📄 Extracted Text (376 words)
GYMB 9.125% 12/1118 —94.65 (-10.5% yield) Caa3/CCC
Bottom line: Believe current yield compensates for risks. Positive free cash flow, turnaround story, buying back
bonds.
Background: Gymboree is a children's clothing retailer comprised of three main brands: Janie & Jack (comp
Neimans, Saks). Gymboree (comp GAP), and Crazy 8s (comp Old Navy, Children's Place). The company was
purchased by Bain in Oct 2010. As part of the PE firm's restructuring, the company has been expending the lower-
end value conept (Crazy 8s). The CEO was paid a bonus of $30mm upon take-out and arguably "took the eye off the
ball" letting inventories build, suffering from a spike in cotton prices, and generally missing on orders. He was
replaced in 2013 with Mark Breitbard, former GAP North America President. CEO of Gymboree effective 1/14/13.
Note: Gymboree (GYMB) debt was downgraded to Caa3 by Moodys on 12/18 (rated CCC by S&P since 2012)
following disappointing quarterly results.
Color from DB Global Markets Analyst:
Positives
• New, capable management: "Fixable problems and the right team in place to do it." Former President of GAP
North America hired in Jan13. He was responsible for turning around Baby GAP, GAP Kids and Old Navy.
Lead-time in retail is 9mos for design, limos for shipping, so now through next limos is when the "show me" story
of the turnaround plays out.
• Cash Generation: Positive FCF, no maturities until a revolver (undrawn) in 2017, then a term loan in Feb18 and
these bonds in Dec 18. Company bought back 54mm of this 400mm issue last year and we anticipate another
20-30mm bought back this year. Please see below/attached and let us know your thoughts. One-time $1mm
charge related to e-commerce glitch is behind them.
• Turnaround, "Show-Me" Story: Lower guidance already behind us, disappointing 40 priced in. Revamped,
low-end "Crazy 8" concept cap-ex to pause and begin to monetize in '14.
Risks:
• Competitive pressure, promotional environment in retail, inventory, input costs, cap-ex risk, and execution on
design.
Full report from 08 Global Markets Credit Research (12/13/13) and direct conversation with the analyst, Karru
Martinson, available. The bonds have traded in a -91-99 range over the last 12 months.
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0 107368
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00253552
EFTA01451132
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