📄 Extracted Text (2,107 words)
4/10/2018
• • •
Clifford Sosin
CAS Investment Partners, LLC
8 Wright Street
Westport, CT 06880
Performance Summary
Sosin Partners, LP* SPY'S
2012." 14.0% -1.5%
2013 66.6% 32.3%
2014 6.3% 13.5%
2015 14.5% 1.3%
2016 22.0% 12.0%
2017 31.2% 21.7%
41 2018 23.6% -1.0%
YID 2018 23.6% -1.0%
Cumulative return since inception 357.1% 102.1%
Annualized return since inception 32.0% 13.7%
See disclaimer regarding comparison to indicies at the end of this letter.
* Performance net of 2% managementfee and 20% performance allocation.
•*Includes dividends reinvested.
*** Sosin Partners LP launched 10/9/2012; • e ormance or both the and and SPY shown ram that date.
To My Partners:
As shown in the table above, Sosin Partners, LP reported gains on a mark to market basis net of
all fees, expenses and performance allocations of 23.6% during the three months ended March
31, 2018. The broad market as represented by the SPY ETF was down 1.0% including dividends
during the period.
Since its inception on October 9, 2012, Sosin Partners, LP has reported gains on a mark to
market basis net of all fees, expenses and performance allocations of 357.1%; this represents a
32.0% compound annualized rate of return. The SPY ETF is up 102.1% including dividends
during that period, representing a 13.7% compound annualized rate of return.
The Balance Sheet
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We ended the quarter with six stock positions of any significance on the long side of the balance
sheet. Our long holdings total 108% of equity capital. As previously discussed, our largest
position at 26% of equity remains World Acceptance Corporation common stock. There are a
few other small items on our balance sheet but none are material.
Cheap Doesn't Mean Cheap
When asked to succinctly describe CAS Investment Partners, I usually say something like "CAS
Investment Partners is a long term, concentrated value focused investment manager." Clear as
that sounds to me, what people often hear is "CAS Investment Partners is a long term,
concentrated, low multiplefocused investment manager," which is wrong.
We are a "value focused" investment manager not a "low multiple focused" investment
manager. But wait ... aren't those two things the same? The answer is no, but the confusion is
understandable.
Value investing in securities markets as we know it today traces its roots to Benjamin Graham
and his book Security Analysis. Graham's fundamental insight was really just a derivation of
basic corporate law. Namely that "every corporate security may best be viewed, in thefirst instance,
as an ownership interest in, or a claim against, a specific business enterprise."
From this deep rooted truth,
Graham reasoned that an
investor should judge an
investment in a security
representing a minority interest
in a company almost exactly as a
business person would judge an
investment to acquire an entire
company (the only salient
difference being the element of
control). Just like a business
person buying a whole company,
an investor buying a part of a
Wood news -- remember all those growth stocks I soldyou? company (even a very small part
They're now value stocks." consisting of a single share)
C•noonSfcck corn
should therefore concern him or
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herself with the profits that the enterprise will generate over time,
the risks that something unfortunate may befall the enterprise,
and the price that one must pay for the venture.
Thus far, our definition of "value investing" and Graham's are Why does low
identical. As I've mentioned in the past, "Spend a day in our multiple investing
office and you will realize quickly that all of our efforts are
dedicated to answering one question and one question only: if work?
we make this investment and own it forever (or at least a very Given how competitive securities
long time) what will our returns be?" We (Graham and CAS) markets are, it seems a little
both study stocks by studying the businesses which underlie surprising that picking stocks
them. based on "cheapness" would
work over so many years. Yet
So if the "what" of value investing is the process of investing in the academic research suggests
securities for less than they are worth based on thefixture cash that it has. Plenty of theories
generation of the underlying business, Graham, then, moves on to exist as to why, my favorite
the "how" of value investing, i.e., how to find and evaluate being the approach's emphasis
different potential investments. It is here where the concept of on the quantitative over the
"low multiples" is introduced. qualitative.
Analysts following a low
Graham's idea was simplicity itself: Why not just limit yourself
multiple guided approach are
to investing in businesses that have a long history of profitability,
taught to ignore or at least to
where you can buy them for less than their book value? Later meaningfully underweight
practitioners (famously Buffet) extended Graham's ideas to
qualitative considerations in
include buying above average businesses with long histories of
favor of quantitative
steady growth and high returns on capital at average or below
considerations. Academic
average prices.
psychologists have long
identified a phenomenon called
Why not indeed! Such a method provides a wonderful mix of
"base rate neglect," where
downside protection, due to the value or quality of the assets, and
humans tend to meaningfully
upside, due to the ongoing profits / dividends of the enterprise overweight colorful qualitative
and the eventual re-valuation of the stock.
evidence at the expense of less
colorful quantitative evidence.
This "low multiple" approach to investing relies fundamentally
By emphasizing the quantitative,
on the view that past is prolog. The company's past profits analysts are probably better
presage future profits, and the past cost of acquiring/ building its
weighting the evidence at hand.
assets presage their future value.
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Of course the past is not always prolog. Technological change can drive thriving businesses to
ruin, and once critical assets can become relics. Thus, unsurprisingly, not every investment
purchased using this mean reversionist, low multiple approach works (more able practitioners
try to identify these pitfalls and avoid them). However, this method of investing did work (and
likely will work) over time on average.
As Graham and later Buffet's approach to investing spread and had success, many observers
began to conflate the what of Grahams idea with the how of Graham's approach. Academics
authored papers about "value" stock selection techniques, by which they really meant "low
multiple" stock selection techniques. Asset managers got in the game, introducing various
mutual funds and other products based on "value," i.e. "low multiple" approaches. Graham's
more basic insight that security selection should focus on the profits of the underlying business
was gradually lost, and the term "value" investing gradually came to mean "low multiple"
investing to many.
We've never equated "low multiple" investing with "value" investing. To be clear, I am a big
fan of quantitatively cheap investments. In fact, most of our investments were (and are)
attractive to us in no small part for their long history of profits, growth, high returns on capital
and low multiples.
That said, finding long established quantitatively cheap investments a la Graham is one way
but not the only way to find undervalued businesses. Another way to find profitable
investments is to study and invest in newer businesses with (hopefully) very bright futures
(relative to the price).
For these newer businesses, the past is not prolog and they come with a significantly more risk
than long established businesses. Three such risks stand out. First, whereas the competitors to
old, established companies have had plenty of time to mount waves of attacks thereby, testing
the incumbent's business model/ economic advantages, newer companies often have yet to be
tested. Analysts studying newer companies need to guess how these companies will withstand
these assaults, and guessing wrong can be perilous (as investors in GoPro and Blue Apron
learned the hard way). Second, newer companies often emerge in areas of the economy and
society where rapid technological change is occurring. It is this very change which, in many
circumstances, opens up the new competitive niche that the new company is exploiting.
However, investing in areas of rapid change is risky, since the next innovation could make you
obsolete. Third, newer companies, due to their newness have not had decades to build up
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assets and advantages on which an investor can fall back. If the company's business model
proves unworkable, transient, or is competed away, investors in the new company likely face
substantial losses.
To make these matters worse, an analyst studying a new company often has less data to review
than an analyst studying an older company. More judgements must be made qualitatively.
These judgements are both less certain and more subject to the various cognitive biases that
come with our evolved brains.
Despite these hazards, we do invest in newer, faster growing businesses where I think that the
risk/ reward is favorable in spite of the issues above. With our next 13F filing, you will see that
we added a new position (-20% of equity) which is definitely not a "low multiple" stock, but
which we think is a value investment nonetheless.
Administrative
The Partnership's Amended and Restated Confidential Offering Memorandum (the "Offering
Memorandum") requires that I disclose whether my investment in Sosin Partners, LP represents
over 50% of my liquid net worth. I am pleased to say it does. In fact, it represents over 90% of
my entire net worth. My family and I are invested right alongside you.
In addition, the Offering Memorandum requires that I disclose whether I have any other
significant income generating activities. I do not. The management of the Partnership is my
sole occupation and source of income.
Conclusion
I am excited for the prospects of our Partnership. While I expect our short term results will be
volatile, I believe that profits over time will be worth the volatility.
You'll recall that we endeavor to benefit from a virtuous cycle wherein:
1) our investors trust us and allow us the space necessary to focus on long term investment
performance,
2) this long term focus allows us to make better investment decisions unclouded by short
term considerations,
3) better long term investment decisions in turn, (hopefully) allow us to produce better
long term returns thus earning our investors' trust and restarting the cycle.
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With this in mind, we continue to look for additional partners who understand and support our
approach to investing. The wrong partners, partners who focus on short term performance, will
not be welcome. Prospective investors should review the Amended and Restated Confidential
Offering Memorandum for more information.
I appreciate your continued trust in me. As always, feel free to call or drop by the office if you'd
like to chat.
Sincerely,
Clifford Sosin
CAS Investment Partners, LLC
The information contained in this report is intended for informational purposes only and is qualified in its
entirety by the more detailed information contained in the Sosin Partners, LP offering memorandum (the
"Offering Memorandum"). This report is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase any
investment product, which can only be made by the Offering Memorandum. An investment in the Partnership
involves significant investment considerations and risks which are described in the Offering Memorandum.
The material presented herein, which is provided for the exclusive use of the person who has been authorized
to receive it, is for your private information. CAS Investment Partners, LLC is soliciting no action based upon
it. It is based upon information which we consider reliable, but neither CAS Investment Partners LLC nor any
of its managers or employees represents that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such.
Performance information presented herein is historic and should not be taken as any indication of future
performance. Among other things, growth of assets under management of CAS Investment Partners LLC may
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adversely affect its investment performance. Also, future investments will be made under different economic
conditions and may be made in different securities using different investment strategies.
The comparison of the Partnership's performance to a single market index is imperfect because the
Partnership's portfolio may include the use of margin trading and other leverage and is not as diversified as
the Standard and Poor's 500 Index or other indices. Due to the differences between the partnership's
investment strategy and the methodology used to compute most indices, we caution potential investors that no
indices are directly comparable to the results of the Partnership.
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ℹ️ Document Details
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