EFTA01388601.pdf
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18 October 2016
REITs
US REIT 3O16 Earnings Preview
Shopping Centers: Store closures to hit 30 internal growth,
but progress for re-tenanting more important
IFigure 53: 1-Month Shopping Center performance Figure 54:: YTD Shopping Center performance
WoolRatan Lod Rs
a.
911,
II
3..414S ••• 9 3\
• t sestets' eine,se <Pelt &tettrieiotnecit
As of 10/14/16 As of 10/14/16
Sarea 0 lint SAL Source 4/.M,. eat sK
[Figure 55: Vacancy up and rents down modestly in 3O 'Figure 56: 2016 SS NOI growth similar to 1H level
, 4%
120% I
3%
4%
"4 1 g 3%
•0%1
•1% 2%
4 ow I .2%
1%
20% 1 0%
en 00R coy FRT 10MWS) REO RAU RPT AVele.
0 0% . . . . .
•*MS • 1016 42016
temenesciswg..?wei,ett • 2016 SS NOI guidance on average at the
Teeth n Erecum Re% —VaCPecert
midpoint is —3%, implying steady results in 21-I,
• National vacancy rate was up 10bps q/q to 1O% although additional potential store closures
present downside risk.
• Effective rent growth was down relative to last O
to 1.9% y/y.
Sias Dana Ea. Sae San arch* orrwew ciao
Key Shopping Center topics/questions for the quarto:
• Development and redevelopment outlook
• Anchor and small shop retailer health
• Sports Authority releasing, downtime arid capex update
• Logans Roadhouse and Golfsmith exposure and store closures
• Outlook and thoughts on Staples/Office Depot (SPLS: DB Hold rated,
USD7.561ODP: DB Hold rated, USD3.34, both by Mike Baker)
New watchlist tenants
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 27
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0092247
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00238431
EFTA01388601
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EFTA01388601
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