📄 Extracted Text (2,179 words)
[00:00:00] The Supreme Court struck down those
[00:00:01] liberation day tariffs today. The
[00:00:04] reality, as Kavanaaugh points out in his
[00:00:05] descent, is the president has a bunch of
[00:00:07] other ways to impose tariffs. He's got
[00:00:09] section 122 of the trade act of 1974,
[00:00:12] which allows the president to impose a
[00:00:14] temporary import sir charge to deal with
[00:00:16] large and serious balance of payment
[00:00:18] deficits to 150 days.
[00:00:20] There's also section 2011 of the trade
[00:00:23] act of 1974
[00:00:25] that provides that if the international
[00:00:27] trade commission determines that an
[00:00:29] article is being imported in such
[00:00:30] quantities that it causes serious injury
[00:00:32] to domestic industry, the president
[00:00:34] could take some action. Now, that does
[00:00:36] rely on the ITC. Section 301 allows the
[00:00:39] president to impose duties if he
[00:00:41] determines that an act, policy or
[00:00:43] practice of a foreign country is
[00:00:44] unjustifiable and burdens or restricts
[00:00:46] US commerce. So, that would be like
[00:00:48] unfair trade practices. So some of these
[00:00:50] tariffs could theoretically come back
[00:00:52] and Kavanagh points out that all the
[00:00:55] tariff revenue that has been collected
[00:00:56] is now in limbo. How does that how who
[00:00:58] who pays that right? Taxpayers paid the
[00:01:00] elevated prices
[00:01:02] people who are importing to the United
[00:01:04] States
[00:01:06] paid those prices. Where does that money
[00:01:07] go? The answer in all likelihood is that
[00:01:09] the money just kind of sits that what's
[00:01:12] done is done. There's no redress that is
[00:01:14] available. Just going forward the
[00:01:15] president can't use this sort of
[00:01:16] authority. So that is the breakdown. The
[00:01:19] markets are responding by not doing much
[00:01:21] because they don't actually know what's
[00:01:22] happening because no one knows what's
[00:01:23] happening. Is Trump going to let it die?
[00:01:25] What I think is a smart economic move.
[00:01:27] Impose targeted tariffs for specific
[00:01:30] reasons as a as a weapon of leverage.
[00:01:34] If Congress wants to pass big tariffs,
[00:01:36] go ask Congress for it. That's what I
[00:01:39] think that that they should do. Or are
[00:01:41] they going to go whole hog? Will the
[00:01:44] Trump administration try to reimpose all
[00:01:47] of the all of these tariffs? Right? That
[00:01:49] that is the big question. Well, joining
[00:01:51] us on the line to discuss the legal
[00:01:52] decision-making here is Ilia Shapiro.
[00:01:54] He's the senior fellow and director of
[00:01:55] constitutional studies at Manhattan
[00:01:57] Institute. Ilia, thanks so much for the
[00:01:58] time. Appreciate it.
[00:02:00] >> Good to be with you. And uh I must say I
[00:02:02] agree with everything you said and I'm
[00:02:04] impressed that you digested that opinion
[00:02:07] almost in in in live time on air. It's a
[00:02:10] convoluted 170 pages.
[00:02:14] It is there there's a lot there. Um I I
[00:02:17] I thought that actually the two most
[00:02:18] radical implications were being drawn by
[00:02:20] the the dissents. One drawn by Justice
[00:02:23] Thomas, which honestly I I found kind of
[00:02:25] shocking from Justice Thomas. Uh and and
[00:02:27] the other being drawn by the dissenting
[00:02:30] liberals on the court who who seem to
[00:02:32] want to obliterate the major questions
[00:02:33] doctrine so that Congress can delegate
[00:02:35] all power to the president without any
[00:02:37] question of majority questions. And they
[00:02:39] could do so unclearly. They could have
[00:02:40] like a vague statute and then all power
[00:02:42] just suddenly resides in the executive
[00:02:43] branch whenever the left of the court
[00:02:45] thinks it's fine. And and honestly, I'm
[00:02:47] a little puzzled by Justice Thomas'
[00:02:49] descent here in which he seems to argue
[00:02:50] that that Congress can simply move core
[00:02:53] powers that don't implicate life,
[00:02:55] liberty, or property over to the
[00:02:57] executive branch. That that seems to
[00:02:59] pave the way for a massive land grab by
[00:03:01] the executive branch. I suppose that
[00:03:04] Justice Thomas would argue, well, you
[00:03:05] know, Congress needs to defend its own
[00:03:07] prerogative, not our job, is article
[00:03:08] three to do that. What's your take on
[00:03:10] it?
[00:03:11] >> Yeah, I was surprised by that as well,
[00:03:13] particularly given his opinions in
[00:03:15] previous so-called non-legation cases,
[00:03:18] the idea the challenges to expansive
[00:03:21] grants uh of power where he has been on
[00:03:24] the side of no, Congress can't pass that
[00:03:27] along whether in high-profile cases or
[00:03:29] lowprofile cases, politically salient or
[00:03:32] not. So, this very much cuts against his
[00:03:34] normal grain. Kavanaaugh I was less
[00:03:36] surprised about because he's always been
[00:03:39] for executive power working in the Bush
[00:03:41] White House uh etc. and sort of makes
[00:03:43] carveouts for foreign affairs and
[00:03:45] certain other things. That was
[00:03:46] understandable, very kind of a
[00:03:48] technocratic ruling to which Roberts uh
[00:03:50] replies that there's no foreign affairs
[00:03:52] exception to major questions. But you're
[00:03:54] right, Thomas is is a headscratcher. And
[00:03:56] of course, Alto did not uh write uh
[00:03:59] separately. He joined Kavanaaugh's
[00:04:01] opinion, not Thomas'.
[00:04:04] >> Yeah, there a bunch of sort of weird
[00:04:05] oddities to the way that the the opinion
[00:04:08] voting broke down here. I pointed out a
[00:04:10] little bit earlier that there is
[00:04:11] something odd about Chief Justice
[00:04:13] Roberts who declared that Obamacare was
[00:04:15] not in fact a tax in order to declare it
[00:04:18] constitutional. Now declaring that
[00:04:19] tariffs are in fact a tax in order to
[00:04:21] declare them unconstitutional. I you
[00:04:23] know I I think that both of those things
[00:04:24] are taxes and we should declare them as
[00:04:26] such. So there is there's a bit of irony
[00:04:28] there. Um but it it is it is a
[00:04:30] fascinating breakdown. The big question
[00:04:31] that the Kavanaaugh pushes forward
[00:04:33] obviously is what happens to all that
[00:04:35] tariff revenue that was collected. My my
[00:04:37] belief is that the courts are basically
[00:04:39] going to leave that where it was. I I
[00:04:40] don't think that there's going to be any
[00:04:42] really great way to sort of untie that
[00:04:44] that Gordian knot. The money has already
[00:04:46] changed hands. It's already come in.
[00:04:48] It's hard to see kind of where the
[00:04:50] specific damages lie because if you are
[00:04:52] an exporter to the United States, for
[00:04:53] example, did you pay the tariff or did
[00:04:55] the consumer pay the tariff? And if you
[00:04:57] made a bunch of money off exporting to
[00:04:59] the United States, as many exporters
[00:05:00] actually did, were you damaged? My guess
[00:05:03] is that the court is basically going to
[00:05:04] throw up its tan and say, "Listen, you
[00:05:05] know, what what happens from now on is
[00:05:07] is the only thing that that we're ruling
[00:05:09] on here."
[00:05:10] >> Well, I'm not surprised the Supreme
[00:05:12] Court didn't rule on that because it is
[00:05:14] complicated. It wasn't briefed. It
[00:05:16] wasn't presented or ruled upon by the
[00:05:18] lower courts. This all now goes back to
[00:05:20] the lower courts where if someone seeks
[00:05:22] a refund, there might be multiple
[00:05:23] mechanisms. We don't know. uh tariffs of
[00:05:26] this scale have never been rejected
[00:05:27] before. But whether it's in the court of
[00:05:29] federal claims, federal district courts,
[00:05:31] some sort of trade mechanism uh through
[00:05:34] uh obscure administrative offices, I'm
[00:05:36] not even fully aware of because I'm not
[00:05:38] a trade lawyer. Um that is, you know,
[00:05:40] this is a full employment act for trade
[00:05:41] lawyers still uh to figure uh all of
[00:05:44] that out. And those questions may
[00:05:46] eventually get to the Supreme Court,
[00:05:47] although I doubt it. I think they're
[00:05:48] going to be some some uh you know, very
[00:05:50] technical rulings uh coming down below.
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[00:07:00] >> I think I think a majority will agree
[00:07:03] with Kavanaaugh uh does agree with
[00:07:05] Kavanaaugh that there are other methods
[00:07:07] of putting in other kinds of tariffs. U
[00:07:11] you know, Roberts's majority opinion is
[00:07:14] very narrow in that sense. It basically
[00:07:16] says this statute does not authorize
[00:07:18] these tariffs. We say nothing about
[00:07:20] anything else. Gorsuch was was similar
[00:07:22] about that. And so Scott Bent, the
[00:07:25] Treasury Secretary, now that we've been
[00:07:26] going on for months since the opinion
[00:07:28] and it looked like that means that the
[00:07:30] tariffs were going down, he's been very
[00:07:32] publicly discussing all of these other
[00:07:35] alternatives saying the sky isn't
[00:07:36] falling. We can still impose various
[00:07:38] other tariffs. So that is probably less
[00:07:40] of a practical consequence. But another
[00:07:43] point that Kavanaaugh raises about our
[00:07:45] trade deals that are tied to the current
[00:07:48] level of tariffs, will those now be need
[00:07:50] to be re-examined? A lot more
[00:07:52] uncertainty there, I think, than in
[00:07:54] those individualized tariffs that may
[00:07:56] remain or may uh uh now be put in place
[00:08:00] by the administration.
[00:08:02] >> Now, in my opinion, if you're the
[00:08:04] Treasury Secretary, Scott Besson, I
[00:08:05] think that you are overjoyed today. And
[00:08:07] I think the reason that you are
[00:08:08] overjoyed today is because the president
[00:08:10] is not going to get lost in the weeds of
[00:08:12] which particular statutes allow which
[00:08:14] particular tariffs. But you know who
[00:08:15] will get lost in those weeds? The
[00:08:17] Treasury Secretary. And the Treasury
[00:08:18] Secretary will will be able to use the
[00:08:21] law as a way of arguing to the
[00:08:23] president, hey, look, Mr. President,
[00:08:24] there's certain stuff we can do. There's
[00:08:25] certain stuff we can't do. Let's be
[00:08:27] targeted in our approach so we don't run
[00:08:28] up against this thing again. And you
[00:08:31] know, I think the Treasury Secretary
[00:08:33] does not have the blunderbust approach
[00:08:34] to tariffs that the president seems to
[00:08:36] have. and then withdraw and then take it
[00:08:37] back. And you know, just to be real
[00:08:39] about this, the the economic growth
[00:08:40] statistics that came out from last year
[00:08:42] are weaker than they they really should
[00:08:44] be. They're about 2% 2.2% GDP growth
[00:08:47] over the course of 2025. Those are not
[00:08:48] the kind of numbers that are going to
[00:08:50] sustain a a midterm victory for
[00:08:52] Republicans or secure a 2028 victory for
[00:08:55] Republicans. And tariffs have had a
[00:08:57] hampering effect on the economy. So, I I
[00:08:59] happen to to be of the very strong
[00:09:02] informed opinion that the Treasury
[00:09:03] Secretary is not in fact a great lover
[00:09:05] of tariffs from the get-go the way that
[00:09:06] the president of the United States is. I
[00:09:08] think he is now going to have the legal
[00:09:09] tools at his disposal to be a lot more
[00:09:11] targeted in how tariffs are applied as
[00:09:13] opposed to President Trump going out
[00:09:14] there with a poster board and declaring
[00:09:16] that penguins on the Solomon Islands are
[00:09:18] now going to be footing the cost for
[00:09:19] America's deficits.
[00:09:21] >> That's right. those uh uh penguin suits.
[00:09:25] I don't know if that's where we get our
[00:09:26] tuxedos. Uh won't won't have those
[00:09:28] tariffs on them. Uh and you know, this
[00:09:30] might foreshadow more broadly the
[00:09:32] court's approach to checking the
[00:09:35] administration when it steals bases in
[00:09:38] effect. You have to follow proper
[00:09:39] procedures, whether that's with respect
[00:09:41] to dinging Harvard for civil rights
[00:09:44] violations or uh you know, birthright
[00:09:46] citizenship is going to come down the
[00:09:48] pike. And I think what the court's going
[00:09:50] to do with that is not rule on the on
[00:09:51] the underlying constitutional merits,
[00:09:53] but just say the president can't do it
[00:09:55] alone. So I think this ruling, even
[00:09:57] though it's significant economically and
[00:09:59] has all this media attention, uh at the
[00:10:01] end of the day is is a narrow procedural
[00:10:03] ruling saying you didn't follow the
[00:10:05] precise steps. You have all of these
[00:10:07] statutes that you can uh use uh whether
[00:10:09] it's to go against uh you know, Canada
[00:10:12] and Western Europe or China or what
[00:10:14] whatever your goals are specifically. Uh
[00:10:16] go ahead and use them. You can't just
[00:10:18] have a a cart blanch uh delegation,
[00:10:21] which is again why it's surprising that
[00:10:23] Justice Thomas, I think, would have let
[00:10:25] um the president, any president, not
[00:10:27] just Trump, have that kind of uh intense
[00:10:30] taxation authority.
[00:10:32] >> I'm not that short, but you know what is
[00:10:33] short? This clip. View more like this
[00:10:35] one on the Ben Shapiro Show Clips
[00:10:37] channel by clicking the subscribe button
[00:10:38] down below.
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