Untitled Document

[00:00:00] Here is a message from all of us here at [00:00:02] Daily Wire. [00:00:06] In 2016, Donald Trump won by just 77,000 [00:00:09] votes across three states. In 2004, just [00:00:12] one state, Ohio, decided the presidency [00:00:14] by about 118,000 votes. In 2000, just [00:00:18] 537 votes in Florida decided the [00:00:20] presidency. [00:00:21] In 1960, John F. Kennedy won by fewer [00:00:24] than 120,000 votes. In 1876, Rutherford [00:00:28] be Hayes won by just one electoral vote. [00:00:31] You cast it. [00:00:33] Shut up. You're very old. [00:00:36] Every vote matters every time. To [00:00:38] preserve our freedom, to protect our [00:00:39] children, to fix our broken economy. [00:00:41] Vote, vote, vote, vote, vote. [00:00:45] Visit election.dallywire.com [00:00:48] to find your polling place, and vote [00:00:49] today. [00:00:50] Folks, it's just that important. Plus, [00:00:52] it is back. One last chance. This time, [00:00:54] it's more important than ever. at 47% [00:00:56] off your new Daily Wire Plus annual [00:00:58] membership with code fight. Remember? [00:01:00] Yeah. Then make sure you're with us all [00:01:02] night, election night, for the rest of [00:01:04] our lives. Our full coverage starts at [00:01:05] 600 p.m. Eastern. Yes, we will be live [00:01:08] all night until the winner is declared [00:01:09] sometime in 2027, giving real coverage [00:01:12] in real time on the night it actually [00:01:13] matters. Go to dailywire.com/subscribe. [00:01:16] Use code fight for 47% off your new [00:01:18] Dailywire Plus membership and be here to [00:01:20] watch history unfold live with us [00:01:23] tonight. Well, folks, as I've said, you [00:01:25] need to go out and vote today if you [00:01:26] have not already. So, I voted early [00:01:28] because obviously I have to be in [00:01:29] Nashville. That is not where I'm [00:01:30] registered. But you need to vote if you [00:01:32] have not today. This election is just [00:01:34] too important. You need to vote because [00:01:36] there are serious things at stake. As I [00:01:38] discussed yesterday on the show, there [00:01:39] is a broader question at stake today in [00:01:41] this election though. Whether we're a [00:01:43] nation that actually wants to be dynamic [00:01:45] or whether we just want to continue our [00:01:47] slide into scinessence. Are we a nation [00:01:49] that actually wants an economy of [00:01:50] innovation and entrepreneurship and [00:01:52] building? Or do we want an economy [00:01:54] that's about redistribution, stagnation, [00:01:56] punishment, of success? Are we a nation [00:01:58] that wants a foreign policy, of [00:02:00] strength, with powerful allies and our [00:02:01] enemies in retreat? Or are we a nation [00:02:03] that would like to abandon the world [00:02:05] stage, handing power to our enemies as [00:02:07] the light goes out? Are we a nation that [00:02:09] wants to build on the roots of family [00:02:10] and community? Or are we a country that [00:02:12] wants to trade the institutions that [00:02:14] actually make life worth living, family, [00:02:16] community, in favor of a top town [00:02:17] dictation from a self-appointed elite [00:02:19] who believe that their untried values [00:02:21] ought to supplant time-tested virtues? [00:02:24] But most of all, you need to vote [00:02:25] because you actually do owe it to both [00:02:26] your ancestors and your progeny to do [00:02:29] so. See, here's the thing. Democracy in [00:02:31] the general sense is totally and utterly [00:02:33] unnatural. The earliest beginnings of [00:02:35] democracy were in ancient Athens, but of [00:02:37] course, the vote was heavily restricted. [00:02:38] The same was true in ancient Rome. [00:02:40] Modern democracy in the west has its [00:02:42] roots in Magna Carta in the estates [00:02:43] general of France, but actually didn't [00:02:45] reach full fruition in the way we think [00:02:47] of democracy until probably the glorious [00:02:49] revolution of 1688 in Great Britain. [00:02:51] See, here's the thing about democracy. [00:02:52] It takes centuries to inculcate values [00:02:55] of democracy, the rights of the people [00:02:57] to be free of arbitrary government, [00:02:58] which is the thing that lies at the [00:02:59] heart of Western democracy. We are not [00:03:02] subjects. We are citizens. We are [00:03:03] citizens with rights and with duties. [00:03:05] and we build social fabric together in [00:03:07] order to share those duties and to [00:03:08] enable the functioning of those rights. [00:03:10] And then governments are instituted by [00:03:12] people in order to protect those rights [00:03:13] and to enshrine those duties. This idea [00:03:16] lies at the heart of the American [00:03:18] experiment. It's also why we have checks [00:03:19] and balances. Why we are small are [00:03:21] Republicans and not just pure Democrats. [00:03:23] The founders, you seek, were pretty [00:03:25] cautious about democracy. They knew its [00:03:26] promises. They knew its perils. They [00:03:28] knew the power of the mob. That's why [00:03:29] the single most important paragraph ever [00:03:30] written on the American system can be [00:03:32] found in Federalist 51 by James Madison, [00:03:34] the framer of the constitution. He said [00:03:36] this quote, "What is government itself [00:03:37] but the greatest of all reflections on [00:03:39] human nature? If men were angels, no [00:03:40] government would be necessary. If angels [00:03:42] were to govern men, neither external nor [00:03:44] internal controls on government would be [00:03:46] necessary. In framing a government which [00:03:47] is to be administered by men over men, [00:03:49] the great difficulty lies in this. You [00:03:51] must first enable the government to [00:03:52] control the governed and the next place [00:03:54] oblige it to control itself. A [00:03:56] dependence on the people is no doubt the [00:03:58] primary control on the government, but [00:03:59] experience has taught mankind the [00:04:01] necessity of auxiliary precautions. So [00:04:04] the founders instituted checks and [00:04:05] balances because Madison was right. But [00:04:07] Madison was also right that in the end [00:04:09] the primary control on the government is [00:04:12] a dependence on the judgment of the [00:04:13] people. And that's the thing we all have [00:04:15] to agree on in order for our democracy, [00:04:17] you know, things that that all our [00:04:19] politicians like to talk about. [00:04:20] Democracy has to work. It can only work [00:04:22] if we agree on that central principle. [00:04:24] This kind of struck me last week. I was [00:04:25] standing in line with my wife to vote in [00:04:27] Florida and it was a long line. People [00:04:29] of every age and race were in the line, [00:04:31] but everybody was there because they [00:04:32] agreed to this really weird common [00:04:34] principle that we would abide by the [00:04:36] collective decision of all of us about [00:04:39] who would represent us for things like [00:04:41] the presidency, for Congress, for the [00:04:43] Senate. That's weird. It's unnatural. [00:04:45] It's amazing. We abided by the common [00:04:48] notion that we actually share a nation [00:04:50] together and that if our side lost, we [00:04:52] understand that next time we might still [00:04:53] win because our neighbors are [00:04:55] persuadable and we know them. That we're [00:04:57] willing to delegate some of the biggest [00:04:58] stakes decisions in life to a system [00:05:01] that actually values the opinions of our [00:05:02] fellow citizens. This is the thing. [00:05:04] Democracy, small D democracy, only works [00:05:07] when both sides are invested in the [00:05:09] bargain. If one side always believes [00:05:11] they're going to lose, they're not going [00:05:12] to buy in. They revolt. If you believe [00:05:14] you're in a permanent minority and that [00:05:16] your rights are constantly being [00:05:16] trampled and there's no prospect of [00:05:18] victory, that's when democracy breaks [00:05:20] down. Jefferson says in the Declaration [00:05:22] of Independence that government derives [00:05:23] its just powers from the consent of the [00:05:25] govern. That consent really only [00:05:27] continues if we all believe enough in [00:05:29] one another and in our system. Now, we [00:05:31] all know that system is fraying. For [00:05:34] sure, that's true. For a thousand [00:05:35] reasons, it's fraying because of the [00:05:37] media, because of our politicians, [00:05:38] because of our institutions, because [00:05:40] there there are thousand reasons. But [00:05:42] it's not breaking down today. [00:05:45] Everybody's going to the polls. You're [00:05:46] going to the polls. I already went. [00:05:49] Thanks to the checks and balances of the [00:05:50] framers who understood both the value [00:05:52] and the dangers of democracy, we can [00:05:54] rest assured that if the other person [00:05:55] wins, yes, things will get worse, but we [00:05:58] will survive. Contrary to popular [00:06:00] opinion, this will not be the last [00:06:02] election. It truly will not be the last [00:06:03] election. Now, with that said, this vote [00:06:06] matters more than most because while [00:06:08] this will not be the last election in [00:06:09] the United States of America, it is an [00:06:11] inflection point. We can continue down a [00:06:13] path of polarizing the country by race, [00:06:15] sex, and identity. Or we can reverse [00:06:17] that process and see each other as [00:06:19] individuals. We can continue to tear [00:06:20] apart the country by indicting each [00:06:22] other as oppressors and pretending that [00:06:24] we are the oppressed. Or we can together [00:06:27] seize the future and recognize that if [00:06:29] we make the right decisions, we'll [00:06:30] succeed. We can continue to retreat from [00:06:32] the world. Or we can remember that [00:06:33] America always was and still remains the [00:06:36] last best hope of mankind. So today, you [00:06:38] absolutely should vote. You should vote [00:06:41] because you can and because that is an [00:06:43] immense privilege earned by the blood of [00:06:46] others and still denied to most of [00:06:47] humanity today as we sit here and talk. [00:06:50] And you should vote because you should [00:06:52] because your vote in this election, a [00:06:53] tight election like this one, is [00:06:55] certainly going to matter. All right, so [00:06:57] where do we stand on election day? Well, [00:07:00] there are a couple of theories as to how [00:07:02] this race is going to go. One theory as [00:07:04] to how Trump can win and one theory as [00:07:06] to how Kamla can win. I think it is [00:07:08] fairly safe to say that Donald Trump has [00:07:11] the advantage in the so-called sunb belt [00:07:12] states. North Carolina, Georgia, [00:07:15] Arizona, Nevada's probably dead. Even [00:07:19] the sunb belt states are probably in [00:07:20] Trump's corner at this point. Politico [00:07:22] is even acknowledging as much today. [00:07:24] They say that basically she is relegated [00:07:27] to the rust belt. [00:07:29] They say that she is stronger than it [00:07:30] appears perhaps in blue all states like [00:07:33] Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, [00:07:35] but she has fallen apart basically in [00:07:37] some of the sunb belt states because her [00:07:38] coalition is different. According to [00:07:40] Politico, Trump's gains with voters of [00:07:42] color looks real. That has required [00:07:44] Harris to dip into traditionally [00:07:45] Republican voter pools like whites and [00:07:47] older voters. Now, normally this would [00:07:48] be a good indicator for Trump, right? If [00:07:50] you told me before this election cycle [00:07:52] Republicans are going to win an outside [00:07:53] share of Hispanics and black voters and [00:07:57] that is going to have to try to appeal [00:07:59] to old white people to get out to vote [00:08:01] for her. I would say advantage Trump and [00:08:04] I think it is still advantage Trump [00:08:06] today. Politico says if months of [00:08:08] handicapping are right, the election [00:08:09] will come down once again to Michigan, [00:08:11] Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. That's [00:08:13] Harris's most likely path to victory. [00:08:16] Polling has shown Harris's strength with [00:08:17] white voters, especially in northern [00:08:19] states. That's why even as national [00:08:20] polls show a tie on the eve of the [00:08:21] election, her path has remained clear, [00:08:23] if difficult. [00:08:25] Thanks to a slight improvement over 2020 [00:08:27] among black voters, Trump will likely [00:08:28] chip away a little in those in those [00:08:30] states big cities like Detroit, [00:08:31] Philadelphia, and Milwaukee. Harris is [00:08:33] hoping that isn't enough. They say the [00:08:34] Sunb Belt states look harder for her. [00:08:36] That's Politico's take, not mine. Okay, [00:08:37] so that's Politico. That's pretty down [00:08:39] on her prospects in this race. It is [00:08:42] also worth noting that there are [00:08:43] fundamentals to this race that pre-exist [00:08:45] the actual election cycle. [00:08:48] So, James Freeman writing for the Wall [00:08:49] Street Journal today, he points out that [00:08:51] Republicans have really ramped up voter [00:08:54] registration in recent years in the New [00:08:56] York New York Times, Nate Cohen, summing [00:08:59] up this trend. He said, "Republicans [00:09:00] rapidly gaining ground across the [00:09:02] country." He notes, quote, "All of the [00:09:04] battleground states with party [00:09:05] registration, Arizona, Pennsylvania, [00:09:06] Nevada, North Carolina, will probably [00:09:08] have more registered Republicans than [00:09:10] Democrats in November, even if Harris [00:09:12] wins with support from growing ranks of [00:09:13] the unaffiliated." In the longer sweep [00:09:15] of the last 16 years, this is an [00:09:16] enormous change. [00:09:19] Emily Crane over at the New York Post, [00:09:22] quotes, Republican pollster, Alex [00:09:25] Costanos, who explained on Fox News, [00:09:27] quote, "What I think they're missing is [00:09:28] a massive shift in voter registration [00:09:30] underneath all of this. 31 states have [00:09:32] voter registration by party. 30 of them [00:09:33] in the past four years have seen [00:09:34] movement toward Republicans. Now, [00:09:36] Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin do not [00:09:38] register voters by party. However, if [00:09:41] you look at Pennsylvania, the terrain [00:09:43] there seems to be getting more friendly [00:09:45] to him all the time. According to the [00:09:46] Wall Street Journal, Charles Thompson [00:09:49] for the Harrisburg Patriot News says, [00:09:51] "The Donald Trump era, for whatever else [00:09:52] it has been, has proven to be a great [00:09:54] party building period for the Republican [00:09:55] party. There are now more registered [00:09:56] Republican voters in Pennsylvania than [00:09:58] ever before. The party now numbers about [00:10:01] 3.7 million. Democrats are still the [00:10:03] largest party in number in Pennsylvania, [00:10:05] but the Democratic Party's 280,000 vote [00:10:08] lead in voter registration is down from [00:10:09] 1.2 2 million at the height of the [00:10:11] Barack Obama fever in 2008. [00:10:15] The margin for Democrats in voter [00:10:16] registration heading into 2020 was [00:10:18] almost 700,000. So, Republicans have [00:10:20] made some significant gains in a lot of [00:10:22] these swing states in terms of voter [00:10:24] registration. And we do have some early [00:10:26] voting data. And again, with all the [00:10:27] provisos, which we'll get into in a [00:10:29] moment, they're still interesting. We'll [00:10:31] get to that momentarily. First, every [00:10:32] year when Apple releases the new iPhone, [00:10:33] the big carriers play those same old [00:10:35] games. Sign your life away for the next [00:10:37] two years. Get a free iPhone. You don't [00:10:38] have to fall for this. With Pure Talk, [00:10:40] you can get great savings on the new [00:10:41] iPhone 16. And you can still get an [00:10:43] affordable data plan that fits your [00:10:45] needs on America's most dependable 5G [00:10:46] network. How would I know? Well, because [00:10:47] I actually have done this. I have the [00:10:49] new iPhone 16 from my friends over at [00:10:51] Pure Talk. Bottom line, stop falling [00:10:53] into the same traps and overpaying for [00:10:54] data you're not going to use. With Pure [00:10:56] Talk, for just 35 bucks a month, get [00:10:58] unlimited talk, text, and 15 gigs of [00:11:00] data, plus mobile hotspot on America's [00:11:02] most dependable 5G network. But wait, it [00:11:04] gets even better. When you switch over [00:11:05] to Pure Talk on a qualifying plan, you [00:11:07] get one year free of DailyWire Plus [00:11:09] Insider. Woohoo! That means access to [00:11:11] our full library of movies, series, and [00:11:13] documentaries. Listen up, folks. Now you [00:11:14] can get exclusive access to Matt Walsh's [00:11:16] latest bombshell, Am I Racist? You saw [00:11:18] the commercial on MS MSNBC last night. [00:11:20] Trust me, the left is squirming about [00:11:22] this. That's not all. You're getting [00:11:23] uncensored, adree shows, a full year of [00:11:26] our kids platform, Ben Key, and your [00:11:27] very own leftist tier, Tumblr. The only [00:11:29] way you can get this special offer is by [00:11:30] going to puralk.com/appro [00:11:32] or you can call and mention my name. [00:11:33] Stop overpaying for your cell phone [00:11:34] plan. Head on over to [00:11:36] puretalk.com/appure today. Switch to a [00:11:38] qualifying plan. Get one year free of [00:11:39] Daily Wire Plus Insider. Also, even if [00:11:43] you think it's a little bit overhyped, [00:11:44] AI is suddenly everywhere. From [00:11:45] self-driving cars to molecular medicine [00:11:47] to business efficiency. If it's not in [00:11:49] your industry yet, it is definitely [00:11:50] coming and fast. But AI needs tons of [00:11:52] speed and computing power. So, how do [00:11:54] you compete without cost spiraling out [00:11:56] of control? Time to upgrade to the next [00:11:58] generation of the cloud. Oracle Cloud [00:12:00] Infrastructure or OCI. OCI is a blazing [00:12:03] fast and secure platform for your [00:12:04] infrastructure, database, application [00:12:06] development, plus all your AI and [00:12:08] machine learning workloads. OCI costs [00:12:11] 50% less for compute and 80% less for [00:12:13] networking. So you are saving just [00:12:15] buckets and buckets of cash. Thousands [00:12:17] of businesses have already upgraded to [00:12:19] OCI, including MGM Resorts, Specialized [00:12:21] Bikes, and Fireworks AI. Right now, [00:12:23] Oracle is offering to cut your current [00:12:25] cloud bill in half if you move on over [00:12:27] to OCI. for new US customers with [00:12:29] minimum financial commitment. Offer ends [00:12:31] December 31st, 2024. See if your company [00:12:34] qualifies for the special offer at [00:12:35] oracle.com/shapiro. [00:12:37] Again, that's oracle.com/shapiro [00:12:40] for the special deal. Once more, [00:12:41] oracle.com/shapiro. [00:12:43] Okay, so taking a look at this early [00:12:45] voting data and again got to take with a [00:12:47] grain of salt because the big question [00:12:49] is how much of this is cannibalizing the [00:12:51] high propensity voters, right? People [00:12:53] like me who normally vote on election [00:12:54] day. I voted early instead. I can't vote [00:12:56] twice. So, if I voted early, that's not [00:12:57] like the Republicans won additional [00:12:59] votes. But suffice it to say that if the [00:13:01] flip were true, meaning if Republicans [00:13:03] were really, really lagging badly in the [00:13:05] early voting, Democrats would already be [00:13:07] calling the election. So, there is an [00:13:09] indicator here and it is that [00:13:10] Republicans are in fact doing better [00:13:11] than expected. So, Elon Musk a little [00:13:13] bit earlier today tweeted out the R [00:13:16] minus D early vote deltas in the swing [00:13:18] states. Okay, so again, that would be [00:13:20] like the change from 2020 to 2024 in the [00:13:24] difference in early voting between [00:13:25] Republicans and Democrats because [00:13:26] Democrats just destroyed Republicans in [00:13:29] early voting in 2020, which is why you [00:13:31] saw this giant blue shift, this sort of [00:13:33] tidal wave that happened late at night [00:13:35] on election night in 2020, right? Trump [00:13:37] won the day of, which was expected, and [00:13:39] then all the mailins came in, and it [00:13:41] turns out that every Democrat and their [00:13:42] dead grandmother had voted. And so that [00:13:44] wiped away whatever leads Trump had in [00:13:46] many of those swing states like Georgia, [00:13:47] Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and [00:13:49] all the rest. Okay, so here is the [00:13:51] difference. Okay, so in terms of [00:13:53] Republicans overperforming 2020, in [00:13:55] Arizona, Republicans are overperforming [00:13:57] 2020 by 200,000 votes. In Georgia, [00:14:01] they're overperforming their mail-in [00:14:03] performance of 2020 by 451,000 votes. In [00:14:07] Michigan, they are overperforming their [00:14:10] their 2020 performance by 136,000 votes. [00:14:13] In Nevada, by 83,000 votes. In North [00:14:16] Carolina by 290,000 votes in [00:14:18] Pennsylvania, which is the biggie [00:14:19] because if Trump wins Pennsylvania, this [00:14:21] election is effectively over. In [00:14:22] Pennsylvania, [00:14:24] Republicans versus Democrats, Democrats [00:14:26] had over a million more mail-in votes, [00:14:29] early votes, than Republicans did in [00:14:31] 2020. As of yesterday, as of last night, [00:14:34] their advantage was just 423,000. Now, I [00:14:37] had heard some rumors that Democrats [00:14:38] really need a firewall of maybe 500,000 [00:14:41] votes. Now, and that's speculative. [00:14:43] Bottom line is Democrats are [00:14:45] underperforming, Republicans are [00:14:46] overperforming in some of the early [00:14:47] mail-in voting. That is a change of [00:14:49] 600,000 votes. That's a big change in [00:14:53] terms of Republicans actually taking [00:14:55] advantage of the mail-in and early [00:14:57] voting procedures in places like [00:14:58] Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Same story. [00:15:00] There's been a delta of about 83,000 [00:15:01] votes. Those are all very good numbers [00:15:03] for the Republicans. [00:15:05] So what what does that mean? That means [00:15:07] that if the vote goes like it did in [00:15:08] Pennsylvania day of this time, Trump [00:15:11] wins. Okay? So that means get out and [00:15:14] vote. Get out and vote. So you can see [00:15:16] Democrat there there's a there's a [00:15:18] Democratic sort of plan right now that [00:15:20] relies on some wish casting. That wish [00:15:22] casting is that there is a shy Kamla [00:15:24] vote. I think this is really really [00:15:26] unlikely. Truly unlikely. I think that [00:15:29] if you were going to make if you want to [00:15:30] steal man a case for Kla Harris like [00:15:32] make a strong case for why Kla Harris is [00:15:34] going to win. The strongest case for Kla [00:15:35] Harris goes something like this. [00:15:37] Pollsters have it wrong. The reason that [00:15:38] pollsters have it wrong is because they [00:15:40] are jogging their voter screen. So when [00:15:43] pollsters do their do their polls, there [00:15:46] are two ways that you can do a poll. One [00:15:47] is a registered voters poll. You just [00:15:49] take a a baseline of the registered [00:15:51] voting public and then you and then you [00:15:53] plug it in the machine, you get a [00:15:54] number. It's actually how Ann Selzer [00:15:56] does her polls over in Iowa. just [00:15:58] registered voters. Then you have what [00:16:00] are called likely voter screens. So [00:16:02] likely voter screen that is pollsters [00:16:05] trying to read the tea leaves. That's [00:16:06] trying to figure out whether this guy [00:16:08] like what percentage of black voters are [00:16:09] actually going to show up on election [00:16:10] day. Registered voters is we kind of [00:16:13] know how many registered voters there [00:16:14] are. We'll take a poll all those [00:16:15] registered voters and we'll throw it [00:16:16] out. Okay. But a likely voter screen [00:16:19] means that you can game the system. It [00:16:20] means that you can say, "Okay, well, we [00:16:23] think that only 55% of black voters are [00:16:26] going to actually show up to the polls [00:16:27] this time, or maybe we think 80% of [00:16:28] black voters are going to show up to the [00:16:30] polls this time." And so, you change how [00:16:31] many likely voters you think are going [00:16:33] to show up. So, the case for Kamla is [00:16:35] that the pollsters are so afraid of [00:16:37] missing [00:16:38] in in the direction they missed in 2016 [00:16:40] and 2020, namely, they they [00:16:42] underestimated Trump support. are so [00:16:43] scared of underestimating Trump's [00:16:45] support that they're actually [00:16:45] overestimating Trump's support in order [00:16:47] to overcompensate because the incentive [00:16:49] structure is that if they once again [00:16:51] underestimate Trump's support and then [00:16:53] Trump wins, they're afraid that they're [00:16:56] out of business that everybody's going [00:16:57] to be super angry at them. Whereas, if [00:16:59] they underestimate Kamla's support and [00:17:01] then she wins, the Democrats are going [00:17:02] to be so happy that they're not going to [00:17:03] care and and the rest is history. [00:17:06] There's no question there's some poll [00:17:07] grouping going on. So, that theory is [00:17:09] not totally wild. There's no qu I mean [00:17:11] as Nate Silver points out if you really [00:17:12] thought this was a 4848 election the [00:17:15] average would be 4848 but not every poll [00:17:17] would be 4848. [00:17:19] Think about that for a second. Normally [00:17:21] the way that you do a poll average is [00:17:22] you have some that say like 4744 and [00:17:24] some that say 4744 the other way and [00:17:26] then you average them and it's a dead [00:17:28] race. It's a dead even race. But this is [00:17:30] a weird race that suggests again that [00:17:32] the pollsters are screwing around the [00:17:33] numbers because the average and the [00:17:36] actual polls are the same. Every poll is [00:17:38] showing 4747 4848. That means somebody [00:17:41] is is gaming the system. We just don't [00:17:43] know what direction. So if you're a [00:17:44] Harris supporter, your hope is that [00:17:46] they're actually overestimating Trump's [00:17:47] support levels in these likely voter [00:17:49] screens. The other the other thing that [00:17:52] they are trying to promote is this idea [00:17:53] that there's a shy Harris vote. I think [00:17:55] this is crazy. I honestly think it's a [00:17:57] crazy suggestion. [00:17:59] Kla Harris's team, by the way, thinks [00:18:00] this is true. This is why they've run [00:18:01] out two separate ads, one to men and one [00:18:03] to women, both saying the same thing. [00:18:05] You remember we played them on the show. [00:18:06] There's the ad to women that says, you [00:18:08] know, you don't have to tell your [00:18:09] husband who you're voting for in that [00:18:11] voting booth. You get in there, you wink [00:18:12] at the other ladies, and then you vote [00:18:14] feminist. And then there's the ones to [00:18:16] men where men look at each other, and [00:18:18] then they secretly vote for Kamla. I I [00:18:21] don't even know what the logic here is, [00:18:23] honestly. Do you know a single human [00:18:25] being who is shy in supporting Kla [00:18:27] Harris? Who are these people? Seriously, [00:18:29] who are these people? There was a shy [00:18:30] Trump vote in 2016, 2020 because there [00:18:32] was social ostracism attached to voting [00:18:34] for Donald Trump. What is the negative [00:18:36] incentive structure that would cause you [00:18:38] to be a shy Kamla voter in say [00:18:40] Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin? [00:18:42] That is such it's such tripe. It's such [00:18:45] a silly argument. Again, the Wall Street [00:18:48] Journal is positing maybe that's the [00:18:49] case. When pollsters set out to explain [00:18:52] how they missed Trump's electoral [00:18:53] college victory in 2016, says the Wall [00:18:54] Street Journal, and their [00:18:55] underestimation of Trump's strength once [00:18:57] again in 2020, one thought was that some [00:18:59] of the candidates supporters were wary [00:19:01] of civic institutions and so were [00:19:02] masking their true voting intentions. [00:19:04] They were dubbed shy Trump voters. The [00:19:05] opposite might now be the case. Some [00:19:07] campaign strategists think pressure in [00:19:09] some communities to support Trump is so [00:19:10] strong that voters who don't back him, [00:19:12] particularly the women, might be the [00:19:14] ones who this year are hesitant to [00:19:15] reveal their true intentions. Mark [00:19:16] Putnham, Democratic admaker, says, [00:19:18] quote, "I don't have direct evidence of [00:19:19] this, but in this highly contentious [00:19:20] environment, it's not implausible for [00:19:22] there to be significant percentages of [00:19:23] women voters who are not just hiding [00:19:24] their intended Harris vote from [00:19:25] significant others, but also from [00:19:27] pollsters." No, that's trash. I'm sorry. [00:19:28] That is not happening. If that happens, [00:19:30] I will eat my shoe, man. That is that is [00:19:32] super duper unlikely. More likely that [00:19:35] pollsters are overestimating Trump's [00:19:36] support because they don't want to get [00:19:37] it wrong in the same direction they got [00:19:39] it wrong in 2016 2020. The idea that [00:19:41] there are shy Harris. Have you met a Kla [00:19:43] Harris supporter? These are the least [00:19:44] shy people about their votes on earth. [00:19:47] These are people like sit by their [00:19:48] phones waiting for a pollster to call to [00:19:50] tell you how much they love the brat and [00:19:51] the joy of Kla Harris. So I don't buy [00:19:54] that at all. Nonetheless, that is the [00:19:57] line that so many in the Democratic [00:19:59] party are taking. It sounds like [00:20:00] desperation. and it kind of stinks of [00:20:01] desperation. Monica Hess has a piece at [00:20:03] the Washington Post positing the same [00:20:05] thing. Quote, "Marriage and the shy [00:20:06] Harris voter." Some anti-Trumpers have a [00:20:08] theory about the wives of Trump loving [00:20:10] men. With American democracy facing a [00:20:12] fourth down, I can't stop thinking about [00:20:14] a new ad produced by the Lincoln [00:20:16] Project. In it, two middle America [00:20:17] couples arrive at their polling place. [00:20:19] The grip and grin husbands affirm to [00:20:20] each other they are going to vote for [00:20:21] him. As for their wives, she doesn't [00:20:23] like him, but she's voting for him. One [00:20:24] man tells the other. Same with mine. His [00:20:25] buddy says approving but silly husbands. [00:20:28] Okay, first of all, the Lincoln Project. [00:20:30] knows as much about lady as they do [00:20:32] about age barriers for uh sexual [00:20:33] relationships allegedly. So, you know, [00:20:36] that's um that is what it is. But again, [00:20:38] this idea that women are quietly voting [00:20:40] against the will of their overbearing [00:20:42] patriarchal husband is so stupid. I I [00:20:45] just I don't see it at all. I don't. So, [00:20:48] again, if you got to put money on it, [00:20:50] every pollster has this thing that even [00:20:52] Nate Silver's got it dead even. Harry [00:20:53] Anon's got it dead even. Real Clear [00:20:54] Politics has dead even. I'm gonna I'm [00:20:57] gonna say slight advantage Trump. And if [00:21:00] I had to put out my map right now, in [00:21:03] fact, I'm just gonna do that right now. [00:21:04] Okay. So, I'll put it out on the line. [00:21:08] Yeah. Means nothing. I could be totally [00:21:10] wrong. I think there is a solid chance [00:21:12] that the polls are underestimating Trump [00:21:14] support. Again, the reason I say this is [00:21:16] because if you are a Trump supporter and [00:21:18] a pollster calls you, how often you hang [00:21:20] up the phone? Probably depends on the [00:21:22] pollster. But if it's a New York, if the [00:21:23] New York Times Sienna calls me for a [00:21:25] poll, I ain't staying on the phone. I'm [00:21:29] not. If you're a low propensity voter, [00:21:31] you are certainly not staying on the [00:21:32] phone. And Trump has a gift at getting [00:21:33] out low propensity voters. So here is [00:21:36] best case scenario for Donald Trump. And [00:21:38] I think it it actually is going to [00:21:39] materialize tonight. Okay? If you vote, [00:21:41] if you get your asses out there and [00:21:43] vote. Okay? So here's best case [00:21:45] scenario. Trump takes all the Sunb Belt [00:21:46] states. He takes North Carolina. He [00:21:48] takes Georgia. I think both those are [00:21:49] very likely. Arizona is very likely. I [00:21:51] think that he sneaks Nevada in there. [00:21:53] The early voting in Nevada looks very I [00:21:55] understand John Rston is suggesting that [00:21:57] he can pinpoint the vote down to 30,000 [00:21:59] votes in Nevada. I I have serious [00:22:01] questions about whether that is the [00:22:03] case, but I think that Trump's [00:22:06] durability in Nevada throughout this [00:22:07] entire race, he's basically led in [00:22:09] Nevada almost wire to wire. I'd be a [00:22:11] little surprised if he doesn't win [00:22:12] Nevada. And then you get to the Rust [00:22:14] Belt states. I think Trump, you ready [00:22:16] for this? I think Trump's going to win [00:22:17] all of them. I think Trump's going to [00:22:18] win all of them. And the reason I say [00:22:19] that I think that Trump is going to win [00:22:20] all of them is because if you look at [00:22:23] places like Ohio, they are trending [00:22:24] redder. Those rust belt states are [00:22:26] trending red. They are not trending [00:22:27] blue. Okay? There's certain states that [00:22:29] I didn't give to Trump in this map. I [00:22:30] didn't give Trump from Virginia. [00:22:31] Virginia is trending blue. It is not [00:22:33] trending red. Virginia is going to look [00:22:35] more like Colorado than it looks like [00:22:37] Ohio. Ohio used to be a swing state. [00:22:38] Florida used to be a swing state. [00:22:39] They're no longer swinging states. [00:22:40] They're solidly red. Virginia looks more [00:22:43] like Colorado. Used to be a swing state. [00:22:44] Has now moved blue. Pennsylvania, [00:22:46] Michigan, Wisconsin. Those states look [00:22:49] more like Ohio than they do like [00:22:51] Virginia, meaning I believe that they [00:22:53] are trending red. Hey, there's some [00:22:55] support for this. Real Clear Politics [00:22:56] right now has Trump up4 in Pennsylvania. [00:22:59] They have Harris up.5 in Michigan. Do [00:23:02] you think there's going to be heavy [00:23:03] Harris turnout in Michigan? How's that [00:23:05] Detroit vote looking? How about [00:23:06] Dearborn? There be big votes for Kla [00:23:08] Harris. What's the enthusiasm level for [00:23:10] Kamla in Michigan day of? And as for [00:23:12] Wisconsin, Wisconsin is a notoriously [00:23:14] difficult state to poll. I think Eric [00:23:16] Huvedy may actually drag Trump up the [00:23:18] ticket. I think Eric Huy, who's the [00:23:21] senatorial candidate in Wisconsin, who [00:23:22] is running extremely strong in Wisconsin [00:23:24] right now. I think Huy wins that race. [00:23:26] By the way, I think that Dave McCormack [00:23:28] in Pennsylvania wins that race based on [00:23:30] the early voting numbers. Again, this [00:23:32] all reading tea leaves. It could all go [00:23:34] the other way. But if there's as much of [00:23:36] a polling error as I think there may be [00:23:38] with regard to Trump levels of support. [00:23:40] Again, so much of this is anecdotal. You [00:23:42] just walk around, you see many more [00:23:44] people who are willing to say out loud, [00:23:45] the thing they were not willing to say [00:23:46] out loud in 2016, 2020. I think Trump [00:23:49] has a shot at New Hampshire, right? New [00:23:51] Hampshire right now in the in the Real [00:23:52] Clear Politics polling average. New [00:23:54] Hampshire Harris is only leading there [00:23:57] by three and a half points in New [00:23:58] Hampshire. in the Rasm Reports poll from [00:24:02] late October has her up one. So that is [00:24:05] a small state and if Dixville Notch, [00:24:08] which is the the little town that votes [00:24:10] early every year, they vote at midnight [00:24:12] on election day and then they explain [00:24:13] their vote. That that town went in 2020 [00:24:17] 5 nothing Biden Trump. It's like six [00:24:19] people. This year it went 3-3. If that's [00:24:22] the case, outside shot at New Hampshire. [00:24:25] Okay? And if that were the case, Donald [00:24:27] Trump would walk away with the election. [00:24:28] So that is the most optimistic case. Not [00:24:30] going to say it's going to happen, but [00:24:33] may as well put my prediction on the [00:24:34] board. That is my prediction for tonight [00:24:36] because again, I think that there is [00:24:37] maybe I'm too optimistic. I know unlike [00:24:39] me. Unlike and with every proviso, but [00:24:43] only true if you get out and vote right [00:24:45] now. In just a second, we'll get to the [00:24:46] closing arguments of the candidates. [00:24:47] First, you know what's fascinating about [00:24:48] the left? They're always trying to erase [00:24:50] traditional American culture. It's very [00:24:52] weird. But guess what? Real American [00:24:54] traditions like Western boots, they [00:24:55] ain't going nowhere. And speaking of [00:24:57] Western boots, let me tell you about [00:24:58] Tokovas. Walk into our national office [00:25:00] on any given day, you'll see at least [00:25:02] half our team wearing their boots. [00:25:03] There's a reason for that. These boots [00:25:04] aren't just footwear. They're a [00:25:06] statement about standing firm in your [00:25:07] values. I wear the Dean myself. I got to [00:25:09] tell you, they don't just make you feel [00:25:11] confident. They look absolutely [00:25:13] fantastic. If there's a man who can wear [00:25:15] boots, he's sitting right here. Every [00:25:18] pair of Tokovas boots goes through over [00:25:19] 200 meticulous steps of handcrafting. [00:25:21] That's the kind of attention to detail [00:25:23] and craftsmanship that made America [00:25:25] great in the first place. Unlike the [00:25:26] federal government, Tokovas actually [00:25:28] delivers on their promises. These boots [00:25:29] are incredibly comfortable directly out [00:25:31] of the box. Born in Texas in 2015, [00:25:33] Tokovas has quickly become the go-to [00:25:35] boot maker for everyone. From [00:25:37] generational ranchers to first-time boot [00:25:38] buyers like myself. Here is the best [00:25:40] part. Whatever your size, style, or [00:25:42] need, you are going to find your perfect [00:25:44] boot. Plus, with their best in the west [00:25:45] guarantee, you get free returns and [00:25:46] exchanges for 30 days. So whether you're [00:25:48] fighting to take back the culture on the [00:25:50] field, in the office, out on the town, [00:25:51] Tkovas has got something for you right [00:25:52] now. Get 10% off at tokovas.com/apiro [00:25:56] when you sign up for email and texts. [00:25:57] That's teeccov.com/aprokovas.com/apir [00:26:01] site for details. Tooas point your toes [00:26:03] west. Also, it's tough to prioritize [00:26:06] your health, especially if you're not [00:26:07] sure where to start. That's why I'm [00:26:08] excited to introduce Lumen. So Lumen is [00:26:10] such a cool thing. It's the world's [00:26:12] first handheld metabolic coach. It's a [00:26:14] device that measures your metabolism [00:26:15] through your breath. All you have to do [00:26:17] is breathe into your Lumen first thing [00:26:18] in the morning and you'll know what's [00:26:19] going on with your metabolism. This [00:26:20] means you know whether you're burning [00:26:22] mostly fats or mostly carbs. Forget the [00:26:24] oneizefits-all diet fats. What sets [00:26:25] Lumen apart is the personalization. It [00:26:27] understands you on a personal level. [00:26:30] With the insane news cycle and all the [00:26:31] travel I've been doing recently, the [00:26:32] device is a lifesaver. It takes my [00:26:34] unique metabolic data. It crafts a [00:26:36] personalized nutrition plan for every [00:26:37] day tailored to my body's needs and [00:26:38] goals. With Lumen, you're not just [00:26:40] getting a device. You're getting a [00:26:41] health companion. You breathe into it [00:26:42] before and after a workout or a meal. [00:26:43] Gain real-time insights into your body's [00:26:45] metabolic response. Better data means [00:26:47] better health. Lumen will provide you [00:26:48] with actionable tips to help you stay on [00:26:50] top of your health. If you want to take [00:26:52] the next step in improving your health, [00:26:53] go to lumen.me/shapiro. [00:26:55] Get 15% off your Lumen. That's lme.me. [00:27:00] Use code Shapiro for 15% off your [00:27:02] purchase. That's lumen.me [00:27:05] code Shapiro/Shapiro. [00:27:07] Get 15% off your Lumen purchase. Go [00:27:10] check that out right now. Okay. Oh, Kla [00:27:12] Harris for her part. She says she's got [00:27:14] the momentum. Oh, so much momentum. [00:27:17] Prepare thyself for all the momentum. [00:27:22] One more day left in one of the most [00:27:24] consequential elections of our lifetime. [00:27:27] And momentum is on our side. [00:27:29] Momentum is on our side. Can you feel [00:27:32] it? We have momentum, right? [00:27:39] Because our campaign has tapped into the [00:27:42] ambitions and the aspirations and the [00:27:44] dreams of the American people. We are [00:27:47] optimistic and excited about what we [00:27:51] will do together. And we here know it is [00:27:55] time for a new generation of leadership [00:27:57] in America. [00:27:59] Well, I mean, it's always weird. Choice [00:28:00] says new generation of leadership in [00:28:02] America, neglecting the fact that she's [00:28:03] the current vice president of the United [00:28:04] States. Also, for all the brat and all [00:28:07] the joy, she's just so awkward. She's [00:28:09] just straight from VEP. Here she was [00:28:11] last night at the same rally, failing to [00:28:12] get a chant started. [00:28:15] Get out the vote. Let's get out the [00:28:17] vote. Let's get out the vote. Let's get [00:28:20] out the vote. Let's get out the vote. [00:28:22] Let's win. [00:28:25] Man, that's not even how for a chant to [00:28:28] work, it has to be rhythmic. That's not [00:28:30] good. My my favorite moment, I think, [00:28:32] from the closing of her campaign is when [00:28:34] she actually attempted to stage a door [00:28:37] knockocking. I thought this was this was [00:28:38] quite amusing. So, she was going door to [00:28:40] door in Pennsylvania trying to show how [00:28:42] she was putting in the bootle and uh it [00:28:45] didn't go amazing. In fact, she shows up [00:28:46] and on a hot mic she is caught speaking [00:28:48] to voters and asking them to go back [00:28:49] inside their door so that she can be [00:28:50] caught on tape door knockocking them. [00:28:54] Hey, [00:28:57] I I want to knock [00:29:00] Oh, you want to do the door knock? [00:29:01] Yeah. Come on. [00:29:03] You want us to go back inside and [00:29:04] pretend that we're a just a stage door [00:29:07] knock on the stage in front of 111,000 [00:29:11] people on [00:29:15] well when that didn't work just bust [00:29:16] down the door and then killed their pet [00:29:17] squirrel or something. So that was [00:29:19] exciting stuff. Meanwhile, President [00:29:20] Trump, he was also claiming momentum as [00:29:23] the evening closed last night. Here was [00:29:24] President Trump last night. [00:29:28] You know, we have a massive lead. I [00:29:30] don't even like telling you that to be [00:29:32] honest with you. We have a massive lead. [00:29:34] First time ever a Republican was leading [00:29:38] by a lot in early. It didn't happen. The [00:29:40] Republicans would always be way behind. [00:29:42] They believe in going on election day. [00:29:44] So, we're going to let you go on [00:29:45] election day, right? But they waited [00:29:47] till the end always. Democrats would [00:29:50] always have hundreds of thousands of [00:29:52] votes and then you either catch them or [00:29:54] you don't. You never know what's going [00:29:56] to happen. But Republicans have never [00:29:59] been in the lead and not like this. It's [00:30:01] a big number. So, we have to just get [00:30:04] out. You know, the ball is in our hand. [00:30:08] We're at the 2 yard line. Maybe the one [00:30:11] yard line, but it's in our hand and we [00:30:14] put it over that. It'll be the biggest [00:30:16] event maybe in the history of our [00:30:18] country. [00:30:18] All right. So, let's talk about how the [00:30:20] evening is actually going to go. First [00:30:21] of all, you're going to spend it with us [00:30:22] tonight over at Daily Web. That's clear. [00:30:24] You have to, right? I mean, it's going [00:30:26] to be amazing. We'll spend the evening [00:30:28] together. You will watch Michael Moles [00:30:30] get absolutely drunk as a skunk, mostly [00:30:33] on his own giddiness. But let's talk [00:30:35] about how this thing actually comes in. [00:30:37] So, first off, 700 p.m. Eastern, we [00:30:39] start to get the early results as the [00:30:41] polls close in Georgia, Indiana, [00:30:42] Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont, and [00:30:44] Virginia. Now, the only two states in [00:30:46] that list that actually kind of matter [00:30:47] in terms of looking at at how the [00:30:49] election is going to come out are, of [00:30:50] course, Georgia and Virginia. Virginia, [00:30:53] you know, the the day of voting, [00:30:54] Republicans will start with a big lead [00:30:56] and then Democratic votes are going to [00:30:57] come in. It is a blue state. It is not [00:30:58] really a purple state. Glenn Yncan was [00:31:00] able to sneak out a a a solid [00:31:03] gubernatorial victory there, but it is [00:31:05] really not a purple state anymore. [00:31:06] Virginia, with that said, there may be [00:31:08] some early indicators of exactly how [00:31:10] Republicans are going to perform if [00:31:11] they're outperforming in a place like [00:31:12] Virginia. Meanwhile, Georgia's votes are [00:31:15] going to come in fairly slowly. Georgia, [00:31:17] of course, a big swing state. I think [00:31:18] that one is in Trump's camp. I think [00:31:19] he's going to win that. Half an hour [00:31:21] later, North Carolina, Ohio, and West [00:31:23] Virginia close. Now, it'll be [00:31:25] fascinating to see what happens in Ohio. [00:31:27] If you see somebody like Bernie Mareno, [00:31:28] who's running a very, very close race [00:31:30] with Sherid Brown right now, emerge with [00:31:32] a big victory. If he starts to really [00:31:34] clock up some numbers in Ohio, which by [00:31:35] the way, I kind of expect. I was out [00:31:37] with Bernie in Ohio. He's a great [00:31:39] candidate. The state is on fire for [00:31:41] Trump. They're on fire for Mareno. I [00:31:43] think Mareno takes that seat. I think [00:31:44] Sher Brown goes home. If he starts to [00:31:46] rack up, say not a one or two point [00:31:48] victory, he starts to rack up like a [00:31:49] four, five, six point victory, that [00:31:51] could be indicative of how things are [00:31:53] going to go in some of the surrounding [00:31:54] states like for example Wisconsin and [00:31:56] Michigan, which are of course in terms [00:31:57] of proximity and constituency relatively [00:32:00] close. [00:32:02] As far as West Virginia, that of course [00:32:03] is Senate seat that that is going to go [00:32:04] to the Republicans. That that would be [00:32:06] Jim Justice who's going to win that [00:32:07] Senate seat pretty easily. And then you [00:32:08] get to North Carolina. North Carolina [00:32:10] Democrats have been pushing really [00:32:12] really hard. If North Carolina flips [00:32:14] blue, Trump has a real uphill battle in [00:32:15] winning that election. So North Carolina [00:32:17] is going to be a real bell below [00:32:18] weather. If that if that one starts to [00:32:19] go heavy Democrat early on, if for [00:32:21] example high black turnout in some of [00:32:24] the big cities in North Carolina, that [00:32:25] could be indicative of good numbers for [00:32:27] Kla Harris in places like Philadelphia [00:32:29] in Pennsylvania obviously or Detroit in [00:32:31] Michigan, some of the big cities. 8:00 [00:32:33] p.m. you get Alabama, Connecticut, [00:32:35] Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, [00:32:36] Illinois, Maine, Maryland, [00:32:37] Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, [00:32:38] New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma, [00:32:40] Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and [00:32:41] Tennessee. Now again, none of those [00:32:43] states make a huge difference in this [00:32:45] election. There's some big ballot [00:32:46] initiatives in Florida that I voted [00:32:48] against three and four. And if you're [00:32:50] voting in Florida today, by the way, [00:32:51] vote against amendments three and four. [00:32:53] They're both trash. Pennsylvania [00:32:56] is of course the big question of the [00:32:58] night. So this is when the polls close. [00:33:01] Really tight race between Bob Casey and [00:33:03] Dave McCormack. I was in Pennsylvania [00:33:04] with Dave just last week. McCormack's a [00:33:06] great candidate. He's been doing all the [00:33:08] bootleg real doornocking on the ground. [00:33:12] Pennsylvania is the biggest state in the [00:33:13] country right now. So that is all closed [00:33:15] by 8:00 p.m. [00:33:18] 9:00 p.m. is when you get Arizona, [00:33:19] Colorado, some Midwestern states, you [00:33:21] get Wyoming, you get Montana, you some [00:33:24] of these other Montana closes at 10 p.m. [00:33:26] Eastern. So Arizona, you know, looks as [00:33:28] though that is going to be a walk away [00:33:30] for for Trump. We'll see how Carrie Lake [00:33:32] does in her race against Ruben Ggo over [00:33:34] there. Michigan also closes at 9:00 p.m. [00:33:36] Eastern. Now, again, because this is [00:33:37] closing so late, the chances that we get [00:33:39] any results from, say, Pennsylvania and [00:33:41] Michigan until early morning, cuz that's [00:33:43] when the mailins start to be counted, [00:33:45] very unlikely. I think that you're [00:33:47] you're most likely to start seeing some [00:33:48] real results out of those swing states [00:33:50] early morning on on Tuesday on on [00:33:53] Wednesday at best, right? That that's [00:33:55] when you're start. But that gives you [00:33:56] sort of an indicator of when these polls [00:33:58] are going to close and when those [00:33:59] results start to be tabulated again. It [00:34:01] just demonstrates how stupid our system [00:34:02] is that we're going to have to wait till [00:34:04] Wednesday, Thursday to figure out [00:34:05] exactly who's the president of the [00:34:07] United States at a minimum. This thing [00:34:08] could go all the way to Saturday [00:34:10] depending on how close the election is [00:34:11] and how quickly those votes are [00:34:13] tabulated. Now, in the late breaking [00:34:16] moments of the campaign, there were some [00:34:17] some endorsements on both sides. So, [00:34:19] yesterday big story was that Joe Rogan [00:34:21] openly endorsed President Trump. That [00:34:22] was probably going to happen. I think [00:34:24] everybody who's been watching Joe for a [00:34:26] while knows that was going to happen. [00:34:27] I'm friendly with Joe, obviously. He [00:34:28] tweeted out the great and powerful Elon [00:34:30] Musk. If it wasn't for him, we'd be [00:34:32] bleeped. He makes what I think is the [00:34:33] most compelling case for Trump you'll [00:34:34] hear. And I agree with him every step of [00:34:36] the way. For the record, yes, that's an [00:34:37] endorsement of Trump. Enjoy the podcast. [00:34:39] This, of course, made some people very, [00:34:40] very angry, but not Joe Rogan [00:34:42] supporters. Considering that, again, [00:34:43] when it comes to Joe, it has been the [00:34:45] Democratic party that's been on his ass [00:34:47] since the 2020 pandemic when they [00:34:50] attempted to basically strongarm Spotify [00:34:52] into deplatforming him. This is not a [00:34:54] giant shock. Here was Donald Trump last [00:34:56] night at a rally announcing the Joe [00:34:57] Rogan endorsement. [00:35:00] Oh wow. I have some more big news, [00:35:02] Megan. I'm just getting this right now. [00:35:06] So, somebody that's very, very respected [00:35:08] asked me to do his show two weeks ago, [00:35:12] and I said, "Why not?" [00:35:15] And to me, it's very big because he's uh [00:35:19] the biggest there is, I guess, in that [00:35:21] world by far. Somebody said, "The [00:35:22] biggest beyond anybody in a long time." [00:35:26] And his name is Joe Rogan. It has never [00:35:28] done this before. [00:35:31] [Applause] [00:35:35] And it just came over the wires that Joe [00:35:37] Rogan just endorsed me. Is that good? [00:35:41] Thank you, Joe. [00:35:48] That's so nice. [00:35:51] And he doesn't do that. He doesn't do [00:35:54] that. [00:35:56] So yeah, obviously Trump excited about [00:35:58] that. Why? Well, because the gender gap [00:36:00] in this election is extremely severe. [00:36:02] Rogan gets out male voters. Male voters [00:36:04] are low propensity voters. Female voters [00:36:06] in the United States are very high [00:36:07] propensity voters. Kamla's obviously [00:36:09] counting on big female turnout. If Trump [00:36:11] gets male turnout, heavy male turnout [00:36:13] that will not have been reflected by a [00:36:15] lot of these likely voter screens. That [00:36:16] means Trump is likely going to win if he [00:36:18] gets men to show up to the polls. But [00:36:20] speaking of women, it's not just about [00:36:23] Joe Rogan. There were two major female [00:36:25] endorsers of President Trump yesterday. [00:36:28] One was more predicted than the other. [00:36:30] Megan Kelly actually appeared at a rally [00:36:32] with President Trump and I think made a [00:36:34] very solid case to women as to why they [00:36:36] ought to vote for President Trump, [00:36:37] whatever their particular holdups about [00:36:39] Trump personally. We'll get to that in [00:36:41] just one moment. First, let me tell you [00:36:43] about the holidays, the heart of family [00:36:44] tradition. You know, those precious [00:36:46] moments of being together, whether [00:36:47] you're lighting the manure or decorating [00:36:48] the tree or just sharing a meal, the [00:36:49] traditions matter. Have you thought [00:36:51] about what happens to your family's [00:36:52] traditions when you die? I know that got [00:36:54] real dark super fast, but that's exactly [00:36:56] why you need to protect your family's [00:36:58] future and your peace of mind with [00:36:59] Policy Genius. With Policy Genius, you [00:37:01] can find life insurance policies that [00:37:02] start at just 292 bucks per year for a [00:37:04] million dollars in coverage. Some [00:37:06] options are 100% online and let you [00:37:08] avoid those unnecessary medical exams. [00:37:10] Policy Genius makes finding and buying [00:37:11] life insurance simple. They give your [00:37:13] loved ones a financial safety net they [00:37:14] can use to cover debts and routine [00:37:16] expenses, or even invest that money to [00:37:17] earn interest over time. Their digital [00:37:19] tools let you compare quotes from [00:37:20] America's top insurers side by side for [00:37:22] free with no hidden fees. And their [00:37:24] licensed support team is there to help [00:37:26] you get exactly what you need. They [00:37:27] answer questions, handle paperwork, [00:37:28] advocate for you throughout the entire [00:37:30] process. Even if you already have life [00:37:31] insurance through work, it might not [00:37:32] protect all your family's needs. And it [00:37:34] probably won't follow you if you leave [00:37:35] your job. Join thousands of happy Policy [00:37:37] Genius customers who have left five-star [00:37:39] reviews on both Google and Trust Pilot. [00:37:40] Secure your family tomorrow so you can [00:37:43] have peace of mind today. Head on over [00:37:44] to policygenius.com/apparel. Get your [00:37:46] free life insurance quot. See how much [00:37:47] you could save. [00:37:47] policygenius.com/shapiro. [00:37:50] Also, as you know, since I've said so 1 [00:37:53] million times, today, America decides [00:37:55] its future, our fight against the left [00:37:56] has never mattered more. We need you on [00:37:58] the front lines with us right now. Get [00:38:00] 47% off your new DailyWire Plus annual [00:38:03] membership with code fight because when [00:38:04] we fight, we win at [00:38:05] dailywire.com/subscribe. [00:38:08] The number 47, as you know, is not by [00:38:10] chance. It is not a winky dink. We are [00:38:12] looking forward to a future with [00:38:13] President Donald Trump back in the White [00:38:15] House. says the 47th president. We are [00:38:17] challenging the left-wing narrative, [00:38:18] mainstream media's distortions, and the [00:38:20] deceptive agenda that undermines your [00:38:22] voice. Go to dailywire.com/subscribe. [00:38:24] Use code fight for 47% off your new [00:38:27] Dailywire Plus membership. Then be sure [00:38:29] to join us live tonight at 600 p.m. [00:38:31] Eastern on Daily Wire Plus for our [00:38:33] exclusive election coverage with special [00:38:34] guests including Jordan Peterson, Dennis [00:38:36] Prager, Spencer Klin, and more. Anything [00:38:39] can happen. Not anything, but many [00:38:41] things can happen. We are here to cover [00:38:43] every moment as it unfolds. Daily Wire's [00:38:45] election night 2024. Watch live starting [00:38:47] at 6:00 p. p.m. Eastern time, Daily [00:38:50] Wire. Plus, here is a trailer. [00:38:54] November 5th, [00:38:56] the night America's fate is decided as [00:38:59] the final votes are counted and a nation [00:39:01] waits for the outcome. Join us to break [00:39:04] down the live election results as only [00:39:05] Ben Shapiro, Matt Walsh, Michael Nolles, [00:39:08] Andrew Claven, and Jeremy Bora can. With [00:39:11] special guests appearing live in studio, [00:39:13] Dr. Jordan B. Peterson, Dennis Prager, [00:39:16] and Spencer Clay. Daily Wire election [00:39:19] night 2024. [00:39:21] Get real time results and exclusive [00:39:23] insights from the most trusted names in [00:39:25] media. This is more than an election. [00:39:28] It's history in the making. Join the [00:39:30] Daily Wire as each vote is counted, each [00:39:32] state called, and each race decided. [00:39:35] Daily Wire election 2024 tonight at 6 [00:39:38] Eastern, 5 Central. [00:39:39] All righty. So be there or be square [00:39:41] because we're going to all watch this [00:39:43] country go up in flames or be restored [00:39:45] to its glory together. Just join us. [00:39:48] Just do it. It'll be a lot of fun. [00:39:49] Meanwhile, Megan Kelly came out with her [00:39:51] endorsement of President Trump. She went [00:39:52] to his rally. Now, again, this is a [00:39:54] pretty big switch for Megan. I mean, [00:39:56] obviously, she's been Trump supportive a [00:39:58] lot of this election cycle. She's sort [00:40:00] of shifted from a more overtly [00:40:02] reporatorial stance back in 2016 to much [00:40:05] more opinionated and openly opinionated [00:40:06] in 2024. Listen, I love Megan. Megan's [00:40:08] great. Here was Megan endorsing [00:40:10] President Trump yesterday. [00:40:12] I hope all of you do what I did last [00:40:15] week. Vote Trump and get 10 friends to [00:40:19] vote Trump, too. [00:40:24] [Applause] [00:40:27] Hey, there was another endorsement [00:40:29] yesterday that actually does matter. [00:40:31] Okay, and that was Nikki Haley. So, a [00:40:32] couple of days ago, actually showed a [00:40:34] piece in the Wall Street Journal [00:40:35] endorsing Trump. There are a lot of [00:40:37] hesitant Trump voters who kind of like [00:40:38] Nikki Haley. They think that Nikki Haley [00:40:40] is sort of more soberminded version of [00:40:42] traditional Republicanism. Of course, [00:40:44] she won a not insignificant share of the [00:40:46] Republican primary vote when she ran [00:40:47] against Trump in the primaries. And then [00:40:48] she waited for a while to sort of [00:40:50] endorse Trump. She has an entire piece [00:40:51] in the Wall Street Journal that is [00:40:53] titled Trump isn't perfect, but he's the [00:40:55] better choice. Which honestly, I think [00:40:57] that's a good case for Trump. I do. I've [00:40:59] always thought that the sort of overtly [00:41:02] most proTrump case does not make the [00:41:03] appeal to swing voters. the case that [00:41:05] Donald Trump is the greatest, the most [00:41:07] loyal, the best character. Like, there [00:41:10] are a lot of people in this country who [00:41:11] look at Donald Trump and they have [00:41:12] doubts about him. That's fine. That's [00:41:14] understandable. Also, you should vote [00:41:15] for him. And that's the case that Nikki [00:41:16] Haley is making. She says, "I don't [00:41:18] agree with Mr. Trump 100% of the time, [00:41:20] but I do agree with him most of the [00:41:21] time, and I disagree with Miss Harris [00:41:22] nearly all the time. That makes this an [00:41:24] easy call." That seems to me the best [00:41:26] pitch for Trump, and that's always been [00:41:27] the best case pitch for Trump. [00:41:29] Meanwhile, there are Kla Harris's [00:41:31] endorsers. So Kla Harris is endorsed [00:41:33] just celebrities who went out there and [00:41:35] sang their hearts out for Kamla. They're [00:41:37] going to try and celebrity this thing [00:41:39] all the way home. Now again, if this is [00:41:42] the kind of thing that gets people out [00:41:44] to vote, I've yet to see tremendous [00:41:46] evidence that celebrity endorsements get [00:41:48] people out to vote. Hillary Clinton [00:41:50] tried the same trash by having a bunch [00:41:52] of celebrities sing fight song for her [00:41:54] in 2016. Didn't work out amazing for [00:41:55] her. It feels it feels old, honestly. It [00:41:59] feels kind of worn. Here is a montage of [00:42:01] various celebrities of various ilks [00:42:04] singing for Kamla. [00:42:13] That is a a rather weathered looking [00:42:15] Katy Perry. I believe [00:42:17] that is Ricky Martin who was last [00:42:19] relevant in 2002. [00:42:22] Tonight I'm here in honor of people. [00:42:25] That is ex Christina. If this were the [00:42:29] year 2002, this would be a serious slate [00:42:30] of endorsements right here. [00:42:37] And then there's this guy. [00:42:38] Who is this guy? [00:42:40] Do I care? Oh, it's Bonjovy. I should [00:42:42] know Bon Joy. Come on. [00:42:44] Bad one, Ben. Except I don't care about [00:42:45] rock music. So Bon Joy looking [00:42:48] increasingly like like Ruth Bader [00:42:50] Ginsburg as he ages. Give it a shot. God [00:42:55] bless. [00:42:56] Oh, Lady Gaga, fresh from her giant [00:42:58] failure in Joker [00:43:01] 2. [00:43:04] Oh, man. Man, she was better when she [00:43:07] was in Asylum. [00:43:10] Will I Am. Wow. The Black IPs and Will I [00:43:12] Am again. Lots of endorsers. circle of [00:43:15] the Bush era. [00:43:22] Are you feeling this guys? [00:43:26] This is how fast time moves. Will I am [00:43:27] is now 72 years old. So yeah, [00:43:30] congratulations to Kamla on all those [00:43:32] endorsements. Meanwhile, the New York [00:43:33] Times has its final editorial. Okay, [00:43:35] here this is his editorial. You already [00:43:37] know Donald Trump. He is unfit to lead. [00:43:39] Watch him. Listen to those who know him [00:43:41] best. He tried to subvert an election [00:43:43] and remains a threat to democracy. He [00:43:44] helped overturn Row with terrible [00:43:46] consequences. Mr. Trump's corruption and [00:43:48] lawlessness go beyond elections. It's [00:43:49] his whole ethos. He lies without limit. [00:43:51] If he's reelected, the GOP won't [00:43:53] restrain him. Mr. Trump will use the [00:43:54] government to go after opponents. He [00:43:55] will pursue a cruel policy of mass [00:43:57] deportations. He will wreak havoc on the [00:43:59] poor, the middle class, and employers. [00:44:01] Another Trump term will damage the [00:44:02] climate, shatter alliances, and [00:44:03] strengthen autocrats. Americans should [00:44:05] demand better vote. Okay. Yeah. uh you [00:44:09] know, take a chill pill, people. Like, [00:44:11] he was already president. That crap [00:44:12] didn't happen. So, you know, there's [00:44:14] that. Meanwhile, I do love the the [00:44:16] historic switch that has the Democrats [00:44:18] loving Liz Cheney. I really am enjoying [00:44:20] this. So, so Liz Cheney, it's not enough [00:44:22] for her just to be anti-Trump. She then [00:44:23] has to go all the way. This is the part [00:44:24] that's astonishing to me. I understand [00:44:26] all the arguments against Trump. I do. I [00:44:27] get it. Also, that doesn't mean you [00:44:30] should vote for Kla Harris. Okay? Kla [00:44:32] Harris is awful. She is a wildly [00:44:34] progressive figure. Liz Cheney said in [00:44:37] 2020 that Kla Harris was a wildly [00:44:39] left-wing figure. Now Liz Cheney because [00:44:41] people have no capacity for cognitive [00:44:43] dissonance. They cannot hold two [00:44:45] thoughts at one time. Liz Cheney can't [00:44:46] say listen I dislike Trump for all these [00:44:48] reasons but my agenda is much closer to [00:44:50] his than it is to instead she has to be [00:44:52] out there rah rahawing for Kla Harris [00:44:54] who overtly hates everything about Liz [00:44:56] Cheney other than her support. Here's [00:44:58] Liz Cheney pretending that she is [00:44:59] impressed by Kla. Listen, if you're [00:45:01] impressed by Kla Harris, let me suggest [00:45:03] that you are not particularly smart. She [00:45:05] is not an impressive person. She's just [00:45:08] not. I spend all day dealing with [00:45:10] impressive people. Truly, you should see [00:45:12] my group chats, okay? I deal with people [00:45:14] who are worth billions of dollars. I [00:45:15] deal with people who have 150 IQs. Kla [00:45:18] Harris does not even belong in the same [00:45:20] conversation with those people. I deal [00:45:21] with people who are like normal everyday [00:45:23] people who are just virtuous family. [00:45:25] Like Kla Harris is none of these things. [00:45:27] I don't understand. Here's Liz Cheney [00:45:28] pretending that Kla Harris is the is the [00:45:31] repository of all goodness in the [00:45:33] universe. [00:45:35] I think that for all of us, I know for [00:45:37] me spending time with her, you know, [00:45:39] it's been a real chance to say, "Wait a [00:45:41] second, like we really need to take a [00:45:42] step back and and recognize um that we [00:45:46] share much more than divides us." [00:45:48] And I just, you know, as I said, she is [00:45:50] somebody when you look at her career um [00:45:53] when you look at the extent to which um [00:45:55] she has been uh devoted her whole career [00:45:58] to public service. Uh, and I um I'm just [00:46:01] uh I'm I'm very impressed with her. [00:46:04] So impressed with her. Or alternatively, [00:46:06] is it that you have the strange new [00:46:07] respect Liz Cheney? Because I can [00:46:09] guarantee you one thing that wasn't [00:46:11] happening before Liz Cheney backed Kla [00:46:13] Harris was members of the view saying [00:46:15] that Liz Cheney should run the CIA or [00:46:17] FBI. This is just amusing to me. This is [00:46:18] super amusing to me. So, the daughter of [00:46:20] Dick Cheney, who agrees with virtually [00:46:22] all of Dick Cheneyy's foreign policy [00:46:23] proposals, [00:46:25] the that person is the people the [00:46:27] Democrats are now saying should run the [00:46:28] CIA or FBI. Like, slow clap for the [00:46:30] Democrats and their consistency here, [00:46:32] guys. You're not just a bunch of Wow. [00:46:35] Solid stuff here. [00:46:38] I just feel like I would feel a lot [00:46:42] better [00:46:43] with you leading the FBI, the CIA, the [00:46:47] NBC, the [00:46:49] And a big cheer from the view audience. [00:46:50] My god, Mr. Dumb. [00:46:53] So, I'm just saying should it be [00:46:55] floated, please think about it. [00:46:57] The stupid It burns, man. It burns. That [00:46:59] is incredible. And and Liz Cheney just [00:47:01] lapping it all up. She can be the head [00:47:02] of the CIA or the FBI. Give me a break. [00:47:05] Give me a break. Now, some of the very [00:47:07] real consequences of this election are [00:47:09] pretty dire, actually. So, Elon Musk, he [00:47:12] did a sort of closing appearance on Joe [00:47:13] Rogan. He was talking about the [00:47:15] censorship regime under old Twitter. [00:47:17] Let's be real about this. If Donald [00:47:20] Trump does not win the election today, [00:47:21] Elon Musk will be on the chopping block [00:47:23] by the left. They've been going after [00:47:25] him anyway. He's been too outspoken. He [00:47:28] must atone. Here was Elon Musk talking [00:47:30] about freeing X of the heavy hand of [00:47:32] Jack Dorsey. [00:47:35] Alt Twitter was controlled by by [00:47:37] far-left activists. [00:47:39] Yeah. [00:47:39] So, uh and and uh they they welcomed the [00:47:43] government interference and the [00:47:45] government they got paid by the [00:47:46] government for it. [00:47:47] That's crazy. They got paid for their [00:47:49] time. Correct. [00:47:49] Yeah. They got paid millions of dollars [00:47:51] for for suppressing information. [00:47:52] So, it's like and a bunch of it was like [00:47:54] flat out legal. Like the FBI had this [00:47:56] like this this this sort of magic portal [00:47:58] into the Twitter system. uh and and but [00:48:02] all of the communication in that sort of [00:48:03] in this portal was autodeleted after 2 [00:48:06] weeks which breaks federal foil laws. So [00:48:09] we don't even know what was said because [00:48:10] it was all deleted after 2 weeks. And so [00:48:13] again that is how things were run when [00:48:15] Democrats running it and when they had [00:48:17] silenced Elon Musk. You think they're [00:48:18] going to leave Musk in intact? They're [00:48:20] not. They're going to go after Elon [00:48:21] every way they can. They already are. [00:48:23] They already are. In fact, here was [00:48:25] Rachel Matto literally last night asking [00:48:27] the federal government to target Elon [00:48:29] Musk because he's heterodox. [00:48:32] Even if Trump doesn't win, the Defense [00:48:34] Department and NASA are going to need a [00:48:36] new arrangement for all their rockets [00:48:39] and for all the multi-billion dollar [00:48:41] contracts Elon Musk's companies have [00:48:44] with the US government. The US [00:48:46] government is going to have to either I [00:48:49] mean unwind from all of those contracts [00:48:52] or Elon Musk's companies are going to [00:48:54] have to unwind from him. This is an [00:48:58] untenable reality in national security [00:49:01] terms. [00:49:03] Now that we know what we know about Elon [00:49:06] Musk, [00:49:06] this is insane. This is what the world [00:49:08] will be if Kla Harris wins. They will go [00:49:10] after people like Elon. By the way, [00:49:12] Trump's going to prison if he loses. And [00:49:14] we know this for a fact. This is a thing [00:49:15] that will happen. So if you're on the [00:49:17] fence and you don't want Donald Trump to [00:49:19] go to prison, then voting might be a [00:49:21] useful thing. According to Axios, former [00:49:24] President Trump is scheduled to be [00:49:25] sentenced on his 34 felony convictions 3 [00:49:28] weeks after election day. Winning the [00:49:30] election is effectively Trump's get out [00:49:31] of jail free card. His legal team [00:49:33] largely succeeded in delaying his [00:49:34] criminal trials until after the [00:49:35] election. If he wins, those prosecutions [00:49:37] will likely be over for good. If he [00:49:39] loses, he could find himself back in [00:49:40] court. I mean, that's the what a crazy [00:49:43] circumstance. What what a crazy [00:49:45] circumstance we find ourselves in where [00:49:47] it's win or go to jail. Meanwhile, [00:49:49] Democrats ramping up the rhetoric. [00:49:51] Again, I've said earlier, I don't like [00:49:52] the rhetoric from either side. I love [00:49:54] what Elon does. I think Elon's done an [00:49:56] enormous amount of good for the country [00:49:57] when Elon says to Joe Rogan, "This will [00:49:58] be the last election if if Trump if [00:50:00] Trump loses." I don't think that's true. [00:50:02] I also don't think it's true and Oprah [00:50:03] says it. Now, notice the media will [00:50:05] completely ignore Oprah saying it. Here [00:50:06] was Oprah last night. [00:50:09] If we don't show up tomorrow, [00:50:13] it is entirely possible that we will not [00:50:17] have the opportunity to ever cast a [00:50:19] ballot again. [00:50:21] So, uh, yeah, I I don't think that's [00:50:23] true at all. And this sort of alarmism [00:50:24] is not useful at all. It is also the [00:50:26] reason why America is boarding up [00:50:28] already. So, it is all in the big [00:50:30] cities. In the big cities, they're [00:50:31] boarding up the stores. They're not [00:50:32] doing that in case comma wins. They're [00:50:34] doing that in case Trump wins. Let's be [00:50:35] real. When Republicans riot, it's [00:50:38] typically because there has been a sort [00:50:39] of a focus point of their for a [00:50:43] particular reason. It can be a bad [00:50:44] reason, but that's typically how the [00:50:45] riots work, right? You have to call a [00:50:47] bunch of people to Washington DC and [00:50:48] those people have to think that if they [00:50:50] go into the Senate, they are going to be [00:50:51] able to stop the certification of an [00:50:53] election. That's like how a Republican [00:50:54] riot happens. How does a Democratic riot [00:50:56] happen? It's a Tuesday and people find a [00:50:58] reason to steal a TV. And that's exactly [00:51:00] what is going to happen if Donald Trump [00:51:02] wins. If Donald Trump wins, that's why [00:51:03] they're boarding up in Washington DC. [00:51:04] They're not boarding up near the White [00:51:06] House because they're deeply afraid of [00:51:08] all of the mag I haded Jesse Smlette [00:51:10] assaulting Republicans in Washington DC. [00:51:13] We know how this is going to go. That is [00:51:15] why people are on edge in the big cities [00:51:16] right now is in case Trump wins. Right. [00:51:19] That's the story. All right. Coming up, [00:51:20] I want to talk about this New York Times [00:51:23] strike. It's pretty impressive what they [00:51:25] are striking for. These are these are [00:51:26] the repositories of true journalistic [00:51:29] virtue. If you're not a member, become [00:51:30] member. Use coach Spiro. Check out for [00:51:32] two months free on all annual plans. [00:51:33] Click that link in the description and [00:51:35] join us.