Correct The Record Monday November 10, 2014 Afternoon Roundup

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*​**Correct The Record Monday November 10, 2014 Afternoon Roundup:* *Tweets:* *Correct The Record* @CorrectRecord: .@HillaryClinton <https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton> worked to pass a resolution establishing National Veterans Awareness Week #HRC365 <https://twitter.com/hashtag/HRC365?src=hash> http://1.usa.gov/1zAnC1n <http://t.co/bjnOgP5XsY>[11/10/14, 12:31 p.m. EST <https://twitter.com/CorrectRecord/status/531861612039110656>] *Correct The Record* @CorrectRecord: .@HillaryClinton <https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton>'s midterm appearances revealed theme of advancing opportunity & prosperity http://correctrecord.org/emerging-2016-themes/ … <http://t.co/zypocdTPu2> [10/10/14, 9:13 a.m. EST <https://twitter.com/CorrectRecord/status/531811900490006528>] *Headlines:* *Time: “Exclusive: Ladies Turned Out for Hillary in the Midterms” <http://time.com/3576222/hillary-clinton-poll-women-correct-the-record/>* “The group [Correct The Record], linked to Democratic Super PAC American Bridge, compiled polling data that shows Clinton delivered discernible bumps in female support to most of the candidates for whom she appeared or stumped, according to an analysis obtained exclusively by TIME.” *Washington Post blog: PostEverything: “The hollowing out of the GOP’s foreign policy bench” <http://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2014/11/10/the-hollowing-out-of-the-gops-foreign-policy-bench/>* “Sure, the GOP can try to yell ‘BENGHAZI!’ at the top of their lungs. That will please the base, but it will do little to tarnish Clinton. Indeed, even Obama’s second-term stumbles could work to Hillary’s advantage — she can hint that things hit the fan only after she left.” *Associated Press: “Midterm Results Influence 2016 Presidential Race” <http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_ELECTION_2016?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT>* “As the GOP rout became clear late on election night, would-be Democratic front-runner Hillary Rodham Clinton found herself with a ready-made foil in the Republican-led Congress that begins next year just as a few high-profile senators seized on their new status as a springboard into 2016.” *Mediaite: “GOP Already Officially Soliciting Donations to ‘Stop Hillary’ in 2016” <http://www.mediaite.com/online/gop-already-officially-soliciting-donations-to-stop-hillary-in-2016/>* “On Sunday, just five days after the midterms, the RNC sent out an email to raise money off a presumed Hillary Clinton 2016 campaign.” *Washington Times: “Angus King: Democrats have become ‘party of government itself’” <http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/nov/10/angus-king-democrats-have-become-party-of-governme/>* "Sen. Angus King, Maine independent, said Monday that one of the issues of the midterms was that the Democratic party has become the party of “government itself” — and said such a perception could pose a problem for someone like former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, the would-be Democratic frontrunner for the 2016 presidential nomination." *Wall Street Journal: “Democrats Find Themselves Short of Fresh New Faces” <http://online.wsj.com/articles/capital-journal-democrats-are-short-of-fresh-new-faces-1415642183?tesla=y&mg=reno64-wsj>* “In any case, the list of young leaders lining up behind Mrs. Clinton isn’t a long or obvious one. It’s an unusual position for a party whose core constituencies include young voters.” *Politico: “Rand’s grand plan” <http://www.politico.com/story/2014/11/rands-grand-plan-112729.html?hp=t1_r>* “In a POLITICO interview, the 51-year-old senator talked unblinkingly about the possibility of a run, and sought to draw a sharp contrast between himself and Hillary Clinton — none too subtly raising the issue of her age. At 67, she is 16 years older than he is.” *The Atlantic: “The War in Iraq Is Still Hillary Clinton's Achilles' Heel” <http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2014/11/howard-dean-pledges-his-support-to-an-iraq-war-hawk/382550/>* “I think the chances are fifty-fifty the Republicans are going to nominate a nutcase," [Howard Dean] said, "and Hillary’s the perfect foil for a Rand Paul or a Ted Cruz." *Articles:* *Time: “Exclusive: Ladies Turned Out for Hillary in the Midterms” <http://time.com/3576222/hillary-clinton-poll-women-correct-the-record/>* By Jay Newton-Small November 10, 2014, 1:17 p.m. EST [Subtitle:] Clinton's appearances on the campaign trail gave discernable bumps in female support to various Democrats, according to an analysis by Correct the Record, a pro-Hillary group In the aftermath of the Democratic shellacking, episode 2, in the 2014 midterm elections, many pointed fingers at Hillary Clinton as an electoral loser. “Somebody should ask Hillary Democrats why they got wiped out tonight. Clearly, Hillary is yesterday’s news,” Sen. Rand Paul, a Kentucky Republican and rumored 2016 presidential hopeful, said in an email to Breitbart News — just one of the many times he linked the Democratic drubbing to the party’s likeliest 2016 presidential candidate. Added another 2016 potential GOP candidate, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, “I think in many ways [Clinton] was the big loser on Tuesday because she embodies everything that is wrong with Washington,” he told NBC’s Meet the Press on Sunday. Even journalists piled on. “The loser from last night in the a 2016 context: Hillary Clinton,” said Bloomberg’s Mark Halperin. Not so fast, says pro-Clinton group Correct the Record. The group, linked to Democratic Super PAC American Bridge, compiled polling data that shows Clinton delivered discernible bumps in female support to most of the candidates for whom she appeared or stumped, according to an analysis obtained exclusively by TIME. Sen. Kay Hagan in North Carolina and Colorado’s Mark Udall both saw three percentage point bumps amongst women after Clinton appeared with them in the final weeks of campaigning, according to an analysis of polls before and after Clinton’s visit by the group. Though both Hagan and Udall lost, Clinton gave incumbent Democratic Gov. John Hickenlooper in Colorado a turbo charge: his lead amongst women nearly tripled from a 4.8% advantage a to 12% lead after Hillary’s visit, and Hickenlooper eked out a win. In New Hampshire and Illinois, incumbent Democratic Govs. Maggie Hassan and Pat Quinn both saw eight percentage point boosts, though it wasn’t enough to save Quinn. Minnesota Gov. Mark Dayton and Michigan Senate candidate Gary Peters saw their support amongst women go up five percentage points apiece after Clinton’s visits. Georgia gubernatorial hopeful Jason Carter got a 4 percentage point bump, though it didn’t help him to victory. And Sen. Mary Landrieu in Louisiana got a 2 percentage point boost, helping her beat out Bill Cassidy 42% to 41%, though she didn’t avoid a Dec. 6 run off. “Women’s support for Clinton translated to support for the candidates she backed in 2014, despite an overwhelming trend against Democrats in the election,” Correct the Record said in a statement released with the analysis, pointing to Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe’s success with female voters in 2013 after Clinton campaigned for him as further evidence of the trend. Of course, much of this support could simply be women breaking in the final month of the campaign one way or another. It’s impossible to say if Clinton was the deciding factor. And, while support amongst women who voted was boosted in each case, the number of women voting was at the lowest levels since the GOP wave of 2010, meaning that off-presidential year voters were not successfully turned out at the polls. That said, it’s clear Clinton didn’t have a negative impact on female voters, and her underlying message of women’s empowerment could remain a potent one for 2016, should she run, where women are expected to show up in larger numbers at the polls. *Washington Post blog: PostEverything: “The hollowing out of the GOP’s foreign policy bench” <http://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2014/11/10/the-hollowing-out-of-the-gops-foreign-policy-bench/>* By Daniel W. Drezner, a professor of international politics at Tufts University and a nonresident senior fellow at the Brookings Institution November 10, 2014, 8:46 a.m. EST So the dialogue in D.C. since the midterms can be boiled down to the following: REPUBLICANS: Wow, you really got thumped!! You’re in big trouble for 2016!! DEMOCRATS: But 2016 will be a presidential year which means a bigger turnout and we can take back the Senate and we’ll have Hillary and you’ll have a very difficult path to victory! REPUBLICANS: But what if Clinton stumbles like in 2008? What if she chooses not to run?! If not her, who? DEMOCRATS: LA LA LA LA LA LA LA I CAN’T HEAR YOU!!!! To understand the depths of the donkey party’s defeat, my Washington Post colleague Dan Balz has an excellent story detailing how the 2010 and 2014 midterm shellackings have badly eroded the bench strength of the Democratic Party: The past two midterm elections have been cruel to Democrats, costing them control of the House and now the Senate, and producing a cumulative wipeout in the states. The 2010 and 2014 elections saw the defeat of younger politicians — some in office, others seeking it — who might have become national leaders. As the post-Obama era nears, the Democrats’ best-known leaders in Washington are almost entirely from an older generation, from the vice presidency to most of the major leadership offices in the House and Senate. The generation-in-waiting will have to wait longer. You should absolutely read the whole thing — especially Balz’s point that this isn’t just about rising GOP politicians, but rising GOP politicians with battle-tested experience in implementing policy agendas. As Balz notes, “absent more governors, with the ability to test and refine programs, the party will have more difficulty developing fresh ideas.” Balz’s thesis about the Democrats’ thin bench is spot-on when it comes to domestic policy. Serving as a state legislator or as a governor or as a member of Congress provides invaluable real-world experience in all of the domestic policy arenas. I offer only one caveat to Balz’s argument, but it’s an important one for the GOP to consider as they approach the 2016 presidential race. The caveat is foreign policy. In that area, it’s the GOP that faces a problem The reason is simple: by 2016, the Republicans will have been out of the White House for eight years. There is simply no substitute for foreign policy or national security credentials earned while serving in State or Defense or the NSC or you get my point. Don’t get me wrong, toiling in a think tank or working in international business or even, God forbid, teaching international relations can help prepare one for conducting foreign policy. But executive branch experience is an essential and irreplaceable box to be checked off. Without it, the transition from think tank fellow to Assistant Secretary of Really Important Foreign Policy Portfolio can be rocky. Unfortunately, we’re now operating in a world where foreign policy mavens usually serve in an administration when their party is in power. And the longer one’s party is out of office, the more meager the party’s bench strength. People age out of the job they would like. The utility of prior experiences in the executive branch atrophy over time. I saw this up close and personal when I was a peon in government during George W. Bush’s transition into office from Bill Clinton. Even though it had only been eight years, and even though many of the foreign policy principals and deputies had significant executive branch experience, they were caught off guard by the ways in which the practice of foreign policy had changed in the interim. Issues they assumed were minor turned out to be more significant than they thought. The news cycle was both shortened and never stopped. The list goes on. And as rocky as that transition was, it was nothing compared to when the Democrats took over in 1992 after 12 years of not being in the White House. Ask Clinton veterans what the first two years of Clinton’s foreign policy was like, and they’ll likely respond by shuddering off the record. As I’ve noted before, the GOP did not take foreign policy seriously enough during the 2012 cycle. The good news is that there will be some solid, substantive foreign policy debates within the party as the 2016 primary season unfolds. This will be particularly true during the foreign policy speech season that we’re about to experience for the next year. But there are two warnings that the GOP will need to internalize going forward. The first is that, should Hillary Clinton be the Democratic Party nominee, the 2016 GOP nominee will start out with a foreign policy disadvantage. If you run through Liz Mair’s excellent assessment of the 2016 GOP contenders, you’ll note that “foreign policy experience” doesn’t get mentioned. Of the lot of them, the one with the most foreign policy experience is probably — wait for it — Rick Perry. Sure, the GOP can try to yell “BENGHAZI!” at the top of their lungs. That will please the base, but it will do little to tarnish Clinton. Indeed, even Obama’s second-term stumbles could work to Hillary’s advantage — she can hint that things hit the fan only after she left. The second warning is that if the GOP doesn’t win in 2016, it’s foreign policy depth will take a serious hit. Twelve years is a lifetime in foreign policy. Even diehard GOP foreign policy wonks will struggle to get up to speed if they’ve been out of the policymaking loop for more than a decade. And this all holds without bringing up the awkward fact that the last GOP president didn’t exactly distinguish himself in the foreign affairs realm. Politically, this won’t matter too much for 2016, because, lest we forget, voters don’t care all that much about foreign policy when it comes to picking their president. But when it comes to the practice of foreign policy, 2016 is a make-or-break year for the GOP. Their foreign policy mandarins know it — but I hope their candidates know it too. *Associated Press: “Midterm Results Influence 2016 Presidential Race” <http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_ELECTION_2016?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT>* By Ken Thomas and Steve Peoples November 10, 2014, 2:36 a.m. EST The 2016 presidential race was about the new Republican-controlled Congress even before the polls closed Tuesday night. As the GOP rout became clear late on election night, would-be Democratic front-runner Hillary Rodham Clinton found herself with a ready-made foil in the Republican-led Congress that begins next year just as a few high-profile senators seized on their new status as a springboard into 2016. Some Republican governors already have begun to try to distance themselves from unpopular congressional leaders in both parties. "I think governors make much better presidents than members of Congress," said Gov. Scott Walker, R-Wis., who just won his third election in four years and is contemplating a presidential bid. Republicans are facing their most unpredictable presidential primary campaign in a generation, while Clinton remains the overwhelming favorite for Democrats who are reeling from heavy losses in last week's midterm elections. Republicans successfully tied Democratic candidates to President Barack Obama at every turn, winning Senate races in Colorado, Iowa and North Carolina, usually competitive states in presidential elections. Even before polls closed, ambitious GOP began casting Democrats' struggles as a referendum on Clinton as well as Obama. "In many ways, she was the big loser on Tuesday because she embodies everything that's wrong with Washington," Walker told NBC's "Meet The Press" on Sunday, echoing the attacks of his ambitious GOP colleagues in recent days. As many as a dozen Republicans are considering presidential runs after a dominant midterm performance that many consider the first step in retaking the White House. Strategists report an early burst of activity among prospective candidates, who are taking initial steps to create super political action committees and nonprofit organizations that would allow them to begin raising campaign money even before they announce their intentions. While it wasn't technically a campaign ad, the 2016 primary season saw its first television special over the weekend. An hourlong documentary featuring retired brain surgeon Ben Carson, a conservative favorite little known on the national stage, ran in more than two dozen states Saturday and Sunday. The program, which likens Carson to former President Ronald Reagan at times, was produced by Carson's business manager, Armstrong Williams, who noted that Carson didn't pay for the nationwide run that included states such as Iowa, South Carolina and Ohio. "Make no mistake, he's seriously thinking about running," Armstrong said. Also thinking of running are at least three first-term senators who will begin next year in the Senate majority: Sens. Marco Rubio of Florida, Ted Cruz of Texas and Rand Paul of Kentucky. Some have adopted a bipartisan tone in the midterm's aftermath, although the likelihood of continued Washington gridlock poses political risks for the trio as Congress' approval ratings hover near all-time lows. "I want to get things done," Paul told The Associated Press in an interview, although he was among the first to attack Clinton last week, casting his party's midterm success as a referendum on Clinton as much as Obama. Paul planned to meet with advisers this coming week to map out his plans for the next few months. He insists he will not make a final decision about the 2016 presidential contest until next spring. "There's a lot of personal gnashing of teeth with family trying to decide if we're willing to go through this," Paul said. The primary season takes another big step forward later this month when the Republican Governors Association meets to elect a new chairman in Florida. All eyes will be on Walker, with the outgoing chairman, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, passing the reins to another ambitious governor. Advisers suggest that a run for the post may signal disinterest in a 2016 presidential run; fundraising logistics make it very difficult to do both. As governors gather in Florida, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush headlines a Washington conference for his education foundation that seems certain to draw strong 2016 buzz. GOP operatives and donors report that Bush is beginning to signal stronger interest in a presidential run, although some suggest he needs to act relatively quickly. "If he waits too long he'll start to lose his advantages, the built-in network," Republican strategist and former Minnesota Rep. Vin Weber said. "Those people are not going to wait forever." While Republicans governors could use Washington dysfunction to their advantage, a GOP-led Congress also gives Clinton an easy target if party leaders try to repeal Obama's health care law, produce budget plans that cut money for children and the elderly, or become mired in gridlock. Obama often railed against the GOP-led House in his 2012 campaign and President Bill Clinton effectively used divided government to his advantage in the 1990s. Hillary Clinton's advisers are assessing the results of the election and looking at what another campaign might entail. She appeared at nearly four dozen political events in 19 states during the fall campaign, offering a glimpse of a possible campaign message: She would be an advocate for distressed families and offer a steady hand for a government that has been paralyzed by gridlock. Clinton has said she expects to make a decision around the beginning of the year but remains under pressure to announce her intentions. Some Democrats, however, say there's little incentive for her to rush in, given her dominant role. "She has to let the dust settle. There is no reason for Hillary Clinton or any other candidate to declare their intentions anytime soon," said Donna Brazile, a longtime adviser to the Clintons. *Mediaite: “GOP Already Officially Soliciting Donations to ‘Stop Hillary’ in 2016” <http://www.mediaite.com/online/gop-already-officially-soliciting-donations-to-stop-hillary-in-2016/>* By Eddie Scarry November 10, 2014, 8:54 a.m. EST Election season never really ends when you’re on the mailing list for either the Democratic or Republican National Committee. On Sunday, just five days after the midterms, the RNC sent out an email to raise money off a presumed Hillary Clinton 2016 campaign. “The American people made a BIG statement on November 4,” reads the email. “But President Obama and Hillary Clinton aren’t listening.” It goes on to cite a report from last week that said the former secretary of state will headquarter her potential presidential campaign in New York. “The Clintons aren’t taking a minute to breathe, and we can’t either if we want to keep Hillary out of the White House,” the RNC email says. “We must have a well-stocked war chest and strong GOP support to take on – and defeat – the liberal Clinton machine.” Clinton has said she won’t make a public decision about whether she wants to run for president until after the new year. But why should the GOP wait for that? “Contribute today to stop Hillary Clinton,” reads the emails conclusion, which is hyperlinked to a donation page. *Washington Times: “Angus King: Democrats have become ‘party of government itself’” <http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/nov/10/angus-king-democrats-have-become-party-of-governme/>* By David Sherfinski November 10, 2014 Sen. Angus King, Maine independent, said Monday that one of the issues of the midterms was that the Democratic party has become the party of “government itself” — and said such a perception could pose a problem for someone like former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, the would-be Democratic frontrunner for the 2016 presidential nomination. “I think one of the subtext issues of this election was that the Democratic party has become the party of government itself,” Mr. King said on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.” “And if people don’t like the government, the party that represents the government is going to have a hard time.” “And I think that is going to be a difficulty for someone like Hillary Clinton, who has tremendous experience and background, but she’s going to have a hard time saying, ‘Oh, I’m a new person,’ ” he said. Mr. King, who caucuses with Senate Democrats, also questioned the party strategy in the U.S. Senate in the run-up to the midterms. “There’s no question that there was a strategy going up to the elections to protect vulnerable Democrats from difficult votes,” he said. “In retrospect, maybe it would have been better to let them vote, let things happen, let the president take some heat, veto some bills instead of having the Senate be the stopper, if you will.” On the other hand, he said, immigration is a big piece of legislation sitting on the desk of House Speaker John A. Boehner, Ohio Republican. “So, you know, it works both ways,” he said. “I think there’s a possibility that we’re gonna have enough moderates, if you will — I don’t like to use that word; nobody wants to be labeled a moderate — centrists, where we could have a significant influence by having enough votes sort of going both ways.” *Wall Street Journal: “Democrats Find Themselves Short of Fresh New Faces” <http://online.wsj.com/articles/capital-journal-democrats-are-short-of-fresh-new-faces-1415642183?tesla=y&mg=reno64-wsj>* By Gerald F. Seib November 10, 2014, 12:56 p.m. EST Among the many questions Democrats might ask as they ponder their course after last week’s electoral drubbing, here’s one that gets relatively little attention: Where are the party’s fresh young leaders? Even after a stunning defeat, the Democrats’ hierarchy in Congress figures to be unchanged when leaders are picked for the new year. In the House, Democrats will continue to be led by Nancy Pelosi , 74, who has been atop the Democratic caucus since 2002. The No. 2 House Democrat still will be Rep. Steny Hoyer of Maryland, age 75. In the Senate, Harry Reid , 74, will remain the party’s top dog, as he has been for a decade; he now merely moves from majority leader to minority leader. In the White House sits the still relatively young Barack Obama , 53, though, obviously, the clock is running down on his tenure. At his side sits Vice President Joe Biden , who turns 72 this month. The party’s top vote-getter on Tuesday was Gov. Jerry Brown of California, a 76-year-old political veteran who first won his current job in 1974. The runaway favorite to win the party’s presidential nomination in 2016 is, of course, Hillary Clinton , 67, who has been a fixture on the national scene for more than two decades. Indeed, one of the most puzzling questions about the Democrats is this one: If the presidential nomination doesn’t go to either Mrs. Clinton or Mr. Biden, who are the plausible younger alternatives? There isn’t a long list. Perhaps Sen. Elizabeth Warren, 65, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo , 56, or outgoing Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley, 51—though the stunning loss on Tuesday by his lieutenant governor, Anthony Brown, once seen as a potential bright new star, has tarnished the O’Malley legacy. In any case, the list of young leaders lining up behind Mrs. Clinton isn’t a long or obvious one. It’s an unusual position for a party whose core constituencies include young voters. Meanwhile, Republicans have a veritable youth movement going on by contrast. They figure to have three young senators seeking their presidential nomination in 2016— Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz , both 43, and Rand Paul , 51. Among their ranks of governors lie presidential wannabes Chris Christie , 52; Bobby Jindal , 43; and Scott Walker, 47. Prospective Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is 72 and the Republican speaker remains John Boehner , about to turn 65. But just beneath Mr. Boehner sit 49-year-old Kevin McCarthy, the majority leader, and Steve Scalise, the third-ranking Republican, also 49. Also in the inner circle is another of the so-called Young Guns of rising House GOP leaders, former vice-presidential nominee Paul Ryan , 44. To be sure, there are some highly capable younger Democrats on the scene. Sen. Mark Warner, though he barely survived his own re-election scare in Virginia last week, is a 59-year-old moderate from a key swing state, as is Colorado’s 49-year-old Michael Bennet. New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand , 47, is a rising star, as are the 40-year-old Castro twins, Joaquin, a congressman from Texas, and Julian, the former mayor of San Antonio who now is secretary of Housing and Urban Development. Rep. Chris Van Hollen, 55, the top Democrat on the Budget Committee, may be the most skillful and articulate explainer of his party’s budget and fiscal policies. And Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel, though he has been on the national scene for years, is just 54. The difficulty for such Democrats is that, to some extent, all have been eclipsed by the cast of Washington veterans above them. One problem for Democrats is that a prime breeding ground for national leaders lies in the nation’s statehouses, where governors can gain leadership experience and build a reputation that translates nationally. But Republicans now hold at least 31 of the nation’s 50 governor’s seats. (Alaska’s governor’s race remains undecided.) In particular, Democrats have been shut out of the governor’s office in some key swing states. Ohio, Michigan and Florida all could be launching pads for Democrats but are, instead, in the hands of Republican governors. So instead of young Democrats springing out of those states, they are led by Republicans John Kasich, Rick Snyder and Rick Scott, all now heading into their second terms. By contrast, Congress, mired in low esteem among voters, has been a less attractive launching pad for national prominence recently. As the ages of their congressional leaders suggests, one reality is that Democrats, once in office, often tend to stick around longer than do their Republican counterparts. And, contrary to Democrats’ reputation as an unruly bunch, they have been relatively orderly. While Republicans in Congress—particularly in the House—have provided palace intrigue and occasional insurrections against established leaders, Democrats have been the ones quietly accepting continuation of the current crop of leaders. *Politico: “Rand’s grand plan” <http://www.politico.com/story/2014/11/rands-grand-plan-112729.html?hp=t1_r>* By Mike Allen November 9, 2014, 9:58 p.m. EST Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul has made key decisions about how to launch his presidential campaign for the 2016 Republican nomination, including a plan to headquarter his effort in Louisville and opting to run for re-election to the Senate at the same time he moves forward with the national race. Coming off a midterm campaign blitz in 35 states, Paul has summoned a few dozen advisers – a mix of veterans of his father Ron Paul’s insurgent campaigns and more mainstream GOP leaders — for a closed-door summit at a Washington hotel on Wednesday to discuss his future plans. In a POLITICO interview, the 51-year-old senator talked unblinkingly about the possibility of a run, and sought to draw a sharp contrast between himself and Hillary Clinton — none too subtly raising the issue of her age. At 67, she is 16 years older than he is. “I think all the polls show if she does run, she’ll win the Democrat nomination,” he said. “But I don’t think it’s for certain. It’s a very taxing undertaking to go through. It’s a rigorous physical ordeal, I think, to be able to campaign for the presidency.” Paul, who will face a much more crowded field on the Republican side but starts out as a slight front-runner in public polls, has begun an aggressive early campaign against Clinton. In the interview, he argued that her hawkish position inside the Obama administration for military intervention in places such as Libya will stack up unfavorably against his views. “Her main Achilles’ heel is that she didn’t provide an adequate defense for our consulate in Libya,” Paul said during a trip to Georgia just before the midterms. “And also, she didn’t think through the unintended consequences of getting involved in the Libyan war. So I think you’d have an interesting dynamic, were there a [Republican] nominee that was for less intervention overseas and in the Middle East and that’s fiscally conservative. You’ve never seen that kind of combination before, and I think there’s a lot of independent voters, actually, that might be attracted to that kind of message.” Paul reiterated his long-standing assertion that he won’t officially decide about a presidential run until the spring, but his advisers have already laid out a timetable: They expect the campaign will be a “go” by mid-April, with an announcement as quickly after that as his staff can put together a fly-around to the early states. Before zeroing in on Louisville as Paul’s likely campaign headquarters, advisers reached out to veterans of 2012 Republican nominee Mitt Romney’s campaign to consult on the advisability and specific requirements of running a national campaign from outside Washington, deciding the symbolic importance of basing the campaign in his home state outweighed any concerns about easy access for Washington-based staffers and political operatives from across the country. Within the next few weeks, Paul is set to announce that he’ll run for reelection to the Senate in 2016 – a race that he is likely to run simultaneously with a presidential campaign. Kentucky has a law preventing a candidate from running for more than one office at a time, but Paul advisers believe they have found multiple ways around the restriction without changing the law or challenging it in court, including exploring changing the state’s GOP primary to a caucus. If Paul won the presidential nomination, he might focus on that race and drop the Senate campaign. That decision is not without political risk: Previous presidential candidates, including Vice President Joe Biden, have often faced criticism for running concurrent national and local campaigns. Any perception that Paul is hedging his bets could also undermine his effort to be taken seriously as a mainstream front-runner. But there’s little doubt at this point that Paul will start the presidential race as a serious Republican candidate. He is slightly ahead of former Florida governor Jeb Bush for the lead among potential GOP presidential aspirants in the Real Clear Politics average of national polls. But he has a libertarian philosophy and wariness of international activism that are at odds with the views of many in the party’s establishment. Nonetheless, he’s already built what top GOP operatives consider by far the most extensive operation of any of the party’s presidential hopefuls. He has his own advance staff housed at RAND PAC, his political action committee, which over the past five years has raised $13.6 million and spent $10.7 million, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. And he is planning to open a Silicon Valley office to add ties and presumably fundraising heft among the libertarian-minded tech crowd. Sen. Rand Paul joins in support of Sen. Mitch McConnell as they begin a multi-city campaign tour. | M. Scott Mahaskey In a development that had top Republicans buzzing, Paul was endorsed for president last week by incoming Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell — a striking turnabout just a few years after McConnell favored Paul’s opponent in Kentucky’s 2010 Republican senatorial primary. Headed into the presidential campaign, leading Paul advisers include Jesse Benton, a longtime Paul family operative, who lives in Louisville; Doug Stafford, who is considered Paul’s chief strategist and leading planner of his presidential campaign; Nate Morris, an entrepreneur who recently was named to Fortune’s “40 Under 40” list and has been a Paul door-opener in Silicon Valley and beyond; and Doug Wead, who has been helping with outreach to evangelicals. His media consultant is Rex Elsass, CEO of the Ohio-based The Strategy Group for Media. In the states with early presidential primaries and caucuses, the team includes: John Yob, a Michigan consultant and former John McCain operative who is RAND PAC’s national political director; in New Hampshire, Mike Biundo, who managed Rick Santorum’s 2012 presidential campaign; and in Iowa, Steve Grubbs and A.J. Spiker, both former chairs of the state Republican Party. His top outside foreign-policy advisers are Lorne Craner, a former assistant secretary of state for President George W. Bush; and Elise Jordan, a former speechwriter for Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice. Sergio Gor, who heads Paul’s communications team, is a social-media guru who turned a shot of Paul eating an In-N-Out cheese burger in San Francisco into the most-clicked image from one of the senator’s California swings. With help from Gor, Paul has cultivated a mischievous streak that Twitter and Facebook love: He taunted Michelle Obama last month from a Dunkin’ Donuts in New Hampshire. And on the night of the midterms, Paul had the idea for a collage of Clinton campaigning with various Democrats who had gone down – posted with the hashtag #HillarysLosers. During the recent campaign, Paul was featured in advertisements for Senate candidates in Iowa and New Hampshire, using the midterms as a dry run for his own national campaign. Despite the skepticism of the GOP establishment, he lapped the field with his extensive campaign travel, frequent media exposure, and development of a canny message designed to appeal to voting groups that have traditionally shunned the GOP, including young people and African-Americans. Scott Reed, who ran Bob Dole’s presidential campaign in 1996 and now is the U.S. Chamber of Commerce’s senior political strategist, said: “In any two-week period of this last six months, Rand Paul did more smart things to grow the party than everyone else combined. Going to Berkeley and barrios and ghettos – he’s not afraid to go where no one else wants to go.” The Chamber, which has tended to favor establishment Republicans, enlisted Paul as a campaign surrogate for the midterms after strategists realized that libertarian candidates often were siphoning 6 to 10 percent of the vote away from Republican nominees. Chamber officials liked his anti-Washington image, and the appeal to younger voters that he inherited from his dad. Still, Vin Weber, a partner at the Mercury public-strategy firm who is a longtime adviser to GOP presidential campaigns, said he sees considerable obstacles for Paul. “‘Front-runner’ implies he’s most likely to win the nomination – I don’t think that,” Weber said. “Who’s going to be a competitive candidate? Rand Paul is the surest – the capability to finance the campaign, a national network of activists, a platform to run on. He checks all those boxes better than anybody. But in compromising to make himself acceptable to the establishment, at what point does he lose those other advantages, and shed the things that make him attractive? His national base is not going to be for him if he becomes an establishment Republican.” On the trail, Paul has honed a message that emphasizes a rare area of agreement between the red and blue Americas – that Washington needs to work better. “My theory has been that we try to agree on too much and the bills are too big,” he said in the interview. “If they were more narrow — it’s like immigration. We don’t agree on 100 percent of it, but we agree on 50 percent of it. Why do we not pass 50 percent of it?” Paul, who has set the ambitious goal of raising the Republican share of the African-American vote from 6 percent in 2012 to 33 percent in 2016, met with African-American groups in Ferguson, Mo.; spoke to the National Urban League convention in July; and regularly meets with small groups of African-Americans to talk up his plans for school choice and justice reform. “Until the Republican Party becomes more diverse, we are going to struggle,” he said. Paul argues that even modest success would make his campaign transformative in the mold of FDR for the Democrats and Ronald Reagan for the Republicans. “There’s been very few people who have changed the demographics of how people voted,” he said. But one of Paul’s biggest hurdles will be convincing top Republican donors – including ardent supporters of Israel – to give him the benefit of the doubt despite his past reputation as an isolationist. He took the first steps toward that with a foreign-policy speech in October, casting his views as consistent with those of past GOP stalwarts like Dwight Eisenhower and Reagan. “It’s to define myself about foreign policy rather than have other people define me,” he said. “It’s a competitive marketplace of ideas and some people … want to knock you down.” As Paul traveled the country this year, he also held private sit-downs with rabbis and Jewish leaders in various cities. “I think we’ve spent a lot of time in the Jewish community, letting them know that our position is that we are very conscious of and supportive of our special alliance with Israel,” he said. As for Wednesday’s summit, Paul played coy. “It’s top secret — how would anybody know that?” he quipped. “Man, you can’t keep a secret in this town. … It’s getting people together to talk about how the message is resonating, whether or not we’ll win battles.” *The Atlantic: “The War in Iraq Is Still Hillary Clinton's Achilles' Heel” <http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2014/11/howard-dean-pledges-his-support-to-an-iraq-war-hawk/382550/>* By Conor Friedersdorf November 10, 2014, 8:00 a.m. EST [Subtitle:] Democrats like Howard Dean who rally around her risk looking like opportunistic hypocrites. During the 2004 election, Howard Dean said that when his Democratic rivals voted for the Iraq War, they called into question "their judgment and ability to sort out complicated issues regarding the most crucial decision any president has to make." He has argued that supporters of the war were not only wrong in their judgment about Iraq, but were also wrong to back the doctrine of preemption. "So many who supported the war now say that they are opposed to the doctrine of preemption," Dean said. "Then why did they vote for this preemptive war? I opposed the president's war on Iraq, I continue to stand against his policy of preemption, and on my first day in office I will tear up the Bush doctrine and rebuild a foreign policy consistent with American values." Dean attributes the rise of ISIS to the mistake made by proponents of invasion. "This is exactly the problem that I predicted in 2000 and 2003, that as a result of our invasion of Iraq, we were going to see a split Iraq into three parts and I said at the time al-Qaeda, but really it's of course now ISIS, was going to have a major effort in Iraq," he said. "And that's exactly what's happened. Let's not revise history." On another occasion, he argued, "We wouldn't even be in Iraq if it weren't for Democrats like Senator Kerry." So how can this erstwhile champion of the anti-war movement tout his support for just that sort of hawkish Democrat in 2016? "At this point, I'm supporting Hillary Clinton," he said last year. And he confirmed as much to Ryan Lizza in a just-published article on the Democratic frontrunner. “I think the chances are fifty-fifty the Republicans are going to nominate a nutcase," he said, "and Hillary’s the perfect foil for a Rand Paul or a Ted Cruz." (Wouldn't the perfect foil for Senator Paul have gotten the Iraq War right?) Just last summer, Dean was complaining that prominent Iraq War supporters were being invited on television to discuss foreign policy. "I don't think they're necessarily entitled to a national forum based on the gross mistakes of the past," he said. Now here he is declaring that a Democrat as hawkish as any he ran against in 2004 is entitled not just to a national forum but to the commander in chief's chair. The Democratic Party may be able to unite behind Clinton. But it can't do so without many prominent Democrats looking like opportunistic hypocrites with no convictions.