EFTA01388621.pdf
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18 October 2016
REITs
US REIT 3O16 Earnings Preview
[Figure 96: MPW 3O16 results preview
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Updated sector outlooks for acute care hospitals, freestanding emergency rooms, long-term acute care
hospitals, and inpatient rehab facilities
• Additional details on the Steward acquisition and future growth potential stemming from the new relationship
with Steward and Cerberus
• Comments on the pace of $300MM in Median acquisitions and expected timing (2016 closings vs. 2017)
Updated investment outlook and which assets/regions are most attractive for capital deployment. With our
pro-forma net debt-to-EBITDA of roughly 5.0x we believe MPW has plenty of dry powder to make accretive
investments
Disposition update and plans to sell additional LTACHs (7% exposure as of last O's call)
a Development pipeline update as $62MM of freestanding ER completions are scheduled for 3O16
Operator/tenant update, most notably comments on Prime Healthcare (on-going DOJ lawsuit) and Adeptus
Health (views on recent freestanding ER scrutiny)
Update on EBITDAR rent coverage (reported on a 1-Q lag) and the impact of 2O16 LTACH and IRF sales on
coverage ratios
• After updating our model to reflect the Steward deal and related financing activity, our 2016 norm FFO/sh
estimate remains unchanged at $1.29 (vs. $1.29.51.33 guidance). Our 2017 norm FFO/sh moves to $1.39 from
$1.32. Our norm FAD/sh estimates move to $1.17 (from $1.16) in 2016 and to $1.29 (from $1.20) in 2017.
Please see Figure 98 for a summary of our full year estimate revisions
SOL/Ct DetAICIV &felt ecoroarydast Thomsen
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 53
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0092273
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00238457
EFTA01388621
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