10%, note is down 9.5%. max loss 95% of principal (indicative levels only, subject to market movement, as of 12/18/13). We can look to add to your yen short position opportunistically as an alpha overlay (USDJPY now at 103.40). Let us know your thoughts, Tazia (Embedded image moved to file: pic27667.gif) Indicative levels, subject to market movement. Source: Bloomberg and DB Global Markets Research 12/16/13. Supplemental Information: DB Research expects Japanese equities could double by 2015 http://pull.db-gmresearch.com/cgi-bin/pull/DocPu11/10496-D6FF/89936366/- The House 18oct2013.pdf Abenomics will lead to higher operational leverage and an improved domestic economy BoJ will ease further as needed; DB expects USD/JPY FX to reach 120 by 2015 Strong macroeconomic data and increase in overseas asset purchases by the Japanese GPIF panel report (a third arrow initiative) strongly positive for Japanese risk assets http://www.cas.go.jp/jp/seisaku/koutekisikin_unyourisk/pdf/- e final_report.pdf Yen weakening will likely continue to be a theme, benefiting exporters. Toyota: EFTA01479401 https://ger.gm.cib.intranet.db.com/ger/document/pdf/0900b8c0877259ad.pdf 7203 JP Buy Current price 6170 Target price (11m) 8000 Upside 29% Panasonic https://ger.gm.cib.intranet.db.com/ger/document/pdf/0900b8c08795101a.pdf (6752 JP Buy Current price 1158 Target price (12m) 1300 Upside 12% Omron 6645 JP Not rated at DB Current price 4105 Target price (12m) 4426 (Bloomberg avg. Not covered by DB) Upside 8% Kawasaki Kisen: http://gm.db.com/ger/document/ShowPdf.eqsr?productlDMore=0900b8c087790d17 9107 JP Buy Current price 236 Target price (12m) 280 Upside 18% Reflation is the other major theme, which should be positive for retailers and banks, where DB Research is bullish Rakuten and Resona respectively. Rakuten: https://ger.gm.cib.intranet.db.com/ger/document/pdf/0900b8c087a30eda.pdf 4755 JP Buy Current price 1531 Target price (12m) 1710 Upside 12% Resona: https://ger.gm.cib.intranet.db.com/ger/document/pdf/0900b8c0879ce3f0.pdf 8308 JP Buy Current price 512 Target price (12m) 650 Upside 27% EFTA01479402 (Embedded image moved to file: pic18108.gif) Tazia Smith Director I Key Client Partners - US Deutsche Bank Securities Inc Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management (Embedded image moved to file: pic02374.gif) EFTA01479403