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[00:00:00] Can you imagine what China and Russia [00:00:01] will do if they see that the United [00:00:04] States, the most powerful military force [00:00:06] on planet Earth, makes overt threats to [00:00:08] Iran? The United States has mobilized [00:00:10] exorbitant resources in the Middle East [00:00:12] as Iran continues to styy and stonewall [00:00:15] on its nuclear program, ballistic [00:00:16] missile program, and support for [00:00:18] terrorism. [00:00:20] According to the Wall Street Journal, [00:00:21] Iran's leaders want to reach a nuclear [00:00:23] deal with the United States, but they [00:00:24] are also rushing to prepare for war in [00:00:26] case talks between the countries fail. [00:00:28] Tan is deploying its forces, dispersing [00:00:29] decision-making authority, fortifying [00:00:31] its nuclear sites, and expanding its [00:00:32] crackdown on domestic descent. The moves [00:00:35] reflect its leaders believes the [00:00:36] survival of the regime itself is at [00:00:38] stake. Domestically, the Islamic [00:00:40] Republic is more vulnerable than it has [00:00:41] been in decades. Its leaders are facing [00:00:43] widespread popular discontent over [00:00:44] worsening economic pressures and the [00:00:47] mass killing of protesters last month. [00:00:51] Apparently, according to Farzan Sabet, [00:00:53] an analyst at the Geneva Graduate [00:00:55] Institute in Switzerland, Iran is [00:00:57] preparing for strikes by putting its [00:00:58] security and political leadership on [00:01:00] high alert to prevent decapitation and [00:01:02] to protect its nuclear facilities. [00:01:05] Iranian officials are still again [00:01:08] stonewalling on their nuclear program. [00:01:10] They're not going to kill their nuclear [00:01:11] program. They're not going to kill their [00:01:12] ballistic missile program. They're not [00:01:14] going to kill their support for [00:01:15] terrorism. It is literally the only [00:01:17] thing that they can take back to their [00:01:18] military infrastructure. understand that [00:01:20] when it comes to repressive [00:01:21] authoritarian regimes, the number one [00:01:23] thing you have to do is please your [00:01:25] military apparatus. If you don't do [00:01:26] that, you're out in your ear. And so the [00:01:29] Ayatollas understand that money has to [00:01:32] keep pouring into the military apparatus [00:01:35] to keep bribing top level military men [00:01:38] to support the regime. And that means [00:01:40] supporting terrorism abroad. It means [00:01:42] supporting the development of these [00:01:43] weapons programs. [00:01:47] Iran's leaders are preparing for an [00:01:48] attack that could disrupt its chain of [00:01:50] command. [00:01:52] Naval units of the paramilitary [00:01:54] revolutionary guard were deployed this [00:01:55] week to the straight of Hormuz. By the [00:01:57] way, if the United States decided to [00:01:58] sink that fleet, that would take [00:01:59] approximately 3 minutes flat. [00:02:04] There is [00:02:06] strong evidence that Chinese are [00:02:08] actually providing some surveillance [00:02:10] apparatus to the Iranians. China, of [00:02:12] course, is a support system for the [00:02:14] Iranians. [00:02:16] A Russian warship also arrived at the [00:02:18] straight of Hormuz and docked at the [00:02:19] Iranian port town of Bandar Abbas ahead [00:02:22] of a military exercise planned for [00:02:23] Thursday. [00:02:25] And those exercises are supposed to be [00:02:26] taking place not far from the aircraft [00:02:28] carrier USS Abraham Lincoln sailing off [00:02:31] the coast of Oman. [00:02:34] Iran is also attempting to harden its [00:02:35] nuclear sites because they're afraid [00:02:37] that the United States will once again [00:02:39] bomb those nuclear sites. [00:02:43] According to CBS News and Jennifer [00:02:45] Jacobs reporting, top national security [00:02:46] officials have told Trump that the [00:02:48] military is ready for potential strikes [00:02:50] on Iran as soon as this weekend, but the [00:02:51] timeline for any action is likely to [00:02:53] extend beyond Saturday or Sunday, [00:02:54] according to sources. Trump has not yet [00:02:56] made a final decision. Over the next 3 [00:02:59] days, the Pentagon is moving some [00:03:00] personnel out of the Middle East region [00:03:01] ahead of potential action or [00:03:03] counterattacks by Iran. [00:03:05] That doesn't necessarily mean that [00:03:06] action is imminent. [00:03:09] Apparently, one source says that the [00:03:11] Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, is [00:03:12] planning to visit Israel and meet with [00:03:14] Netanyahu in about two weeks for further [00:03:17] discussions. [00:03:18] The United States currently has the most [00:03:20] air power in the Middle East since the [00:03:21] 2003 invasion of Iraq. [00:03:25] US officials say that the firepower will [00:03:27] give the US the option of carrying out a [00:03:28] sustained weeksl long air war against [00:03:30] Iran instead of a one and done midnight [00:03:31] hammer type strike. [00:03:36] Unclear whether Trump is going to pull [00:03:37] the trigger here. [00:03:40] It it seems to me that just on a [00:03:41] geopolitical level for Trump not to pull [00:03:43] any trigger here would be an open sign [00:03:46] to America's enemies that it is time to [00:03:48] go. [00:03:50] This is the box that the president has [00:03:52] sort of created for himself [00:03:53] geopolitically. [00:03:56] The president came out and he said if [00:03:58] you shoot protesters in the streets [00:04:00] there will be serious consequences. Stay [00:04:01] in the streets. Help is on the way. If [00:04:03] help is not forthcoming and instead what [00:04:05] ends up coming out of this is some sort [00:04:06] of weak style Obama deal in which Iran [00:04:10] makes a bunch of pledges that are [00:04:11] unfulfillable [00:04:12] and that prevents and forstalls Israeli [00:04:15] air action against for example ballistic [00:04:17] missile development [00:04:20] then not only will that be a historic [00:04:21] foreign policy failure by the [00:04:23] administration but will also be a green [00:04:25] light to China to take Taiwan. [00:04:28] So, one of the things President Trump [00:04:29] frequently said is that the the pull out [00:04:33] the disastrous pull out from Afghanistan [00:04:35] in the style that Joe Biden did it led [00:04:38] directly to the Russian invasion of [00:04:39] Ukraine. I think that is obviously true. [00:04:42] The timeline matches up. It is clear [00:04:44] that Vladimir Putin thought Joe Biden [00:04:45] was weak and so he made a move on [00:04:47] Ukraine. Can you imagine what China and [00:04:49] Russia will do if they see that the [00:04:52] United States, the most powerful [00:04:54] military force on planet Earth, makes [00:04:56] overt threats to Iran, [00:04:59] tried to eradicate its nuclear program [00:05:00] back in June of last year and then backs [00:05:03] off after this gigantic military buildup [00:05:05] and the Iranians get off the hook here. [00:05:08] What will that say to Russia? What will [00:05:10] that say to China? Because China, [00:05:11] Russia, Iran, they're all in bed with [00:05:12] each other. What exactly will that mean [00:05:14] for geopolitics in the future? Because [00:05:16] let's be clear, [00:05:18] while Iran has a ballistic missile [00:05:20] arsenal that's capable of hitting US [00:05:22] bases in the region, let's be honest, [00:05:25] most of us have no idea what [00:05:26] phytonutrients actually are. Which is [00:05:28] why our sponsor, Balance of Nature, [00:05:29] makes getting them in your diet simple. [00:05:31] Here's the thing about phytonutrients. [00:05:33] They're these naturally occurring plant [00:05:34] nutrients in whole foods that actually [00:05:36] give fruits and veggies their color, [00:05:37] taste, and smell. And honestly, if [00:05:39] you're eating something with vibrant [00:05:40] color and real flavor, that's a pretty [00:05:41] good sign you're getting genuine [00:05:42] phytonutrients. 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So whether you've been on [00:06:16] the fence for a long time or it's the [00:06:17] first time you're hearing about them, I [00:06:18] recommend you head on over to [00:06:19] balanceofnature.com or the whole health [00:06:21] system supplements as a preferred [00:06:23] customer today. The suggestion that tens [00:06:26] of thousands of Americans will die or [00:06:28] thousands of Americans will die in [00:06:29] Iranian counter strikes is false. It is [00:06:31] not true. [00:06:33] Iran does not have that sort of [00:06:35] overwhelming capacity. The United States [00:06:37] is already hardening its own defenses [00:06:39] against the possibility of counter [00:06:41] strike. Presumably, any strike delivered [00:06:43] by the United States would be in the [00:06:44] first run delivered directly at the [00:06:46] ballistic missile program to take out as [00:06:48] many bases as humanly possible. [00:06:51] Iranian air defenses remain non-existent [00:06:53] at this point. You could essentially fly [00:06:55] a biplane over Iran and drop TNT from [00:06:58] your hands onto IRGC bases. At this [00:07:02] point, the skies are naked above Iran. [00:07:06] And so in the face of that Iranian [00:07:07] weakness and the threats that the [00:07:08] president has already levied against the [00:07:10] Iranians, [00:07:12] if this massive mobilization of [00:07:13] material, which is costing, I assume, [00:07:15] tens of billions of dollars, it costs a [00:07:16] lot of money to do what's being done [00:07:18] right now. If that ends up being [00:07:21] basically just a bluff and the Iranians [00:07:24] end up negotiating their way out of this [00:07:25] with a future for their nuclear program [00:07:26] and a continuation of ballistic missiles [00:07:28] and a continuation of terrorism and a [00:07:30] continuation of the murder of [00:07:31] protesters, if they are able to do that, [00:07:34] the chances that China makes a strong [00:07:36] move to blockade Taiwan inside the next [00:07:37] two years are extremely high. [00:07:41] Because would China believe that a [00:07:44] country that is unwilling to fulfill the [00:07:47] president's red line promises on Iran, [00:07:49] which is eminently weaker than China, is [00:07:52] willing to stand up to China over a [00:07:54] country that is all the way around the [00:07:55] globe in Taiwan and just a little ways [00:07:59] from the coast of China? [00:08:02] That's going to be the logic in Beijing. [00:08:04] The logic in Russia, by the way, is [00:08:06] going to be that the United States, if [00:08:08] pressed hard enough, will simply back [00:08:10] out of Ukraine and the Europeans don't [00:08:11] have the capacity to ramp up fast [00:08:13] enough. [00:08:14] I think you are looking at at this point [00:08:16] a serious confilration on multiple [00:08:18] fronts if the United States does not [00:08:20] either achieve some sort of signal deal [00:08:22] by which Iran surrenders pretty much all [00:08:24] of its forward capacity nuclear program [00:08:26] and starts to open up to the protesters [00:08:28] or you're going to end up with something [00:08:30] that is that is really dangerous a very [00:08:32] dangerous geopolitical situation. Did [00:08:35] you like this clip? Well, you can get [00:08:37] more of these clips on our new YouTube [00:08:39] channel, Ben Shapiro Clips. Click that [00:08:41] subscribe button down below right