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[00:00:02] [Music] [00:00:28] he [00:00:29] [Music] [00:00:36] [Music] [00:00:44] [Music] [00:01:03] oh hey there that was a different sort [00:01:06] of intro song we got coming into this um [00:01:09] don't hate it I don't know if it's [00:01:10] really appropo of the subject matter but [00:01:14] hello and welcome to state of play on [00:01:16] mint Press News the Monday geopolitical [00:01:18] news show where we look at the major [00:01:20] international news story that may have [00:01:23] missed you or you may have missed it [00:01:26] over the weekend uh and examine it from [00:01:29] a slightly military analytical [00:01:31] perspective my name is Greg stoker if [00:01:33] you're new to this channel I'm a former [00:01:35] US Army Ranger who conducted four combat [00:01:37] deployments to Afghanistan and I'm now [00:01:40] turned an anti-war activist and analyst [00:01:43] it's kind of weird that I work part-time [00:01:45] for a newsroom because my stance on [00:01:47] conflict journalism and journalists in [00:01:49] general when I was in Special Operations [00:01:51] was just like stay the hell out of our [00:01:53] way uh but you know people can do a 180 [00:01:56] uh I guess I suppose that I started to [00:01:59] radicalize [00:02:00] or what started to radicalize me into an [00:02:02] anti-war Anti-Imperialist stance and now [00:02:05] I'm having to say this all over again [00:02:07] because we're seeing what the Trump [00:02:09] Administration is trying to pull right [00:02:10] now uh I was radicalized into that [00:02:13] because I guess we have to use the term [00:02:15] radical because being anti- US military [00:02:17] intervention and anti- civilian death is [00:02:20] somehow [00:02:22] considered uh radical in terms of [00:02:25] political positions um so the thing that [00:02:28] got me was Obama's drone strike campaign [00:02:30] so let's talk about Yemen real quick [00:02:32] because that's the episode thrust and [00:02:34] when I was getting out there uh you know [00:02:38] that was Infamous there was this uh yeah [00:02:40] sorry when I was getting out of the [00:02:41] military there was this uh Infamous and [00:02:43] unjustifiable Massacre of a wedding [00:02:45] procession in Yemen uh Human Rights [00:02:48] Watch reporting as of February 19th 2024 [00:02:51] on December 12th [00:02:54] 2013 a United States aerial drone [00:02:56] launched four Hellfire missiles into a [00:02:58] convoy of 11 cars and pickup trucks [00:03:01] during a counterterrorism operation in [00:03:03] rural Yemen the strike killed at least [00:03:05] 12 men and wounded at least 15 others [00:03:07] six of them seriously Yemen authorities [00:03:10] initially described all those killed in [00:03:12] the attack outside the city of RA Rada [00:03:14] as terrorists uh bear in mind that the [00:03:17] umeni government is separate from the [00:03:18] houthis and is very much comprador to [00:03:20] Western interests especially at that [00:03:22] time anyways the US government never [00:03:25] officially uh acknowledged any role in [00:03:27] the attack but unofficially told the [00:03:29] media that the were militants and that [00:03:31] the operation Target a quote Most Wanted [00:03:33] Al-Qaeda of the Arabian Peninsula [00:03:37] operator who was wounded and escaped so [00:03:40] that's convenient Witnesses and [00:03:41] relatives of the dead and wounded [00:03:43] interviewed by Human Rights Watch in [00:03:45] yemon said the Convoy was a wedding [00:03:47] procession they said everyone in the [00:03:48] procession was a civilian including all [00:03:50] the dead and injured and the you know [00:03:52] the bride received a superficial face [00:03:54] wound and Human Rights Watch determin [00:03:56] that the dead and injured were all [00:03:57] civilians and now the US is bombing [00:04:00] again after a multi-month Hiatus when [00:04:02] the houthis in solidarity with Gaza and [00:04:05] the Israel Hamas ceasefire stopped [00:04:07] attacking Israeli ship or started uh oh [00:04:11] sorry during the ceasefire they stopped [00:04:13] attacking Israeli shipping through the [00:04:15] Gulf of Aiden sorry we just this new [00:04:17] cycle has been insane there's also been [00:04:19] some new developments aside from what we [00:04:21] like wrote on the show notes like [00:04:23] literally 20 minutes ago and now the [00:04:25] houthis have started again in response [00:04:27] to Israel breaking the terms of the [00:04:29] ceasefire and halting all humanitarian [00:04:30] Aid in a Gaza and president trump our [00:04:33] airads anti-war candidate has elected to [00:04:36] escalate air strikes into Yemen bombing [00:04:39] some of the poorest people on Earth [00:04:41] whilst burning up a ton of money on [00:04:43] obscenely expensive naval air operations [00:04:46] uh but that's America for you instead of [00:04:48] using diplomatic and economic leverage [00:04:50] to compel Israel to open the flow of Aid [00:04:53] thereby halting houthi retaliation and [00:04:56] reopening freedom of navigation for the [00:04:58] global supply chain Donald art of the [00:05:00] deal Trump is using this opportunity to [00:05:03] isolate the houthis from Iran's weakened [00:05:06] axis of resistance and force them to [00:05:08] accept more favorable terms for the US [00:05:11] in a future nuclear deal and we're going [00:05:14] to be diving into all that tonight as [00:05:16] some also some connected issues Lebanon [00:05:20] Syria border skirmishes and the ice [00:05:22] arrest of Mahmud khil and others because [00:05:26] of course they are all bound together in [00:05:29] this new iteration of the global war on [00:05:32] terror we thought we we hoped it ended [00:05:34] you know with um with the withdrawal [00:05:36] from Afghanistan but no we're we're [00:05:38] ramping it up hopefully it doesn't last [00:05:40] another 20 years under Trump there'll be [00:05:42] fewer overseas military engagements [00:05:45] knock on wood but he is no anti-war [00:05:50] leader politician instead the waging of [00:05:53] American Imperial War will turn on its [00:05:56] own citizens so welcome I know you guys [00:05:59] are still filtering to the live we are [00:06:00] on patreon here at Mid Press News we [00:06:03] have no corporate sponsors demonetized [00:06:05] on just about every platform and if [00:06:07] you're picking up what we're putting [00:06:09] down check us out on patreon and throw a [00:06:12] couple bucks if you want to again as I [00:06:14] always say if you're being suffocated [00:06:16] slowly in the throws of late stage [00:06:19] Finance capitalism if you can like share [00:06:21] subscribe comment it helps push this out [00:06:25] into the algorithm since we are heavily [00:06:27] shadowbanned at least on YouTube we'd [00:06:30] appreciate it so anyways there's the [00:06:32] plug um and now we're six minutes in got [00:06:35] some got some people watching all right [00:06:38] let's begin with the Syria Lebanon [00:06:41] border clashes the The Narrative about [00:06:43] how this all started coming from a pro- [00:06:46] Syrian journalist posted on the account [00:06:48] translating Syria uh pro- Syrian sorry [00:06:52] Syrian government journalist uh which [00:06:55] publishes videos with English captions [00:06:58] and this is a pretty Epic that sources [00:07:00] absolutely nothing if you guys aren't [00:07:01] tracking there's currently border [00:07:03] skirmishes happening between Syrian [00:07:06] forces and Lebanese Clans in the Becka [00:07:10] Valley there's some word now we're [00:07:12] getting that they've actually stopped um [00:07:15] but we're we're going to examine that [00:07:17] here in a second so how it all happened [00:07:19] this was the initial claim picked up and [00:07:21] regurgitated by Al jazer uh and qari [00:07:24] state media hostile to anything related [00:07:27] to Iran here we go [00:07:31] all right so I'm gonna have to [00:07:32] transliterate this for you the criminal [00:07:35] Lebanese Hezbollah is digging its own [00:07:38] grave group affiliated with the [00:07:40] Lebanese infiltrated Syria ambushed [00:07:42] members of the Syrian Army and kidnapped [00:07:44] them to Lebanese [00:07:49] territory killed them in a dirty [00:07:54] way they stoned them until they were [00:07:56] martyred Al jazer said they were shot [00:07:59] but ly this guy said they were Stoned by [00:08:02] heah who I have never heard of a single [00:08:05] instance of them stoning anybody but I [00:08:08] guess they're trying to make them seem [00:08:09] like radical [00:08:11] extremists may God have mercy on them [00:08:13] the criminal lesbes Hezbollah does not [00:08:15] realize that time has [00:08:18] changed and that the Syrian land has [00:08:20] become forbidden to [00:08:23] it and such a crime will never go UNP [00:08:27] and of course after this dirty crime the [00:08:28] Syrian Army sent [00:08:32] reinforcements to the Syrian Lebanese [00:08:34] border and began an intensive bombing [00:08:40] operation on the positions of Lebanese [00:08:42] Hezbollah inside Lebanese [00:08:46] territory goes on for a long [00:08:48] time which led to the outbreak of fires [00:08:50] inside these [00:08:52] positions um I've also heard that they [00:08:55] were the fires were actually not from [00:08:57] hzb positions but from HTF s tanks okay [00:09:01] so first of [00:09:02] all um hang on I got message okay in my [00:09:06] private chat so enough of that real [00:09:08] quick what we here we go guys also um Al [00:09:12] Arabia TV a Saudi back Satellite Channel [00:09:15] aired footage on Monday of its Crews as [00:09:19] they came under fire at the S Syria and [00:09:22] Lebanese border fighting erupted along [00:09:24] the border between Lebanon and Syria [00:09:26] overnight on Monday today Syrian State [00:09:28] media reported [00:09:29] after three Syrian soldiers were killed [00:09:31] earlier in clashes so we've already [00:09:33] established that here is what some out [00:09:37] uh this is what some actual Syrian [00:09:38] journalists are [00:09:41] saying so [00:09:44] appar the moment Hezbollah artillery [00:09:46] Target them let's see what they have our [00:09:48] injuries from your shells only increase [00:09:50] our resolve determination [00:09:55] and praise be to God we go nothing even [00:09:58] if we were killed [00:09:59] inen so look it's not real journalism we [00:10:02] got a lot of propaganda and a lot of he [00:10:04] said she said things uh flowing around [00:10:06] flying around but and bear with me about [00:10:09] the [00:10:10] Syria Lebanon situation because it it's [00:10:13] directly tied to uh the houthis and Iran [00:10:16] so basically breaking it down can't we [00:10:20] can't really determine exactly what [00:10:22] happened perhaps we'll never know but [00:10:23] here are some general points based off [00:10:25] Lebanese sources who have actively [00:10:27] reported on the Israeli invasion of [00:10:29] Southern Lebanon for the past year uh [00:10:32] there's definitely more of a sectarian [00:10:34] issue here so take it with a Grandin [00:10:35] assault but 10 to 12 dead Syrian [00:10:38] Fighters this morning so far uh [00:10:40] anti-tank missiles destroyed a bunch of [00:10:41] armored vehicles fighting is ongoing I [00:10:44] am hearing now that it may have stopped [00:10:46] unverified claims about two Lebanese [00:10:49] villagers being [00:10:50] beheaded we have not been able to verify [00:10:52] that no one's on the ground has said [00:10:54] anything about that there's the highly [00:10:56] suspect but there has been a military [00:10:59] uh the Lebanese Army deployed to the [00:11:01] Border then there was a military buildup [00:11:03] on the Syrian side this makes next to no [00:11:06] sense from a Syrian perspective because [00:11:07] they would just get curb stomped uh by [00:11:10] the Lebanese side especially if [00:11:11] Hezbollah is actually there and it's [00:11:13] called up to help the Lebanese Army so [00:11:15] the question is whether this was an [00:11:17] excuse to further secure the borders to [00:11:19] stop weapons smuggling that is ongoing [00:11:22] as you know stopping the supply of [00:11:23] weapons to Hezbollah is a primary [00:11:26] military objective of HTS and you know a [00:11:29] lot of journalists in uh Syria are still [00:11:31] claiming Hezbollah started it right all [00:11:33] these journalists weren't there unless [00:11:35] they are embedded with HTS troops so [00:11:38] which begs the question why were you [00:11:40] there so these clashes have been [00:11:41] happening for months by the way between [00:11:44] Clans and the Becka Valley and the [00:11:47] Syrian Fighters so HTS aligned guys [00:11:50] constantly cross the border sometimes [00:11:51] they just steal stuff and hezb isn't [00:11:53] dumb enough to engage in that being a [00:11:55] highly disciplined fighting force with [00:11:57] its own problems stuck in between Israel [00:11:59] in a hostile Lebanese government that [00:12:01] wants it gone but Al jazer and Al Arabia [00:12:04] are both claiming this so it also makes [00:12:06] no sense that you know hezb would do a [00:12:09] pointless operation especially at this [00:12:10] time the last time they kidna soldiers [00:12:12] during a crossborder operation was in [00:12:15] 2006 with Israel and they were ready for [00:12:17] it the last thing hezb wants right now [00:12:19] is another shooting fight while they're [00:12:21] still busy purging moles and [00:12:23] reorganizing literally reminds me of [00:12:25] like Zionist brain Rod so they want us [00:12:28] to believe that esbah sent their men [00:12:30] across the border to kidnap random [00:12:31] fighters from HTS gangs along the border [00:12:34] dragg them back [00:12:43] to okay sorry I had a mic issue uh drab [00:12:46] them uh yeah like whenever I hit this [00:12:48] thing it shuts off for a second uh so [00:12:51] I'll stop trying to like flail around [00:12:54] yeah uh drag them uh back to Lebanon and [00:12:56] then you know according this guy stoned [00:12:57] them to death so this is all Al jaz's [00:13:00] narrative so how would they know it's HZ [00:13:03] blaz there a video or photos like the [00:13:06] massacres on the coast I'm happy to be [00:13:08] proven wrong but I won't hold my breath [00:13:10] about that the best way is to get [00:13:11] sources from the Clans uh so from the [00:13:14] Syrian side we're still looking for [00:13:15] confirmation on what Damascus has [00:13:17] ordered won't hold my breath for that [00:13:20] either so the consensus on the ground at [00:13:23] least from the Lebanese side is that it [00:13:24] started with criminal Elements Crossing [00:13:26] into Lebanon and then getting beaten up [00:13:28] and [00:13:29] shot in the head leading to a larger [00:13:31] clash with Syrian Army elements joining [00:13:34] the fry they say only heah or they're [00:13:37] saying only Hezbollah because they want [00:13:39] to Rally their base around a battle [00:13:41] against Shia that's like all it is the [00:13:44] first group to actually kill HTS guys on [00:13:46] the border were the plfp uh pflp the [00:13:49] popular front for the liberation of [00:13:50] Palestine and that happened two months [00:13:52] ago so this has been going on for two [00:13:54] months it only just is flaring up now in [00:13:56] terms of the greater Imperial plan get [00:13:59] has blood to engage in a wider War [00:14:01] exposing them to the Israeli military [00:14:02] intervention external of the Lebanon [00:14:04] ceasefire I don't know isolating them [00:14:08] and you know stirring up stuff in [00:14:10] Lebanon amongst uh [00:14:12] minorities is going to be part of the [00:14:15] overall Imperial plan which is why [00:14:17] Israel was busting to get these guys [00:14:20] into Power they're unhinged and they [00:14:22] know they will start uh to engage in [00:14:25] massacres which will provoke Hezbollah [00:14:27] you know galani can't control his [00:14:28] militia [00:14:29] we just saw this uh today which serves [00:14:33] the Imperial Powers as that will divide [00:14:35] Syria justify military operations and [00:14:38] presence in the region and finally it [00:14:40] will provoke resistance factions into [00:14:42] action chaos is a ladder for Israel and [00:14:45] its Hunger for More land so we said this [00:14:47] weeks ago uh this will spill over into [00:14:50] Lebanon and remember last summer I [00:14:52] believe it was on the colonial Outcast [00:14:54] podcast uh we talked about how Israel [00:14:57] can't take on Hezbollah and destroy it [00:14:59] so they will find other ways to isolate [00:15:01] it starve it and make it combat [00:15:02] ineffective Heming them in between a [00:15:05] hostile government in Lebanon and an [00:15:07] extremist Sunni militia and foreign [00:15:09] fighters in Syria is something they're [00:15:11] going to do also the us is going to [00:15:14] leverage leverage reconstruction Aid [00:15:17] giving the Lebanese government [00:15:19] reconstruction Aid to rebuild [00:15:22] Beirut directly to the Lebanese [00:15:25] government to weaken hezbollah's [00:15:27] influence amongst the Civil Life of the [00:15:29] people so there this is a multi-prong [00:15:31] approach right um in Lebanon and [00:15:34] extremist Sunni militias and foreign [00:15:35] fighters in Syria will also isolate them [00:15:37] so here we go the fog of war is thick on [00:15:41] this one like even Al Arabia's reporting [00:15:43] quote the Lebanese minister of media [00:15:45] says three syrians killed yesterday were [00:15:48] Smugglers and that the Syrian government [00:15:50] should stop its attacks and communicate [00:15:52] an end to this so this war is the war is [00:15:55] far from over in Lebanon the fall of the [00:15:57] former regime in Syria was just another [00:15:59] chapter and the same applies to [00:16:01] Palestine we are just getting started so [00:16:04] here's a video of hts4 uh forces moving [00:16:07] towards the border from earlier today [00:16:09] I'm GNA play this and see if what what [00:16:13] what we're hearing right now [00:16:15] um here we go [00:16:21] [Music] [00:16:31] all right and then it looks like as of [00:16:33] this recording the Lebanese and Syrian [00:16:36] foreign ministers managed to carve out a [00:16:37] ceasefire waiting to see whether it will [00:16:40] hold or not but looks like Syrian [00:16:42] government forces are in full Retreat [00:16:46] so there we go more on that later but [00:16:50] now Yemen is kicking off and we're going [00:16:52] to connect all these things and possibly [00:16:54] Iraq yes Iraq is now back in play [00:16:58] according to Shaak news agency an Iraqi [00:17:01] Outlet Secretary of Defense Pete Heth [00:17:04] delivered a strongly worded warning to [00:17:07] Iraq's prime minister Muhammad Shia Al [00:17:09] Sudani regarding any potential support [00:17:11] by Iraq or Iraqi resistance factions for [00:17:15] military operations carried out by Yemen [00:17:19] so if they retaliate against us bases in [00:17:22] Iraq in solidarity with the houthis the [00:17:25] US is essentially going to bomb them but [00:17:28] let's build the timeline saying that [00:17:30] people are getting here our news source [00:17:34] or reporting source of choice so you [00:17:36] don't have to listen to my voice for an [00:17:37] hour straight is going to be South Asian [00:17:41] media this time uh yeah Crusader [00:17:44] Crusader cross heith Rupert Philip yeah [00:17:49] so y on news South Asia let's go houis [00:17:53] have claimed a second attack on US [00:17:55] aircraft carrier USS harus Truman and [00:17:58] it's watch ships with ballistic missiles [00:18:00] and drones in response to continued [00:18:02] American air strikes now in a televised [00:18:04] address the group's military [00:18:06] spokesperson Yaya sarya warned that it [00:18:08] would continue attacks on Israeli ships [00:18:11] in the Red Sea if Israel continue to [00:18:13] blockade into [00:18:17] Gaza Yan news does have some awkwardly [00:18:20] long pauses in between short [00:18:25] segments the Armed Forces with the help [00:18:27] of God almighty carried out a [00:18:29] qualitative military operation targeting [00:18:32] the American aircraft carrier USS Harry [00:18:34] Truman and its accompanying warships in [00:18:37] the northern Red Sea using 18 ballistic [00:18:40] and cruise missiles and drones in a [00:18:42] joint operation carried out by the [00:18:44] missile Force drone Air Force and the [00:18:46] naval [00:18:50] forces and in a televised address HTI [00:18:52] leader Abdul Malik Al huti warned that [00:18:55] the group would continue to Target [00:18:57] American warships craft carriers and [00:18:59] Naval Assets in the Red [00:19:04] Sea the yemeni Armed Forces will not [00:19:07] hesitate to Target All American warships [00:19:09] in the Red Sea and in the Arabian Sea in [00:19:11] retaliation to the aggression against [00:19:13] our [00:19:21] [Music] [00:19:24] country meanwhile US National Security [00:19:27] adviser Mike walz has said that the [00:19:29] American air strikes targeted multiple [00:19:31] huti leaders and took them out in an [00:19:34] interview to ABC wal said that the [00:19:36] current strikes were different than [00:19:38] those carried out under the Biden [00:19:44] Administration sorry as you can see from [00:19:46] the battle damage these were way more [00:19:48] aggressive strikes uh [00:19:51] and and a different Target set than what [00:19:54] Biden was doing Biden was hitting radar [00:19:56] sites and launch sites now uh they're [00:19:59] actually seemingly hitting people in [00:20:02] homes and civilian structures so the [00:20:04] deception the hypocrisy the outright [00:20:07] misinformation here is maddening from us [00:20:09] officials you know I don't think the US [00:20:10] will relent in the immediate future on [00:20:13] Yemen basically what we can expect is I [00:20:16] can see them sending a coordinated [00:20:18] strike package every night see how the [00:20:21] houthis respond like hit 10 targets uh [00:20:24] and then see what the response is and [00:20:27] then send out another strike pack the [00:20:29] next night another 10 targets and build [00:20:33] an operational Tempo that doesn't relent [00:20:37] see how the uh houth respond rinse and [00:20:40] repeat until Trump's demands are met [00:20:44] they can't destroy the houthis with an [00:20:45] air campaign but they hope to get them [00:20:48] to stop acting against Israeli [00:20:49] oppression and blocking shipping and [00:20:51] solidarity with Palestine right they [00:20:53] also are intent on destroying the houthi [00:20:56] supply line to Iran because the houthis [00:20:59] do need the supply line to run it and [00:21:01] Biden really didn't do much to assault [00:21:03] the the uh the supply line from the [00:21:06] houthis to around because houthis don't [00:21:08] really have a really developed uh [00:21:10] electronics Industry or an avionics [00:21:12] industry so a lot of their stuff their [00:21:15] specialty parts do not come from Yemen [00:21:19] so I think there's going to be a [00:21:20] concerted assault to destroy the supply [00:21:23] line piece by piece going up the chain [00:21:25] until it's no longer feasible we'll see [00:21:28] if that can happen uh well I think then [00:21:31] the if they're really going to try for [00:21:32] that they'll probably send more ships to [00:21:34] the Gulf of Aiden and start patrols [00:21:38] around the Arabian Peninsula like heavy [00:21:41] uh Patrols in force around the Arabian [00:21:43] Peninsula uh Peninsula [00:21:46] so yeah they also intend to do that in [00:21:49] the late morning of March 17th today [00:21:53] Trump posted this to his truth social [00:21:57] and guys [00:22:00] I [00:22:02] I am a member of Truth social I read [00:22:06] this stuff so you don't have to you're [00:22:08] welcome this is where he posts most of [00:22:10] his unhinged stuff he's way more [00:22:13] reasonable if reasonable can be a word [00:22:16] applied to president Trump on X but this [00:22:21] is where he he goes on his rants so let [00:22:24] me take a drink of water before I do [00:22:26] this all right Donald J Trump posted [00:22:30] today let nobody be fooled hundreds of [00:22:33] attacks being made by the houthi the [00:22:36] Sinister mobsters and thugs based in [00:22:39] Yemen who are hated by the yemeni people [00:22:42] all emanate from and are created by Iran [00:22:45] all caps any further attack or [00:22:47] retaliation by the houthis will be met [00:22:50] with great force and there is no [00:22:51] guarantee that that force will not will [00:22:53] stop there Iran has played quote the [00:22:56] innocent victim unquote of Rogue [00:22:59] terrorists from which they've lost [00:23:00] control but they haven't lost control oh [00:23:04] my God they're dictating every move [00:23:07] giving them the weapons supplying them [00:23:08] with money and highly sophisticated [00:23:10] military equipment and even so-called [00:23:13] intelligence every shot fired by the [00:23:15] houthis will be looked upon from this [00:23:18] point forward as being a shot fired from [00:23:21] the weapons and Leadership of Iran and [00:23:23] Iran will be held responsible and suffer [00:23:26] the consequences and those conse quences [00:23:28] will be dire Donald J Trump president of [00:23:32] the United [00:23:34] States of [00:23:36] America there you go [00:23:39] um yeah so he's trying to frame any [00:23:43] originally Grassroots resistance [00:23:44] movements to Imperial plans in the [00:23:46] region as all emanating from Iran from [00:23:49] Hezbollah to the houthis to the pmu the [00:23:52] popular mobilization units in Iraq so [00:23:54] his maximum pressure campaign against [00:23:57] Iran has begun with sustained bombings [00:23:59] of houthi leadership a ton of collateral [00:24:02] damage on those and with ramped up [00:24:04] sanctions and diplomatic pressure [00:24:06] against an ostensible Ally like the [00:24:08] Iraqi government demanding that it [00:24:10] reduce its ties with Iran so threatening [00:24:14] we're talking to Syria we're heavily [00:24:17] influencing the Lebanese government [00:24:19] Jordan's already normalized with Israel [00:24:22] and plus Jordan is our comp main comador [00:24:26] State Israel's not going to do anything [00:24:28] so yes they really want to get uh Yemen [00:24:30] under control as well so you know in [00:24:34] Iraq has an Insurgent problem at least [00:24:37] Insurgent to us interest so yes uh we're [00:24:40] threatening Iraq with sanctions and [00:24:42] stuff like that now let me let me pull [00:24:45] up something real [00:24:47] quick yeah so anyways I'm just GNA play [00:24:50] that so you you 0 ADHD people have [00:24:53] something to look at so Trump re [00:24:56] actually you know he revoked a us [00:24:58] sanction waiver allowing the Iraqi [00:25:00] government to import electricity from [00:25:03] Iran a state department spokesperson [00:25:05] actually announced on March 8th so yeah [00:25:09] uh Iraq you know does we don't want them [00:25:13] importing electricity from Iran uh with [00:25:15] the Secretary of Defense Pete Heth you [00:25:18] know he delivered a strongly warded [00:25:20] warning right we've already established [00:25:22] that to the Prime Minister again [00:25:24] Muhammad Shia Al Sudani no more support [00:25:27] for uh Iraqi resistance factions for [00:25:29] military operations carried out by Yemen [00:25:32] so Heth informed Sudani that any [00:25:35] interference by Iraqi Armed Forces [00:25:37] regarding the US targeting of the [00:25:38] houthis in Yemen would prompt Washington [00:25:41] to launch a swift military response [00:25:43] against those factions inside of Iraq [00:25:46] and therefore we must be prevented from [00:25:49] any interference as happened previously [00:25:51] in the wars in Lebanon and Gaza you know [00:25:54] sources um from Al shafik uh told the [00:25:57] agency on March uh 17th so yeah totally [00:26:02] anti-war this whole response we're [00:26:03] hoping all of this is Bluster but it [00:26:05] usually is with Trump you know but [00:26:08] there's a lot going on here and it's all [00:26:10] about getting more favorable terms with [00:26:12] Iran and a nuclear deal one isolating [00:26:15] resistance groups from each other two [00:26:18] isolating Iran from other Regional [00:26:20] powers and China three and making sure [00:26:23] that it can't interfere with the very [00:26:26] Equitable [00:26:27] relationship or Equitable situation from [00:26:30] a US Israel perspective in Syria ever [00:26:35] again and also the the United States [00:26:38] wants to flip the entire [00:26:41] region um into normalization with a [00:26:46] broadspectrum unilateral Abraham Accords [00:26:49] which we'll get into here in a second so [00:26:52] Washington has for years been trying to [00:26:55] get Baghdad depression militias like kab [00:26:57] Hezbollah in Iraq to disarm but the [00:27:00] popular mobilization forces have [00:27:01] repeated time and again that they will [00:27:03] only only hypothetically do so if the [00:27:06] presence of the US military in Iraq [00:27:08] would finally withdraw and talks between [00:27:11] the US and Iraqi government on an end to [00:27:14] the combat role of the International [00:27:17] Convention or Coalition led by [00:27:19] Washington remember there's still [00:27:20] Coalition forces from the Iraq war in [00:27:23] Iraq which you know they were meant to [00:27:26] include some sort of withdrawal well the [00:27:28] withdrawals have continually with uh [00:27:31] stalled and the US is insisting that [00:27:33] they will not end their counter Isis [00:27:36] operations in Iraq while the threat [00:27:38] still uh exists so St mate in Iraq and [00:27:41] continued pressure to isolate uh from [00:27:43] Iran you know the militias aren't going [00:27:46] to disarm until the US leaves and the US [00:27:49] isn't going to leave so the militias are [00:27:50] still going to be there so um you know [00:27:52] all part of this trust uh thrust for an [00:27:57] advantageous nuclear deal ostensibly but [00:27:59] it's part of a greater episode to flip [00:28:02] the Middle East as I mentioned earlier [00:28:05] so um let's look at the big picture here [00:28:11] y'all um one sec sorry got a lot of tabs [00:28:21] open one sec my bad guys whoops all [00:28:26] right now [00:28:29] now the big picture here is Trump sent a [00:28:33] letter to Iran's supreme leader uh alii [00:28:37] last week last Wednesday I believe [00:28:40] proposing negotiations on a new nuclear [00:28:42] deal uh us officials have said that [00:28:44] Trump wants any such deal to include [00:28:46] limitations on Iran's support for [00:28:49] regional Terror groups and militias you [00:28:51] know like the houthis uh and of course [00:28:55] Ki called Trump's Outreach a deception [00:28:58] stressed Iran is not going to agree to [00:29:00] any limitations on its relationships [00:29:03] with groups in the region because again [00:29:05] these groups in the region are the only [00:29:07] way they protect themselves from us [00:29:10] Imperial interests now they didn't exist [00:29:13] before the Iraq War you know the Iranian [00:29:16] government wasn't about to cry that [00:29:18] Saddam Hussein got overthrown but they [00:29:20] knew that they were next on the CH [00:29:22] chopping block so they started to fund [00:29:24] these militias to tie down the United [00:29:26] States everywhere West Asia that wasn't [00:29:29] the Iranian Heartland [00:29:32] so they feel like from a defense and a [00:29:35] national security stance that they can't [00:29:38] end their relations with other groups in [00:29:41] the region so yeah that's a non-starter [00:29:43] for them Trump has also said if Iran [00:29:46] won't agree to a deal the US will pursue [00:29:49] other options if needed to ensure Tran [00:29:51] isn't able to develop a nuclear bomb [00:29:54] this is not all about the nuclear deal [00:29:56] we're we're going to talk about that in [00:29:57] a minute but [00:29:59] Waltz Waltz said on Sunday that Iran [00:30:03] needs to hand over and give up all [00:30:04] elements of its nuclear program [00:30:07] including missiles weaponization and [00:30:09] enrichment of uranium or they face a [00:30:11] whole series of other consequences [00:30:12] adding that Iran has been offered a way [00:30:14] out of this and Trump abandoned if you [00:30:16] recall the 2015 nuclear deal that [00:30:19] imposed limitations and inspections on [00:30:21] Iran's nuclear program during his first [00:30:24] term you know he's always been on one [00:30:26] about the nuclear program so but what is [00:30:30] this y'all how many people in the west [00:30:33] don't want or sorry most people let me [00:30:36] reframe that most people in the west [00:30:38] don't want a nuclear Iran right and no [00:30:40] one more so than Israel which has [00:30:43] completely bought and paid for president [00:30:44] Trump 10 million from Miriam Adon but [00:30:47] he's supposed to be a dealmaker the [00:30:50] anti-war candidate in order to solve the [00:30:52] houthi problem the US would simply have [00:30:56] to force is is to abide by its own terms [00:31:02] right in Washington's own terms and [00:31:06] resume the flow of Aid into Gaza and [00:31:09] resume negotiations towards the second [00:31:11] stage of a ceasefire the far right [00:31:13] Israeli government and Associated [00:31:15] population would never agree to that [00:31:17] however I'd say that the [00:31:19] dog uh was being wagged by the tail on [00:31:23] this you know Israel is being the tail [00:31:25] or Colony wagging the dog the actual [00:31:27] Empire [00:31:28] but this is part of the US's entire West [00:31:31] Asia strategy and the Iran situation is [00:31:34] connected what with what's going on in [00:31:36] Lebanon so this is like I'm gonna spend [00:31:38] the next half of the next segment [00:31:40] talking about how it's not the tail [00:31:42] wagging the dog it's just the dog so if [00:31:46] that makes sense so the US has escalated [00:31:50] its military economic and political [00:31:52] intervention in Lebanon right so we've [00:31:54] got the escalating [00:31:56] strikes in [00:31:58] Yemen um revamping sanctions on Iran and [00:32:05] escalating its political economic [00:32:07] involvement in Lebanon right so let's [00:32:10] Bear all these and and sanctioning Iraq [00:32:13] so let's Bear all and threatening Iraq [00:32:15] so let's Bear all this in mind that [00:32:17] we've got a new era of force Biden was [00:32:20] not this forceful right so sorry I don't [00:32:24] have any other video pulled up so you [00:32:25] guys just keep watching keep watching [00:32:27] that [00:32:30] uh the US has escalated its military [00:32:32] economic and political intervention in [00:32:35] Lebanon fully backing Israel's war on [00:32:37] Hezbollah right while pushing the [00:32:39] country's total disarmament right uh in [00:32:42] such an aggressive manner that risks [00:32:44] dragging Lebanon into collapse Civil War [00:32:47] or force normalization with Israel right [00:32:50] now this is about Lebanon this [00:32:53] trajectory ultimately led to the [00:32:55] collapse of former Syrian president ass [00:32:57] od's government and the Takeover of [00:32:59] Damascus by the militant faction HTS [00:33:03] effectively eliminating Iran and [00:33:05] Russia's influence in West Asia for the [00:33:08] most part you know hezb is cut off the [00:33:11] houthis are doing their own thing but [00:33:13] that's and you know the pmu units in [00:33:16] Iraq popular militarization units [00:33:19] they're not that they're not that [00:33:20] powerful um so I mean there still exist [00:33:24] and they can still cause a lot of damage [00:33:26] to us bases but [00:33:28] yeah ended their influence so by [00:33:30] contrast the previous Democratic [00:33:32] Administration the Biden [00:33:34] administration had at least attempted to [00:33:36] maintain the facade of balance by [00:33:39] criticizing settlement expansion in the [00:33:41] West Bank be like hey guys we're going [00:33:43] to sanction five of your biggest psychos [00:33:45] but then also like just kidding not [00:33:48] going to sanction them and pressuring [00:33:49] Tel Aviv to allow Aid into Palestinian [00:33:52] territories right the Trump [00:33:53] Administration obviously has no [00:33:56] intention of walking back its [00:33:58] full-fledged support of Israeli [00:34:02] aggression in Lebanon in fact it's in [00:34:04] full throat its support of it so this [00:34:06] entire Trump Administration and his [00:34:07] officials in the region view Lebanon [00:34:10] through the lands of Israel it is a [00:34:15] battlefield country from which it plans [00:34:18] to deliver a final conclusive defeat to [00:34:21] Iran and the axis of resistance and he [00:34:23] wants to settle all this West Asian [00:34:26] anti- uh Israel conflict and expand the [00:34:30] Abraham Accords to Saudi [00:34:33] Arabia Lebanon Syria and Iraq uh by and [00:34:39] what that means is right you all recall [00:34:41] the Abraham Accords are a bilateral [00:34:44] agreements in Arab Israeli normalization [00:34:47] signed between Israel the UAE and [00:34:51] Bahrain on September 15 in 2020 right [00:34:55] that was one of the big diplomatic HS of [00:34:58] his entire thing of his entire [00:35:00] presidency so [00:35:03] um yeah and as part of the two [00:35:05] agreements both the Emirates and this is [00:35:08] this is the main thing both the Emirates [00:35:10] and Bahrain recognized Israel's [00:35:12] sovereignty enabling the establishment [00:35:15] of full diplomatic relations right [00:35:17] Israel's initial agreement with the [00:35:18] Emirates marked the first instance of [00:35:21] Israel establishing diplomatic [00:35:24] relationships with an Arab count since [00:35:27] 19 [00:35:28] 94 when the Israel Jordan peace treaty [00:35:31] came into effect yeah so there's already [00:35:33] been some normalization now that Syria's [00:35:35] flipped I'm very sure and we can bet on [00:35:38] it that the HTS government is gonna [00:35:40] normalize with Israel wonder why [00:35:44] so he wants the entire Levant and Gulf [00:35:48] world to normalize with Israel so there [00:35:51] is nothing to threaten it or us [00:35:53] interests in the region and this is [00:35:54] where China's going to come in from this [00:35:56] perspective Syria is secure so this is [00:36:01] all part of a u a broader strategy that [00:36:05] involves defeating Russian involvement [00:36:08] in West Asia which is already [00:36:10] effectively done while also deescalate [00:36:13] tensions with Russia because we're no [00:36:16] longer in Conflict we want to pull [00:36:19] Russia away from China too late for that [00:36:23] probably um isolate Iran from Russia [00:36:27] because russan will no longer need its [00:36:28] drones if they're not fighting anymore [00:36:30] and no longer need to have such a big [00:36:32] defense relationship with Iran uh and [00:36:35] focus on countering China his main [00:36:38] Obsession I mean he says it all the time [00:36:40] countering China is Trump's main [00:36:42] Obsession so if Iran collapses so too [00:36:45] does a foundational pillar of the belt [00:36:48] and Road initiative China's main soft [00:36:51] power influencer throughout the world [00:36:54] okay if this Global infrastructure of [00:36:57] the belt Road initiative uh project [00:37:00] collapses or is set back by no longer [00:37:03] having access to the Silk Road as it [00:37:05] were you know if if Iran were to [00:37:08] collapse and a new government would were [00:37:10] to take form and be supportive to the [00:37:13] west and you know the CIA can get on get [00:37:15] in on in there and establish the new uh [00:37:19] government and whatever even if the [00:37:21] country was in complete turmoil they [00:37:24] still couldn't you know continue plans [00:37:26] for the belt and Road initiatives and [00:37:27] they could uh in the same way so if this [00:37:29] Global infrastructure project collapses [00:37:31] or set back by no longer having access [00:37:34] to as I mentioned this the traditional [00:37:35] Silk Road as it were it will give a lot [00:37:39] more viability to the imch um the India [00:37:44] middle east Europe economic Corridor you [00:37:48] know which is a planned economic [00:37:50] Corridor that aims to bolster Economic [00:37:52] Development by fostering connectivity [00:37:55] and economic integration between Asia [00:37:58] the Persian Gulf and Europe that's the [00:38:00] sales pitch line it [00:38:03] um sounds a lot like the Belton Road [00:38:05] initiative except it's more predatory [00:38:07] and uh what it really is is a USD [00:38:09] designed route that relies on Israel as [00:38:12] a crucial link between the East and the [00:38:16] West [00:38:18] so who was standing in the way Assad was [00:38:21] never really an axis of resistance [00:38:23] person but he allowed the weapons and [00:38:25] intelligence to flow uh that's gone [00:38:28] Hamas is isolated in Gaza as they always [00:38:30] have been Hezbollah will take years to [00:38:32] recover the pmu in Iraq is still in play [00:38:35] but wary it you know it's just really [00:38:37] the houthis and Iran the only thing [00:38:40] standing in the way for an entire [00:38:41] Regional flip to normalization that's [00:38:43] what they are at this point so he's uh [00:38:46] conflating Hamas with the houthis and [00:38:50] Iran completely and Manufacturing [00:38:52] consent for war and direct intervention [00:38:57] and it's worth noting y'all that [00:39:01] um yeah there's still some hold out in [00:39:04] Lebanon there's still some holdouts in [00:39:06] Yemen isolating Iran drawing them away [00:39:09] and you know being able to uh basically [00:39:14] have his way in terms of US foreign [00:39:16] policy with the Middle East get that [00:39:18] into a stable position GE strategically [00:39:22] shift away from Russia Ukraine from West [00:39:25] Asia and then Focus squarely on China [00:39:30] and weakening Iran isolating Iran is a [00:39:34] huge part of that so this is where we're [00:39:36] going to see US foreign policy really [00:39:38] focus on again us is happy with this [00:39:42] situation in Syria um they're eventually [00:39:45] going to normalize then it's [00:39:48] Lebanon and then it's [00:39:52] um then is hope from their perspective [00:39:55] hopefully Iran so I don't I don't think [00:39:57] there's any intention of like defeating [00:39:58] the houthis they just want to get them [00:40:00] to stop you know Pete hex has said this [00:40:03] was this was not about anything else [00:40:05] besides uh freedom freedom of [00:40:08] navigation so as long as you know the [00:40:11] houthis aren't really involved and Iran [00:40:13] backs off if they can get that to happen [00:40:15] that's fine expanded Abraham Accords [00:40:18] across the Middle East so with Lebanon [00:40:20] and this brings us back to the Border [00:40:22] clashes uh because [00:40:24] HTS is going to still I I be pretty [00:40:29] antagonistic let's talk about what the [00:40:31] US is doing in Lebanon so on the [00:40:33] political front you know they're [00:40:36] reshaping lebanon's like internal Power [00:40:39] Balance through multiple initiatives [00:40:42] right uh Amos hin remember him he's a [00:40:45] special Envoy to a Lebanon former IDF [00:40:47] Soldier and the current US ambassador [00:40:50] Lisa Johnson played a direct role in [00:40:53] securing the elections of Lebanese [00:40:55] President Joseph aen and prime minister [00:40:58] naah Salam something confirmed by at [00:41:01] this point several Lebanese MPS and [00:41:04] pro-american journalists and Beirut they [00:41:06] wanted these guys in there um but it's [00:41:08] only the beginning so that was under the [00:41:11] ided administration and you see each [00:41:14] Administration even though Trump's [00:41:16] supposed to be anti swamp and [00:41:17] anti-establishment they're bringing [00:41:19] forward moving the ball forward yard [00:41:22] after yard on these longstanding [00:41:25] geostrategic goals of the US Imperial [00:41:28] State that's what they're doing so yes [00:41:30] they set up the internal the Biden [00:41:32] Administration set up the internal [00:41:33] politics uh they they got MPS elected [00:41:36] that they they liked they interfered in [00:41:39] the election but this is only the [00:41:40] beginning you know their deeper us [00:41:43] involvement why am I getting a call [00:41:45] right now go away um but it's only the [00:41:47] beginning new Us in involvement you know [00:41:52] into selecting even security uh [00:41:54] ministers and security Chiefs and [00:41:56] blocking has [00:41:57] linked figures from positions of in [00:42:00] state institutions I think the the the [00:42:02] biggest example of like how involved the [00:42:05] US is now become and this is a policy [00:42:08] shift from what it was 10 years ago in [00:42:10] internal Lebanese politics is because [00:42:12] they're building that monstrosity of a [00:42:15] US Embassy right [00:42:18] um it's there's [00:42:20] something I'm just going to pull it up [00:42:22] new US [00:42:24] Embassy Bay rout [00:42:28] there's something Monumental about this [00:42:31] thing um it's a statement of political [00:42:34] will that the US now has look at this [00:42:38] thing why does it need to be this [00:42:41] big like this is going to be the like [00:42:43] one of the biggest United States [00:42:45] intelligence hubs in all of West Asia if [00:42:49] not the biggest well you think you need [00:42:51] a diplomatic staff for that no they are [00:42:54] building this thing as a statement of [00:42:56] political will they're going to [00:42:57] control um basically Lebanon politically [00:43:01] and it's going to be a completely [00:43:02] comprador [00:43:03] state so yeah installing [00:43:08] MPS [00:43:11] um yeah installing MPS building [00:43:16] megalithic [00:43:17] structures and in uh dealing with like [00:43:21] installing their own security people or [00:43:23] sympathetic security people and you know [00:43:26] the us and Saudi Arabia also tried [00:43:29] pressuring you know the government to [00:43:31] exclude Hezbollah allies from [00:43:32] ministerial posts that was a whole thing [00:43:34] if you paid attention to the Le last [00:43:36] Lebanese election cycle and now we're [00:43:40] trying to secure strategic appointments [00:43:42] in Lebanon you know particularly in the [00:43:44] Judiciary uh you [00:43:47] know key business figures so [00:43:51] ultimately again and I mentioned this [00:43:53] and the last initiative of their [00:43:55] political plan is to Leverage postwar [00:43:58] reconstruction efforts to pressure the [00:44:01] Lebanese public and distancing itself [00:44:03] from Hezbollah and making it clear that [00:44:06] continued allegiance to those parties [00:44:07] will come at a cost [00:44:10] um yeah so this strategy also aims [00:44:14] because there's in 2026 there's [00:44:17] parliamentary elections and I think [00:44:20] they're going to leverage Aid in order [00:44:22] to reduce hezbollah's uh electoral [00:44:25] support so long-term political strategy [00:44:28] to isolate and choke out Hezbollah [00:44:31] politically materially and economically [00:44:33] in Lebanon and turn Lebanon into a [00:44:36] completely proel avivian [00:44:39] State then in the houthis there's not as [00:44:42] much you can do politically like that so [00:44:45] we're just gonna bomb them uh until they [00:44:47] give up maybe they will maybe they won't [00:44:50] but uh [00:44:52] there's it's an aircraft [00:44:54] carrier and now they're actually [00:44:56] striking individuals and now they're [00:44:58] actually killing [00:45:00] civilians my God and isolating [00:45:04] Iran uh getting Iraq to pull away from [00:45:09] Iran combating China's influence within [00:45:12] the region by hopefully disrupting their [00:45:14] belt Belton Road [00:45:16] initiative building uh towards the [00:45:21] imech you know our challenge to the back [00:45:24] belt and Road initiative that's way [00:45:26] behind [00:45:27] what China is now give us some time to [00:45:29] work on that and yeah just continue a [00:45:33] 20year foreign policy plan to confront [00:45:37] China so yeah Trump's not the anti-war [00:45:39] candidate he's just moving the ball [00:45:41] forward in a different way than Biden [00:45:43] did and I think it might be more [00:45:47] effective I don't know just like Brute [00:45:49] Force like end of Empire like no no more [00:45:52] diplomacy left just just hard power [00:45:55] which is failing but it's still [00:45:57] significant so I think that's what we're [00:45:59] looking like under Trump you know Biden [00:46:01] did similar things just less effectively [00:46:03] and with more decorum but you know the [00:46:06] mask is off now about you know after [00:46:08] funding a genocide for so long uh [00:46:10] everybody knows what the US is so why [00:46:12] even try to hide it we're also doing [00:46:14] really stupid things like cutting [00:46:17] usaid from an imperial perspective [00:46:19] cutting usaid Voice of America Radio [00:46:21] free Europe all these things that [00:46:24] contribute to our soft power just [00:46:26] getting rid of them uh to save 0.1% of [00:46:29] the budget I don't know it's it's [00:46:32] everything's so confused in terms of [00:46:33] this foreign policy [00:46:35] um yeah and that's kind of what we're [00:46:37] looking at so I hope this was helpful [00:46:41] Bas big big takeaways from what we can [00:46:44] because it's full of Bluster what we can [00:46:48] expect from Trump's foreign [00:46:50] policy a lot of it's the same as it was [00:46:53] especially with Lebanon flipping the [00:46:55] Middle East expanding the Abraham [00:46:59] Accords to the entirety of all the [00:47:00] Levant and Gulf States so Israel is [00:47:03] secure forever and then there's not a [00:47:05] lot of instability so they can come in [00:47:07] with the iMac quter cut off China's [00:47:10] influence and then confront China in the [00:47:13] East [00:47:15] so yep and then in the meantime he's not [00:47:18] going to be an anti-war candidate at all [00:47:21] um he's going to intensify strikes in [00:47:23] Yemen and he's going to turn the War [00:47:26] Machine [00:47:27] I think by by the end of his term or at [00:47:29] least going to try to or at least set [00:47:31] the precedent for someone else to who [00:47:32] comes after him to set the war machine [00:47:35] on American citizens themself [00:47:40] so yeah fun times that's what the whole [00:47:43] bomb and Yemen thing is all about and [00:47:45] again he's trying to conflate houthis [00:47:47] inextricably with Iran so the houthis [00:47:49] are attacking us ships ERG go Iran's [00:47:52] attacking us ships so boom manufacturing [00:47:55] consent for direct action upon the [00:47:59] Iranian Homeland [00:48:04] so okay well [00:48:08] cool let's do some questions [00:48:13] then okay so Bliss 44 by the way I think [00:48:17] I think you posted this at the beginning [00:48:19] of the episode he also bombs Somalia [00:48:22] within two weeks of his presidency that [00:48:25] is on top of bombing Yemen and cleaning [00:48:28] Z shoes could Trump be a bigger fraud I [00:48:31] think not he's a reality TV show star [00:48:34] and a real estate developer and a con [00:48:36] man so is Elon Musk so if you're not in [00:48:40] the cult of personality you see it but [00:48:42] if you're you're in the cult of [00:48:44] personality I don't [00:48:48] know uh so help me did I say just say [00:48:51] Zionist brain rot yeah yeah I did [00:48:54] because it's just the cognitive [00:48:56] dissonance I don't know I feel [00:48:59] like would rush your brain [00:49:02] anyways all right jack you can bet the [00:49:04] IDF is directing HTS the settlers want [00:49:08] that Coastline and they are using 8200 [00:49:12] software to track and [00:49:14] eliminate entire families yeah well [00:49:17] there's a number of things they could be [00:49:19] doing I defin they directly control hgs [00:49:22] that'd be insane um that's just my [00:49:25] personal take it's more like like [00:49:28] there's some understanding you know our [00:49:29] security people have talked to your [00:49:31] security people it's like hey don't [00:49:32] attack us we're not going to actually [00:49:34] like bomb you we're gonna take this much [00:49:37] land you keep doing what you [00:49:39] want and then you won't have to get the [00:49:41] stick um you know the HTS can't confront [00:49:45] Israel they [00:49:46] can't there are a bunch of guys in Hues [00:49:49] with no air support with no tunnels you [00:49:51] know that Hezbollah and Hamas used to [00:49:53] stay safe from Air superiority and [00:49:56] artillery fires so even if they wanted [00:49:59] to they couldn't so I guess even in the [00:50:02] most charitable interpretation of what's [00:50:04] going on they're they're gonna cave to [00:50:06] Israeli military hard power no matter [00:50:09] what so and you say they want the [00:50:12] settlers want that [00:50:14] Coastline yeah they do want the [00:50:16] coastline um so if they're able to [00:50:20] isolate and get uh you know certain [00:50:22] minorities within it uh persecuted by [00:50:25] the HTS government that would give them [00:50:27] more excuse to go in and be like the S [00:50:29] the saviors saving uh saving minorities [00:50:31] from Arab or from the dirty murderous [00:50:34] Arabs and you know Jelani is kind of [00:50:37] smart because what he did obviously well [00:50:39] obviously he's politically intelligent [00:50:41] other how do you go from Al-Qaeda to now [00:50:44] being like the darling of Western [00:50:47] media he he went to the Drews and he [00:50:51] went to the Kurds and was like hey we [00:50:53] want a United Syria of course left [00:50:56] Christians and the Alleyways out of it [00:50:57] but the Drews uh felt comfortable being [00:51:01] approached by HTS somewhat because [00:51:03] they're supported and protected by [00:51:04] Israel and the Kurds for right now are [00:51:07] supported and protected [00:51:09] politically by the United States so [00:51:12] they're trying it out to see if it works [00:51:14] so he's kind of Coalition building but I [00:51:17] don't really trust it but it was a [00:51:18] politically Savvy move to do [00:51:21] so um all right [00:51:27] America thanks for celebrating St [00:51:28] Patrick's Day by bringing a convicted [00:51:31] Irish rapist to the White House today [00:51:34] all right well I guess we're gonna I [00:51:36] think we're off to uh Conor McGregor now [00:51:39] yeah I mean this is this is the whole [00:51:41] thing about this Trump Administration [00:51:44] you know there's going to be no decorum [00:51:46] there's going to be a celebration of [00:51:48] villainy uh I think they think that um [00:51:51] being accused like accusing your [00:51:54] assaulter of assaulting is like woke so [00:51:59] I guess Conor McGregor is an anti-woke [00:52:02] icon even though they can't uh Define [00:52:04] what woke is so isn't he not even well I [00:52:08] mean he's of Irish descent but he's [00:52:10] British isn't he like a British citizen [00:52:14] but yeah um I [00:52:17] guess I guess claraa is [00:52:20] Irish and yeah I mean I hate us too I I [00:52:24] hate being here you know it's not fun [00:52:27] it's not like great for my mental health [00:52:29] so yeah do what you got to do [00:52:32] uh all right Chris we believe the vast [00:52:34] majority of everyone would be damned [00:52:37] it's a very [00:52:38] horrific Christ okay I think you meant [00:52:40] to say Christ we believe that the vast [00:52:42] majority of everyone would be damned [00:52:44] this is a very horrific religion but the [00:52:46] brutality of the world and fear creates [00:52:50] religion I don't have enough time for a [00:52:52] theological argument bro but thanks for [00:52:56] dring a comment and pushing this into [00:52:57] the [00:52:58] algorithm [00:53:01] um I Heard Hezbollah is running an [00:53:03] underground base with gold reserves [00:53:05] beneath the embassy HBO has massive [00:53:08] tunnel system it's bigger than Hamas [00:53:10] they have entire Caverns excavated and I [00:53:12] don't know what's in there um they have [00:53:14] Hardline communication though so it [00:53:16] can't really be intercepted um UniFi [00:53:20] resistance the crash is coming [00:53:23] [Music] [00:53:26] someone asked oh saer papa are we still [00:53:31] calling the war on Yemen as operation [00:53:34] Prosperity Guardian you know I really [00:53:37] like that operation name because it's [00:53:38] really bad usually you want non like [00:53:40] when I was in the military we use really [00:53:44] nondescript uh names for operations so [00:53:47] like if somebody if if the enemy found [00:53:49] out about what the operation was or like [00:53:52] heard the name you know they wouldn't [00:53:54] make suppositions about what what the [00:53:56] nature of it actually was but now this [00:53:59] this Biden Administration now the Trump [00:54:00] is like operation [00:54:04] Prosperity [00:54:06] Guardian uh let's check [00:54:09] it yeah it's still [00:54:13] ongoing yeah it start it was formed on [00:54:15] December [00:54:16] 2023 can't believe it's been going on [00:54:19] that long [00:54:21] um yeah it's still ongoing and guys [00:54:25] guess what everyone just talks about the [00:54:27] US ships but this was the entire [00:54:31] Coalition that went on that was involved [00:54:34] like even Sri [00:54:35] Lanka the seel's Coast Guard the Royal [00:54:40] Bahrain Naval Force this is okay so does [00:54:43] the US need any of this do we need all [00:54:46] these other people no we have 11 carrier [00:54:48] strike groups we don't need them the [00:54:51] reason us does Coalition Force building [00:54:54] is to give a self legitim y for [00:54:59] shaky or non-legitimate Enterprises [00:55:02] that's why we did so much Coalition [00:55:03] building for Iraq and I brought it up [00:55:05] earlier in theep on the episode about [00:55:07] how there were still Coalition forces in [00:55:09] Iraq it's not just Iraq I forget who [00:55:12] exactly is still there but it's a [00:55:14] coalition forces with other other [00:55:15] countries to give it more political [00:55:18] legitimacy you know so we can pretend [00:55:20] we're not an Empire we're just like the [00:55:22] first among democracies spreading [00:55:25] democracy [00:55:26] H [00:55:28] um the greater Israel Lobby is still [00:55:31] writing the script ain't that the truth [00:55:34] you know [00:55:36] um yeah so now that now that all of this [00:55:39] whole Iran houthi drama in in a weird [00:55:43] way is part of Trump's plan and it's not [00:55:47] even his plan again as I said this has [00:55:49] been a [00:55:50] longstanding establishment plan to [00:55:52] isolate and combat China because they [00:55:55] know that we know that they're the only [00:55:57] country that can really threaten us [00:55:59] multipolarity so um the great question [00:56:03] is how many wars I think you see you [00:56:05] typed uh how many ears has China have [00:56:07] China started zero but I think you meant [00:56:10] Wars uh how many H have America backed [00:56:14] by the Zionist regime yeah so China has [00:56:19] okay wait what was the India China war [00:56:23] about the first the couple border [00:56:25] skirmishes that they [00:56:27] had I forget but it doesn't even matter [00:56:30] um it does not even matter [00:56:36] because yeah it doesn't even come close [00:56:39] to the United States and and that um [00:56:41] that Chinese Minister who said that the [00:56:43] United States was the most destabilizing [00:56:44] force on the planet he wasn't wrong it [00:56:49] is why doesn't the Chinese China [00:56:52] retaliate if they know the US strategies [00:56:53] indirectly against them would they like [00:56:56] like [00:56:57] militarily no um they can't they're not [00:57:02] even close to being able to challenge [00:57:05] the US [00:57:06] Navy uh not not yet like in a direct [00:57:10] Naval [00:57:12] confrontation no they got they got what [00:57:14] one aircraft carrier someone can fact [00:57:17] check me on that they have one aircraft [00:57:19] carrier we have like [00:57:20] 11 um so in in an open sea [00:57:24] confrontation I I don't see that [00:57:26] happening no one thinks that will happen [00:57:28] like the most the most favorable as of [00:57:31] now uh interpretations of what would [00:57:33] happen in a [00:57:35] conflict over the straight of Taiwan is [00:57:38] that uh the United uh the Chinese [00:57:41] military might be able to syn a ship or [00:57:43] two uh based off B like missiles from [00:57:46] the coast and stuff but it would be an [00:57:49] indecisive conflict because the United [00:57:51] States would just actually literally run [00:57:53] out of Munitions three weeks in and [00:57:56] would be like okay what do we do now so [00:57:59] ceasefire I guess uh no there there [00:58:02] won't be any military retaliations there [00:58:04] could I mean there could be retaliatory [00:58:07] tariffs if Trump starts to do that but [00:58:10] China doesn't really have the influence [00:58:12] to project power all the way to the [00:58:13] United States yet like that's why they [00:58:15] pulled out of the Panama Canal and [00:58:17] didn't fight over it because that's [00:58:19] still the United States sphere of [00:58:21] influence and they're not being able [00:58:22] they're not able to challenge that yet I [00:58:25] mean we're in Decline fine it's it's [00:58:27] going to happen eventually but it's not [00:58:29] this [00:58:31] year okay I think the problem is too [00:58:33] many Americans overestimate the level of [00:58:35] our current hard power [00:58:39] um yes yes they [00:58:42] do 100% like like there are Americans [00:58:45] who think that we could there's a [00:58:48] difference between fighting a naval [00:58:50] battle against a Navy that's like a [00:58:52] fraction of the size of ours and then [00:58:55] invade [00:58:57] a country as massive in population as [00:59:00] Iran it it's way bigger than Iraq way [00:59:03] more complex than Iraq way harder [00:59:06] terrain than Iraq they've got the [00:59:07] mountains and the corus on like no no so [00:59:11] like when people think that like yeah we [00:59:12] can take it to Iran we can't if we could [00:59:16] we would have done it during the global [00:59:17] war on terror it's it's stupid and I [00:59:21] completely uh agree with you when you [00:59:23] say too many Americans overestimate the [00:59:25] level of our current hard [00:59:28] power and last comment guys before we [00:59:32] wrap Biden even if Israel didn't Biden [00:59:35] said yes even if Israel didn't exist we [00:59:38] would have to create an Israel also Hill [00:59:41] dog Clinton said we are mainly in the [00:59:43] Middle East to counter the economic [00:59:45] powers of Russia and China the [00:59:48] resources well there you go imperialism [00:59:52] combined with great power [00:59:54] politics in the middle e least gets [00:59:56] carved up and destabilized for our own [01:00:01] goals here we are so yeah that's the [01:00:03] rundown uh as I see it on the connection [01:00:07] between Lebanon Yemen [01:00:11] Syria [01:00:12] Iran [01:00:14] China [01:00:16] so it's a it's the whole damn thing [01:00:19] anyways guys I'm glad you uh swung on by [01:00:23] we're gonna wrap right now but I hope [01:00:24] you have a great week [01:00:26] I'm actually going to be out of town at [01:00:29] a music festival before I get uh [01:00:32] detained by ice and to the afterlife [01:00:35] deported by Ice to the afterlife For [01:00:37] Thought crime uh yeah so I will see [01:00:41] y'all next Monday and uh good luck out [01:00:45] there cheers y all
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