📄 Extracted Text (508 words)
22 December 2017
EM Currency Handbook 2018: Still Fuel in the Tank
Malaysia
Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) has a dual responsibility unwind 100% of their exposure via forwards. Liquidity
of conducting monetary policy and fostering financial in onshore forwards has been picking up slowly.
stability, including the FX market. The main policy
instrument is the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR).
On July 14 1997, during the Asian Financial Crisis, the
ringgit was allowed to float. After falling by about 60%, USD/MYR exchange rate
the government on September 2, 1998, announced
extensive capital controls and the country's reversion 4.4 •
to a fixed exchange rate. MYR was pegged at 3.80 to
-
the USO. Seven years later, Bank Negara announced
the end of Malaysia's peg to the US dollar within 30
38 •
minutes of China's de-pegging announcement on July
21, 2005, and reverted to a managed float. 32
Most capital account restrictions were progressively 2.8
dismantled after 2005, mostly the area of outward
investment and fund raising activity. Government 2.4
initiatives focused on boosting inward FDI and
2.0
revitalizing domestic markets. BNM announced several so es 10 16
liberalization measures, including scrapping caps on
inter-company loans, caps on FX hedging by residents,
rules governing issuance of securities onshore and USDIMYR spot rate and 3M onshore forward premium
offshore, and importantly, freeing up the currency Ms(13 Spot r 400
offshore for trade settlement. The MYR is traded in the 48 Foiward Points, RFC E 360
inter-bank market in China directly versus RMB.
4.4 1 300
After a long period of progressive liberalization, BNM 260
4.0
was forced to defend the currency over 2014.16,
drawing down reserves sharply due to broad-based
3.6
. 200
USD strength, a decline in oil prices, domestic credit [ 150
concerns, external debt liabilities, and foreign outflows. 3.2
[ 100
Authorities also began to actively discourage overseas
investment by government-linked asset managers. 2.9 1 60
12 19 14 15 16 17
In Nov 2016, after renewed USD strength and
outflows, BNM adopted stronger regulatory defense of
USD.:PAYR daily onshore FX market turnover
the MYR. Banks were reminded of the prohibition on
—FX Spot
facilitating NDFs, with many global banks attesting to 9 USD 94 1.10
—RA Fenvards a Op000t RIG
non-participation in offshore MYR trading. Liquidity in 8 1 CO
the NDF market has significantly declined. BNM has 0.90
focused efforts on deepening onshore FX markets, to 6 o80
provide hedging capacity and liquidity. Beginning 0.70
December 2016, BNM imposed a requirement on 060
exporters to convert 75% of their proceeds into MYR. 3 050
Resident and non-resident investors were given access
2 040
to a dynamic hedging facility, wherein 25% of their
1 0.30
AUM could be actively hedged and cancelled without
0 0.20
documentation. This was liberalized to 100% in May 12 13 14 15 17
2017. Corporates with MYR assets, borrowings or Scam DO Obode/Arne /9444998404
current account flows can also freely hedge and
Page 28 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0076831
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00223015
EFTA01379391
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