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From: Neal Berger
To: [email protected]
Subject: Eagle's View Capital Management, LLC- May 2015 Performance Update...
Date: Wed, 10 Jun 2015 13:19:20 +0000
Eagles View Capital Management, LLC May 2015 Performance
Update
June 10. 2015
Eagle's View domestic Funds best monthly performance to date- The X Factor
Click here to view our most recent monthly investor tearsheet
Dear Partners/Friends,
Performance of Eagle's View Capital Partners, L.P. is estimated at +3.25% for May with
YTD performance estimated at +2.87% net of all fees and expenses.
Performance of Eagle's View Offshore Fund, Ltd. Class G is estimated at +0.05% for
May with YTD performance estimated at -1.42% net of all fees and expenses.
Performance of Eagle's View Offshore Fund, Ltd. Class B ("High Alpha") is estimated
at +0.37% for May with YTD performance estimated at -1.76% net of all fees and
expenses. This Share Class seeks to generate substantially higher returns through a more
concentrated portfolio of some of our historically higher return opportunities. Investors
in this Class should have a willingness to accept increased volatility and risk in
exchange for the potential of higher returns.
The divergence between our onshore and offshore Funds for the MTD and YTD is
attributable to certain Funds we allocate to that have US domestic Partnerships,
however, they do not have an offshore counterpart. As a result, we are not invested in
those Funds on behalf of our offshore offerings. While this was largely the story for
May, both onshore and offshore Funds share a similar mandate, philosophy, and
approach. We expect that while short-term variations will exist, over time, we expect
these variations will even out, offshore will outperform domestic on occasion, and we
believe the performance differences between onshore and offshore to even out in the
long-run.
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We are pleased with the performance of Eagle's View Capital Partners, L.P. during the
month of May. May was our strongest monthly performance for the Fund since its
inception in June, 2010. Ironically, this performance comes off the back of our worst
monthly performance since inception during April which was -1.75%. Importantly, the
skew between our best monthly performance versus worst monthly performance, is just
under 2:1. While we have repeatedly told investors that we are making a concerted
effort to increase the monthly performance swing (with positive skew) in an effort to
enhance our overall returns, it is important to note that we believe months such as May
with a 3% handle are going to be rather rare. Our Fund is not expected to deliver
monthly swings of this magnitude with regularity going forward. Our current annualized
volatility is 3.13% and we expect it to remain rather modest. The core tenets of wealth
preservation, substantial diversification, lack of correlation to the direction of broader
markets, low volatility, and the power of compounding returns with minimal drawdowns
remain firmly in place.
While May was shaping up to be a decent month overall, we saw outlier upside
performance from one of our Managers which helped in adding to our monthly gains.
We believed that this Manager possessed the potential for asymmetric upside returns,
and, our expectations came to fruition during May. As we analyze and invest in
strategies and Managers, we consider this factor (which we term the X factor) which we
will discuss a bit below.
What is the X factor? The X factor is a term we use loosely at Eagle's View to refer to
the non-mathematically quantifiable risk or, "hidden" asymmetric potential upside of an
investment opportunity based upon our own qualitative analysis. The X factor can be
both positive as well as negative. Often, this X factor has never shown up within a
Manager's track record and it is quite possible that it never will. However, regardless of
that fact, it does not mean that this factor does not exist.
As such, we have to determine if an X factor exists using qualitative analysis and our
experience. Examples of a negative X factor would be the risk of a major drawdown due
to short-optionality, the potential for outsized losses due to embedded credit risk
assumed within the Fund's concentrated counterparty exposure, lack of cash movement
controls, liquidity changes of a strategy's underlying securities, etc. In short, a negative
X factor is a risk that the Fund may experience a large drawdown, or full blow-up,
should certain rare, but possible events occur. As mentioned, often, this will not show up
in any prior track record and can only be determined through a qualitative assessment of
the Manager's business and strategy. Eagle's View takes these risks very seriously and
seeks to avoid Funds that may have risks that are not readily apparent on the surface,
but, nonetheless does not negate their presence.
Conversely, Eagle's View seeks to maximize positive X factors and considers this in our
investment process. These opportunities have the potential, although not necessarily the
likelihood, of large outsized asymmetric gains as a by-product of their core business
activities. The most obvious example is some form of long optionality and substantial
gamma embedded within a strategy. Again, this may never have shown up in prior track
records, and, it may never come to fruition, however, once again, it does not negate its
existence. We seek strategies that own this upside optionality often obtained at minimal
or no-cost as a by-product of a Fund's core activities.
During the month of May, one of Eagle's View's underlying Managers experienced an
outsized gain due to the existence of a positive X factor within the strategy. Certain
circumstances aligned and this Fund had a very substantial month relative to any month
in its prior history. We knew this was a possibility when we invested with this Manager,
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and, we were hopeful we'd see an outsized gain someday. During May, we were lucky
that this occurred which added to an already favorable monthly outcome. We are pleased
to take the credit for this luck since we are held accountable for the unlucky situations
that we suffer. Over time, luck evens itself out.
Broadly speaking, Eagle's View is in the business of seeking to capitalize upon market
inefficiencies without regard to the overall direction of markets.
We are accepting new investment within our Fund of Funds products as well as within
our Advisory business. Please contact me with further interest in our products/services.
Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. This newsletter is provided for
informational uses only and should not be used or considered an offer to sell, buy or subscribe
for securities, or other financial instruments. Prospective investors may not construe the
contents of this newsletter or any prior or subsequent communication from us, as legal, tax or
investment advice. Each prospective investor should consult his/her personal Counsel,
Accountant, and other Advisors as to the legal, tax, economic and other consequences of hedge
fund investing and the suitability of such investing for him/her. Further, the contents of this
newsletter should not be relied upon in substitution of the exercise of independent judgment.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources generally deemed by us to be
reliable, however, all or portions of such information may be uniquely within the knowledge of
parties which are unaffiliated with us or our affiliates and, therefore, may not be amenable to
independent investigation or confirmation. In such cases, we have not undertaken to
independently investigate or confirm the accuracy or adequacy of such information, but we have
no reason to believe that such information was not accurate and adequate, to the best of our
knowledge, when given. The index comparisons herein are provided for informational purposes
only and should not be used as the basis for making an investment decision. There are
significant differences between client accounts and the indices referenced including, but not
limited to, risk profile, liquidity, volatility and asset composition. Funds included in the HFRI
Monthly Indices must report monthly returns; report net of all fees retums; report assets in US
Dollars, and have at least $50 million under management or have been actively trading for at
least twelve (12) months. Fund of Funds invest with multiple managers through funds or
managed accounts. The strategy designs a diversified portfolio of managers with the objective of
significantly lowering the risk (volatility) of investing with an individual manager. The Fund of
Funds manager has discretion in choosing which strategies to invest in for the portfolio. A
manager may allocate funds to numerous managers within a single strategy, or with numerous
managers in multiple strategies. The minimum investment in a Fund of Funds may be lower than
an investment in an individual hedge fund or managed account. The investor has the advantage
of diversification among managers and styles with significantly less capital than investing with
separate managers. PLEASE NOTE: The HFRI Fund of Funds Index is not included in the HFRI
Fund Weighted Composite Index. It is important to note that investing in hedge funds involves
risks. Please request and read the Private Placement Memorandum for a complete description
of the risks of hedge fund investing. Hedge fund investing may involve, in addition to others, the
following risks: the vehicles often engage in leveraging and other speculative investments which
may increase the risk of investment loss; they can be highly illiquid; hedge funds are not
required to provide periodic pricing or valuation information to investors; they may involve
complex tax structures and thus delays in distributing important tax information may occur;
hedge funds are not subject to the same regulatory requirements as mutual funds and they
often charge high fees. Opinions contained in this Newsletter reflect the judgment as of the day
and time of the publication and are subject to change without notice. Eagle's View Capital
Management, LLC provides investment advisory services to clients other than the Funds, and
results between clients may differ materially. Eagle's View Capital Management, LLC believes
that such differences are attributable to different investment objectives and strategies between
clients. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. If you are not the intended
recipient or have received this communication in error please notify the sender immediately and
destroy this communication. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the material
in this communication is strictly forbidden.
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Kindest regards.
Neal Berger
President
Eagles View Capital Management LLC
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Eagles View Capital Management LLC 135 East 57th St. 123rd Floor I New York I NY 10022
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