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RAIDING UKRAINE: Trump’s Plan to Plunder Resources, End the War, and Isolate China

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[00:00:16] [Music] [00:00:39] [Music] [00:01:04] [Music] [00:01:12] [Music] [00:01:31] okay what the hell was that that was a a [00:01:34] very tropical relaxing uh phone music [00:01:37] that we had there on the intro don't [00:01:39] know what happened there anyway sorry [00:01:41] guys um my camera little my fancy camera [00:01:45] is broken so we're gonna be dealing with [00:01:47] low resolution today but we have some [00:01:49] nice videos queued up for you um and I [00:01:52] know most of y'all listen to the audio [00:01:53] only anyway so it really doesn't matter [00:01:56] uh hello and welcome to state of play on [00:02:00] Press News and our weekly post-weekend [00:02:02] rollup where we pick apart the insanity [00:02:05] that is intentionally made to happen [00:02:07] over the weekend while the voting public [00:02:10] is not paying attention the biggest [00:02:12] development on the international stage [00:02:14] right now is the Ukrainian Russian [00:02:17] ceasefire or peace talks negotiations [00:02:20] and the media frenzy surrounding them [00:02:22] and this [00:02:24] Monday [00:02:25] marks year three the third year the [00:02:29] three Year anniv sorry I know I can't [00:02:31] words I'm not words in correctly right [00:02:34] now this Monday marks the three-year [00:02:37] anniversary since February 24th [00:02:40] 2022 when Russian troops invaded [00:02:43] Sovereign Ukrainian territory and of [00:02:45] course history did not start on that day [00:02:48] that's just when we started track um the [00:02:52] general public I'll say started tracking [00:02:54] what was happening on uh what was [00:02:57] happening in that part of the world uh [00:02:58] so uh after about three years hundreds [00:03:01] of thousands dead a nearly 20% loss of [00:03:04] territory and now the potential American [00:03:07] plundering of Ukraine's natural [00:03:09] resources the Ukrainian and European [00:03:11] governments are starting to comprehend [00:03:14] what the Kurds know America ain't got no [00:03:18] friends or it's dangerous being a friend [00:03:19] of America so there's a quote actually [00:03:22] this reminds me uh attributed to Henry [00:03:25] Kissinger war criminal beloved by [00:03:27] America's ruling class uh that goes it [00:03:30] may be dangerous and this is a quote I [00:03:33] quote it may be dangerous to be [00:03:34] America's enemy but to be America's [00:03:37] friend is fatal or deadly now there's no [00:03:40] like direct proof of him actually saying [00:03:42] that it's mostly anecdotal but we do [00:03:44] have him actually saying quote America [00:03:47] has no permanent friends or enemies only [00:03:50] interests and you know he also said a [00:03:53] country that demands moral perfection [00:03:55] and its foreign policy will achieve [00:03:57] neither Perfection nor security and he [00:04:00] also said the illegal we do immediately [00:04:04] the unconstitutional takes a little [00:04:06] longer unquote so anyways I thought [00:04:09] these were appropo of this subject since [00:04:11] he was a neoliberal warlord and helped [00:04:13] establish the post-war US foreign policy [00:04:15] Playbook into the modern era we've got [00:04:19] interventionism secret proxy wars coups [00:04:22] and engendering exploitable corruption [00:04:24] in foreign governments all part and [00:04:27] parcel of the US toolkit to leverage our [00:04:30] vast resources and political power to [00:04:33] maintain hegemony the problem is the US [00:04:37] has been failing and publicly uh it it [00:04:40] appears that the Vietnam War uh that [00:04:43] kiss andur started out supporting then [00:04:45] came to see as a drag on American power [00:04:48] was not a one-off the fraudulent war in [00:04:50] Iraq the 20-year failure in [00:04:52] Afghanistan uh the self-destructive [00:04:54] policy towards Israel that we've seen [00:04:57] perpetuate over 15 months of genocide [00:04:59] finally the failure of this Ukrainian [00:05:02] Enterprise and I call it an Enterprise [00:05:05] um because all pretense is gone that the [00:05:08] US ever cared about Ukrainian [00:05:10] sovereignty Beyond rhetorical talking [00:05:12] points and the isolation and dissolution [00:05:15] of Russia um why then are the ukrainians [00:05:18] publicly not involved in their own peace [00:05:20] process let's put on some b-roll please [00:05:23] why is Trump demanding 50% mineral [00:05:26] rights from ukrainians [00:05:30] you know that it just kind of seems you [00:05:33] know if we're concerned about like [00:05:35] sovereignty um yeah sovereignty indeed [00:05:38] the useful thing about President Trump [00:05:39] is that he has an ability to package the [00:05:42] dismantling of the United States Empire [00:05:46] of yeah as the building of the United [00:05:50] States Empire we're going to end Wars [00:05:52] we're going to take over Greenland the [00:05:54] Panama Canal alienate our Canadian Ally [00:05:57] to the north by calling it our 51st [00:05:59] States um you know we shall achieve [00:06:02] peace through strength by sending our [00:06:04] European allies into a tail spin by [00:06:07] demanding they contribute 5% of their [00:06:10] GDP their gross domestic product to [00:06:13] defense spending while the United States [00:06:15] which spends 40% of the world's combined [00:06:18] military budget it's only 3.4% of our [00:06:22] own GDP so we're asking them to spend [00:06:24] more than we do so peace through [00:06:27] strength is the tagline of the Trump [00:06:29] administ min's foreign policy even [00:06:31] though we have already passed the Event [00:06:32] Horizon of Imperial decline but don't be [00:06:35] fooled he is an imperialist to Heart [00:06:38] great Powers dominate the world so he [00:06:40] believes we will do what we want when we [00:06:42] can and we will be better than a scile [00:06:44] Biden Administration and we will recoup [00:06:46] our losses when we can like a corporate [00:06:50] Raider his administration's decision to [00:06:52] end the war in Ukraine is a transparent [00:06:54] attempt to raid Ukrainian mineral [00:06:56] resources that's kind of like a [00:06:57] byproduct he's like you know we've [00:06:59] already sunk this much money into it if [00:07:01] we can recoup some of our losses we'll [00:07:04] take it that's not the main thing behind [00:07:06] this uh it's to leverage the European [00:07:08] Union to pay their own way Co to Putin [00:07:12] for his own reasons and to draw Russia [00:07:14] closer to us interests and thereby take [00:07:17] them away from China thereby isolating [00:07:19] China we know that um they've put some [00:07:22] feelers in motion to arm Taiwan to a [00:07:26] greater extent uh we're going to pull up [00:07:27] an article in a bit if we have time at [00:07:29] the end where um you know taiwan's [00:07:31] looking to have like a hundred million [00:07:34] do weapons deal okay we'll check on the [00:07:38] figures but yes um arm Taiwan isolate [00:07:41] China if you can't tariff him maybe [00:07:43] maybe try to outmaneuver him but it [00:07:45] won't work the Biden [00:07:47] administration's [00:07:49] self-destructive hawkish policy in [00:07:51] Ukraine has already forced Russia even [00:07:54] irretrievably into China's orbit it's [00:07:56] not safe to you know be is olated by the [00:08:00] United States it's not safe to be our [00:08:01] enemy or our friends um and European [00:08:04] institutions are dissolving in real time [00:08:07] as right-wing nationalist movements are [00:08:09] attacking the framework of paneuropean [00:08:11] governance now Germany's far-right afd [00:08:13] party may not have triumphed outright in [00:08:16] these recent elections in Germany which [00:08:18] is significant because Germany's one of [00:08:20] the leaders of [00:08:21] Europe uh but it's doubled its support [00:08:23] in the strongest showing for a farri [00:08:26] party in Germany since World War II [00:08:28] projection showed so the fabric of [00:08:30] Europe is changing in real time so we [00:08:32] aren't entering some new age of Peace uh [00:08:35] but the status quo has been terminally [00:08:37] disrupted so join us tonight on state of [00:08:39] play to examine this historic inflection [00:08:43] point in detail so real quick while [00:08:45] everybody's [00:08:46] still filtering into the live mint press [00:08:49] is a non-corporate sponsored independent [00:08:52] Watchdog media Outlet Newsroom platform [00:08:55] whatever you want to call it these days [00:08:57] um and you know if you're picking up [00:08:59] what we're putting down consider [00:09:00] throwing us five bucks a month on [00:09:03] patreon um because that'd be cool it [00:09:07] help goes a long way to help support [00:09:09] what we do here and if you can't do that [00:09:10] or you don't want to or you don't want [00:09:12] subscriptions because you already have a [00:09:14] zillion subscriptions if you could just [00:09:16] like um if you could just like this live [00:09:20] and comment maybe that would also be [00:09:22] helpful because we're heavily Shadow [00:09:23] band and this pushes it out more into [00:09:25] the algorithm I see there's at least 500 [00:09:27] people watching at the beginning so [00:09:29] there should be 500 likes thanks guys [00:09:32] either way do what you want we're just [00:09:34] glad you are here all right uh hello [00:09:38] from Finland oh yes hello uh from [00:09:41] Finland you're up late wow okay I'm a [00:09:43] night owl too um so yeah I think I have [00:09:47] some b-roll of your prime minister [00:09:49] talking about how Europe needs to stick [00:09:51] together and you know that's interesting [00:09:53] since Finland was just added to Nato so [00:09:55] algorithm booster thank you guys oh hey [00:09:58] from Sydney whoa It's like probably oh [00:10:02] it's almost afternoon there wait no it's [00:10:04] not I'm I'm getting my my time zones [00:10:06] mixed up um cool got some people from [00:10:10] Puerto Rico welcome come one come all [00:10:13] this geopolitical issue affects you [00:10:15] everywhere in the world no matter where [00:10:17] you are from we got New York we got [00:10:20] Scotland and La um wow it's only 2 pm on [00:10:24] the East [00:10:25] Coast um looks like someone gets to work [00:10:27] from home that must be nice it's nice [00:10:30] okay so let's begin with the peace talk [00:10:34] drama and the [00:10:36] trumpan truth social post uh that [00:10:40] started all the hubub on Friday um this [00:10:44] past Friday so one second oh sorry [00:10:46] that's the NATO press release Let Me [00:10:50] Wait [00:10:51] what oh my god oh did I accidentally [00:10:54] exit [00:10:55] out okay sorry stand by guys look at [00:10:58] look at the fun photo that are playing [00:11:00] uh while we pull it up yes look at the [00:11:03] Fun photographs of of the K region okay [00:11:08] Donald Trump picking it [00:11:11] up okay so I don't know if you guys saw [00:11:14] today but Emanuel mccrone of France V uh [00:11:18] visited the White House [00:11:19] but and we'll get into that here in a [00:11:22] second I have found it that didn't take [00:11:23] me too long I are you like me and have [00:11:26] just like a zillion windows open at all [00:11:29] all times yeah because that's how I live [00:11:31] my life so present share [00:11:35] screen engage all right [00:11:41] so wait this should be [00:11:43] sharing okay so here we go this was you [00:11:46] know I feel like Donald Trump's kind of [00:11:48] like Kanye West where you know he [00:11:50] doesn't have a nitrous addiction like [00:11:51] Kanye West where like when he's coming [00:11:53] down off nitrous he just cro like posts [00:11:55] the most unhinged crap on Twitter but [00:11:57] like something's going on because he [00:11:59] posted this at like early in the morning [00:12:03] probably after his first cheeseburger at [00:12:05] after 9:00 [00:12:06] amm and this was from February 19th that [00:12:09] was last Wednesday so I don't know if [00:12:11] you guys saw it it's worth talking about [00:12:12] it because some of the things he says in [00:12:14] it are true some of it is just like [00:12:17] propaganda that I don't necessarily [00:12:18] agree with and um basically it's [00:12:22] basically endemic of US foreign policy [00:12:24] going forward now we're going to look at [00:12:25] conservative politicians in America that [00:12:27] have supported the Ukraine since the [00:12:28] beginning [00:12:29] spiraling to figure out how to shift [00:12:32] policies because they don't have any [00:12:34] political convictions Beyond um do what [00:12:37] Trump says so think of it a modestly [00:12:39] successful comedian zilinsky talked the [00:12:42] US United States of America to spending [00:12:45] $350 billion dollars to go into a war [00:12:47] that couldn't be won that never had to [00:12:50] start but a war that he without the US [00:12:52] and Trump I don't know why he calling [00:12:55] himself Trump in all caps and quotes [00:12:57] will never be able to settle [00:13:00] um a war that couldn't be won yeah [00:13:02] probably um that never had to start yeah [00:13:05] one of the more avoidable Wars that I've [00:13:07] seen in the modern era the United States [00:13:09] has spent two $0000 billion dollars more [00:13:11] than Europe This is not true Europe's [00:13:13] money is guaranteed well the United [00:13:15] States will get nothing back no they're [00:13:16] still in loans Europe's actually spent [00:13:18] more um than the United States why [00:13:21] didn't this sleepy Joe Biden demand [00:13:23] Equalization and that this war is far [00:13:25] more important to Europe than it is to [00:13:27] us uh I mean I would say that the [00:13:29] geopolitical reality is like yes um you [00:13:33] know if the United States withdraws its [00:13:35] military support from Europe they don't [00:13:37] really have a defense architecture and [00:13:39] an industrial base two wage of war [00:13:41] against Russia so I guess from their in [00:13:43] their minds if they believe into [00:13:46] the uh buy into the soup that like [00:13:48] Russia is a heedlessly imperialistic [00:13:50] nation that wants to like rule Europe [00:13:52] and some sort of reimagination of the [00:13:55] USSR that's insane but yes this is more [00:13:58] disturbing for Europe and we'll get into [00:14:00] that than it is for the United States we [00:14:01] we have a big we have a big beautiful [00:14:04] ocean there are many like it but this [00:14:06] one is mine uh as Separation on top of [00:14:09] this zinsky admits that half the money [00:14:12] he we sent him is missing um gonna have [00:14:14] to check those numbers I don't think [00:14:16] half of it's missing but yes there are [00:14:19] look we're not good at passing audits [00:14:21] okay when's the last time the Pentagon [00:14:23] accounted for all the money he refuses [00:14:25] to have elections is very low in [00:14:26] Ukrainian polls actually no he's polling [00:14:29] most polls uh agree that he uh he's [00:14:33] polling at [00:14:34] 57% which is like almost 10% if not 10% [00:14:38] higher than Trump is polling right now [00:14:41] uh he he did have elections uh he was [00:14:44] elected but uh yes the elections have [00:14:47] been postponed in [00:14:48] Wartime um and he was good at playing [00:14:51] Biden like a fiddle okay there's a bunch [00:14:52] of myths truths and half lies or [00:14:55] whatever you want to call them a [00:14:57] dictator without elections okay [00:14:59] I don't think most ukrainians I talk to [00:15:02] definitely don't consider him to be a [00:15:03] dictator and they definitely agree that [00:15:04] he was elected so we'll just going to [00:15:07] leave that there um he's not gonna have [00:15:10] a country left in the meantime we are [00:15:11] successfully negotiating end of the war [00:15:14] um something only Trump can do and the [00:15:17] Trump Administration uh but zalinski has [00:15:19] done a terrible job this country [00:15:21] shattered Millions have unnecessarily [00:15:22] died and so it continues okay gez well [00:15:25] way to throw our earthw Ally under the [00:15:28] bus you know [00:15:30] like no matter how you feel about [00:15:32] zilinski this was quite the ad [00:15:35] hominum uh so yeah zalinski did get a [00:15:41] bit of a a bump over the recent couple [00:15:43] days since since Trump has been coing up [00:15:45] the Putin and he's got a boost in his [00:15:48] own uh country specifically so um [00:15:52] yeah anyways that's just one thing that [00:15:55] now everyone is having to Pivot all [00:15:57] these people on the right who supported [00:15:59] Trump or supported Ukraine now have to [00:16:02] Grapple with uncomfortable Town Hall [00:16:04] meetings like a congressman from [00:16:07] Oklahoma yesterday at a town hall [00:16:09] meeting on Sunday personally do you [00:16:13] support Ukraine or [00:16:16] Russia well here's no it's not easy [00:16:20] ma'am it's not easy it's not [00:16:22] easyi a dictator yes or no that part I [00:16:26] have a problem with that statement yes [00:16:27] okay did Ukraine start the war even [00:16:30] though you're a warhog it's it's okay [00:16:34] well simple do you did Ukraine start the [00:16:38] war yes or no did Ukraine start the war [00:16:42] let him [00:16:44] answer maam I will just hang on what was [00:16:47] is that your question did they start the [00:16:49] war that's part of but I want to know [00:16:52] where you stand it's not part on Ukraine [00:16:55] or Russia we have been supporting zinsky [00:16:58] for years [00:16:59] 3 years [00:17:01] and Putin started this now we're [00:17:05] isolated or he is isolating America he [00:17:09] okay no no I'm just giving this as a [00:17:11] sample about what's going on within a [00:17:13] certain group of people within America [00:17:15] and their elected representatives I [00:17:17] don't expect you to agree with their [00:17:18] statement or understanding of the war in [00:17:20] Ukraine but it's interesting it's an [00:17:22] interesting moment he's [00:17:24] calling where do you let let me just say [00:17:27] this this is not the tactic that I would [00:17:29] use to try to solve the problem and I've [00:17:31] said that [00:17:32] [Music] [00:17:34] openly well they have a they have a lot [00:17:37] of rhetorical challenges ahead of them [00:17:39] so let's yeah we we're be beginning with [00:17:42] this um Peace talk drama but let's just [00:17:45] back up for a second about like you know [00:17:48] it being this authoritarian thing yes we [00:17:51] we do have reports and fairly compelling [00:17:53] evidence that there's forc conscriptions [00:17:55] and goon [00:17:56] squads um [00:17:59] you know rolling up in unmarked Vans to [00:18:02] take men off the street and force put a [00:18:04] rifle in their hands and stuff uh but [00:18:07] yeah you know zalinski was [00:18:09] elected um in uh not in 2024 that was uh [00:18:14] penko um but you know that was the first [00:18:17] uh presidency after um the overthrow of [00:18:21] the government and penko led the country [00:18:23] through the first phase of the war in [00:18:24] the [00:18:26] danas which is what they would call it [00:18:28] from a neoliberal sense the Russian [00:18:29] separatist forces into the donos region [00:18:31] he pushed them into the dboss region he [00:18:33] began the process of integration with [00:18:35] the European Union by signing European [00:18:38] Union Ukraine Association agreement that [00:18:41] wasn't like a red line for Russia [00:18:44] although there was some warnings the [00:18:45] back channels like hey um because of [00:18:47] NATO expansionism uh this is kind of [00:18:49] making us uncomfortable but peno's [00:18:52] domestic policy promoted the Ukrainian [00:18:54] language the nationalism inclusive [00:18:57] capitalism decom communization [00:19:00] administrative decentralization and in [00:19:01] 2018 Peno helped create um the autosales [00:19:05] Orthodox Church of Ukraine separating [00:19:08] Ukrainian churches from the Moscow [00:19:10] Patriarchs his predis city was distilled [00:19:12] into a three-word [00:19:14] slogan employed by both supporters and [00:19:17] opponents um Aria MOA and Vera so [00:19:21] military language and Faith as a [00:19:23] candidate for a second term he was [00:19:25] defeated by zalinski and a lot of like [00:19:28] nationalists within Ukraine [00:19:31] um you know began uh provoking like [00:19:34] people in Russia and then Russia was [00:19:35] doing its own thing look I don't want to [00:19:37] get too bogged down in the minutia of [00:19:39] the conflict um the the focus is not on [00:19:43] why it it started but on where it's [00:19:46] going so it's okay if we disagree on [00:19:49] some some points of this but I just want [00:19:51] to say for the record like I have been [00:19:53] getting like like freaking blown up by [00:19:56] people who are like you know what all [00:19:58] you do is talk about Western imperialism [00:20:01] all right at the expense of everything [00:20:02] else it's like first of all look guys [00:20:04] I'm not a Russian citizen okay I don't [00:20:06] vote in Russia I don't live in Russia I [00:20:08] just know what my own country does and [00:20:10] it how it affects not just the rest of [00:20:12] the world but the people who actually [00:20:14] live in um you know live live in this [00:20:18] country and like we must recognize that [00:20:20] imperialism is not simply a system [00:20:23] whereby big states do bad things to [00:20:26] smaller ones it is evoled else a mode of [00:20:29] political domination extraction [00:20:31] accumulation and under uh [00:20:33] underdevelopment that aerates the global [00:20:36] South right and so by every measure of [00:20:38] the political economy so you could talk [00:20:40] about Russian imperialism Chinese [00:20:42] imperialism whatever I don't I don't [00:20:43] care uh the United States is the [00:20:46] foremost Empire today those who deem [00:20:48] China Iran Russia as imperialist states [00:20:50] which I [00:20:52] don't I I'm not saying that they don't [00:20:54] engage in that you can ask people in [00:20:56] central Africa and the Sahel whether or [00:20:58] not Russia's is engaged in imperialism [00:21:00] that's beyond the scope of this the [00:21:01] bottom line is that um imperialist [00:21:05] states are okay to compare any of its [00:21:08] geopolitical Rivals the United States [00:21:10] any of its geopolitical Rivals to [00:21:12] minimize its well documented trail of [00:21:14] blood that has stretched out over every [00:21:17] corner of the Earth in the last century [00:21:19] so you may talk about Russian [00:21:20] imperialism and this kind of this dream [00:21:24] to reawaken the USSR which I've seen no [00:21:26] basis or premise for um that just [00:21:30] minimizes the much more violent History [00:21:32] of the United States and again I'm not a [00:21:35] citizen of Russia and I'm G to talk [00:21:36] about my own government and about how I [00:21:40] would like to hold them accountable so [00:21:42] uh just so I don't get any of those [00:21:44] stupid comments uh in the comment [00:21:46] section so um yeah I just want to put [00:21:50] that out there first so let's actually [00:21:52] now that that disclaimer is over with um [00:21:56] yeah and then I think people in the [00:21:59] comments are talking about NATO [00:22:00] expansionism which has been far more [00:22:02] aggressive than anything we see to the [00:22:05] east of the North Atlantic Treaty [00:22:08] Organization so let's take a look at who [00:22:12] are we who we looking at [00:22:13] first uh let's see well at any other [00:22:17] time before we we we look at this [00:22:19] interview between Steve whiteoff and [00:22:22] CNN I just wanted to [00:22:26] um I thought I was just taking part in [00:22:28] the chat but I I really am just arguing [00:22:30] with people yeah well you know we can't [00:22:33] let's all try to agree on something at [00:22:35] least we can probably agree on the next [00:22:37] 40 minutes of this episode so at any [00:22:39] other time the past 80 years it would [00:22:41] have been unimaginable that the US [00:22:43] president would be pressing for a [00:22:45] meeting with President Vladimir Putin [00:22:47] while calling zalinsky a dictator okay [00:22:50] that is a complete departure from [00:22:53] established US foreign policy which has [00:22:56] been uh heavily russophobic and Trump's [00:22:59] approach stands in STK contrast to that [00:23:01] of any of his president uh predecessors [00:23:04] really like former President Joe Biden [00:23:06] who he claims play was played by like a [00:23:09] fiddle by zilinski and allowed the war [00:23:11] to start and continue for so long you [00:23:13] know it's also interesting that this is [00:23:15] also a departure from Trump's first [00:23:16] policy you know the Democrats like the [00:23:19] neoliberal Hawks uh in Washington and [00:23:22] the Democratic party always said you [00:23:24] know Trump was too buddy buddy with [00:23:25] Putin but he did arm Ukraine you know so [00:23:28] this is also a departure from what he [00:23:30] has done historically too um and he said [00:23:33] quote unquote we are either going to go [00:23:35] sign a deal or there are going to be a [00:23:37] lot of problems with them implying the [00:23:39] ukrainians unquote Trump said in a [00:23:41] speech on Friday and on Saturday this [00:23:42] past Saturday uh Trump said the parties [00:23:44] were close to a deal we are asking for [00:23:46] reare elements and oil anything we can [00:23:49] get we better be close to a deal so uh [00:23:52] the US Us official involved in [00:23:54] negotiations confirmed a deal could be [00:23:56] reached fairly soon we're going to [00:23:58] address that I don't see how that's [00:23:59] going to happen before at least may but [00:24:03] you know a lot of people I've talked to [00:24:04] about this over the p over the weekend [00:24:06] we're like H like I live over here and [00:24:09] uh we're thinking more about like the [00:24:10] end of the year uh and we'll get into [00:24:12] that shortly so they said they were [00:24:15] closed to a deal on Saturday Us official [00:24:17] and this is coming from axios news [00:24:19] involved in the negotiations confirmed a [00:24:21] deal could be reached fairly soon the [00:24:22] two sides continue to engage [00:24:24] constructively on the process top [00:24:26] officials on both sides are focused on [00:24:28] getting this done the official said [00:24:30] Trump says they think they can recoup [00:24:31] about 400 to 500 billion from the [00:24:34] resource deal not the main story it's [00:24:37] just you know he's like a businessman [00:24:39] you know he wants to recruit his losses [00:24:41] he needs his Roi his return on [00:24:43] investment so that's what he's going for [00:24:45] from the resource deal but take [00:24:46] everything Trump says with a salt shaker [00:24:49] uh because you know he says a bunch of [00:24:50] wild out-of-pocket stuff and it rarely [00:24:52] rarely ever comes to fruition uh it [00:24:55] seems like this is a leveraging [00:24:56] technique he's going to demand uh [00:24:58] the rare earth minerals from Ukraine and [00:25:00] plunder its economy and let zinski plays [00:25:04] ball the way he lets wants him to play [00:25:06] ball so we've seen Trump historically [00:25:09] just Leverage The might and power and [00:25:11] economic resources of the United States [00:25:13] in order to get his way so I think that [00:25:14] could be something we're seeing right [00:25:16] now so here's Steve wof witkoff sorry [00:25:19] former American American investor in [00:25:21] real estate developer turn special Envoy [00:25:24] to the Middle East why he's talking [00:25:26] about Ukraine I'm not sure speaking with [00:25:28] Jake Tapper not the smartest tool in the [00:25:30] shed wait I think this is Jake Tapper [00:25:32] right I don't really watch CNN everybody [00:25:34] watching can understand the need for [00:25:36] diplomacy yes I got it right this is [00:25:38] Jake Tapper all right looking here like [00:25:41] a permanently confused child uh and [00:25:44] especially president Trump wanting to [00:25:45] reset the relationship with Russia but [00:25:47] what do you say to the millions of [00:25:48] Americans and people around the world [00:25:50] who are concerned that the United States [00:25:52] right now doesn't seem to understand who [00:25:55] actually launched this war against [00:25:57] Ukraine and is actually trying to Side [00:26:00] Up Sidle up to the bad guys Putin and [00:26:03] the Russians while screwing oh you think [00:26:07] there are good guys and bad guys in [00:26:09] great power politics no there's there's [00:26:11] not great guys and there's awful guys [00:26:14] and we have a track record of being [00:26:16] awful guys over the good guys zalinski [00:26:19] and Ukraine I think that is that is a [00:26:21] fear that a lot of Americans [00:26:25] have well look I've I've heard that that [00:26:28] that kind of talk I don't I don't [00:26:30] necessarily agree with it um but let me [00:26:33] say this I'll make a few comments um the [00:26:36] first is that the the war irrespective [00:26:39] of who started it needs to end too many [00:26:41] people's lives um uh have been expunged [00:26:44] as a result of it and it just doesn't [00:26:47] make sense to the president he wants to [00:26:48] be the peacemaking president peace [00:26:50] through strength and I don't blame him I [00:26:52] actually concur um again I have so many [00:26:55] problems with the slogan peace through [00:26:57] strength it's like we're less strong [00:26:59] than we've been since before World War [00:27:01] II and we're not getting it back you're [00:27:03] not fixing the like the recruiting [00:27:05] crisis with your war on [00:27:07] Dei and I don't know they they're trying [00:27:09] to cut the defense budget by like half [00:27:13] over the next 10 years half guess what [00:27:16] most of the defense budget is people's [00:27:18] payroll okay so just just think about [00:27:21] that write down the line with his [00:27:23] thought process around this that's one [00:27:25] two um that the war didn't need to [00:27:28] happen it was provoked it doesn't [00:27:30] necessarily mean it was provoked by the [00:27:32] Russians there were all kinds of um [00:27:34] conversations back then about Ukraine [00:27:36] joining NATO the president has spoken [00:27:38] about this that didn't need to happen it [00:27:41] basically became uh a threat to the [00:27:43] Russians and so we have to deal with [00:27:46] that fact and those are real facts on [00:27:48] the ground here but be that as it may [00:27:51] the Russians have indicated that they [00:27:53] are responsive to an end to this they [00:27:55] were very very uh uh uh [00:27:58] what I'll call cogent and substantive [00:28:01] negotiations framed in something that's [00:28:03] called the istan buul protocol agreement [00:28:06] we came very very close to signing [00:28:08] something and I think we'll be using [00:28:10] that framework as a um as a guidepost I [00:28:14] I [00:28:15] assume uh I assume he was referring to [00:28:20] the istambul Accords which were like the [00:28:22] third or fourth round of negotiations [00:28:24] after hostilities broke out after [00:28:25] February [00:28:27] 2022 uh [00:28:28] um yeah so they're they're using the old [00:28:31] framework that that was most likely [00:28:34] sabotaged by Boris Johnson and all the [00:28:36] other neocons involved in this uh war in [00:28:39] Ukraine so they're just re re re uh [00:28:42] resurrecting sorry the old framework [00:28:45] that could have been signed a couple [00:28:47] years ago in Turkey so that is awesome [00:28:51] to get a peace deal done between Ukraine [00:28:54] and Russia and I think that will be an [00:28:55] amazing day and the fact is about press [00:28:58] conference I think it is not a [00:29:00] coincidence that many of the narratives [00:29:01] that are being voiced largely [00:29:03] materialized after their [00:29:07] conversation the phrases he is saying [00:29:09] are so deep and so correct they are in [00:29:11] total alignment with the way we see [00:29:14] things do you think it's good that the [00:29:17] Russians think that the Trump [00:29:18] Administration is in total alignment [00:29:20] with the way that Putin sees [00:29:24] things I think we've had Jake by my [00:29:29] estimation almost a million and a half [00:29:31] deaths here and finally we have a leader [00:29:34] that is President Trump who is [00:29:36] determined to end the Carnage and so the [00:29:39] only way you're going to end the Carnage [00:29:41] is if you have a relationship with the [00:29:43] leaders of uh of both countries that are [00:29:46] involved I I mean yes uh obviously they [00:29:50] don't care about a half a million deaths [00:29:53] there was half a million deaths most [00:29:55] likely two 200,000 to half a million [00:29:58] deaths so far in Gaza uh they don't [00:30:01] really care about ending the war so much [00:30:03] as being seen as anti-war candidates uh [00:30:05] shifting their foreign policy away from [00:30:08] entanglements outside of the Western [00:30:10] Hemisphere [00:30:12] and isolating China so we're gonna get [00:30:16] to that here in a second was I went over [00:30:18] to Russia I had a meeting with uh with h [00:30:21] yes um Ellen Tapper is stuck on good bad [00:30:25] the entire liberal media I would say the [00:30:28] the entire [00:30:29] well yeah Fox News too is good bad you [00:30:32] know everyone's evil or they're good and [00:30:34] this is how we want the American people [00:30:36] to think of things the United States the [00:30:38] good guys ukrainians are the good guys [00:30:41] the Russians are bad China's bad you [00:30:43] know they they have an authoritarian [00:30:45] surveillance society which just with [00:30:47] like social credit scores and stuff like [00:30:49] that and you know they hate Freedom so [00:30:52] yeah this is just this is nothing new [00:30:55] it's been like this since after the Viet [00:30:58] n War that's when it really started to [00:31:00] get compromised because of how [00:31:02] problematic having a complex narrative [00:31:04] was for the American people President [00:31:07] Putin it was a long meeting positive [00:31:11] constructive lots of good things got [00:31:13] discussed in large part because the [00:31:15] president enjoyed a positive [00:31:17] relationship with President Putin uh [00:31:20] from his first term in office and that [00:31:23] then evolved into a in into a positive [00:31:27] conversation with the [00:31:30] president on a telephone call uh from [00:31:33] the White [00:31:35] House and then there was a positive [00:31:37] conversation with President zinski so I [00:31:40] think okay see a lot of this is again I [00:31:43] just wanted to highlight that for like [00:31:44] four minutes because what is he really [00:31:47] saying re like really like there's no [00:31:49] details like e even with the Israel [00:31:52] Palestine or Israel uh Hamas ceasefire [00:31:56] prog uh process we had Salient bullet [00:32:00] points um of of what the actual peace [00:32:03] process will look like so um I I did see [00:32:06] a really good point and because there's [00:32:09] nothing like solid or concrete if you [00:32:11] follow Russian uh telegram channels I [00:32:14] did like this post they just made um [00:32:18] from ryar in English based on the recent [00:32:21] speeches of our president and the [00:32:22] American there is a strong and this is a [00:32:24] Russian telegram channel uh that does [00:32:25] like geopolitics and stuff sometimes [00:32:27] agree with ryar in English sometimes I'm [00:32:29] like H but this was a really good point [00:32:31] based on the recent speeches of our [00:32:33] president and the American there's a [00:32:34] strong impression that a peace agreement [00:32:36] will be reached but not in May as [00:32:38] expected we think this will happen [00:32:40] closer to the end of the year beginning [00:32:43] of next year that's kind of more of a [00:32:45] reasonable I mean these things take time [00:32:48] there's a lot of political entanglements [00:32:50] Europe and we're about to get there in a [00:32:52] second is not Towing the line on this [00:32:55] they do not want this war to like and [00:32:58] and be seen to have lost and have their [00:33:00] uh uh the rest of Europe exposed to [00:33:03] Russian expansionism as they see it um [00:33:06] there are too many obstacles in reaching [00:33:07] such an agreement now the um armed [00:33:09] forces of Ukraine is being reinforced [00:33:12] supplies are ongoing yes because Biden [00:33:15] the Biden admin Administration did some [00:33:17] future proofing of the war in Ukraine [00:33:19] with funding packages so there're still [00:33:21] being reforced reinforced with the [00:33:23] supplies and Europe does not want to [00:33:25] surrender so in the spring some of this [00:33:28] year we are likely to see a new phase [00:33:30] attempt of the AFU offensive again armed [00:33:33] forces of Ukraine for which reserves are [00:33:35] now being hastily accumulated so [00:33:41] yep um you know and one of the [00:33:44] interesting things is uh there's the [00:33:47] Biden Administration was [00:33:50] pressuring a uh the Armed Forces of [00:33:53] Ukraine to lower the conscription age to [00:33:56] 18 right now [00:33:58] it's it's 25 and [00:34:01] if and I and I'm not sure if uh the [00:34:04] Biden Administration will Frontline [00:34:08] Training was successful in that but I [00:34:10] know that the Ukrainian government if [00:34:11] they don't want to fight they're going [00:34:12] to have to start conscripting people [00:34:14] younger but there's not a lot of young [00:34:16] people [00:34:18] left yeah this is just them doing some [00:34:21] trench fighting basic [00:34:23] stuff clearly don't know how to handle [00:34:25] their weapons [00:34:28] Vitali admits he didn't choose to [00:34:34] come I got called up at first I was in [00:34:37] shock but then well I [00:34:40] understood meanwhile the battlefield [00:34:42] grows ever more physically [00:34:44] demanding in just a year and a half of [00:34:46] this war Everything's changed soldiers [00:34:48] Walk For Miles because if you drive a [00:34:50] drone will spot your car and you're done [00:34:51] for yet Ukraine is resisting calls from [00:34:55] the US and others to bring the age of [00:34:56] mobilization down from 25 to 18 there [00:34:59] are military recruitment posters in [00:35:01] front of this prestigious key of [00:35:03] University but few of the students here [00:35:05] favor lowering the draft age as for me I [00:35:09] just feel I'm not yet ready I'm not [00:35:11] grown up [00:35:13] yet' already got that's definitely a [00:35:16] more responsible approach than than the [00:35:19] US military like I went through basic [00:35:21] training when I was 18 and I felt I felt [00:35:23] ready this guy's clearly more self-aware [00:35:26] also doesn't want to die in the front [00:35:27] lines so yeah I get I get that huge [00:35:29] systemic labor shortage in all sectors [00:35:31] it could paralyze our [00:35:33] economy perhaps the biggest problem with [00:35:35] drafting 18 to 25s though is demographic [00:35:38] says Anna OIP chuk from the sociology [00:35:41] faculty this cohort is the least [00:35:43] populated there are more children and [00:35:45] there are more adults so really if we [00:35:48] draw heavily from these cohorts it won't [00:35:52] really help the situation but it will [00:35:54] damage the future too much ukra ukine [00:35:57] would rather see its young people have [00:35:59] children and raise families than die in [00:36:02] battle something to consider though even [00:36:04] though Trump's pushing for this [00:36:05] negotiation as I said f uh before you [00:36:08] know we don't really have any [00:36:11] details a lot of people are saying it's [00:36:12] going to take some time it's a hugely [00:36:14] complicated issue any peace talks and [00:36:16] the Russians said outright they don't [00:36:17] want like this ceasefire of convenience [00:36:21] they want it to be longterm if they [00:36:22] finally sign it it needs to be longterm [00:36:25] and has guarantors in France Europe uh [00:36:29] uh France Germany the rest of the [00:36:31] European Union guarantees from them and [00:36:34] so look the summer of this year there's [00:36:38] a possibility uh we're likely to see a [00:36:40] new phase attempt of the AFU offensive [00:36:43] so the Armed Forces of Ukraine May [00:36:45] attack again something close to along [00:36:47] the lines of what we saw in KK the KK [00:36:50] offensive from last summer uh which we [00:36:53] said was going to fail and not really [00:36:56] have any long long-term gains that's [00:36:59] exactly what happened so they'll [00:37:01] probably in order to put pressure on the [00:37:03] peace process probably try another [00:37:06] spearhead thrust or potentially try [00:37:08] another spearhead uh thrust into Russian [00:37:11] lines to try to regain some lost [00:37:13] territory and come from a stronger [00:37:15] bargaining [00:37:17] position um going into the negotiations [00:37:20] so a summer offensive it's it's [00:37:23] generally what happens in the summer in [00:37:24] Europe after all the Snows have melted [00:37:27] um you know they'll try to grab some [00:37:28] territories enter negotiations and you [00:37:31] know their leadership will try to [00:37:33] improve its position by completing the [00:37:35] liberation of DPR and LPR uh from their [00:37:38] perspective so here of course there are [00:37:40] many nuances since like Ukraine is led [00:37:44] by say rather inadequate authorities who [00:37:47] may do something unexpected like [00:37:49] something as fool hearty as like the Cur [00:37:51] Invasion but in the end everything is [00:37:53] moving towards an agreement there's not [00:37:55] much you Ukraine [00:37:58] like Israel cannot be supported without [00:38:02] U direct US military support and even [00:38:06] though Europe's done more to support [00:38:08] Ukraine than we have just by the Numbers [00:38:11] doesn't really mean uh yeah they can [00:38:14] keep keep doing without us so like the [00:38:17] Europe is kind of preparing for this uh [00:38:21] post America or NATO is preparing for a [00:38:24] post amera Alliance let's look at the [00:38:27] German uh Chancellor speaking today o um [00:38:33] afd almost won but a a slightly less [00:38:35] far-right conservative government is in [00:38:38] there right now so this is about him and [00:38:41] European solidarity Germany and France [00:38:43] are like the two big leader nations of [00:38:46] the uh European Union so we will look to [00:38:48] them for leadership going forward in a [00:38:52] post am NATO if it comes to that the [00:38:54] abute [00:39:00] Fredrick Ms incoming Chancellor for [00:39:03] Germany he is also an ex Black Rock [00:39:05] executive so that's [00:39:24] fun oh sorry sorry um I know Bunch you [00:39:27] guys listen uh so let me let me go ahead [00:39:30] and narrate this for you um let me turn [00:39:32] down the German uh my grandmother tried [00:39:35] to teach me but I was a horrible student [00:39:37] so uh let's just let's just look at the [00:39:39] subtitles the absolute priority absolute [00:39:41] priority from my perspective is the [00:39:43] Europeans come to an understanding agree [00:39:45] and Stand United amongst themselves [00:39:47] currently a significant uh part of [00:39:49] European politics is taking place [00:39:51] without Germany this has of course [00:39:53] something to do with the election [00:39:55] campaign and it's inter [00:39:57] pH but I'm in close communication with [00:40:01] many prime ministers heads of state and [00:40:03] government leaders from the EU and for [00:40:05] me the absolute priority will be to as [00:40:08] quickly as possible strengthen Europe so [00:40:10] that we can step by step achieve true [00:40:13] independent from the USA this is the [00:40:16] first time we're hearing that keep this [00:40:18] in mind as we go [00:40:21] forward I would never believe that like [00:40:24] this on a television show I'd have to [00:40:25] say something like this but after the [00:40:26] statements from Donald Trump last [00:40:29] week it's clear that the Americans at [00:40:32] least this part of the Americans This [00:40:33] Administration is largely indifferent to [00:40:35] the fate of [00:40:36] Europe can't really argue with that I [00:40:39] mean I don't think they want to be [00:40:40] completely separated from Europe but [00:40:42] they're definitely trying to get [00:40:43] something out of it so I'm very curious [00:40:45] to see how we will approach the NATO [00:40:48] Summit at the end of June yes there are [00:40:50] not going to be too many more [00:40:51] developments on this until the NATO [00:40:53] Summit itself this [00:40:55] summer whether we still be talking about [00:40:58] nato in its current form whether we need [00:41:00] to establish much more quickly [00:41:03] independent European Defense [00:41:06] capabilities uh so this is an absolute [00:41:08] priority for me and I have no Illusions [00:41:10] whatsoever about what is happening from [00:41:13] America just look at the most recent [00:41:15] events what a certain Mr Elon Musk has [00:41:18] done in terms of interventions in the [00:41:20] German election campaign um this is an [00:41:22] unprecedented occurrence intervention [00:41:25] from Washington no dramatic and [00:41:29] drastic ultimately Brazen that the [00:41:32] interventions we have seen in Moscow we [00:41:34] are under such massive pressure from [00:41:36] both sides and that's my absolute [00:41:38] priority now is just truly to establish [00:41:41] unity in Europe and this is intention [00:41:44] like this is intention with a lot of um [00:41:49] you know far-right nationalist movements [00:41:52] through in in Italy in France really [00:41:55] questioning you know the European Union [00:41:58] and you know from a leftist perspective [00:42:00] I'm not a big fan of the EU uh but it's [00:42:03] really interesting say seeing that this [00:42:04] is an un unprecedented tension between [00:42:07] this idea of paneuropean [00:42:10] multiculturalism and far-right [00:42:12] nationalism that's picking up currently [00:42:15] so um yeah I [00:42:17] think Germany the United States are all [00:42:20] on a political inflection point and [00:42:22] something that we haven't seen before [00:42:23] also I don't know if you guys were [00:42:24] tracking this the UN resol [00:42:28] olution was uh put forward to condemn [00:42:31] Russia's invasion of Ukraine today [00:42:33] Monday or tomorrow if you're across the [00:42:36] Atlantic uh the US voted against a UN [00:42:39] resolution today condemning Russia's [00:42:41] invasion of Ukraine siding with Moscow [00:42:44] and other non-democratic countries like [00:42:47] North Korea bellarus and Sudan and the [00:42:49] non-democratic countries thing of course [00:42:52] what had to be put in there by the media [00:42:54] so I mean not necessarily disagreeing [00:42:56] but why it matters okay so first of all [00:42:59] the Trump Administration has found [00:43:00] itself increasingly isolated on the [00:43:03] world stage and SE sees to broker peace [00:43:06] on the third anniversary of the war in [00:43:08] Ukraine uh three a three-page resolution [00:43:11] presented by Ukraine condemned Russia's [00:43:13] aggression and called for the complete [00:43:15] and unconditional withdrawal of Russian [00:43:16] forces from the Ukrainian [00:43:18] territory okay um yeah the US was just [00:43:22] one of 18 countries to vote against the [00:43:24] resolution and so just to pull up a map [00:43:27] here if you just want to take a break [00:43:29] from doing what you're doing and look at [00:43:30] the screen all right in [00:43:35] favor uh okay so we got [00:43:38] Orange [00:43:39] um everywhere in Europe except what [00:43:43] what's that bellus Hungary uh one Baltic [00:43:47] State I don't know why I'm blanking on [00:43:49] my Baltic geography right now and then [00:43:51] the US [00:43:53] Panama and um wait is that Panama yeah [00:43:56] okay so and then some um very [00:44:00] pro-russia countries in the Sahel of [00:44:02] course they're um getting a lot of [00:44:05] military support from Russia that this [00:44:08] is obviously how they would vote North [00:44:09] Korea yes yes yes obviously North Korea [00:44:13] has uh an increased defense relationship [00:44:16] with Russia and yeah so that's [00:44:19] interesting and of course oh yeah guess [00:44:22] who also voted um to not recognize uh [00:44:27] this wording for the resolution Israel [00:44:30] Israel is going to vote for the United [00:44:31] States because the United States has [00:44:33] been voting for Israel at the UN however [00:44:36] it wasn't a security Council resolution [00:44:38] so it passed yes someone asked Hungary [00:44:42] yes Victor [00:44:43] orbon in Hungary is very very pro- [00:44:47] Russia so that's not surprising at all [00:44:51] now what's interesting here is the [00:44:53] European Unity so um all of the [00:44:56] including turkey Turkey um historically [00:44:59] a regional Ally of Russia even though [00:45:01] they have a complicated history of [00:45:02] fighting each other [00:45:05] um voted with the majority of un [00:45:08] countries to condemn it so in recent [00:45:11] days you know when these efforts failed [00:45:13] the US is starting to push numerous [00:45:15] countries to instead support a rival [00:45:17] resolution that mourned the loss of life [00:45:20] and called for a swift end to the [00:45:22] conflict the us back resolution which [00:45:24] was just three paragraphs did not blame [00:45:26] Russia for starting the war quote a [00:45:28] simple historic statement from the [00:45:30] general assembly that looks forward not [00:45:31] backwards a res a resolution focused on [00:45:35] one simple idea ending the war unquote [00:45:38] acting un Ambassador Dorothy Shay said [00:45:40] in a speech urging member states to [00:45:42] adopt the resolution so basically the [00:45:45] European amendments were then adopted [00:45:47] with the support of 53 member states [00:45:50] forcing the us into the awkward position [00:45:53] of abstaining from its own draft [00:45:55] resolution so was introduced then it had [00:45:58] to get amended and you know us abstained [00:46:01] from that one but I'd rather not explain [00:46:02] it now uh but it's sort of self-evident [00:46:06] I think Trump told supporters Monday [00:46:08] when asked why the US opposed Ukraine's [00:46:11] resolution you know and this matters [00:46:13] because this dramatic change in US [00:46:16] policy towards Russia has shocked [00:46:19] Ukraine Europe it's fueling fears Among [00:46:22] Us allies that the Trump Administration [00:46:24] was side with Moscow as it tries to [00:46:26] negotiate and end with conflict I think [00:46:28] it's already sided with Moscow the Trump [00:46:30] Administration has cast a shadow of [00:46:31] dealt not only across in battle Kev but [00:46:34] across an entire continent that has [00:46:36] trusted the US for decades at its most [00:46:39] powerful protector and partner and [00:46:41] that's why NATO is preparing for a post- [00:46:44] Amer Alliance and all of this you know [00:46:47] Trump has had a bone to pick with NATO [00:46:49] for [00:46:50] years right um he set it on his first [00:46:54] Administration and what's interesting [00:46:56] about the you know part of it is trying [00:46:59] to get more buddy buddy with Russia and [00:47:00] have a better security relationship to [00:47:02] isolate them from China that's a little [00:47:04] more to get into but I don't see it [00:47:07] happening it's already too late as I [00:47:08] said [00:47:09] before what's interesting is Trump by [00:47:13] gutting us [00:47:14] Aid and rolling it into the state [00:47:17] department under Marco Rubio there goes [00:47:19] our soft power there goes any pretense [00:47:21] that you know all these nonprofit NOS [00:47:24] that support opposition groups and other [00:47:25] countries whose government we don't like [00:47:28] uh is is no longer has a degree of [00:47:30] separation from the actual State [00:47:32] Department is crazy so there goes our [00:47:35] one instrument of soft power one of our [00:47:37] instruments of soft power uh which I'm [00:47:39] not going to cry about uh that's gone [00:47:42] and now NATO NATO is a US institution [00:47:47] NATO is an arm of US foreign policy and [00:47:49] this signals a massive [00:47:52] shift from this idea of North Atlant IC [00:47:57] expansionism and again reorienting [00:48:00] toward Western Hemisphere bully wagging [00:48:03] uh bullying Greenland Panama and any [00:48:05] other country we don't like reimposing [00:48:07] sanctions on Cuba and [00:48:09] Venezuela H and refocusing on keeping [00:48:12] China out of our backyard in the Western [00:48:15] Hemisphere and isolating them over the [00:48:17] straight of Taiwan Japan and South Korea [00:48:19] so yeah [00:48:22] um yeah so I guess we saw Frederick Murs [00:48:26] the center right leader who just was [00:48:28] elected for Germany uh said that his [00:48:31] priority will be to strengthen Europe as [00:48:33] quickly as possible to achieve real [00:48:34] independence from the [00:48:36] USA I don't think I've ever seen someone [00:48:39] say something as bold as that but it [00:48:41] just really goes to show that again my [00:48:44] premise at the beginning was [00:48:46] Trump while operating himself as this [00:48:49] Peacemaker that can get something done [00:48:51] um is interesting because he packages [00:48:55] like the expanding of us power and [00:48:58] Empire [00:49:00] um that's that's the brand but when he's [00:49:03] actually doing it he's actually [00:49:04] dismantling it so uh cool I don't think [00:49:08] this bodess well for the US Empire which [00:49:11] a lot of people should be rightly [00:49:13] excited about and yeah we'll just have [00:49:15] to wait and see when it comes to like [00:49:16] this this Russia thing like we have had [00:49:18] mron and British prime minister Kier [00:49:20] starmer U you know who will also be [00:49:23] visiting Trump this week apparently uh [00:49:25] they're among several European leaders [00:49:27] who have signaled that they're prepared [00:49:28] to boost defense spending as Trump steps [00:49:33] back and you know starmer himself I [00:49:34] don't if you remember from last week is [00:49:36] committed to putting boots on the ground [00:49:38] if necessary to guarantee Ukraine's [00:49:41] safety [00:49:43] um European leaders have been discussing [00:49:45] potential post-war reassurance for force [00:49:47] to be deployed to Ukraine to deter [00:49:49] against Russia renewed aggression it's [00:49:51] bunch of saber rattling um again I don't [00:49:54] I don't think a ceasefire deal is going [00:49:55] to happen as quickly people hope and [00:49:58] then NATO um allies are in a stage of [00:50:00] anger denial and despair after Pete Heth [00:50:04] last week effectively declared an end to [00:50:06] America's role as the primary guarantor [00:50:09] of European security particularly over [00:50:13] Ukraine what a post [00:50:16] US security situation will look like [00:50:19] nobody knows um they're scrambling to [00:50:22] figure it out there'll be the NATO [00:50:24] Summit in June but before that it's all [00:50:27] speculation so basically though why it [00:50:30] matters is you know Trump's dramatic [00:50:32] change in US policy towards [00:50:34] Russia um you know will side with Moscow [00:50:38] overtly this is a completely completely [00:50:41] different foreign policy footing that's [00:50:43] existed since the post World War II era [00:50:46] and that's crazy uh us Empire continues [00:50:48] to decline um I I wouldn't worry too [00:50:50] much about the mineral [00:50:52] stuff uh I I'm not sure if that's going [00:50:54] to happen that seems more like if a uh [00:50:58] more like a negotiation leveraging [00:51:00] technique so uh yeah someone said so [00:51:03] freaking [00:51:04] excited [00:51:06] yeah um do you think we're closer to or [00:51:10] further from World War III than we were [00:51:11] six months ago well I don't think um [00:51:16] well it depends what Trump intends for [00:51:17] Iran I don't I think that's the next [00:51:19] flash point again I've talked ad nauseum [00:51:23] on this platform about why a Invasion or [00:51:27] attack on Iran is unviable it's not just [00:51:30] my position it's even the position of [00:51:32] really really hawkish think tanks like [00:51:34] uh the sabon center for Middle East [00:51:37] studies uh you know owned by Heim Saban [00:51:40] the uh ex IDF Soldier Zionist [00:51:42] billionaire who owns Universal Studios [00:51:44] even think tanks funded by him are like [00:51:46] war with Iran is probably not going to [00:51:48] be a great idea and then of course you [00:51:51] know the Atlantic Council and you know [00:51:54] the the the center for strategic and [00:51:55] independent or international studies the [00:51:58] csis put out a war games an analytical [00:52:03] report last year that says in three [00:52:06] weeks in a shooting war with China over [00:52:09] Taiwan the us is going to run out of [00:52:12] Munitions so I don't know what can we to [00:52:16] accomplish it however just like the cold [00:52:18] war it's not a cold war for a lot of [00:52:21] people like I I think World War II [00:52:25] didn't look like World War I World War [00:52:27] III is not going to look like World War [00:52:28] II i' I've heard some knowledgeable [00:52:32] people assert that we're already in [00:52:34] World War I it's just going to be more [00:52:36] of like a cold war situation which is a [00:52:38] really Western Centric way to frame it [00:52:41] because the cold war was in fact a hot [00:52:43] War for a lot of people um I don't think [00:52:46] it will do we'll see any big great power [00:52:50] escalation in the near future so like us [00:52:53] China Russia I don't see that happening [00:52:56] um [00:52:59] yes he canceled the election uh [00:53:01] imprisoned political opposition imprison [00:53:03] priests even that's very dictator like [00:53:06] well hey you know um we might see that [00:53:09] in America and people will still be [00:53:12] calling us a democracy no no no I was I [00:53:14] was I'm not I'm not refuting any of this [00:53:17] I was just saying a lot of Trump's [00:53:20] comments on his unhinged Kanye westes [00:53:24] Twitter post was Miss leading and that's [00:53:27] all I was addressing so he made other [00:53:30] political parties illegal for Christ [00:53:31] sakes yeah [00:53:34] um again his approval rating is still [00:53:37] pretty high but it's kind of rich I I [00:53:40] kind of resist anytime that [00:53:43] uh Trump calls people a dictator because [00:53:46] he so clearly wants to be one um what's [00:53:50] the triple lock [00:53:53] system what hang on [00:54:06] it's a it's a [00:54:08] lock wait is this some sort of domestic [00:54:11] Ireland policy thing that I'm completely [00:54:13] blanking on I'm not sure exactly what [00:54:14] that is uh one thing about uh yeah well [00:54:19] zalinsky is uh you know just carried on [00:54:21] policies by the first nationalist leader [00:54:23] that took power after uh yukos shenko [00:54:27] uh left in [00:54:29] 2014 and yeah you know we've seen I I [00:54:33] mentioned the videos of you know the [00:54:35] Goon squads driving up and taking [00:54:37] military AED men off the streets and [00:54:41] putting them to the front lines I think [00:54:43] ending the war is a way to reestablish a [00:54:47] lack of authoritarianism but yeah it's [00:54:51] hard to say that any anyone that cancels [00:54:53] elections is still a democracy and you [00:54:55] know there have been a lot of [00:54:56] accusations that the system was rigged [00:54:58] in the first place but I haven't seen [00:55:00] any Concrete Hard Evidence of that but [00:55:02] yes not to mention the US Le coup at [00:55:05] least supported coup um um I haven't [00:55:08] seen any compelling evidence that it was [00:55:11] completely initiated by the United [00:55:13] States I know a lot of our Q attempts [00:55:16] are basically opportunistic in nature [00:55:18] but um yeah to say that the United [00:55:20] States wasn't involved in that coup or [00:55:23] you know the coup that established the [00:55:25] hashimite German uh monarchy and Jordan [00:55:28] yeah fingerprints all over that one [00:55:33] um sad to see the Silver Spoon [00:55:36] boyfriends on the Duran lose credibility [00:55:38] with their sycophantic love and for the [00:55:40] musk Trump billionaire foxes in the henh [00:55:42] house [00:55:45] um Russia is also reporting widespread [00:55:48] incidents of war crimes I guess [00:55:49] investigations are pending I follow [00:55:51] Russian and Ukrainian [00:55:53] channels uh everybody's doing war crimes [00:55:56] in in that fight like both sides are [00:55:59] like not taking prisoners so if people [00:56:01] are in a trench line whether it's [00:56:03] Russian or Ukrainian and they take a [00:56:04] position people put up their hands [00:56:05] they're just getting shot uh I've [00:56:07] personally see War crims being [00:56:10] perpetuated on both sides that's [00:56:11] something to expect during a conflict [00:56:13] like this doesn't excuse them but yeah [00:56:16] everybody's doing that right [00:56:21] now uh Samantha Wy Pro Russia is just a [00:56:24] label you put on anything you don't like [00:56:26] like hate speech I'm sure you understand [00:56:28] that yeah Pro Russia it's kind of like a [00:56:30] like what do you do you hate democracy [00:56:32] you hate Freedom bro sound like [00:56:34] communist even though Russia's [00:56:36] not uh they've gone through a bunch of [00:56:39] capitalist reforms in the post Cold War [00:56:41] era but um why all the imperialists talk [00:56:45] this I thought this was a cooking show [00:56:49] um yeah it is a cooking show as as you [00:56:53] know the young the young kids say like [00:56:56] when you're cooking right um yeah sorry [00:56:59] about all the talk about imperialism [00:57:00] it's almost like it dominates so many [00:57:02] lives and policies around the world I [00:57:06] fully agree with the idea that NATO [00:57:07] expansion led to this but once Russia [00:57:08] invaded zinsky did what any leader would [00:57:11] do martial law no elections and no [00:57:13] groups infiltrated by Russia it's not a [00:57:16] it's not an unvalid [00:57:18] Point um and you know there were plenty [00:57:21] of infiltrated groups by Russia [00:57:24] especially in the dboss region [00:57:27] uh there's a whole bunch of historical [00:57:29] precedents for suspending elections [00:57:31] during wartime I'm really not so sure [00:57:34] that that was the best information play [00:57:36] uh the best PR stunt to do especially [00:57:40] when you're framing this as a fight for [00:57:43] democracy over the authoritarian [00:57:45] autocratic nature of Putin uh but then [00:57:48] again Ukrainian information operations [00:57:49] are not as good as they were a couple [00:57:51] years ago I think they're getting burnt [00:57:52] out [00:57:54] um did you see Zary Z Jeffrey sack's [00:57:58] pres [00:57:59] presentation to the EU Parliament um I [00:58:02] heard about it I heard like Danny hyong [00:58:05] reference it and some other people but [00:58:08] no I Haven I haven't watched that yet [00:58:09] but I guess I'll do that after this um [00:58:11] Peace through War love through hate what [00:58:13] else we got Trump called it a ridiculous [00:58:16] War I mean I think most wars that have [00:58:18] happened in the modern era are [00:58:19] completely [00:58:20] ridiculous [00:58:22] um yes [00:58:27] okay zinsky was elected in 2018 to end [00:58:29] the civil war in Ukraine but was ramped [00:58:31] up instead the US NATO is to blame for [00:58:33] what's happening in Ukraine zilinski was [00:58:35] only a puppet and as I said at the [00:58:37] beginning of this episode the fact that [00:58:40] ukrainians and Ukrainian officials [00:58:42] aren't even involved in the peace talks [00:58:44] at this point really goes to show you [00:58:47] that this is [00:58:48] probably probably an American project [00:58:51] you know it was it was an American [00:58:53] Adventure uh to see if they could weaken [00:58:55] Russia you know to isolate them [00:58:58] economically politically and to use the [00:59:00] [ __ ] and to use the massive option of [00:59:03] annihilation to Exile them from the [00:59:05] Swift banking system it didn't work none [00:59:08] of this has worked so yes I do think as [00:59:11] much as I loathe Trump as a fascist [00:59:13] clown this is a more sane Russia Ukraine [00:59:17] policy it is it is um of course [00:59:21] ukrainians are I mean hopefully the war [00:59:25] will stop but I do worry that you know [00:59:28] Trump will try to basically steal all [00:59:31] their resources which would help them [00:59:32] rebuild their economy after after a war [00:59:35] of attrition so [00:59:38] yeah NATO the Irish government and the [00:59:40] UN have to agree to sending troops to uh [00:59:44] to peacekeeping I don't know if they [00:59:46] sign if they sign a peace agreement you [00:59:48] know you would expect Russia to follow [00:59:50] it [00:59:52] um especially with all that's writing [00:59:54] State uh everything that's going on [00:59:56] right now especially if they have [00:59:58] a if they get a good deal which [01:00:02] seems Seems likely but the Europe is [01:00:05] pretty demilitarized right now you know [01:00:08] you need a lot of troops to to secure [01:00:11] that border in a peacekeeping operation [01:00:14] so who where are they going to get the [01:00:15] troops from man um tens hundreds of [01:00:19] thousands so Russia has to come away [01:00:21] with some Ukraine territory agreement [01:00:24] which means the war will never [01:00:26] and yeah well um a lot of learned people [01:00:30] think this will end in a frozen conflict [01:00:33] just because Trump says there's going to [01:00:35] be a peace agreement just because Russia [01:00:38] seems to be hopeful or Russian officials [01:00:40] seem to be hopeful this is a massively [01:00:43] complicated uh thing to [01:00:45] end especially with like maybe if Russia [01:00:48] had some massive decisive Victory but [01:00:51] it's a war of attrition trench line to [01:00:52] trench line and just like that the whole [01:00:55] politic process of implementing a [01:00:57] ceasefire is also going to be a slog the [01:00:59] most Salient thing to take away from [01:01:00] this is the security um situation in [01:01:04] Europe has changed forever it is the [01:01:08] end of an era and any supposition on [01:01:12] what that's going to look like is moot [01:01:14] at this point I think a ceasefire by may [01:01:17] may be a little too [01:01:18] optimistic [01:01:20] so uh yeah we'll see and we hope to end [01:01:23] the violence and end all wars and you [01:01:25] know know if Trump wants to you know [01:01:28] isolate us from NATO destroy [01:01:32] usaid um millions of people will be [01:01:35] fatally affected by that uh because of [01:01:40] course we leverage Medical Aid and [01:01:42] support to governments to in order to [01:01:44] coers them to do what we want them to do [01:01:46] but I don't know it's the end of an era [01:01:49] there's going to be consequences for a [01:01:50] lot of innocent people hopefully this [01:01:53] Empire ends and we can become just a [01:01:56] regular old nation state instead of a [01:02:00] bloodthirsty extractive power in the [01:02:03] world so um I think Trump's a good uh [01:02:06] vehicle for that just like Netanyahu is [01:02:07] a good vehicle for exposing the Israeli [01:02:10] state for what it is and uh hopefully [01:02:12] ending that project soon as well well [01:02:14] thank you so much just wanted to get [01:02:16] into that thing for today I wish I could [01:02:19] give more of a detailed prognosis about [01:02:22] what the future holds but yeah but we [01:02:25] only had an hour [01:02:26] and this is completely Uncharted [01:02:28] Territory it's unprecedented what we're [01:02:30] seeing right now so should be [01:02:31] interesting to watch over the next [01:02:33] coming months and again be looking out [01:02:35] for the NATO Summit in June that's [01:02:37] really going to give us a good idea [01:02:38] about what to look like going forward [01:02:42] and we will see you next Monday all [01:02:46] right cheers y'all have a good week and [01:02:49] try to stay mentally healthy amongst the [01:02:52] madness have a good night
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[00:00:16] [Music] [00:00:39] [Music] [00:01:04] [Music] [00:01:12] [Music] [00:01:31] okay what the hell was that that was a a [00:01:34] very tropical relaxing uh phone music [00:01:37] that we had there on the intro don't [00:01:39] know what happened there anyway sorry [00:01:41] guys um my camera little my fancy camera [00:01:45] is broken so we're gonna be dealing with [00:01:47] low resolution today but we have some [00:01:49] nice videos queued up for you um and I [00:01:52] know most of y'all listen to the audio [00:01:53] only anyway so it really doesn't matter [00:01:56] uh hello and welcome to state of play on [00:02:00] Press News and our weekly post-weekend [00:02:02] rollup where we pick apart the insanity [00:02:05] that is intentionally made to happen [00:02:07] over the weekend while the voting public [00:02:10] is not paying attention the biggest [00:02:12] development on the international stage [00:02:14] right now is the Ukrainian Russian [00:02:17] ceasefire or peace talks negotiations [00:02:20] and the media frenzy surrounding them [00:02:22] and this [00:02:24] Monday [00:02:25] marks year three the third year the [00:02:29] three Year anniv sorry I know I can't [00:02:31] words I'm not words in correctly right [00:02:34] now this Monday marks the three-year [00:02:37] anniversary since February 24th [00:02:40] 2022 when Russian troops invaded [00:02:43] Sovereign Ukrainian territory and of [00:02:45] course history did not start on that day [00:02:48] that's just when we started track um the [00:02:52] general public I'll say started tracking [00:02:54] what was happening on uh what was [00:02:57] happening in that part of the world uh [00:02:58] so uh after about three years hundreds [00:03:01] of thousands dead a nearly 20% loss of [00:03:04] territory and now the potential American [00:03:07] plundering of Ukraine's natural [00:03:09] resources the Ukrainian and European [00:03:11] governments are starting to comprehend [00:03:14] what the Kurds know America ain't got no [00:03:18] friends or it's dangerous being a friend [00:03:19] of America so there's a quote actually [00:03:22] this reminds me uh attributed to Henry [00:03:25] Kissinger war criminal beloved by [00:03:27] America's ruling class uh that goes it [00:03:30] may be dangerous and this is a quote I [00:03:33] quote it may be dangerous to be [00:03:34] America's enemy but to be America's [00:03:37] friend is fatal or deadly now there's no [00:03:40] like direct proof of him actually saying [00:03:42] that it's mostly anecdotal but we do [00:03:44] have him actually saying quote America [00:03:47] has no permanent friends or enemies only [00:03:50] interests and you know he also said a [00:03:53] country that demands moral perfection [00:03:55] and its foreign policy will achieve [00:03:57] neither Perfection nor security and he [00:04:00] also said the illegal we do immediately [00:04:04] the unconstitutional takes a little [00:04:06] longer unquote so anyways I thought [00:04:09] these were appropo of this subject since [00:04:11] he was a neoliberal warlord and helped [00:04:13] establish the post-war US foreign policy [00:04:15] Playbook into the modern era we've got [00:04:19] interventionism secret proxy wars coups [00:04:22] and engendering exploitable corruption [00:04:24] in foreign governments all part and [00:04:27] parcel of the US toolkit to leverage our [00:04:30] vast resources and political power to [00:04:33] maintain hegemony the problem is the US [00:04:37] has been failing and publicly uh it it [00:04:40] appears that the Vietnam War uh that [00:04:43] kiss andur started out supporting then [00:04:45] came to see as a drag on American power [00:04:48] was not a one-off the fraudulent war in [00:04:50] Iraq the 20-year failure in [00:04:52] Afghanistan uh the self-destructive [00:04:54] policy towards Israel that we've seen [00:04:57] perpetuate over 15 months of genocide [00:04:59] finally the failure of this Ukrainian [00:05:02] Enterprise and I call it an Enterprise [00:05:05] um because all pretense is gone that the [00:05:08] US ever cared about Ukrainian [00:05:10] sovereignty Beyond rhetorical talking [00:05:12] points and the isolation and dissolution [00:05:15] of Russia um why then are the ukrainians [00:05:18] publicly not involved in their own peace [00:05:20] process let's put on some b-roll please [00:05:23] why is Trump demanding 50% mineral [00:05:26] rights from ukrainians [00:05:30] you know that it just kind of seems you [00:05:33] know if we're concerned about like [00:05:35] sovereignty um yeah sovereignty indeed [00:05:38] the useful thing about President Trump [00:05:39] is that he has an ability to package the [00:05:42] dismantling of the United States Empire [00:05:46] of yeah as the building of the United [00:05:50] States Empire we're going to end Wars [00:05:52] we're going to take over Greenland the [00:05:54] Panama Canal alienate our Canadian Ally [00:05:57] to the north by calling it our 51st [00:05:59] States um you know we shall achieve [00:06:02] peace through strength by sending our [00:06:04] European allies into a tail spin by [00:06:07] demanding they contribute 5% of their [00:06:10] GDP their gross domestic product to [00:06:13] defense spending while the United States [00:06:15] which spends 40% of the world's combined [00:06:18] military budget it's only 3.4% of our [00:06:22] own GDP so we're asking them to spend [00:06:24] more than we do so peace through [00:06:27] strength is the tagline of the Trump [00:06:29] administ min's foreign policy even [00:06:31] though we have already passed the Event [00:06:32] Horizon of Imperial decline but don't be [00:06:35] fooled he is an imperialist to Heart [00:06:38] great Powers dominate the world so he [00:06:40] believes we will do what we want when we [00:06:42] can and we will be better than a scile [00:06:44] Biden Administration and we will recoup [00:06:46] our losses when we can like a corporate [00:06:50] Raider his administration's decision to [00:06:52] end the war in Ukraine is a transparent [00:06:54] attempt to raid Ukrainian mineral [00:06:56] resources that's kind of like a [00:06:57] byproduct he's like you know we've [00:06:59] already sunk this much money into it if [00:07:01] we can recoup some of our losses we'll [00:07:04] take it that's not the main thing behind [00:07:06] this uh it's to leverage the European [00:07:08] Union to pay their own way Co to Putin [00:07:12] for his own reasons and to draw Russia [00:07:14] closer to us interests and thereby take [00:07:17] them away from China thereby isolating [00:07:19] China we know that um they've put some [00:07:22] feelers in motion to arm Taiwan to a [00:07:26] greater extent uh we're going to pull up [00:07:27] an article in a bit if we have time at [00:07:29] the end where um you know taiwan's [00:07:31] looking to have like a hundred million [00:07:34] do weapons deal okay we'll check on the [00:07:38] figures but yes um arm Taiwan isolate [00:07:41] China if you can't tariff him maybe [00:07:43] maybe try to outmaneuver him but it [00:07:45] won't work the Biden [00:07:47] administration's [00:07:49] self-destructive hawkish policy in [00:07:51] Ukraine has already forced Russia even [00:07:54] irretrievably into China's orbit it's [00:07:56] not safe to you know be is olated by the [00:08:00] United States it's not safe to be our [00:08:01] enemy or our friends um and European [00:08:04] institutions are dissolving in real time [00:08:07] as right-wing nationalist movements are [00:08:09] attacking the framework of paneuropean [00:08:11] governance now Germany's far-right afd [00:08:13] party may not have triumphed outright in [00:08:16] these recent elections in Germany which [00:08:18] is significant because Germany's one of [00:08:20] the leaders of [00:08:21] Europe uh but it's doubled its support [00:08:23] in the strongest showing for a farri [00:08:26] party in Germany since World War II [00:08:28] projection showed so the fabric of [00:08:30] Europe is changing in real time so we [00:08:32] aren't entering some new age of Peace uh [00:08:35] but the status quo has been terminally [00:08:37] disrupted so join us tonight on state of [00:08:39] play to examine this historic inflection [00:08:43] point in detail so real quick while [00:08:45] everybody's [00:08:46] still filtering into the live mint press [00:08:49] is a non-corporate sponsored independent [00:08:52] Watchdog media Outlet Newsroom platform [00:08:55] whatever you want to call it these days [00:08:57] um and you know if you're picking up [00:08:59] what we're putting down consider [00:09:00] throwing us five bucks a month on [00:09:03] patreon um because that'd be cool it [00:09:07] help goes a long way to help support [00:09:09] what we do here and if you can't do that [00:09:10] or you don't want to or you don't want [00:09:12] subscriptions because you already have a [00:09:14] zillion subscriptions if you could just [00:09:16] like um if you could just like this live [00:09:20] and comment maybe that would also be [00:09:22] helpful because we're heavily Shadow [00:09:23] band and this pushes it out more into [00:09:25] the algorithm I see there's at least 500 [00:09:27] people watching at the beginning so [00:09:29] there should be 500 likes thanks guys [00:09:32] either way do what you want we're just [00:09:34] glad you are here all right uh hello [00:09:38] from Finland oh yes hello uh from [00:09:41] Finland you're up late wow okay I'm a [00:09:43] night owl too um so yeah I think I have [00:09:47] some b-roll of your prime minister [00:09:49] talking about how Europe needs to stick [00:09:51] together and you know that's interesting [00:09:53] since Finland was just added to Nato so [00:09:55] algorithm booster thank you guys oh hey [00:09:58] from Sydney whoa It's like probably oh [00:10:02] it's almost afternoon there wait no it's [00:10:04] not I'm I'm getting my my time zones [00:10:06] mixed up um cool got some people from [00:10:10] Puerto Rico welcome come one come all [00:10:13] this geopolitical issue affects you [00:10:15] everywhere in the world no matter where [00:10:17] you are from we got New York we got [00:10:20] Scotland and La um wow it's only 2 pm on [00:10:24] the East [00:10:25] Coast um looks like someone gets to work [00:10:27] from home that must be nice it's nice [00:10:30] okay so let's begin with the peace talk [00:10:34] drama and the [00:10:36] trumpan truth social post uh that [00:10:40] started all the hubub on Friday um this [00:10:44] past Friday so one second oh sorry [00:10:46] that's the NATO press release Let Me [00:10:50] Wait [00:10:51] what oh my god oh did I accidentally [00:10:54] exit [00:10:55] out okay sorry stand by guys look at [00:10:58] look at the fun photo that are playing [00:11:00] uh while we pull it up yes look at the [00:11:03] Fun photographs of of the K region okay [00:11:08] Donald Trump picking it [00:11:11] up okay so I don't know if you guys saw [00:11:14] today but Emanuel mccrone of France V uh [00:11:18] visited the White House [00:11:19] but and we'll get into that here in a [00:11:22] second I have found it that didn't take [00:11:23] me too long I are you like me and have [00:11:26] just like a zillion windows open at all [00:11:29] all times yeah because that's how I live [00:11:31] my life so present share [00:11:35] screen engage all right [00:11:41] so wait this should be [00:11:43] sharing okay so here we go this was you [00:11:46] know I feel like Donald Trump's kind of [00:11:48] like Kanye West where you know he [00:11:50] doesn't have a nitrous addiction like [00:11:51] Kanye West where like when he's coming [00:11:53] down off nitrous he just cro like posts [00:11:55] the most unhinged crap on Twitter but [00:11:57] like something's going on because he [00:11:59] posted this at like early in the morning [00:12:03] probably after his first cheeseburger at [00:12:05] after 9:00 [00:12:06] amm and this was from February 19th that [00:12:09] was last Wednesday so I don't know if [00:12:11] you guys saw it it's worth talking about [00:12:12] it because some of the things he says in [00:12:14] it are true some of it is just like [00:12:17] propaganda that I don't necessarily [00:12:18] agree with and um basically it's [00:12:22] basically endemic of US foreign policy [00:12:24] going forward now we're going to look at [00:12:25] conservative politicians in America that [00:12:27] have supported the Ukraine since the [00:12:28] beginning [00:12:29] spiraling to figure out how to shift [00:12:32] policies because they don't have any [00:12:34] political convictions Beyond um do what [00:12:37] Trump says so think of it a modestly [00:12:39] successful comedian zilinsky talked the [00:12:42] US United States of America to spending [00:12:45] $350 billion dollars to go into a war [00:12:47] that couldn't be won that never had to [00:12:50] start but a war that he without the US [00:12:52] and Trump I don't know why he calling [00:12:55] himself Trump in all caps and quotes [00:12:57] will never be able to settle [00:13:00] um a war that couldn't be won yeah [00:13:02] probably um that never had to start yeah [00:13:05] one of the more avoidable Wars that I've [00:13:07] seen in the modern era the United States [00:13:09] has spent two $0000 billion dollars more [00:13:11] than Europe This is not true Europe's [00:13:13] money is guaranteed well the United [00:13:15] States will get nothing back no they're [00:13:16] still in loans Europe's actually spent [00:13:18] more um than the United States why [00:13:21] didn't this sleepy Joe Biden demand [00:13:23] Equalization and that this war is far [00:13:25] more important to Europe than it is to [00:13:27] us uh I mean I would say that the [00:13:29] geopolitical reality is like yes um you [00:13:33] know if the United States withdraws its [00:13:35] military support from Europe they don't [00:13:37] really have a defense architecture and [00:13:39] an industrial base two wage of war [00:13:41] against Russia so I guess from their in [00:13:43] their minds if they believe into [00:13:46] the uh buy into the soup that like [00:13:48] Russia is a heedlessly imperialistic [00:13:50] nation that wants to like rule Europe [00:13:52] and some sort of reimagination of the [00:13:55] USSR that's insane but yes this is more [00:13:58] disturbing for Europe and we'll get into [00:14:00] that than it is for the United States we [00:14:01] we have a big we have a big beautiful [00:14:04] ocean there are many like it but this [00:14:06] one is mine uh as Separation on top of [00:14:09] this zinsky admits that half the money [00:14:12] he we sent him is missing um gonna have [00:14:14] to check those numbers I don't think [00:14:16] half of it's missing but yes there are [00:14:19] look we're not good at passing audits [00:14:21] okay when's the last time the Pentagon [00:14:23] accounted for all the money he refuses [00:14:25] to have elections is very low in [00:14:26] Ukrainian polls actually no he's polling [00:14:29] most polls uh agree that he uh he's [00:14:33] polling at [00:14:34] 57% which is like almost 10% if not 10% [00:14:38] higher than Trump is polling right now [00:14:41] uh he he did have elections uh he was [00:14:44] elected but uh yes the elections have [00:14:47] been postponed in [00:14:48] Wartime um and he was good at playing [00:14:51] Biden like a fiddle okay there's a bunch [00:14:52] of myths truths and half lies or [00:14:55] whatever you want to call them a [00:14:57] dictator without elections okay [00:14:59] I don't think most ukrainians I talk to [00:15:02] definitely don't consider him to be a [00:15:03] dictator and they definitely agree that [00:15:04] he was elected so we'll just going to [00:15:07] leave that there um he's not gonna have [00:15:10] a country left in the meantime we are [00:15:11] successfully negotiating end of the war [00:15:14] um something only Trump can do and the [00:15:17] Trump Administration uh but zalinski has [00:15:19] done a terrible job this country [00:15:21] shattered Millions have unnecessarily [00:15:22] died and so it continues okay gez well [00:15:25] way to throw our earthw Ally under the [00:15:28] bus you know [00:15:30] like no matter how you feel about [00:15:32] zilinski this was quite the ad [00:15:35] hominum uh so yeah zalinski did get a [00:15:41] bit of a a bump over the recent couple [00:15:43] days since since Trump has been coing up [00:15:45] the Putin and he's got a boost in his [00:15:48] own uh country specifically so um [00:15:52] yeah anyways that's just one thing that [00:15:55] now everyone is having to Pivot all [00:15:57] these people on the right who supported [00:15:59] Trump or supported Ukraine now have to [00:16:02] Grapple with uncomfortable Town Hall [00:16:04] meetings like a congressman from [00:16:07] Oklahoma yesterday at a town hall [00:16:09] meeting on Sunday personally do you [00:16:13] support Ukraine or [00:16:16] Russia well here's no it's not easy [00:16:20] ma'am it's not easy it's not [00:16:22] easyi a dictator yes or no that part I [00:16:26] have a problem with that statement yes [00:16:27] okay did Ukraine start the war even [00:16:30] though you're a warhog it's it's okay [00:16:34] well simple do you did Ukraine start the [00:16:38] war yes or no did Ukraine start the war [00:16:42] let him [00:16:44] answer maam I will just hang on what was [00:16:47] is that your question did they start the [00:16:49] war that's part of but I want to know [00:16:52] where you stand it's not part on Ukraine [00:16:55] or Russia we have been supporting zinsky [00:16:58] for years [00:16:59] 3 years [00:17:01] and Putin started this now we're [00:17:05] isolated or he is isolating America he [00:17:09] okay no no I'm just giving this as a [00:17:11] sample about what's going on within a [00:17:13] certain group of people within America [00:17:15] and their elected representatives I [00:17:17] don't expect you to agree with their [00:17:18] statement or understanding of the war in [00:17:20] Ukraine but it's interesting it's an [00:17:22] interesting moment he's [00:17:24] calling where do you let let me just say [00:17:27] this this is not the tactic that I would [00:17:29] use to try to solve the problem and I've [00:17:31] said that [00:17:32] [Music] [00:17:34] openly well they have a they have a lot [00:17:37] of rhetorical challenges ahead of them [00:17:39] so let's yeah we we're be beginning with [00:17:42] this um Peace talk drama but let's just [00:17:45] back up for a second about like you know [00:17:48] it being this authoritarian thing yes we [00:17:51] we do have reports and fairly compelling [00:17:53] evidence that there's forc conscriptions [00:17:55] and goon [00:17:56] squads um [00:17:59] you know rolling up in unmarked Vans to [00:18:02] take men off the street and force put a [00:18:04] rifle in their hands and stuff uh but [00:18:07] yeah you know zalinski was [00:18:09] elected um in uh not in 2024 that was uh [00:18:14] penko um but you know that was the first [00:18:17] uh presidency after um the overthrow of [00:18:21] the government and penko led the country [00:18:23] through the first phase of the war in [00:18:24] the [00:18:26] danas which is what they would call it [00:18:28] from a neoliberal sense the Russian [00:18:29] separatist forces into the donos region [00:18:31] he pushed them into the dboss region he [00:18:33] began the process of integration with [00:18:35] the European Union by signing European [00:18:38] Union Ukraine Association agreement that [00:18:41] wasn't like a red line for Russia [00:18:44] although there was some warnings the [00:18:45] back channels like hey um because of [00:18:47] NATO expansionism uh this is kind of [00:18:49] making us uncomfortable but peno's [00:18:52] domestic policy promoted the Ukrainian [00:18:54] language the nationalism inclusive [00:18:57] capitalism decom communization [00:19:00] administrative decentralization and in [00:19:01] 2018 Peno helped create um the autosales [00:19:05] Orthodox Church of Ukraine separating [00:19:08] Ukrainian churches from the Moscow [00:19:10] Patriarchs his predis city was distilled [00:19:12] into a three-word [00:19:14] slogan employed by both supporters and [00:19:17] opponents um Aria MOA and Vera so [00:19:21] military language and Faith as a [00:19:23] candidate for a second term he was [00:19:25] defeated by zalinski and a lot of like [00:19:28] nationalists within Ukraine [00:19:31] um you know began uh provoking like [00:19:34] people in Russia and then Russia was [00:19:35] doing its own thing look I don't want to [00:19:37] get too bogged down in the minutia of [00:19:39] the conflict um the the focus is not on [00:19:43] why it it started but on where it's [00:19:46] going so it's okay if we disagree on [00:19:49] some some points of this but I just want [00:19:51] to say for the record like I have been [00:19:53] getting like like freaking blown up by [00:19:56] people who are like you know what all [00:19:58] you do is talk about Western imperialism [00:20:01] all right at the expense of everything [00:20:02] else it's like first of all look guys [00:20:04] I'm not a Russian citizen okay I don't [00:20:06] vote in Russia I don't live in Russia I [00:20:08] just know what my own country does and [00:20:10] it how it affects not just the rest of [00:20:12] the world but the people who actually [00:20:14] live in um you know live live in this [00:20:18] country and like we must recognize that [00:20:20] imperialism is not simply a system [00:20:23] whereby big states do bad things to [00:20:26] smaller ones it is evoled else a mode of [00:20:29] political domination extraction [00:20:31] accumulation and under uh [00:20:33] underdevelopment that aerates the global [00:20:36] South right and so by every measure of [00:20:38] the political economy so you could talk [00:20:40] about Russian imperialism Chinese [00:20:42] imperialism whatever I don't I don't [00:20:43] care uh the United States is the [00:20:46] foremost Empire today those who deem [00:20:48] China Iran Russia as imperialist states [00:20:50] which I [00:20:52] don't I I'm not saying that they don't [00:20:54] engage in that you can ask people in [00:20:56] central Africa and the Sahel whether or [00:20:58] not Russia's is engaged in imperialism [00:21:00] that's beyond the scope of this the [00:21:01] bottom line is that um imperialist [00:21:05] states are okay to compare any of its [00:21:08] geopolitical Rivals the United States [00:21:10] any of its geopolitical Rivals to [00:21:12] minimize its well documented trail of [00:21:14] blood that has stretched out over every [00:21:17] corner of the Earth in the last century [00:21:19] so you may talk about Russian [00:21:20] imperialism and this kind of this dream [00:21:24] to reawaken the USSR which I've seen no [00:21:26] basis or premise for um that just [00:21:30] minimizes the much more violent History [00:21:32] of the United States and again I'm not a [00:21:35] citizen of Russia and I'm G to talk [00:21:36] about my own government and about how I [00:21:40] would like to hold them accountable so [00:21:42] uh just so I don't get any of those [00:21:44] stupid comments uh in the comment [00:21:46] section so um yeah I just want to put [00:21:50] that out there first so let's actually [00:21:52] now that that disclaimer is over with um [00:21:56] yeah and then I think people in the [00:21:59] comments are talking about NATO [00:22:00] expansionism which has been far more [00:22:02] aggressive than anything we see to the [00:22:05] east of the North Atlantic Treaty [00:22:08] Organization so let's take a look at who [00:22:12] are we who we looking at [00:22:13] first uh let's see well at any other [00:22:17] time before we we we look at this [00:22:19] interview between Steve whiteoff and [00:22:22] CNN I just wanted to [00:22:26] um I thought I was just taking part in [00:22:28] the chat but I I really am just arguing [00:22:30] with people yeah well you know we can't [00:22:33] let's all try to agree on something at [00:22:35] least we can probably agree on the next [00:22:37] 40 minutes of this episode so at any [00:22:39] other time the past 80 years it would [00:22:41] have been unimaginable that the US [00:22:43] president would be pressing for a [00:22:45] meeting with President Vladimir Putin [00:22:47] while calling zalinsky a dictator okay [00:22:50] that is a complete departure from [00:22:53] established US foreign policy which has [00:22:56] been uh heavily russophobic and Trump's [00:22:59] approach stands in STK contrast to that [00:23:01] of any of his president uh predecessors [00:23:04] really like former President Joe Biden [00:23:06] who he claims play was played by like a [00:23:09] fiddle by zilinski and allowed the war [00:23:11] to start and continue for so long you [00:23:13] know it's also interesting that this is [00:23:15] also a departure from Trump's first [00:23:16] policy you know the Democrats like the [00:23:19] neoliberal Hawks uh in Washington and [00:23:22] the Democratic party always said you [00:23:24] know Trump was too buddy buddy with [00:23:25] Putin but he did arm Ukraine you know so [00:23:28] this is also a departure from what he [00:23:30] has done historically too um and he said [00:23:33] quote unquote we are either going to go [00:23:35] sign a deal or there are going to be a [00:23:37] lot of problems with them implying the [00:23:39] ukrainians unquote Trump said in a [00:23:41] speech on Friday and on Saturday this [00:23:42] past Saturday uh Trump said the parties [00:23:44] were close to a deal we are asking for [00:23:46] reare elements and oil anything we can [00:23:49] get we better be close to a deal so uh [00:23:52] the US Us official involved in [00:23:54] negotiations confirmed a deal could be [00:23:56] reached fairly soon we're going to [00:23:58] address that I don't see how that's [00:23:59] going to happen before at least may but [00:24:03] you know a lot of people I've talked to [00:24:04] about this over the p over the weekend [00:24:06] we're like H like I live over here and [00:24:09] uh we're thinking more about like the [00:24:10] end of the year uh and we'll get into [00:24:12] that shortly so they said they were [00:24:15] closed to a deal on Saturday Us official [00:24:17] and this is coming from axios news [00:24:19] involved in the negotiations confirmed a [00:24:21] deal could be reached fairly soon the [00:24:22] two sides continue to engage [00:24:24] constructively on the process top [00:24:26] officials on both sides are focused on [00:24:28] getting this done the official said [00:24:30] Trump says they think they can recoup [00:24:31] about 400 to 500 billion from the [00:24:34] resource deal not the main story it's [00:24:37] just you know he's like a businessman [00:24:39] you know he wants to recruit his losses [00:24:41] he needs his Roi his return on [00:24:43] investment so that's what he's going for [00:24:45] from the resource deal but take [00:24:46] everything Trump says with a salt shaker [00:24:49] uh because you know he says a bunch of [00:24:50] wild out-of-pocket stuff and it rarely [00:24:52] rarely ever comes to fruition uh it [00:24:55] seems like this is a leveraging [00:24:56] technique he's going to demand uh [00:24:58] the rare earth minerals from Ukraine and [00:25:00] plunder its economy and let zinski plays [00:25:04] ball the way he lets wants him to play [00:25:06] ball so we've seen Trump historically [00:25:09] just Leverage The might and power and [00:25:11] economic resources of the United States [00:25:13] in order to get his way so I think that [00:25:14] could be something we're seeing right [00:25:16] now so here's Steve wof witkoff sorry [00:25:19] former American American investor in [00:25:21] real estate developer turn special Envoy [00:25:24] to the Middle East why he's talking [00:25:26] about Ukraine I'm not sure speaking with [00:25:28] Jake Tapper not the smartest tool in the [00:25:30] shed wait I think this is Jake Tapper [00:25:32] right I don't really watch CNN everybody [00:25:34] watching can understand the need for [00:25:36] diplomacy yes I got it right this is [00:25:38] Jake Tapper all right looking here like [00:25:41] a permanently confused child uh and [00:25:44] especially president Trump wanting to [00:25:45] reset the relationship with Russia but [00:25:47] what do you say to the millions of [00:25:48] Americans and people around the world [00:25:50] who are concerned that the United States [00:25:52] right now doesn't seem to understand who [00:25:55] actually launched this war against [00:25:57] Ukraine and is actually trying to Side [00:26:00] Up Sidle up to the bad guys Putin and [00:26:03] the Russians while screwing oh you think [00:26:07] there are good guys and bad guys in [00:26:09] great power politics no there's there's [00:26:11] not great guys and there's awful guys [00:26:14] and we have a track record of being [00:26:16] awful guys over the good guys zalinski [00:26:19] and Ukraine I think that is that is a [00:26:21] fear that a lot of Americans [00:26:25] have well look I've I've heard that that [00:26:28] that kind of talk I don't I don't [00:26:30] necessarily agree with it um but let me [00:26:33] say this I'll make a few comments um the [00:26:36] first is that the the war irrespective [00:26:39] of who started it needs to end too many [00:26:41] people's lives um uh have been expunged [00:26:44] as a result of it and it just doesn't [00:26:47] make sense to the president he wants to [00:26:48] be the peacemaking president peace [00:26:50] through strength and I don't blame him I [00:26:52] actually concur um again I have so many [00:26:55] problems with the slogan peace through [00:26:57] strength it's like we're less strong [00:26:59] than we've been since before World War [00:27:01] II and we're not getting it back you're [00:27:03] not fixing the like the recruiting [00:27:05] crisis with your war on [00:27:07] Dei and I don't know they they're trying [00:27:09] to cut the defense budget by like half [00:27:13] over the next 10 years half guess what [00:27:16] most of the defense budget is people's [00:27:18] payroll okay so just just think about [00:27:21] that write down the line with his [00:27:23] thought process around this that's one [00:27:25] two um that the war didn't need to [00:27:28] happen it was provoked it doesn't [00:27:30] necessarily mean it was provoked by the [00:27:32] Russians there were all kinds of um [00:27:34] conversations back then about Ukraine [00:27:36] joining NATO the president has spoken [00:27:38] about this that didn't need to happen it [00:27:41] basically became uh a threat to the [00:27:43] Russians and so we have to deal with [00:27:46] that fact and those are real facts on [00:27:48] the ground here but be that as it may [00:27:51] the Russians have indicated that they [00:27:53] are responsive to an end to this they [00:27:55] were very very uh uh uh [00:27:58] what I'll call cogent and substantive [00:28:01] negotiations framed in something that's [00:28:03] called the istan buul protocol agreement [00:28:06] we came very very close to signing [00:28:08] something and I think we'll be using [00:28:10] that framework as a um as a guidepost I [00:28:14] I [00:28:15] assume uh I assume he was referring to [00:28:20] the istambul Accords which were like the [00:28:22] third or fourth round of negotiations [00:28:24] after hostilities broke out after [00:28:25] February [00:28:27] 2022 uh [00:28:28] um yeah so they're they're using the old [00:28:31] framework that that was most likely [00:28:34] sabotaged by Boris Johnson and all the [00:28:36] other neocons involved in this uh war in [00:28:39] Ukraine so they're just re re re uh [00:28:42] resurrecting sorry the old framework [00:28:45] that could have been signed a couple [00:28:47] years ago in Turkey so that is awesome [00:28:51] to get a peace deal done between Ukraine [00:28:54] and Russia and I think that will be an [00:28:55] amazing day and the fact is about press [00:28:58] conference I think it is not a [00:29:00] coincidence that many of the narratives [00:29:01] that are being voiced largely [00:29:03] materialized after their [00:29:07] conversation the phrases he is saying [00:29:09] are so deep and so correct they are in [00:29:11] total alignment with the way we see [00:29:14] things do you think it's good that the [00:29:17] Russians think that the Trump [00:29:18] Administration is in total alignment [00:29:20] with the way that Putin sees [00:29:24] things I think we've had Jake by my [00:29:29] estimation almost a million and a half [00:29:31] deaths here and finally we have a leader [00:29:34] that is President Trump who is [00:29:36] determined to end the Carnage and so the [00:29:39] only way you're going to end the Carnage [00:29:41] is if you have a relationship with the [00:29:43] leaders of uh of both countries that are [00:29:46] involved I I mean yes uh obviously they [00:29:50] don't care about a half a million deaths [00:29:53] there was half a million deaths most [00:29:55] likely two 200,000 to half a million [00:29:58] deaths so far in Gaza uh they don't [00:30:01] really care about ending the war so much [00:30:03] as being seen as anti-war candidates uh [00:30:05] shifting their foreign policy away from [00:30:08] entanglements outside of the Western [00:30:10] Hemisphere [00:30:12] and isolating China so we're gonna get [00:30:16] to that here in a second was I went over [00:30:18] to Russia I had a meeting with uh with h [00:30:21] yes um Ellen Tapper is stuck on good bad [00:30:25] the entire liberal media I would say the [00:30:28] the entire [00:30:29] well yeah Fox News too is good bad you [00:30:32] know everyone's evil or they're good and [00:30:34] this is how we want the American people [00:30:36] to think of things the United States the [00:30:38] good guys ukrainians are the good guys [00:30:41] the Russians are bad China's bad you [00:30:43] know they they have an authoritarian [00:30:45] surveillance society which just with [00:30:47] like social credit scores and stuff like [00:30:49] that and you know they hate Freedom so [00:30:52] yeah this is just this is nothing new [00:30:55] it's been like this since after the Viet [00:30:58] n War that's when it really started to [00:31:00] get compromised because of how [00:31:02] problematic having a complex narrative [00:31:04] was for the American people President [00:31:07] Putin it was a long meeting positive [00:31:11] constructive lots of good things got [00:31:13] discussed in large part because the [00:31:15] president enjoyed a positive [00:31:17] relationship with President Putin uh [00:31:20] from his first term in office and that [00:31:23] then evolved into a in into a positive [00:31:27] conversation with the [00:31:30] president on a telephone call uh from [00:31:33] the White [00:31:35] House and then there was a positive [00:31:37] conversation with President zinski so I [00:31:40] think okay see a lot of this is again I [00:31:43] just wanted to highlight that for like [00:31:44] four minutes because what is he really [00:31:47] saying re like really like there's no [00:31:49] details like e even with the Israel [00:31:52] Palestine or Israel uh Hamas ceasefire [00:31:56] prog uh process we had Salient bullet [00:32:00] points um of of what the actual peace [00:32:03] process will look like so um I I did see [00:32:06] a really good point and because there's [00:32:09] nothing like solid or concrete if you [00:32:11] follow Russian uh telegram channels I [00:32:14] did like this post they just made um [00:32:18] from ryar in English based on the recent [00:32:21] speeches of our president and the [00:32:22] American there is a strong and this is a [00:32:24] Russian telegram channel uh that does [00:32:25] like geopolitics and stuff sometimes [00:32:27] agree with ryar in English sometimes I'm [00:32:29] like H but this was a really good point [00:32:31] based on the recent speeches of our [00:32:33] president and the American there's a [00:32:34] strong impression that a peace agreement [00:32:36] will be reached but not in May as [00:32:38] expected we think this will happen [00:32:40] closer to the end of the year beginning [00:32:43] of next year that's kind of more of a [00:32:45] reasonable I mean these things take time [00:32:48] there's a lot of political entanglements [00:32:50] Europe and we're about to get there in a [00:32:52] second is not Towing the line on this [00:32:55] they do not want this war to like and [00:32:58] and be seen to have lost and have their [00:33:00] uh uh the rest of Europe exposed to [00:33:03] Russian expansionism as they see it um [00:33:06] there are too many obstacles in reaching [00:33:07] such an agreement now the um armed [00:33:09] forces of Ukraine is being reinforced [00:33:12] supplies are ongoing yes because Biden [00:33:15] the Biden admin Administration did some [00:33:17] future proofing of the war in Ukraine [00:33:19] with funding packages so there're still [00:33:21] being reforced reinforced with the [00:33:23] supplies and Europe does not want to [00:33:25] surrender so in the spring some of this [00:33:28] year we are likely to see a new phase [00:33:30] attempt of the AFU offensive again armed [00:33:33] forces of Ukraine for which reserves are [00:33:35] now being hastily accumulated so [00:33:41] yep um you know and one of the [00:33:44] interesting things is uh there's the [00:33:47] Biden Administration was [00:33:50] pressuring a uh the Armed Forces of [00:33:53] Ukraine to lower the conscription age to [00:33:56] 18 right now [00:33:58] it's it's 25 and [00:34:01] if and I and I'm not sure if uh the [00:34:04] Biden Administration will Frontline [00:34:08] Training was successful in that but I [00:34:10] know that the Ukrainian government if [00:34:11] they don't want to fight they're going [00:34:12] to have to start conscripting people [00:34:14] younger but there's not a lot of young [00:34:16] people [00:34:18] left yeah this is just them doing some [00:34:21] trench fighting basic [00:34:23] stuff clearly don't know how to handle [00:34:25] their weapons [00:34:28] Vitali admits he didn't choose to [00:34:34] come I got called up at first I was in [00:34:37] shock but then well I [00:34:40] understood meanwhile the battlefield [00:34:42] grows ever more physically [00:34:44] demanding in just a year and a half of [00:34:46] this war Everything's changed soldiers [00:34:48] Walk For Miles because if you drive a [00:34:50] drone will spot your car and you're done [00:34:51] for yet Ukraine is resisting calls from [00:34:55] the US and others to bring the age of [00:34:56] mobilization down from 25 to 18 there [00:34:59] are military recruitment posters in [00:35:01] front of this prestigious key of [00:35:03] University but few of the students here [00:35:05] favor lowering the draft age as for me I [00:35:09] just feel I'm not yet ready I'm not [00:35:11] grown up [00:35:13] yet' already got that's definitely a [00:35:16] more responsible approach than than the [00:35:19] US military like I went through basic [00:35:21] training when I was 18 and I felt I felt [00:35:23] ready this guy's clearly more self-aware [00:35:26] also doesn't want to die in the front [00:35:27] lines so yeah I get I get that huge [00:35:29] systemic labor shortage in all sectors [00:35:31] it could paralyze our [00:35:33] economy perhaps the biggest problem with [00:35:35] drafting 18 to 25s though is demographic [00:35:38] says Anna OIP chuk from the sociology [00:35:41] faculty this cohort is the least [00:35:43] populated there are more children and [00:35:45] there are more adults so really if we [00:35:48] draw heavily from these cohorts it won't [00:35:52] really help the situation but it will [00:35:54] damage the future too much ukra ukine [00:35:57] would rather see its young people have [00:35:59] children and raise families than die in [00:36:02] battle something to consider though even [00:36:04] though Trump's pushing for this [00:36:05] negotiation as I said f uh before you [00:36:08] know we don't really have any [00:36:11] details a lot of people are saying it's [00:36:12] going to take some time it's a hugely [00:36:14] complicated issue any peace talks and [00:36:16] the Russians said outright they don't [00:36:17] want like this ceasefire of convenience [00:36:21] they want it to be longterm if they [00:36:22] finally sign it it needs to be longterm [00:36:25] and has guarantors in France Europe uh [00:36:29] uh France Germany the rest of the [00:36:31] European Union guarantees from them and [00:36:34] so look the summer of this year there's [00:36:38] a possibility uh we're likely to see a [00:36:40] new phase attempt of the AFU offensive [00:36:43] so the Armed Forces of Ukraine May [00:36:45] attack again something close to along [00:36:47] the lines of what we saw in KK the KK [00:36:50] offensive from last summer uh which we [00:36:53] said was going to fail and not really [00:36:56] have any long long-term gains that's [00:36:59] exactly what happened so they'll [00:37:01] probably in order to put pressure on the [00:37:03] peace process probably try another [00:37:06] spearhead thrust or potentially try [00:37:08] another spearhead uh thrust into Russian [00:37:11] lines to try to regain some lost [00:37:13] territory and come from a stronger [00:37:15] bargaining [00:37:17] position um going into the negotiations [00:37:20] so a summer offensive it's it's [00:37:23] generally what happens in the summer in [00:37:24] Europe after all the Snows have melted [00:37:27] um you know they'll try to grab some [00:37:28] territories enter negotiations and you [00:37:31] know their leadership will try to [00:37:33] improve its position by completing the [00:37:35] liberation of DPR and LPR uh from their [00:37:38] perspective so here of course there are [00:37:40] many nuances since like Ukraine is led [00:37:44] by say rather inadequate authorities who [00:37:47] may do something unexpected like [00:37:49] something as fool hearty as like the Cur [00:37:51] Invasion but in the end everything is [00:37:53] moving towards an agreement there's not [00:37:55] much you Ukraine [00:37:58] like Israel cannot be supported without [00:38:02] U direct US military support and even [00:38:06] though Europe's done more to support [00:38:08] Ukraine than we have just by the Numbers [00:38:11] doesn't really mean uh yeah they can [00:38:14] keep keep doing without us so like the [00:38:17] Europe is kind of preparing for this uh [00:38:21] post America or NATO is preparing for a [00:38:24] post amera Alliance let's look at the [00:38:27] German uh Chancellor speaking today o um [00:38:33] afd almost won but a a slightly less [00:38:35] far-right conservative government is in [00:38:38] there right now so this is about him and [00:38:41] European solidarity Germany and France [00:38:43] are like the two big leader nations of [00:38:46] the uh European Union so we will look to [00:38:48] them for leadership going forward in a [00:38:52] post am NATO if it comes to that the [00:38:54] abute [00:39:00] Fredrick Ms incoming Chancellor for [00:39:03] Germany he is also an ex Black Rock [00:39:05] executive so that's [00:39:24] fun oh sorry sorry um I know Bunch you [00:39:27] guys listen uh so let me let me go ahead [00:39:30] and narrate this for you um let me turn [00:39:32] down the German uh my grandmother tried [00:39:35] to teach me but I was a horrible student [00:39:37] so uh let's just let's just look at the [00:39:39] subtitles the absolute priority absolute [00:39:41] priority from my perspective is the [00:39:43] Europeans come to an understanding agree [00:39:45] and Stand United amongst themselves [00:39:47] currently a significant uh part of [00:39:49] European politics is taking place [00:39:51] without Germany this has of course [00:39:53] something to do with the election [00:39:55] campaign and it's inter [00:39:57] pH but I'm in close communication with [00:40:01] many prime ministers heads of state and [00:40:03] government leaders from the EU and for [00:40:05] me the absolute priority will be to as [00:40:08] quickly as possible strengthen Europe so [00:40:10] that we can step by step achieve true [00:40:13] independent from the USA this is the [00:40:16] first time we're hearing that keep this [00:40:18] in mind as we go [00:40:21] forward I would never believe that like [00:40:24] this on a television show I'd have to [00:40:25] say something like this but after the [00:40:26] statements from Donald Trump last [00:40:29] week it's clear that the Americans at [00:40:32] least this part of the Americans This [00:40:33] Administration is largely indifferent to [00:40:35] the fate of [00:40:36] Europe can't really argue with that I [00:40:39] mean I don't think they want to be [00:40:40] completely separated from Europe but [00:40:42] they're definitely trying to get [00:40:43] something out of it so I'm very curious [00:40:45] to see how we will approach the NATO [00:40:48] Summit at the end of June yes there are [00:40:50] not going to be too many more [00:40:51] developments on this until the NATO [00:40:53] Summit itself this [00:40:55] summer whether we still be talking about [00:40:58] nato in its current form whether we need [00:41:00] to establish much more quickly [00:41:03] independent European Defense [00:41:06] capabilities uh so this is an absolute [00:41:08] priority for me and I have no Illusions [00:41:10] whatsoever about what is happening from [00:41:13] America just look at the most recent [00:41:15] events what a certain Mr Elon Musk has [00:41:18] done in terms of interventions in the [00:41:20] German election campaign um this is an [00:41:22] unprecedented occurrence intervention [00:41:25] from Washington no dramatic and [00:41:29] drastic ultimately Brazen that the [00:41:32] interventions we have seen in Moscow we [00:41:34] are under such massive pressure from [00:41:36] both sides and that's my absolute [00:41:38] priority now is just truly to establish [00:41:41] unity in Europe and this is intention [00:41:44] like this is intention with a lot of um [00:41:49] you know far-right nationalist movements [00:41:52] through in in Italy in France really [00:41:55] questioning you know the European Union [00:41:58] and you know from a leftist perspective [00:42:00] I'm not a big fan of the EU uh but it's [00:42:03] really interesting say seeing that this [00:42:04] is an un unprecedented tension between [00:42:07] this idea of paneuropean [00:42:10] multiculturalism and far-right [00:42:12] nationalism that's picking up currently [00:42:15] so um yeah I [00:42:17] think Germany the United States are all [00:42:20] on a political inflection point and [00:42:22] something that we haven't seen before [00:42:23] also I don't know if you guys were [00:42:24] tracking this the UN resol [00:42:28] olution was uh put forward to condemn [00:42:31] Russia's invasion of Ukraine today [00:42:33] Monday or tomorrow if you're across the [00:42:36] Atlantic uh the US voted against a UN [00:42:39] resolution today condemning Russia's [00:42:41] invasion of Ukraine siding with Moscow [00:42:44] and other non-democratic countries like [00:42:47] North Korea bellarus and Sudan and the [00:42:49] non-democratic countries thing of course [00:42:52] what had to be put in there by the media [00:42:54] so I mean not necessarily disagreeing [00:42:56] but why it matters okay so first of all [00:42:59] the Trump Administration has found [00:43:00] itself increasingly isolated on the [00:43:03] world stage and SE sees to broker peace [00:43:06] on the third anniversary of the war in [00:43:08] Ukraine uh three a three-page resolution [00:43:11] presented by Ukraine condemned Russia's [00:43:13] aggression and called for the complete [00:43:15] and unconditional withdrawal of Russian [00:43:16] forces from the Ukrainian [00:43:18] territory okay um yeah the US was just [00:43:22] one of 18 countries to vote against the [00:43:24] resolution and so just to pull up a map [00:43:27] here if you just want to take a break [00:43:29] from doing what you're doing and look at [00:43:30] the screen all right in [00:43:35] favor uh okay so we got [00:43:38] Orange [00:43:39] um everywhere in Europe except what [00:43:43] what's that bellus Hungary uh one Baltic [00:43:47] State I don't know why I'm blanking on [00:43:49] my Baltic geography right now and then [00:43:51] the US [00:43:53] Panama and um wait is that Panama yeah [00:43:56] okay so and then some um very [00:44:00] pro-russia countries in the Sahel of [00:44:02] course they're um getting a lot of [00:44:05] military support from Russia that this [00:44:08] is obviously how they would vote North [00:44:09] Korea yes yes yes obviously North Korea [00:44:13] has uh an increased defense relationship [00:44:16] with Russia and yeah so that's [00:44:19] interesting and of course oh yeah guess [00:44:22] who also voted um to not recognize uh [00:44:27] this wording for the resolution Israel [00:44:30] Israel is going to vote for the United [00:44:31] States because the United States has [00:44:33] been voting for Israel at the UN however [00:44:36] it wasn't a security Council resolution [00:44:38] so it passed yes someone asked Hungary [00:44:42] yes Victor [00:44:43] orbon in Hungary is very very pro- [00:44:47] Russia so that's not surprising at all [00:44:51] now what's interesting here is the [00:44:53] European Unity so um all of the [00:44:56] including turkey Turkey um historically [00:44:59] a regional Ally of Russia even though [00:45:01] they have a complicated history of [00:45:02] fighting each other [00:45:05] um voted with the majority of un [00:45:08] countries to condemn it so in recent [00:45:11] days you know when these efforts failed [00:45:13] the US is starting to push numerous [00:45:15] countries to instead support a rival [00:45:17] resolution that mourned the loss of life [00:45:20] and called for a swift end to the [00:45:22] conflict the us back resolution which [00:45:24] was just three paragraphs did not blame [00:45:26] Russia for starting the war quote a [00:45:28] simple historic statement from the [00:45:30] general assembly that looks forward not [00:45:31] backwards a res a resolution focused on [00:45:35] one simple idea ending the war unquote [00:45:38] acting un Ambassador Dorothy Shay said [00:45:40] in a speech urging member states to [00:45:42] adopt the resolution so basically the [00:45:45] European amendments were then adopted [00:45:47] with the support of 53 member states [00:45:50] forcing the us into the awkward position [00:45:53] of abstaining from its own draft [00:45:55] resolution so was introduced then it had [00:45:58] to get amended and you know us abstained [00:46:01] from that one but I'd rather not explain [00:46:02] it now uh but it's sort of self-evident [00:46:06] I think Trump told supporters Monday [00:46:08] when asked why the US opposed Ukraine's [00:46:11] resolution you know and this matters [00:46:13] because this dramatic change in US [00:46:16] policy towards Russia has shocked [00:46:19] Ukraine Europe it's fueling fears Among [00:46:22] Us allies that the Trump Administration [00:46:24] was side with Moscow as it tries to [00:46:26] negotiate and end with conflict I think [00:46:28] it's already sided with Moscow the Trump [00:46:30] Administration has cast a shadow of [00:46:31] dealt not only across in battle Kev but [00:46:34] across an entire continent that has [00:46:36] trusted the US for decades at its most [00:46:39] powerful protector and partner and [00:46:41] that's why NATO is preparing for a post- [00:46:44] Amer Alliance and all of this you know [00:46:47] Trump has had a bone to pick with NATO [00:46:49] for [00:46:50] years right um he set it on his first [00:46:54] Administration and what's interesting [00:46:56] about the you know part of it is trying [00:46:59] to get more buddy buddy with Russia and [00:47:00] have a better security relationship to [00:47:02] isolate them from China that's a little [00:47:04] more to get into but I don't see it [00:47:07] happening it's already too late as I [00:47:08] said [00:47:09] before what's interesting is Trump by [00:47:13] gutting us [00:47:14] Aid and rolling it into the state [00:47:17] department under Marco Rubio there goes [00:47:19] our soft power there goes any pretense [00:47:21] that you know all these nonprofit NOS [00:47:24] that support opposition groups and other [00:47:25] countries whose government we don't like [00:47:28] uh is is no longer has a degree of [00:47:30] separation from the actual State [00:47:32] Department is crazy so there goes our [00:47:35] one instrument of soft power one of our [00:47:37] instruments of soft power uh which I'm [00:47:39] not going to cry about uh that's gone [00:47:42] and now NATO NATO is a US institution [00:47:47] NATO is an arm of US foreign policy and [00:47:49] this signals a massive [00:47:52] shift from this idea of North Atlant IC [00:47:57] expansionism and again reorienting [00:48:00] toward Western Hemisphere bully wagging [00:48:03] uh bullying Greenland Panama and any [00:48:05] other country we don't like reimposing [00:48:07] sanctions on Cuba and [00:48:09] Venezuela H and refocusing on keeping [00:48:12] China out of our backyard in the Western [00:48:15] Hemisphere and isolating them over the [00:48:17] straight of Taiwan Japan and South Korea [00:48:19] so yeah [00:48:22] um yeah so I guess we saw Frederick Murs [00:48:26] the center right leader who just was [00:48:28] elected for Germany uh said that his [00:48:31] priority will be to strengthen Europe as [00:48:33] quickly as possible to achieve real [00:48:34] independence from the [00:48:36] USA I don't think I've ever seen someone [00:48:39] say something as bold as that but it [00:48:41] just really goes to show that again my [00:48:44] premise at the beginning was [00:48:46] Trump while operating himself as this [00:48:49] Peacemaker that can get something done [00:48:51] um is interesting because he packages [00:48:55] like the expanding of us power and [00:48:58] Empire [00:49:00] um that's that's the brand but when he's [00:49:03] actually doing it he's actually [00:49:04] dismantling it so uh cool I don't think [00:49:08] this bodess well for the US Empire which [00:49:11] a lot of people should be rightly [00:49:13] excited about and yeah we'll just have [00:49:15] to wait and see when it comes to like [00:49:16] this this Russia thing like we have had [00:49:18] mron and British prime minister Kier [00:49:20] starmer U you know who will also be [00:49:23] visiting Trump this week apparently uh [00:49:25] they're among several European leaders [00:49:27] who have signaled that they're prepared [00:49:28] to boost defense spending as Trump steps [00:49:33] back and you know starmer himself I [00:49:34] don't if you remember from last week is [00:49:36] committed to putting boots on the ground [00:49:38] if necessary to guarantee Ukraine's [00:49:41] safety [00:49:43] um European leaders have been discussing [00:49:45] potential post-war reassurance for force [00:49:47] to be deployed to Ukraine to deter [00:49:49] against Russia renewed aggression it's [00:49:51] bunch of saber rattling um again I don't [00:49:54] I don't think a ceasefire deal is going [00:49:55] to happen as quickly people hope and [00:49:58] then NATO um allies are in a stage of [00:50:00] anger denial and despair after Pete Heth [00:50:04] last week effectively declared an end to [00:50:06] America's role as the primary guarantor [00:50:09] of European security particularly over [00:50:13] Ukraine what a post [00:50:16] US security situation will look like [00:50:19] nobody knows um they're scrambling to [00:50:22] figure it out there'll be the NATO [00:50:24] Summit in June but before that it's all [00:50:27] speculation so basically though why it [00:50:30] matters is you know Trump's dramatic [00:50:32] change in US policy towards [00:50:34] Russia um you know will side with Moscow [00:50:38] overtly this is a completely completely [00:50:41] different foreign policy footing that's [00:50:43] existed since the post World War II era [00:50:46] and that's crazy uh us Empire continues [00:50:48] to decline um I I wouldn't worry too [00:50:50] much about the mineral [00:50:52] stuff uh I I'm not sure if that's going [00:50:54] to happen that seems more like if a uh [00:50:58] more like a negotiation leveraging [00:51:00] technique so uh yeah someone said so [00:51:03] freaking [00:51:04] excited [00:51:06] yeah um do you think we're closer to or [00:51:10] further from World War III than we were [00:51:11] six months ago well I don't think um [00:51:16] well it depends what Trump intends for [00:51:17] Iran I don't I think that's the next [00:51:19] flash point again I've talked ad nauseum [00:51:23] on this platform about why a Invasion or [00:51:27] attack on Iran is unviable it's not just [00:51:30] my position it's even the position of [00:51:32] really really hawkish think tanks like [00:51:34] uh the sabon center for Middle East [00:51:37] studies uh you know owned by Heim Saban [00:51:40] the uh ex IDF Soldier Zionist [00:51:42] billionaire who owns Universal Studios [00:51:44] even think tanks funded by him are like [00:51:46] war with Iran is probably not going to [00:51:48] be a great idea and then of course you [00:51:51] know the Atlantic Council and you know [00:51:54] the the the center for strategic and [00:51:55] independent or international studies the [00:51:58] csis put out a war games an analytical [00:52:03] report last year that says in three [00:52:06] weeks in a shooting war with China over [00:52:09] Taiwan the us is going to run out of [00:52:12] Munitions so I don't know what can we to [00:52:16] accomplish it however just like the cold [00:52:18] war it's not a cold war for a lot of [00:52:21] people like I I think World War II [00:52:25] didn't look like World War I World War [00:52:27] III is not going to look like World War [00:52:28] II i' I've heard some knowledgeable [00:52:32] people assert that we're already in [00:52:34] World War I it's just going to be more [00:52:36] of like a cold war situation which is a [00:52:38] really Western Centric way to frame it [00:52:41] because the cold war was in fact a hot [00:52:43] War for a lot of people um I don't think [00:52:46] it will do we'll see any big great power [00:52:50] escalation in the near future so like us [00:52:53] China Russia I don't see that happening [00:52:56] um [00:52:59] yes he canceled the election uh [00:53:01] imprisoned political opposition imprison [00:53:03] priests even that's very dictator like [00:53:06] well hey you know um we might see that [00:53:09] in America and people will still be [00:53:12] calling us a democracy no no no I was I [00:53:14] was I'm not I'm not refuting any of this [00:53:17] I was just saying a lot of Trump's [00:53:20] comments on his unhinged Kanye westes [00:53:24] Twitter post was Miss leading and that's [00:53:27] all I was addressing so he made other [00:53:30] political parties illegal for Christ [00:53:31] sakes yeah [00:53:34] um again his approval rating is still [00:53:37] pretty high but it's kind of rich I I [00:53:40] kind of resist anytime that [00:53:43] uh Trump calls people a dictator because [00:53:46] he so clearly wants to be one um what's [00:53:50] the triple lock [00:53:53] system what hang on [00:54:06] it's a it's a [00:54:08] lock wait is this some sort of domestic [00:54:11] Ireland policy thing that I'm completely [00:54:13] blanking on I'm not sure exactly what [00:54:14] that is uh one thing about uh yeah well [00:54:19] zalinsky is uh you know just carried on [00:54:21] policies by the first nationalist leader [00:54:23] that took power after uh yukos shenko [00:54:27] uh left in [00:54:29] 2014 and yeah you know we've seen I I [00:54:33] mentioned the videos of you know the [00:54:35] Goon squads driving up and taking [00:54:37] military AED men off the streets and [00:54:41] putting them to the front lines I think [00:54:43] ending the war is a way to reestablish a [00:54:47] lack of authoritarianism but yeah it's [00:54:51] hard to say that any anyone that cancels [00:54:53] elections is still a democracy and you [00:54:55] know there have been a lot of [00:54:56] accusations that the system was rigged [00:54:58] in the first place but I haven't seen [00:55:00] any Concrete Hard Evidence of that but [00:55:02] yes not to mention the US Le coup at [00:55:05] least supported coup um um I haven't [00:55:08] seen any compelling evidence that it was [00:55:11] completely initiated by the United [00:55:13] States I know a lot of our Q attempts [00:55:16] are basically opportunistic in nature [00:55:18] but um yeah to say that the United [00:55:20] States wasn't involved in that coup or [00:55:23] you know the coup that established the [00:55:25] hashimite German uh monarchy and Jordan [00:55:28] yeah fingerprints all over that one [00:55:33] um sad to see the Silver Spoon [00:55:36] boyfriends on the Duran lose credibility [00:55:38] with their sycophantic love and for the [00:55:40] musk Trump billionaire foxes in the henh [00:55:42] house [00:55:45] um Russia is also reporting widespread [00:55:48] incidents of war crimes I guess [00:55:49] investigations are pending I follow [00:55:51] Russian and Ukrainian [00:55:53] channels uh everybody's doing war crimes [00:55:56] in in that fight like both sides are [00:55:59] like not taking prisoners so if people [00:56:01] are in a trench line whether it's [00:56:03] Russian or Ukrainian and they take a [00:56:04] position people put up their hands [00:56:05] they're just getting shot uh I've [00:56:07] personally see War crims being [00:56:10] perpetuated on both sides that's [00:56:11] something to expect during a conflict [00:56:13] like this doesn't excuse them but yeah [00:56:16] everybody's doing that right [00:56:21] now uh Samantha Wy Pro Russia is just a [00:56:24] label you put on anything you don't like [00:56:26] like hate speech I'm sure you understand [00:56:28] that yeah Pro Russia it's kind of like a [00:56:30] like what do you do you hate democracy [00:56:32] you hate Freedom bro sound like [00:56:34] communist even though Russia's [00:56:36] not uh they've gone through a bunch of [00:56:39] capitalist reforms in the post Cold War [00:56:41] era but um why all the imperialists talk [00:56:45] this I thought this was a cooking show [00:56:49] um yeah it is a cooking show as as you [00:56:53] know the young the young kids say like [00:56:56] when you're cooking right um yeah sorry [00:56:59] about all the talk about imperialism [00:57:00] it's almost like it dominates so many [00:57:02] lives and policies around the world I [00:57:06] fully agree with the idea that NATO [00:57:07] expansion led to this but once Russia [00:57:08] invaded zinsky did what any leader would [00:57:11] do martial law no elections and no [00:57:13] groups infiltrated by Russia it's not a [00:57:16] it's not an unvalid [00:57:18] Point um and you know there were plenty [00:57:21] of infiltrated groups by Russia [00:57:24] especially in the dboss region [00:57:27] uh there's a whole bunch of historical [00:57:29] precedents for suspending elections [00:57:31] during wartime I'm really not so sure [00:57:34] that that was the best information play [00:57:36] uh the best PR stunt to do especially [00:57:40] when you're framing this as a fight for [00:57:43] democracy over the authoritarian [00:57:45] autocratic nature of Putin uh but then [00:57:48] again Ukrainian information operations [00:57:49] are not as good as they were a couple [00:57:51] years ago I think they're getting burnt [00:57:52] out [00:57:54] um did you see Zary Z Jeffrey sack's [00:57:58] pres [00:57:59] presentation to the EU Parliament um I [00:58:02] heard about it I heard like Danny hyong [00:58:05] reference it and some other people but [00:58:08] no I Haven I haven't watched that yet [00:58:09] but I guess I'll do that after this um [00:58:11] Peace through War love through hate what [00:58:13] else we got Trump called it a ridiculous [00:58:16] War I mean I think most wars that have [00:58:18] happened in the modern era are [00:58:19] completely [00:58:20] ridiculous [00:58:22] um yes [00:58:27] okay zinsky was elected in 2018 to end [00:58:29] the civil war in Ukraine but was ramped [00:58:31] up instead the US NATO is to blame for [00:58:33] what's happening in Ukraine zilinski was [00:58:35] only a puppet and as I said at the [00:58:37] beginning of this episode the fact that [00:58:40] ukrainians and Ukrainian officials [00:58:42] aren't even involved in the peace talks [00:58:44] at this point really goes to show you [00:58:47] that this is [00:58:48] probably probably an American project [00:58:51] you know it was it was an American [00:58:53] Adventure uh to see if they could weaken [00:58:55] Russia you know to isolate them [00:58:58] economically politically and to use the [00:59:00] [ __ ] and to use the massive option of [00:59:03] annihilation to Exile them from the [00:59:05] Swift banking system it didn't work none [00:59:08] of this has worked so yes I do think as [00:59:11] much as I loathe Trump as a fascist [00:59:13] clown this is a more sane Russia Ukraine [00:59:17] policy it is it is um of course [00:59:21] ukrainians are I mean hopefully the war [00:59:25] will stop but I do worry that you know [00:59:28] Trump will try to basically steal all [00:59:31] their resources which would help them [00:59:32] rebuild their economy after after a war [00:59:35] of attrition so [00:59:38] yeah NATO the Irish government and the [00:59:40] UN have to agree to sending troops to uh [00:59:44] to peacekeeping I don't know if they [00:59:46] sign if they sign a peace agreement you [00:59:48] know you would expect Russia to follow [00:59:50] it [00:59:52] um especially with all that's writing [00:59:54] State uh everything that's going on [00:59:56] right now especially if they have [00:59:58] a if they get a good deal which [01:00:02] seems Seems likely but the Europe is [01:00:05] pretty demilitarized right now you know [01:00:08] you need a lot of troops to to secure [01:00:11] that border in a peacekeeping operation [01:00:14] so who where are they going to get the [01:00:15] troops from man um tens hundreds of [01:00:19] thousands so Russia has to come away [01:00:21] with some Ukraine territory agreement [01:00:24] which means the war will never [01:00:26] and yeah well um a lot of learned people [01:00:30] think this will end in a frozen conflict [01:00:33] just because Trump says there's going to [01:00:35] be a peace agreement just because Russia [01:00:38] seems to be hopeful or Russian officials [01:00:40] seem to be hopeful this is a massively [01:00:43] complicated uh thing to [01:00:45] end especially with like maybe if Russia [01:00:48] had some massive decisive Victory but [01:00:51] it's a war of attrition trench line to [01:00:52] trench line and just like that the whole [01:00:55] politic process of implementing a [01:00:57] ceasefire is also going to be a slog the [01:00:59] most Salient thing to take away from [01:01:00] this is the security um situation in [01:01:04] Europe has changed forever it is the [01:01:08] end of an era and any supposition on [01:01:12] what that's going to look like is moot [01:01:14] at this point I think a ceasefire by may [01:01:17] may be a little too [01:01:18] optimistic [01:01:20] so uh yeah we'll see and we hope to end [01:01:23] the violence and end all wars and you [01:01:25] know know if Trump wants to you know [01:01:28] isolate us from NATO destroy [01:01:32] usaid um millions of people will be [01:01:35] fatally affected by that uh because of [01:01:40] course we leverage Medical Aid and [01:01:42] support to governments to in order to [01:01:44] coers them to do what we want them to do [01:01:46] but I don't know it's the end of an era [01:01:49] there's going to be consequences for a [01:01:50] lot of innocent people hopefully this [01:01:53] Empire ends and we can become just a [01:01:56] regular old nation state instead of a [01:02:00] bloodthirsty extractive power in the [01:02:03] world so um I think Trump's a good uh [01:02:06] vehicle for that just like Netanyahu is [01:02:07] a good vehicle for exposing the Israeli [01:02:10] state for what it is and uh hopefully [01:02:12] ending that project soon as well well [01:02:14] thank you so much just wanted to get [01:02:16] into that thing for today I wish I could [01:02:19] give more of a detailed prognosis about [01:02:22] what the future holds but yeah but we [01:02:25] only had an hour [01:02:26] and this is completely Uncharted [01:02:28] Territory it's unprecedented what we're [01:02:30] seeing right now so should be [01:02:31] interesting to watch over the next [01:02:33] coming months and again be looking out [01:02:35] for the NATO Summit in June that's [01:02:37] really going to give us a good idea [01:02:38] about what to look like going forward [01:02:42] and we will see you next Monday all [01:02:46] right cheers y'all have a good week and [01:02:49] try to stay mentally healthy amongst the [01:02:52] madness have a good night
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