📄 Extracted Text (328 words)
From: Vahe Stepanian/db/dbcom
To: jeevacation@gmai 1 .com,
Cc: Paul Morris/db/dbcom@DBAMERICAS
Date: 12/03/2013 10:20 AM
Subject: GBP + AAPL (C]
classification: confidential
Good Morning Jeffrey,
Hope you had a great holiday weekend. As you have likely seen, GBP is
currently at a 2 yr. high vs. USD OA —1.64; see graph below). The most recent
move up has been attributed to a rise in construction activity for a seventh
month, the fastest pace since August 2007. I recall you mentioned in our
meeting that your view is to sell GBP if it approaches 1.65.
For what it's worth, our DB analysts have a bearish view on the pound. A
recent (DB) FX note discusses reasons why it's tough to build a fundamentally
bullish case for sterling with the market pricing the first BoE hikes by
mid-2015 (well ahead of the ECB and even the Fed). We see potential for GBP to
reverse to the mid-1.50s by year-end.
With that said, we priced up a few options that I've included below - consider
selling a call, buying a put or a risk reversal. Recognize that GBP vol. is
currently relatively low (vs. historical levels).
Spot ref = 1.6397
1) Sell European GBP Call on GBP/USD
Strike: 1.67
Notional: GBP 5,988,023.95 (or —SlOmm)
Expiry: Tue 03-Jun-2014 (6m)
settlement: Thu 05-Jun-2014
Premium: USD -103,400
2) sell European GBP call on GBP/USD
Strike: 1.70
Notional: GBP 5,882,352.94 (or —510mm)
Expiry: Wed 03-Dec-2014 (12m)
Settlement: Fri 05-Dec-2014
Premium: USD -123,900
3) Buy European GBP Put on GBP/USD
Strike: 1.6376 (ATMF)
Notional: GBP 5,988,023.95 (or -410mm)
Expiry: Tue 03-Jun-2014 (6m)
Settlement: Thu 05-Jun-2014
Premium: USD 219,365.27
Also worth mentioning - AAPL has run up quite a bit in the past few days
(currently trading @ -S560; up from 4519.80 on 11/22). I know you're looking
to sell calls, will provide levels if still interested. Recall you're long 2k
AAPL @ —5529.06.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0 123108
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00269292
EFTA01461216
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