EFTA01388201.pdf

From: Stewart Oldfield Sent: 1/20/2017 11:57:34 AM To: Andrew King Subject: RE: Draft Language for 100 days [I] Attachments: Research List_Oldfield_7 15 16.xlsx Classification: For Internal use only From: Andrew King Sent: Friday, January 20, 2017 11:55 AM To: Stewart Oldfield Subject: Draft Language for 100 days [I] Classification: For Internal use only <Client Name> Today, as President Donald J. Trump is inaugurated into office, investors are carefully assessing the potential market impact of his policy agenda during the first 100 days of his presidency, a period traditionally considered to represent the height of a new President's political capital and influence. President-elect Trump was elected to be a disrupter, both nationally and internationally, and we expect him to do so. While global markets and Washington continue to assess how much Trump "the President" resembles Trump "the candidate," his pro growth agenda has triggered a regime change shift for both US domestic and international policy and markets. With this in mind, our colleagues in Corporate and Investment Banking, along with Frank Kelly, Head of US Government Affairs, have published an overview of the key considerations and possible outcomes of the policy and actions expected to be introduced during President Trump's first 100 days: The First 100 Days: Globalization Pushback & Market Regime Change in the Year 2017 • In Section I, Globalization Headwinds, we position Trump's election within the larger story of globalization pushback that accelerated in 2016, and remains relevant to the forward view. • In Section II, Power & Process, we introduce the important key players in the new Administration, and the constituencies that will influence their decisions. • In Section III, Policy Priorities, we communicate the immediate focus areas of Trump's ambitious agenda, and the unconventional paths that will be utilized to accomplish certain goals. As appropriate, we cast doubt on policy goals that are unlikely to be realized. • In Section IV, Comprehensive US Tax Reform, we provide a detailed analysis of the path, the math, timeline and key features for one of Trump's most important policy priorities (individual, corporate and international US tax reform). • In Section V, 2017 Outlook & Implications, we synthesize how all of the above informs DB's view of global markets in the year ahead. Please let us know if you'd like to discuss any of these themes in greater detail. CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0091636 CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00237820 EFTA01388201