EFTA02373601.pdf

From: Daniel Sabba Sent: Wednesday, January 7, 2015 1:04 AM To: Jeffrey Epstein Subject: Fw: EOD Commodties Note - 6 Jan Classification: Public Crude oil trading comment=ry. Implied vol lower, crude lower. Interesting technical per below. We will have the proposed trade analysis completed tomorrow. From: Prateek Jain Sen=: 01/06/2015 09:44 PM GMT Subject: EOD Commodties Not= - 6 Jan Oil Another mini crash in crude today as we broke 50$ ov=rnight and never looked back. Again there was not much news out, it seemed=more like technical selling. The next level is 46$ for WTI, if we take tha= out we could be in for a complete breakdown. Not much on the news front today...Interestingly though, US=diffs collapsed, with LLS at a mere 1.4$, HLS at +0.2, and midland dro=ping 85 cents as well. There is chatter that this may be due to the Saudi =SP cuts to the US. In Europe, the window was better bid today for a change, with Trafi bidding up forties. BRE spre=ds in the prompt strengthened, in part due to this, and in part due to lev=ls being good for storage economics, which even for sea storage are less t=an 1$. Products had another strong day as outages in the USGC are taking their toll. APIS just came out=and show a 4M US draw, with 3.1M of that in P3. P2 built 1M and Cush built=500K. Products were quite bearish however, with gasoline building 6.9M and=Disty building 9.1M 4p> qp> Oil Vols A little unusual day in vol world today. We started =he day with vols bid through the curve as WTI broke $50 level overnight an= continued its momentum lower as NY walked in..however, vols started getti=g offered around midday and remained offered even as WTI kept making new lows.. Wings were getting sold the mos= as some traders started monetizing the skew premium, especially in low de=ta puts...seems like market is pricing in $40 floor and there are enou=h sellers for $30 puts in WTI. =/p> &=bsp; &nbs=; =nbsp; WTI (/change) &=bsp; &nb=p; BRE (/change)=/span> G15&nbs=; &=bsp; 56.30% -3.60% =nbsp; 49.70% -6.00% EFTA_R1_01379622 EFTA02373601 H15 &nbs=; =nbsp; 51.10% -1.50% =nbsp; 48.40% -2.05% M15 &nbs=; =nbsp; 46.75% -1.00% = 43.45% -0.80% Z15 &=bsp; &nbs=; 40.20% -0.60% &nbs=; 39.10% -0.15% Z16 &nbs=; &=bsp; 34.00% -0.20% &nbs=; &=bsp; 33.30% -0.50% =/P> Regards, Prateek Please=access the link for disclaimer: http://globalmarkets.db.com/new/content/3045.html &=bsp; Deutsc=e Bank External Business Conduct Standards can be found at www.DB.comhoddfrank This communication may contain confid=ntial and/or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this communication<=r> in error) please notify the sender immediately and destroy this communication. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the<=r> material in this communication is strictly forbidden. Deutsche Bank does not render legal or tax advice, and the information contained in this communication should not be regarded as such. 2 EFTA_R1_01379623 EFTA02373602