EFTA01385394.pdf
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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite
Core Issue - Healthcare (:osts Are Growing Faster Then Income
We believe one of the core issues over recent years related to increases in bad
debt, volume and mix pressure, etc. lies in our view that the cost of healthcare
in the U.S. has been generally growing at a faster rate than income growth.
We believe there are many reasons that can help explain why this dynamic
exists, but at the end of the day it's our view that healthcare becomes harder
to afford (for individuals, corporations, etc.) as this trend persists. And
although some reasons that drive this disparity could relate to inefficiency,
fraud, and abuse (and these could be targeted to bend the cost curve), we also
acknowledge that part of the reason healthcare costs have grown at an
outsized rate is that we (the patients) consume a significant amount of
healthcare and in a relatively convenient way. In addition, we have experienced
better outcomes for various diseases and conditions, and we generally live
longer. According to data360.org, the average life expectancy for males and
females in the U.S. in 2017 will be 79.4 years. And this is up from 76.6 in 2000.
Figure 5 depicts the relationship of healthcare cost growth versus income
growth since 2000.
[Figure 9: Healthcare Cost Growth vs. Income Growth
Healthcare Cost Growth vs. Income Growth
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Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 119
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0086678
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00232862
EFTA01385394
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