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[big campaign] McCain's List Of 300 Economists Filled With Skeptics
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FYI:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/11/mccains-list-of-300-econo_n_112147.html
McCain's List Of 300 Economists Filled With
Skeptics<http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/11/mccains-list-of-300-econo_n_112147.html>
Three times in the past two days, Sen. John McCain has proclaimed that 300
economists have enthusiastically endorsed his "Jobs for America" economic
plan. The number, line, and message are highly misleading.
On Wednesday, Politico
reported<http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0708/11618.html>that a
handful of those 300 had expressed reservations with McCain's "policy
prescriptions." One wasn't even supporting the Arizona Republican for
president.
Nevertheless, McCain again touted the support of the economists during a
townhall event last night. So the Huffington Post decided to dig in a bit
further, sending emails roughly 150 members of the list. The response, from
roughly a fifth of that group, was telling. Many of the economists whom
McCain sited were generally supportive of his economic goals. But their
support was tempered by strong objections towards specific proposals as well
as deeper skepticism to the non-economic components of McCain's candidacy.
Many felt compelled to clarify that their show of support for the Arizona
Republican's economic proposals shouldn't be misinterpreted as an
endorsement of his presidential campaign.
"Yes, I support the Jobs for America policy proposal, especially a
simplified tax code, lower restrictions on trade, and energy development,"
said Michael Connolly, Professor of Economics, University of Miami. "[But] I
am worried that continuing the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan will tear apart
our social fabric and defeat any economic proposal to reduce the deficit and
stimulate growth. Guns are crowding out butter."
This past week, the McCain campaign
presented<http://johnmccain.com/Informing/News/PressReleases/Read.aspx?guid=c90681b9-5dfe-4de4-8057-ceedb30c228d>the
list of the economists as backing a general statement outlining the
Senator's economic objectives. But when asked to weigh in on specific
proposals -- as opposed to the 403-word executive summary -- many in the
group shuddered. Among individual policies, McCain's idea of a gas tax
holiday was the one most scoffed at with nary an economist offering a
defense.
"It would do nothing but increase the quantity demanded - and it wouldn't
increase supply," wrote Dave Garthoff of the University of Akron. "So price
would just go back up again until demand and supply approached equilibrium,
and everyone would blame the oil companies."
Others, meanwhile, said they were not supportive of McCain's pledge to
balance the budget by 2013. "No, I think some flexibility to run deficits
and surpluses, although I agree that the deficit is too large," said Glenn
MacDonald, Distinguished Professor of Economics and Strategy at Washington
University in St. Louis.
One economist said his endorsement was for the "general economic principles
only" before expressing disagreement with some of plan's specifics.
Do you support making the 2001 tax cuts permanent?," asked the Huffington
Post. "No," replied Peter J Van Blokland, University of Florida.
Do you recommend a temporary gas tax holiday to address rising energy costs?
"No."
Do you support a pledge to balance the budget by 2013? "No."
Do you consider your participation in the letter an endorsement of McCain
for president? "No."
For several of the 300, McCain's economic proposals were overshadowed by
their concerns about his foreign policy. In addition to Connolly, Professor
Tom Lehman, of Indiana Wesleyan University, declined to endorse McCain's
presidential candidacy.
"I have serious disagreements with McCain on the foreign policy issues,
particularly the Iraq War," he said. "However, I support McCain's general
approach to issues of economics, specifically his support of free trade,
retention of tax cuts, balanced budget, and general free-market philosophy."
Others thought McCain was not conservative enough. One economist said he
would not be supporting the presumptive Republican nominee because he (the
economist) was a Libertarian. Stephen J. Dempsey, a professor at the
University of Vermont's School of Business Administration, decried McCain's
proposals as baby steps.
"Yes, I support making the tax cuts permanent," he wrote. "I think a gas tax
holiday is a band-aid on an amputated limb. I am in full support of
balancing the budget by reducing government expenditures on wasteful
programs. My signing the letter is not an endorsement of McCain. We could
have done much better (i.e., a true conservative)."
To be sure, more than a handful of those who responded to the Huffington
Post said that their endorsement of the Jobs for America plan was, by
extension, a pledge of support for McCain's candidacy.
"Speaking for myself only," wrote Martin Eichenbaum, Ethel and John Lindgren
Professor of Economics at Northwestern University. "I support the general
principals advocated by Senator McCain as well as many, but not necessarily
all, of the detailed policy proposals he has made. I would very much like to
balance the budget by 2013. I certainly consider my participation in the
letter to be an endorsement of Senator McCain for president."
But clearly the list that the McCain campaign presented does not consist of
enthusiastic endorsers. If anything it seems -- from this un-scientific
sampling of responders -- that the economists who plan on voting for the
Arizona Republican are doing so because he represents, for them, the lesser
of two evils.
That is, except for Charles Rowley, a professor at George Mason University,
who isn't an American citizen.
"I view my endorsement as an endorsement of the general economic principles
so far outlined by John McCain," he wrote. "Since Barack Obama proposes
significant increases in the size of government, significant hikes in tax
rates, ongoing toleration for pork-barrel legislation, long-term budget
deficits and, most seriously, a significant shift towards trade protection,
evidently, in terms of the general principles outlined in the letter that I
have endorsed, I must prefer John McCain as a presidential candidate in an
imperfect world. However, because I am a British citizen, I cannot vote in
this election."
--
Nico Pitney
The Huffington Post
P: 202.834.0301
AIM: njpitney
GTalk/MSN: [email protected]
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