RAIDING UKRAINE: Trump’s Plan to Plunder Resources, End the War, and Isolate China
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[00:01:31] okay what the hell was that that was a a
[00:01:34] very tropical relaxing uh phone music
[00:01:37] that we had there on the intro don't
[00:01:39] know what happened there anyway sorry
[00:01:41] guys um my camera little my fancy camera
[00:01:45] is broken so we're gonna be dealing with
[00:01:47] low resolution today but we have some
[00:01:49] nice videos queued up for you um and I
[00:01:52] know most of y'all listen to the audio
[00:01:53] only anyway so it really doesn't matter
[00:01:56] uh hello and welcome to state of play on
[00:02:00] Press News and our weekly post-weekend
[00:02:02] rollup where we pick apart the insanity
[00:02:05] that is intentionally made to happen
[00:02:07] over the weekend while the voting public
[00:02:10] is not paying attention the biggest
[00:02:12] development on the international stage
[00:02:14] right now is the Ukrainian Russian
[00:02:17] ceasefire or peace talks negotiations
[00:02:20] and the media frenzy surrounding them
[00:02:22] and this
[00:02:24] Monday
[00:02:25] marks year three the third year the
[00:02:29] three Year anniv sorry I know I can't
[00:02:31] words I'm not words in correctly right
[00:02:34] now this Monday marks the three-year
[00:02:37] anniversary since February 24th
[00:02:40] 2022 when Russian troops invaded
[00:02:43] Sovereign Ukrainian territory and of
[00:02:45] course history did not start on that day
[00:02:48] that's just when we started track um the
[00:02:52] general public I'll say started tracking
[00:02:54] what was happening on uh what was
[00:02:57] happening in that part of the world uh
[00:02:58] so uh after about three years hundreds
[00:03:01] of thousands dead a nearly 20% loss of
[00:03:04] territory and now the potential American
[00:03:07] plundering of Ukraine's natural
[00:03:09] resources the Ukrainian and European
[00:03:11] governments are starting to comprehend
[00:03:14] what the Kurds know America ain't got no
[00:03:18] friends or it's dangerous being a friend
[00:03:19] of America so there's a quote actually
[00:03:22] this reminds me uh attributed to Henry
[00:03:25] Kissinger war criminal beloved by
[00:03:27] America's ruling class uh that goes it
[00:03:30] may be dangerous and this is a quote I
[00:03:33] quote it may be dangerous to be
[00:03:34] America's enemy but to be America's
[00:03:37] friend is fatal or deadly now there's no
[00:03:40] like direct proof of him actually saying
[00:03:42] that it's mostly anecdotal but we do
[00:03:44] have him actually saying quote America
[00:03:47] has no permanent friends or enemies only
[00:03:50] interests and you know he also said a
[00:03:53] country that demands moral perfection
[00:03:55] and its foreign policy will achieve
[00:03:57] neither Perfection nor security and he
[00:04:00] also said the illegal we do immediately
[00:04:04] the unconstitutional takes a little
[00:04:06] longer unquote so anyways I thought
[00:04:09] these were appropo of this subject since
[00:04:11] he was a neoliberal warlord and helped
[00:04:13] establish the post-war US foreign policy
[00:04:15] Playbook into the modern era we've got
[00:04:19] interventionism secret proxy wars coups
[00:04:22] and engendering exploitable corruption
[00:04:24] in foreign governments all part and
[00:04:27] parcel of the US toolkit to leverage our
[00:04:30] vast resources and political power to
[00:04:33] maintain hegemony the problem is the US
[00:04:37] has been failing and publicly uh it it
[00:04:40] appears that the Vietnam War uh that
[00:04:43] kiss andur started out supporting then
[00:04:45] came to see as a drag on American power
[00:04:48] was not a one-off the fraudulent war in
[00:04:50] Iraq the 20-year failure in
[00:04:52] Afghanistan uh the self-destructive
[00:04:54] policy towards Israel that we've seen
[00:04:57] perpetuate over 15 months of genocide
[00:04:59] finally the failure of this Ukrainian
[00:05:02] Enterprise and I call it an Enterprise
[00:05:05] um because all pretense is gone that the
[00:05:08] US ever cared about Ukrainian
[00:05:10] sovereignty Beyond rhetorical talking
[00:05:12] points and the isolation and dissolution
[00:05:15] of Russia um why then are the ukrainians
[00:05:18] publicly not involved in their own peace
[00:05:20] process let's put on some b-roll please
[00:05:23] why is Trump demanding 50% mineral
[00:05:26] rights from ukrainians
[00:05:30] you know that it just kind of seems you
[00:05:33] know if we're concerned about like
[00:05:35] sovereignty um yeah sovereignty indeed
[00:05:38] the useful thing about President Trump
[00:05:39] is that he has an ability to package the
[00:05:42] dismantling of the United States Empire
[00:05:46] of yeah as the building of the United
[00:05:50] States Empire we're going to end Wars
[00:05:52] we're going to take over Greenland the
[00:05:54] Panama Canal alienate our Canadian Ally
[00:05:57] to the north by calling it our 51st
[00:05:59] States um you know we shall achieve
[00:06:02] peace through strength by sending our
[00:06:04] European allies into a tail spin by
[00:06:07] demanding they contribute 5% of their
[00:06:10] GDP their gross domestic product to
[00:06:13] defense spending while the United States
[00:06:15] which spends 40% of the world's combined
[00:06:18] military budget it's only 3.4% of our
[00:06:22] own GDP so we're asking them to spend
[00:06:24] more than we do so peace through
[00:06:27] strength is the tagline of the Trump
[00:06:29] administ min's foreign policy even
[00:06:31] though we have already passed the Event
[00:06:32] Horizon of Imperial decline but don't be
[00:06:35] fooled he is an imperialist to Heart
[00:06:38] great Powers dominate the world so he
[00:06:40] believes we will do what we want when we
[00:06:42] can and we will be better than a scile
[00:06:44] Biden Administration and we will recoup
[00:06:46] our losses when we can like a corporate
[00:06:50] Raider his administration's decision to
[00:06:52] end the war in Ukraine is a transparent
[00:06:54] attempt to raid Ukrainian mineral
[00:06:56] resources that's kind of like a
[00:06:57] byproduct he's like you know we've
[00:06:59] already sunk this much money into it if
[00:07:01] we can recoup some of our losses we'll
[00:07:04] take it that's not the main thing behind
[00:07:06] this uh it's to leverage the European
[00:07:08] Union to pay their own way Co to Putin
[00:07:12] for his own reasons and to draw Russia
[00:07:14] closer to us interests and thereby take
[00:07:17] them away from China thereby isolating
[00:07:19] China we know that um they've put some
[00:07:22] feelers in motion to arm Taiwan to a
[00:07:26] greater extent uh we're going to pull up
[00:07:27] an article in a bit if we have time at
[00:07:29] the end where um you know taiwan's
[00:07:31] looking to have like a hundred million
[00:07:34] do weapons deal okay we'll check on the
[00:07:38] figures but yes um arm Taiwan isolate
[00:07:41] China if you can't tariff him maybe
[00:07:43] maybe try to outmaneuver him but it
[00:07:45] won't work the Biden
[00:07:47] administration's
[00:07:49] self-destructive hawkish policy in
[00:07:51] Ukraine has already forced Russia even
[00:07:54] irretrievably into China's orbit it's
[00:07:56] not safe to you know be is olated by the
[00:08:00] United States it's not safe to be our
[00:08:01] enemy or our friends um and European
[00:08:04] institutions are dissolving in real time
[00:08:07] as right-wing nationalist movements are
[00:08:09] attacking the framework of paneuropean
[00:08:11] governance now Germany's far-right afd
[00:08:13] party may not have triumphed outright in
[00:08:16] these recent elections in Germany which
[00:08:18] is significant because Germany's one of
[00:08:20] the leaders of
[00:08:21] Europe uh but it's doubled its support
[00:08:23] in the strongest showing for a farri
[00:08:26] party in Germany since World War II
[00:08:28] projection showed so the fabric of
[00:08:30] Europe is changing in real time so we
[00:08:32] aren't entering some new age of Peace uh
[00:08:35] but the status quo has been terminally
[00:08:37] disrupted so join us tonight on state of
[00:08:39] play to examine this historic inflection
[00:08:43] point in detail so real quick while
[00:08:45] everybody's
[00:08:46] still filtering into the live mint press
[00:08:49] is a non-corporate sponsored independent
[00:08:52] Watchdog media Outlet Newsroom platform
[00:08:55] whatever you want to call it these days
[00:08:57] um and you know if you're picking up
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[00:09:00] throwing us five bucks a month on
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[00:09:07] help goes a long way to help support
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[00:09:10] or you don't want to or you don't want
[00:09:12] subscriptions because you already have a
[00:09:14] zillion subscriptions if you could just
[00:09:16] like um if you could just like this live
[00:09:20] and comment maybe that would also be
[00:09:22] helpful because we're heavily Shadow
[00:09:23] band and this pushes it out more into
[00:09:25] the algorithm I see there's at least 500
[00:09:27] people watching at the beginning so
[00:09:29] there should be 500 likes thanks guys
[00:09:32] either way do what you want we're just
[00:09:34] glad you are here all right uh hello
[00:09:38] from Finland oh yes hello uh from
[00:09:41] Finland you're up late wow okay I'm a
[00:09:43] night owl too um so yeah I think I have
[00:09:47] some b-roll of your prime minister
[00:09:49] talking about how Europe needs to stick
[00:09:51] together and you know that's interesting
[00:09:53] since Finland was just added to Nato so
[00:09:55] algorithm booster thank you guys oh hey
[00:09:58] from Sydney whoa It's like probably oh
[00:10:02] it's almost afternoon there wait no it's
[00:10:04] not I'm I'm getting my my time zones
[00:10:06] mixed up um cool got some people from
[00:10:10] Puerto Rico welcome come one come all
[00:10:13] this geopolitical issue affects you
[00:10:15] everywhere in the world no matter where
[00:10:17] you are from we got New York we got
[00:10:20] Scotland and La um wow it's only 2 pm on
[00:10:24] the East
[00:10:25] Coast um looks like someone gets to work
[00:10:27] from home that must be nice it's nice
[00:10:30] okay so let's begin with the peace talk
[00:10:34] drama and the
[00:10:36] trumpan truth social post uh that
[00:10:40] started all the hubub on Friday um this
[00:10:44] past Friday so one second oh sorry
[00:10:46] that's the NATO press release Let Me
[00:10:50] Wait
[00:10:51] what oh my god oh did I accidentally
[00:10:54] exit
[00:10:55] out okay sorry stand by guys look at
[00:10:58] look at the fun photo that are playing
[00:11:00] uh while we pull it up yes look at the
[00:11:03] Fun photographs of of the K region okay
[00:11:08] Donald Trump picking it
[00:11:11] up okay so I don't know if you guys saw
[00:11:14] today but Emanuel mccrone of France V uh
[00:11:18] visited the White House
[00:11:19] but and we'll get into that here in a
[00:11:22] second I have found it that didn't take
[00:11:23] me too long I are you like me and have
[00:11:26] just like a zillion windows open at all
[00:11:29] all times yeah because that's how I live
[00:11:31] my life so present share
[00:11:35] screen engage all right
[00:11:41] so wait this should be
[00:11:43] sharing okay so here we go this was you
[00:11:46] know I feel like Donald Trump's kind of
[00:11:48] like Kanye West where you know he
[00:11:50] doesn't have a nitrous addiction like
[00:11:51] Kanye West where like when he's coming
[00:11:53] down off nitrous he just cro like posts
[00:11:55] the most unhinged crap on Twitter but
[00:11:57] like something's going on because he
[00:11:59] posted this at like early in the morning
[00:12:03] probably after his first cheeseburger at
[00:12:05] after 9:00
[00:12:06] amm and this was from February 19th that
[00:12:09] was last Wednesday so I don't know if
[00:12:11] you guys saw it it's worth talking about
[00:12:12] it because some of the things he says in
[00:12:14] it are true some of it is just like
[00:12:17] propaganda that I don't necessarily
[00:12:18] agree with and um basically it's
[00:12:22] basically endemic of US foreign policy
[00:12:24] going forward now we're going to look at
[00:12:25] conservative politicians in America that
[00:12:27] have supported the Ukraine since the
[00:12:28] beginning
[00:12:29] spiraling to figure out how to shift
[00:12:32] policies because they don't have any
[00:12:34] political convictions Beyond um do what
[00:12:37] Trump says so think of it a modestly
[00:12:39] successful comedian zilinsky talked the
[00:12:42] US United States of America to spending
[00:12:45] $350 billion dollars to go into a war
[00:12:47] that couldn't be won that never had to
[00:12:50] start but a war that he without the US
[00:12:52] and Trump I don't know why he calling
[00:12:55] himself Trump in all caps and quotes
[00:12:57] will never be able to settle
[00:13:00] um a war that couldn't be won yeah
[00:13:02] probably um that never had to start yeah
[00:13:05] one of the more avoidable Wars that I've
[00:13:07] seen in the modern era the United States
[00:13:09] has spent two $0000 billion dollars more
[00:13:11] than Europe This is not true Europe's
[00:13:13] money is guaranteed well the United
[00:13:15] States will get nothing back no they're
[00:13:16] still in loans Europe's actually spent
[00:13:18] more um than the United States why
[00:13:21] didn't this sleepy Joe Biden demand
[00:13:23] Equalization and that this war is far
[00:13:25] more important to Europe than it is to
[00:13:27] us uh I mean I would say that the
[00:13:29] geopolitical reality is like yes um you
[00:13:33] know if the United States withdraws its
[00:13:35] military support from Europe they don't
[00:13:37] really have a defense architecture and
[00:13:39] an industrial base two wage of war
[00:13:41] against Russia so I guess from their in
[00:13:43] their minds if they believe into
[00:13:46] the uh buy into the soup that like
[00:13:48] Russia is a heedlessly imperialistic
[00:13:50] nation that wants to like rule Europe
[00:13:52] and some sort of reimagination of the
[00:13:55] USSR that's insane but yes this is more
[00:13:58] disturbing for Europe and we'll get into
[00:14:00] that than it is for the United States we
[00:14:01] we have a big we have a big beautiful
[00:14:04] ocean there are many like it but this
[00:14:06] one is mine uh as Separation on top of
[00:14:09] this zinsky admits that half the money
[00:14:12] he we sent him is missing um gonna have
[00:14:14] to check those numbers I don't think
[00:14:16] half of it's missing but yes there are
[00:14:19] look we're not good at passing audits
[00:14:21] okay when's the last time the Pentagon
[00:14:23] accounted for all the money he refuses
[00:14:25] to have elections is very low in
[00:14:26] Ukrainian polls actually no he's polling
[00:14:29] most polls uh agree that he uh he's
[00:14:33] polling at
[00:14:34] 57% which is like almost 10% if not 10%
[00:14:38] higher than Trump is polling right now
[00:14:41] uh he he did have elections uh he was
[00:14:44] elected but uh yes the elections have
[00:14:47] been postponed in
[00:14:48] Wartime um and he was good at playing
[00:14:51] Biden like a fiddle okay there's a bunch
[00:14:52] of myths truths and half lies or
[00:14:55] whatever you want to call them a
[00:14:57] dictator without elections okay
[00:14:59] I don't think most ukrainians I talk to
[00:15:02] definitely don't consider him to be a
[00:15:03] dictator and they definitely agree that
[00:15:04] he was elected so we'll just going to
[00:15:07] leave that there um he's not gonna have
[00:15:10] a country left in the meantime we are
[00:15:11] successfully negotiating end of the war
[00:15:14] um something only Trump can do and the
[00:15:17] Trump Administration uh but zalinski has
[00:15:19] done a terrible job this country
[00:15:21] shattered Millions have unnecessarily
[00:15:22] died and so it continues okay gez well
[00:15:25] way to throw our earthw Ally under the
[00:15:28] bus you know
[00:15:30] like no matter how you feel about
[00:15:32] zilinski this was quite the ad
[00:15:35] hominum uh so yeah zalinski did get a
[00:15:41] bit of a a bump over the recent couple
[00:15:43] days since since Trump has been coing up
[00:15:45] the Putin and he's got a boost in his
[00:15:48] own uh country specifically so um
[00:15:52] yeah anyways that's just one thing that
[00:15:55] now everyone is having to Pivot all
[00:15:57] these people on the right who supported
[00:15:59] Trump or supported Ukraine now have to
[00:16:02] Grapple with uncomfortable Town Hall
[00:16:04] meetings like a congressman from
[00:16:07] Oklahoma yesterday at a town hall
[00:16:09] meeting on Sunday personally do you
[00:16:13] support Ukraine or
[00:16:16] Russia well here's no it's not easy
[00:16:20] ma'am it's not easy it's not
[00:16:22] easyi a dictator yes or no that part I
[00:16:26] have a problem with that statement yes
[00:16:27] okay did Ukraine start the war even
[00:16:30] though you're a warhog it's it's okay
[00:16:34] well simple do you did Ukraine start the
[00:16:38] war yes or no did Ukraine start the war
[00:16:42] let him
[00:16:44] answer maam I will just hang on what was
[00:16:47] is that your question did they start the
[00:16:49] war that's part of but I want to know
[00:16:52] where you stand it's not part on Ukraine
[00:16:55] or Russia we have been supporting zinsky
[00:16:58] for years
[00:16:59] 3 years
[00:17:01] and Putin started this now we're
[00:17:05] isolated or he is isolating America he
[00:17:09] okay no no I'm just giving this as a
[00:17:11] sample about what's going on within a
[00:17:13] certain group of people within America
[00:17:15] and their elected representatives I
[00:17:17] don't expect you to agree with their
[00:17:18] statement or understanding of the war in
[00:17:20] Ukraine but it's interesting it's an
[00:17:22] interesting moment he's
[00:17:24] calling where do you let let me just say
[00:17:27] this this is not the tactic that I would
[00:17:29] use to try to solve the problem and I've
[00:17:31] said that
[00:17:32] [Music]
[00:17:34] openly well they have a they have a lot
[00:17:37] of rhetorical challenges ahead of them
[00:17:39] so let's yeah we we're be beginning with
[00:17:42] this um Peace talk drama but let's just
[00:17:45] back up for a second about like you know
[00:17:48] it being this authoritarian thing yes we
[00:17:51] we do have reports and fairly compelling
[00:17:53] evidence that there's forc conscriptions
[00:17:55] and goon
[00:17:56] squads um
[00:17:59] you know rolling up in unmarked Vans to
[00:18:02] take men off the street and force put a
[00:18:04] rifle in their hands and stuff uh but
[00:18:07] yeah you know zalinski was
[00:18:09] elected um in uh not in 2024 that was uh
[00:18:14] penko um but you know that was the first
[00:18:17] uh presidency after um the overthrow of
[00:18:21] the government and penko led the country
[00:18:23] through the first phase of the war in
[00:18:24] the
[00:18:26] danas which is what they would call it
[00:18:28] from a neoliberal sense the Russian
[00:18:29] separatist forces into the donos region
[00:18:31] he pushed them into the dboss region he
[00:18:33] began the process of integration with
[00:18:35] the European Union by signing European
[00:18:38] Union Ukraine Association agreement that
[00:18:41] wasn't like a red line for Russia
[00:18:44] although there was some warnings the
[00:18:45] back channels like hey um because of
[00:18:47] NATO expansionism uh this is kind of
[00:18:49] making us uncomfortable but peno's
[00:18:52] domestic policy promoted the Ukrainian
[00:18:54] language the nationalism inclusive
[00:18:57] capitalism decom communization
[00:19:00] administrative decentralization and in
[00:19:01] 2018 Peno helped create um the autosales
[00:19:05] Orthodox Church of Ukraine separating
[00:19:08] Ukrainian churches from the Moscow
[00:19:10] Patriarchs his predis city was distilled
[00:19:12] into a three-word
[00:19:14] slogan employed by both supporters and
[00:19:17] opponents um Aria MOA and Vera so
[00:19:21] military language and Faith as a
[00:19:23] candidate for a second term he was
[00:19:25] defeated by zalinski and a lot of like
[00:19:28] nationalists within Ukraine
[00:19:31] um you know began uh provoking like
[00:19:34] people in Russia and then Russia was
[00:19:35] doing its own thing look I don't want to
[00:19:37] get too bogged down in the minutia of
[00:19:39] the conflict um the the focus is not on
[00:19:43] why it it started but on where it's
[00:19:46] going so it's okay if we disagree on
[00:19:49] some some points of this but I just want
[00:19:51] to say for the record like I have been
[00:19:53] getting like like freaking blown up by
[00:19:56] people who are like you know what all
[00:19:58] you do is talk about Western imperialism
[00:20:01] all right at the expense of everything
[00:20:02] else it's like first of all look guys
[00:20:04] I'm not a Russian citizen okay I don't
[00:20:06] vote in Russia I don't live in Russia I
[00:20:08] just know what my own country does and
[00:20:10] it how it affects not just the rest of
[00:20:12] the world but the people who actually
[00:20:14] live in um you know live live in this
[00:20:18] country and like we must recognize that
[00:20:20] imperialism is not simply a system
[00:20:23] whereby big states do bad things to
[00:20:26] smaller ones it is evoled else a mode of
[00:20:29] political domination extraction
[00:20:31] accumulation and under uh
[00:20:33] underdevelopment that aerates the global
[00:20:36] South right and so by every measure of
[00:20:38] the political economy so you could talk
[00:20:40] about Russian imperialism Chinese
[00:20:42] imperialism whatever I don't I don't
[00:20:43] care uh the United States is the
[00:20:46] foremost Empire today those who deem
[00:20:48] China Iran Russia as imperialist states
[00:20:50] which I
[00:20:52] don't I I'm not saying that they don't
[00:20:54] engage in that you can ask people in
[00:20:56] central Africa and the Sahel whether or
[00:20:58] not Russia's is engaged in imperialism
[00:21:00] that's beyond the scope of this the
[00:21:01] bottom line is that um imperialist
[00:21:05] states are okay to compare any of its
[00:21:08] geopolitical Rivals the United States
[00:21:10] any of its geopolitical Rivals to
[00:21:12] minimize its well documented trail of
[00:21:14] blood that has stretched out over every
[00:21:17] corner of the Earth in the last century
[00:21:19] so you may talk about Russian
[00:21:20] imperialism and this kind of this dream
[00:21:24] to reawaken the USSR which I've seen no
[00:21:26] basis or premise for um that just
[00:21:30] minimizes the much more violent History
[00:21:32] of the United States and again I'm not a
[00:21:35] citizen of Russia and I'm G to talk
[00:21:36] about my own government and about how I
[00:21:40] would like to hold them accountable so
[00:21:42] uh just so I don't get any of those
[00:21:44] stupid comments uh in the comment
[00:21:46] section so um yeah I just want to put
[00:21:50] that out there first so let's actually
[00:21:52] now that that disclaimer is over with um
[00:21:56] yeah and then I think people in the
[00:21:59] comments are talking about NATO
[00:22:00] expansionism which has been far more
[00:22:02] aggressive than anything we see to the
[00:22:05] east of the North Atlantic Treaty
[00:22:08] Organization so let's take a look at who
[00:22:12] are we who we looking at
[00:22:13] first uh let's see well at any other
[00:22:17] time before we we we look at this
[00:22:19] interview between Steve whiteoff and
[00:22:22] CNN I just wanted to
[00:22:26] um I thought I was just taking part in
[00:22:28] the chat but I I really am just arguing
[00:22:30] with people yeah well you know we can't
[00:22:33] let's all try to agree on something at
[00:22:35] least we can probably agree on the next
[00:22:37] 40 minutes of this episode so at any
[00:22:39] other time the past 80 years it would
[00:22:41] have been unimaginable that the US
[00:22:43] president would be pressing for a
[00:22:45] meeting with President Vladimir Putin
[00:22:47] while calling zalinsky a dictator okay
[00:22:50] that is a complete departure from
[00:22:53] established US foreign policy which has
[00:22:56] been uh heavily russophobic and Trump's
[00:22:59] approach stands in STK contrast to that
[00:23:01] of any of his president uh predecessors
[00:23:04] really like former President Joe Biden
[00:23:06] who he claims play was played by like a
[00:23:09] fiddle by zilinski and allowed the war
[00:23:11] to start and continue for so long you
[00:23:13] know it's also interesting that this is
[00:23:15] also a departure from Trump's first
[00:23:16] policy you know the Democrats like the
[00:23:19] neoliberal Hawks uh in Washington and
[00:23:22] the Democratic party always said you
[00:23:24] know Trump was too buddy buddy with
[00:23:25] Putin but he did arm Ukraine you know so
[00:23:28] this is also a departure from what he
[00:23:30] has done historically too um and he said
[00:23:33] quote unquote we are either going to go
[00:23:35] sign a deal or there are going to be a
[00:23:37] lot of problems with them implying the
[00:23:39] ukrainians unquote Trump said in a
[00:23:41] speech on Friday and on Saturday this
[00:23:42] past Saturday uh Trump said the parties
[00:23:44] were close to a deal we are asking for
[00:23:46] reare elements and oil anything we can
[00:23:49] get we better be close to a deal so uh
[00:23:52] the US Us official involved in
[00:23:54] negotiations confirmed a deal could be
[00:23:56] reached fairly soon we're going to
[00:23:58] address that I don't see how that's
[00:23:59] going to happen before at least may but
[00:24:03] you know a lot of people I've talked to
[00:24:04] about this over the p over the weekend
[00:24:06] we're like H like I live over here and
[00:24:09] uh we're thinking more about like the
[00:24:10] end of the year uh and we'll get into
[00:24:12] that shortly so they said they were
[00:24:15] closed to a deal on Saturday Us official
[00:24:17] and this is coming from axios news
[00:24:19] involved in the negotiations confirmed a
[00:24:21] deal could be reached fairly soon the
[00:24:22] two sides continue to engage
[00:24:24] constructively on the process top
[00:24:26] officials on both sides are focused on
[00:24:28] getting this done the official said
[00:24:30] Trump says they think they can recoup
[00:24:31] about 400 to 500 billion from the
[00:24:34] resource deal not the main story it's
[00:24:37] just you know he's like a businessman
[00:24:39] you know he wants to recruit his losses
[00:24:41] he needs his Roi his return on
[00:24:43] investment so that's what he's going for
[00:24:45] from the resource deal but take
[00:24:46] everything Trump says with a salt shaker
[00:24:49] uh because you know he says a bunch of
[00:24:50] wild out-of-pocket stuff and it rarely
[00:24:52] rarely ever comes to fruition uh it
[00:24:55] seems like this is a leveraging
[00:24:56] technique he's going to demand uh
[00:24:58] the rare earth minerals from Ukraine and
[00:25:00] plunder its economy and let zinski plays
[00:25:04] ball the way he lets wants him to play
[00:25:06] ball so we've seen Trump historically
[00:25:09] just Leverage The might and power and
[00:25:11] economic resources of the United States
[00:25:13] in order to get his way so I think that
[00:25:14] could be something we're seeing right
[00:25:16] now so here's Steve wof witkoff sorry
[00:25:19] former American American investor in
[00:25:21] real estate developer turn special Envoy
[00:25:24] to the Middle East why he's talking
[00:25:26] about Ukraine I'm not sure speaking with
[00:25:28] Jake Tapper not the smartest tool in the
[00:25:30] shed wait I think this is Jake Tapper
[00:25:32] right I don't really watch CNN everybody
[00:25:34] watching can understand the need for
[00:25:36] diplomacy yes I got it right this is
[00:25:38] Jake Tapper all right looking here like
[00:25:41] a permanently confused child uh and
[00:25:44] especially president Trump wanting to
[00:25:45] reset the relationship with Russia but
[00:25:47] what do you say to the millions of
[00:25:48] Americans and people around the world
[00:25:50] who are concerned that the United States
[00:25:52] right now doesn't seem to understand who
[00:25:55] actually launched this war against
[00:25:57] Ukraine and is actually trying to Side
[00:26:00] Up Sidle up to the bad guys Putin and
[00:26:03] the Russians while screwing oh you think
[00:26:07] there are good guys and bad guys in
[00:26:09] great power politics no there's there's
[00:26:11] not great guys and there's awful guys
[00:26:14] and we have a track record of being
[00:26:16] awful guys over the good guys zalinski
[00:26:19] and Ukraine I think that is that is a
[00:26:21] fear that a lot of Americans
[00:26:25] have well look I've I've heard that that
[00:26:28] that kind of talk I don't I don't
[00:26:30] necessarily agree with it um but let me
[00:26:33] say this I'll make a few comments um the
[00:26:36] first is that the the war irrespective
[00:26:39] of who started it needs to end too many
[00:26:41] people's lives um uh have been expunged
[00:26:44] as a result of it and it just doesn't
[00:26:47] make sense to the president he wants to
[00:26:48] be the peacemaking president peace
[00:26:50] through strength and I don't blame him I
[00:26:52] actually concur um again I have so many
[00:26:55] problems with the slogan peace through
[00:26:57] strength it's like we're less strong
[00:26:59] than we've been since before World War
[00:27:01] II and we're not getting it back you're
[00:27:03] not fixing the like the recruiting
[00:27:05] crisis with your war on
[00:27:07] Dei and I don't know they they're trying
[00:27:09] to cut the defense budget by like half
[00:27:13] over the next 10 years half guess what
[00:27:16] most of the defense budget is people's
[00:27:18] payroll okay so just just think about
[00:27:21] that write down the line with his
[00:27:23] thought process around this that's one
[00:27:25] two um that the war didn't need to
[00:27:28] happen it was provoked it doesn't
[00:27:30] necessarily mean it was provoked by the
[00:27:32] Russians there were all kinds of um
[00:27:34] conversations back then about Ukraine
[00:27:36] joining NATO the president has spoken
[00:27:38] about this that didn't need to happen it
[00:27:41] basically became uh a threat to the
[00:27:43] Russians and so we have to deal with
[00:27:46] that fact and those are real facts on
[00:27:48] the ground here but be that as it may
[00:27:51] the Russians have indicated that they
[00:27:53] are responsive to an end to this they
[00:27:55] were very very uh uh uh
[00:27:58] what I'll call cogent and substantive
[00:28:01] negotiations framed in something that's
[00:28:03] called the istan buul protocol agreement
[00:28:06] we came very very close to signing
[00:28:08] something and I think we'll be using
[00:28:10] that framework as a um as a guidepost I
[00:28:14] I
[00:28:15] assume uh I assume he was referring to
[00:28:20] the istambul Accords which were like the
[00:28:22] third or fourth round of negotiations
[00:28:24] after hostilities broke out after
[00:28:25] February
[00:28:27] 2022 uh
[00:28:28] um yeah so they're they're using the old
[00:28:31] framework that that was most likely
[00:28:34] sabotaged by Boris Johnson and all the
[00:28:36] other neocons involved in this uh war in
[00:28:39] Ukraine so they're just re re re uh
[00:28:42] resurrecting sorry the old framework
[00:28:45] that could have been signed a couple
[00:28:47] years ago in Turkey so that is awesome
[00:28:51] to get a peace deal done between Ukraine
[00:28:54] and Russia and I think that will be an
[00:28:55] amazing day and the fact is about press
[00:28:58] conference I think it is not a
[00:29:00] coincidence that many of the narratives
[00:29:01] that are being voiced largely
[00:29:03] materialized after their
[00:29:07] conversation the phrases he is saying
[00:29:09] are so deep and so correct they are in
[00:29:11] total alignment with the way we see
[00:29:14] things do you think it's good that the
[00:29:17] Russians think that the Trump
[00:29:18] Administration is in total alignment
[00:29:20] with the way that Putin sees
[00:29:24] things I think we've had Jake by my
[00:29:29] estimation almost a million and a half
[00:29:31] deaths here and finally we have a leader
[00:29:34] that is President Trump who is
[00:29:36] determined to end the Carnage and so the
[00:29:39] only way you're going to end the Carnage
[00:29:41] is if you have a relationship with the
[00:29:43] leaders of uh of both countries that are
[00:29:46] involved I I mean yes uh obviously they
[00:29:50] don't care about a half a million deaths
[00:29:53] there was half a million deaths most
[00:29:55] likely two 200,000 to half a million
[00:29:58] deaths so far in Gaza uh they don't
[00:30:01] really care about ending the war so much
[00:30:03] as being seen as anti-war candidates uh
[00:30:05] shifting their foreign policy away from
[00:30:08] entanglements outside of the Western
[00:30:10] Hemisphere
[00:30:12] and isolating China so we're gonna get
[00:30:16] to that here in a second was I went over
[00:30:18] to Russia I had a meeting with uh with h
[00:30:21] yes um Ellen Tapper is stuck on good bad
[00:30:25] the entire liberal media I would say the
[00:30:28] the entire
[00:30:29] well yeah Fox News too is good bad you
[00:30:32] know everyone's evil or they're good and
[00:30:34] this is how we want the American people
[00:30:36] to think of things the United States the
[00:30:38] good guys ukrainians are the good guys
[00:30:41] the Russians are bad China's bad you
[00:30:43] know they they have an authoritarian
[00:30:45] surveillance society which just with
[00:30:47] like social credit scores and stuff like
[00:30:49] that and you know they hate Freedom so
[00:30:52] yeah this is just this is nothing new
[00:30:55] it's been like this since after the Viet
[00:30:58] n War that's when it really started to
[00:31:00] get compromised because of how
[00:31:02] problematic having a complex narrative
[00:31:04] was for the American people President
[00:31:07] Putin it was a long meeting positive
[00:31:11] constructive lots of good things got
[00:31:13] discussed in large part because the
[00:31:15] president enjoyed a positive
[00:31:17] relationship with President Putin uh
[00:31:20] from his first term in office and that
[00:31:23] then evolved into a in into a positive
[00:31:27] conversation with the
[00:31:30] president on a telephone call uh from
[00:31:33] the White
[00:31:35] House and then there was a positive
[00:31:37] conversation with President zinski so I
[00:31:40] think okay see a lot of this is again I
[00:31:43] just wanted to highlight that for like
[00:31:44] four minutes because what is he really
[00:31:47] saying re like really like there's no
[00:31:49] details like e even with the Israel
[00:31:52] Palestine or Israel uh Hamas ceasefire
[00:31:56] prog uh process we had Salient bullet
[00:32:00] points um of of what the actual peace
[00:32:03] process will look like so um I I did see
[00:32:06] a really good point and because there's
[00:32:09] nothing like solid or concrete if you
[00:32:11] follow Russian uh telegram channels I
[00:32:14] did like this post they just made um
[00:32:18] from ryar in English based on the recent
[00:32:21] speeches of our president and the
[00:32:22] American there is a strong and this is a
[00:32:24] Russian telegram channel uh that does
[00:32:25] like geopolitics and stuff sometimes
[00:32:27] agree with ryar in English sometimes I'm
[00:32:29] like H but this was a really good point
[00:32:31] based on the recent speeches of our
[00:32:33] president and the American there's a
[00:32:34] strong impression that a peace agreement
[00:32:36] will be reached but not in May as
[00:32:38] expected we think this will happen
[00:32:40] closer to the end of the year beginning
[00:32:43] of next year that's kind of more of a
[00:32:45] reasonable I mean these things take time
[00:32:48] there's a lot of political entanglements
[00:32:50] Europe and we're about to get there in a
[00:32:52] second is not Towing the line on this
[00:32:55] they do not want this war to like and
[00:32:58] and be seen to have lost and have their
[00:33:00] uh uh the rest of Europe exposed to
[00:33:03] Russian expansionism as they see it um
[00:33:06] there are too many obstacles in reaching
[00:33:07] such an agreement now the um armed
[00:33:09] forces of Ukraine is being reinforced
[00:33:12] supplies are ongoing yes because Biden
[00:33:15] the Biden admin Administration did some
[00:33:17] future proofing of the war in Ukraine
[00:33:19] with funding packages so there're still
[00:33:21] being reforced reinforced with the
[00:33:23] supplies and Europe does not want to
[00:33:25] surrender so in the spring some of this
[00:33:28] year we are likely to see a new phase
[00:33:30] attempt of the AFU offensive again armed
[00:33:33] forces of Ukraine for which reserves are
[00:33:35] now being hastily accumulated so
[00:33:41] yep um you know and one of the
[00:33:44] interesting things is uh there's the
[00:33:47] Biden Administration was
[00:33:50] pressuring a uh the Armed Forces of
[00:33:53] Ukraine to lower the conscription age to
[00:33:56] 18 right now
[00:33:58] it's it's 25 and
[00:34:01] if and I and I'm not sure if uh the
[00:34:04] Biden Administration will Frontline
[00:34:08] Training was successful in that but I
[00:34:10] know that the Ukrainian government if
[00:34:11] they don't want to fight they're going
[00:34:12] to have to start conscripting people
[00:34:14] younger but there's not a lot of young
[00:34:16] people
[00:34:18] left yeah this is just them doing some
[00:34:21] trench fighting basic
[00:34:23] stuff clearly don't know how to handle
[00:34:25] their weapons
[00:34:28] Vitali admits he didn't choose to
[00:34:34] come I got called up at first I was in
[00:34:37] shock but then well I
[00:34:40] understood meanwhile the battlefield
[00:34:42] grows ever more physically
[00:34:44] demanding in just a year and a half of
[00:34:46] this war Everything's changed soldiers
[00:34:48] Walk For Miles because if you drive a
[00:34:50] drone will spot your car and you're done
[00:34:51] for yet Ukraine is resisting calls from
[00:34:55] the US and others to bring the age of
[00:34:56] mobilization down from 25 to 18 there
[00:34:59] are military recruitment posters in
[00:35:01] front of this prestigious key of
[00:35:03] University but few of the students here
[00:35:05] favor lowering the draft age as for me I
[00:35:09] just feel I'm not yet ready I'm not
[00:35:11] grown up
[00:35:13] yet' already got that's definitely a
[00:35:16] more responsible approach than than the
[00:35:19] US military like I went through basic
[00:35:21] training when I was 18 and I felt I felt
[00:35:23] ready this guy's clearly more self-aware
[00:35:26] also doesn't want to die in the front
[00:35:27] lines so yeah I get I get that huge
[00:35:29] systemic labor shortage in all sectors
[00:35:31] it could paralyze our
[00:35:33] economy perhaps the biggest problem with
[00:35:35] drafting 18 to 25s though is demographic
[00:35:38] says Anna OIP chuk from the sociology
[00:35:41] faculty this cohort is the least
[00:35:43] populated there are more children and
[00:35:45] there are more adults so really if we
[00:35:48] draw heavily from these cohorts it won't
[00:35:52] really help the situation but it will
[00:35:54] damage the future too much ukra ukine
[00:35:57] would rather see its young people have
[00:35:59] children and raise families than die in
[00:36:02] battle something to consider though even
[00:36:04] though Trump's pushing for this
[00:36:05] negotiation as I said f uh before you
[00:36:08] know we don't really have any
[00:36:11] details a lot of people are saying it's
[00:36:12] going to take some time it's a hugely
[00:36:14] complicated issue any peace talks and
[00:36:16] the Russians said outright they don't
[00:36:17] want like this ceasefire of convenience
[00:36:21] they want it to be longterm if they
[00:36:22] finally sign it it needs to be longterm
[00:36:25] and has guarantors in France Europe uh
[00:36:29] uh France Germany the rest of the
[00:36:31] European Union guarantees from them and
[00:36:34] so look the summer of this year there's
[00:36:38] a possibility uh we're likely to see a
[00:36:40] new phase attempt of the AFU offensive
[00:36:43] so the Armed Forces of Ukraine May
[00:36:45] attack again something close to along
[00:36:47] the lines of what we saw in KK the KK
[00:36:50] offensive from last summer uh which we
[00:36:53] said was going to fail and not really
[00:36:56] have any long long-term gains that's
[00:36:59] exactly what happened so they'll
[00:37:01] probably in order to put pressure on the
[00:37:03] peace process probably try another
[00:37:06] spearhead thrust or potentially try
[00:37:08] another spearhead uh thrust into Russian
[00:37:11] lines to try to regain some lost
[00:37:13] territory and come from a stronger
[00:37:15] bargaining
[00:37:17] position um going into the negotiations
[00:37:20] so a summer offensive it's it's
[00:37:23] generally what happens in the summer in
[00:37:24] Europe after all the Snows have melted
[00:37:27] um you know they'll try to grab some
[00:37:28] territories enter negotiations and you
[00:37:31] know their leadership will try to
[00:37:33] improve its position by completing the
[00:37:35] liberation of DPR and LPR uh from their
[00:37:38] perspective so here of course there are
[00:37:40] many nuances since like Ukraine is led
[00:37:44] by say rather inadequate authorities who
[00:37:47] may do something unexpected like
[00:37:49] something as fool hearty as like the Cur
[00:37:51] Invasion but in the end everything is
[00:37:53] moving towards an agreement there's not
[00:37:55] much you Ukraine
[00:37:58] like Israel cannot be supported without
[00:38:02] U direct US military support and even
[00:38:06] though Europe's done more to support
[00:38:08] Ukraine than we have just by the Numbers
[00:38:11] doesn't really mean uh yeah they can
[00:38:14] keep keep doing without us so like the
[00:38:17] Europe is kind of preparing for this uh
[00:38:21] post America or NATO is preparing for a
[00:38:24] post amera Alliance let's look at the
[00:38:27] German uh Chancellor speaking today o um
[00:38:33] afd almost won but a a slightly less
[00:38:35] far-right conservative government is in
[00:38:38] there right now so this is about him and
[00:38:41] European solidarity Germany and France
[00:38:43] are like the two big leader nations of
[00:38:46] the uh European Union so we will look to
[00:38:48] them for leadership going forward in a
[00:38:52] post am NATO if it comes to that the
[00:38:54] abute
[00:39:00] Fredrick Ms incoming Chancellor for
[00:39:03] Germany he is also an ex Black Rock
[00:39:05] executive so that's
[00:39:24] fun oh sorry sorry um I know Bunch you
[00:39:27] guys listen uh so let me let me go ahead
[00:39:30] and narrate this for you um let me turn
[00:39:32] down the German uh my grandmother tried
[00:39:35] to teach me but I was a horrible student
[00:39:37] so uh let's just let's just look at the
[00:39:39] subtitles the absolute priority absolute
[00:39:41] priority from my perspective is the
[00:39:43] Europeans come to an understanding agree
[00:39:45] and Stand United amongst themselves
[00:39:47] currently a significant uh part of
[00:39:49] European politics is taking place
[00:39:51] without Germany this has of course
[00:39:53] something to do with the election
[00:39:55] campaign and it's inter
[00:39:57] pH but I'm in close communication with
[00:40:01] many prime ministers heads of state and
[00:40:03] government leaders from the EU and for
[00:40:05] me the absolute priority will be to as
[00:40:08] quickly as possible strengthen Europe so
[00:40:10] that we can step by step achieve true
[00:40:13] independent from the USA this is the
[00:40:16] first time we're hearing that keep this
[00:40:18] in mind as we go
[00:40:21] forward I would never believe that like
[00:40:24] this on a television show I'd have to
[00:40:25] say something like this but after the
[00:40:26] statements from Donald Trump last
[00:40:29] week it's clear that the Americans at
[00:40:32] least this part of the Americans This
[00:40:33] Administration is largely indifferent to
[00:40:35] the fate of
[00:40:36] Europe can't really argue with that I
[00:40:39] mean I don't think they want to be
[00:40:40] completely separated from Europe but
[00:40:42] they're definitely trying to get
[00:40:43] something out of it so I'm very curious
[00:40:45] to see how we will approach the NATO
[00:40:48] Summit at the end of June yes there are
[00:40:50] not going to be too many more
[00:40:51] developments on this until the NATO
[00:40:53] Summit itself this
[00:40:55] summer whether we still be talking about
[00:40:58] nato in its current form whether we need
[00:41:00] to establish much more quickly
[00:41:03] independent European Defense
[00:41:06] capabilities uh so this is an absolute
[00:41:08] priority for me and I have no Illusions
[00:41:10] whatsoever about what is happening from
[00:41:13] America just look at the most recent
[00:41:15] events what a certain Mr Elon Musk has
[00:41:18] done in terms of interventions in the
[00:41:20] German election campaign um this is an
[00:41:22] unprecedented occurrence intervention
[00:41:25] from Washington no dramatic and
[00:41:29] drastic ultimately Brazen that the
[00:41:32] interventions we have seen in Moscow we
[00:41:34] are under such massive pressure from
[00:41:36] both sides and that's my absolute
[00:41:38] priority now is just truly to establish
[00:41:41] unity in Europe and this is intention
[00:41:44] like this is intention with a lot of um
[00:41:49] you know far-right nationalist movements
[00:41:52] through in in Italy in France really
[00:41:55] questioning you know the European Union
[00:41:58] and you know from a leftist perspective
[00:42:00] I'm not a big fan of the EU uh but it's
[00:42:03] really interesting say seeing that this
[00:42:04] is an un unprecedented tension between
[00:42:07] this idea of paneuropean
[00:42:10] multiculturalism and far-right
[00:42:12] nationalism that's picking up currently
[00:42:15] so um yeah I
[00:42:17] think Germany the United States are all
[00:42:20] on a political inflection point and
[00:42:22] something that we haven't seen before
[00:42:23] also I don't know if you guys were
[00:42:24] tracking this the UN resol
[00:42:28] olution was uh put forward to condemn
[00:42:31] Russia's invasion of Ukraine today
[00:42:33] Monday or tomorrow if you're across the
[00:42:36] Atlantic uh the US voted against a UN
[00:42:39] resolution today condemning Russia's
[00:42:41] invasion of Ukraine siding with Moscow
[00:42:44] and other non-democratic countries like
[00:42:47] North Korea bellarus and Sudan and the
[00:42:49] non-democratic countries thing of course
[00:42:52] what had to be put in there by the media
[00:42:54] so I mean not necessarily disagreeing
[00:42:56] but why it matters okay so first of all
[00:42:59] the Trump Administration has found
[00:43:00] itself increasingly isolated on the
[00:43:03] world stage and SE sees to broker peace
[00:43:06] on the third anniversary of the war in
[00:43:08] Ukraine uh three a three-page resolution
[00:43:11] presented by Ukraine condemned Russia's
[00:43:13] aggression and called for the complete
[00:43:15] and unconditional withdrawal of Russian
[00:43:16] forces from the Ukrainian
[00:43:18] territory okay um yeah the US was just
[00:43:22] one of 18 countries to vote against the
[00:43:24] resolution and so just to pull up a map
[00:43:27] here if you just want to take a break
[00:43:29] from doing what you're doing and look at
[00:43:30] the screen all right in
[00:43:35] favor uh okay so we got
[00:43:38] Orange
[00:43:39] um everywhere in Europe except what
[00:43:43] what's that bellus Hungary uh one Baltic
[00:43:47] State I don't know why I'm blanking on
[00:43:49] my Baltic geography right now and then
[00:43:51] the US
[00:43:53] Panama and um wait is that Panama yeah
[00:43:56] okay so and then some um very
[00:44:00] pro-russia countries in the Sahel of
[00:44:02] course they're um getting a lot of
[00:44:05] military support from Russia that this
[00:44:08] is obviously how they would vote North
[00:44:09] Korea yes yes yes obviously North Korea
[00:44:13] has uh an increased defense relationship
[00:44:16] with Russia and yeah so that's
[00:44:19] interesting and of course oh yeah guess
[00:44:22] who also voted um to not recognize uh
[00:44:27] this wording for the resolution Israel
[00:44:30] Israel is going to vote for the United
[00:44:31] States because the United States has
[00:44:33] been voting for Israel at the UN however
[00:44:36] it wasn't a security Council resolution
[00:44:38] so it passed yes someone asked Hungary
[00:44:42] yes Victor
[00:44:43] orbon in Hungary is very very pro-
[00:44:47] Russia so that's not surprising at all
[00:44:51] now what's interesting here is the
[00:44:53] European Unity so um all of the
[00:44:56] including turkey Turkey um historically
[00:44:59] a regional Ally of Russia even though
[00:45:01] they have a complicated history of
[00:45:02] fighting each other
[00:45:05] um voted with the majority of un
[00:45:08] countries to condemn it so in recent
[00:45:11] days you know when these efforts failed
[00:45:13] the US is starting to push numerous
[00:45:15] countries to instead support a rival
[00:45:17] resolution that mourned the loss of life
[00:45:20] and called for a swift end to the
[00:45:22] conflict the us back resolution which
[00:45:24] was just three paragraphs did not blame
[00:45:26] Russia for starting the war quote a
[00:45:28] simple historic statement from the
[00:45:30] general assembly that looks forward not
[00:45:31] backwards a res a resolution focused on
[00:45:35] one simple idea ending the war unquote
[00:45:38] acting un Ambassador Dorothy Shay said
[00:45:40] in a speech urging member states to
[00:45:42] adopt the resolution so basically the
[00:45:45] European amendments were then adopted
[00:45:47] with the support of 53 member states
[00:45:50] forcing the us into the awkward position
[00:45:53] of abstaining from its own draft
[00:45:55] resolution so was introduced then it had
[00:45:58] to get amended and you know us abstained
[00:46:01] from that one but I'd rather not explain
[00:46:02] it now uh but it's sort of self-evident
[00:46:06] I think Trump told supporters Monday
[00:46:08] when asked why the US opposed Ukraine's
[00:46:11] resolution you know and this matters
[00:46:13] because this dramatic change in US
[00:46:16] policy towards Russia has shocked
[00:46:19] Ukraine Europe it's fueling fears Among
[00:46:22] Us allies that the Trump Administration
[00:46:24] was side with Moscow as it tries to
[00:46:26] negotiate and end with conflict I think
[00:46:28] it's already sided with Moscow the Trump
[00:46:30] Administration has cast a shadow of
[00:46:31] dealt not only across in battle Kev but
[00:46:34] across an entire continent that has
[00:46:36] trusted the US for decades at its most
[00:46:39] powerful protector and partner and
[00:46:41] that's why NATO is preparing for a post-
[00:46:44] Amer Alliance and all of this you know
[00:46:47] Trump has had a bone to pick with NATO
[00:46:49] for
[00:46:50] years right um he set it on his first
[00:46:54] Administration and what's interesting
[00:46:56] about the you know part of it is trying
[00:46:59] to get more buddy buddy with Russia and
[00:47:00] have a better security relationship to
[00:47:02] isolate them from China that's a little
[00:47:04] more to get into but I don't see it
[00:47:07] happening it's already too late as I
[00:47:08] said
[00:47:09] before what's interesting is Trump by
[00:47:13] gutting us
[00:47:14] Aid and rolling it into the state
[00:47:17] department under Marco Rubio there goes
[00:47:19] our soft power there goes any pretense
[00:47:21] that you know all these nonprofit NOS
[00:47:24] that support opposition groups and other
[00:47:25] countries whose government we don't like
[00:47:28] uh is is no longer has a degree of
[00:47:30] separation from the actual State
[00:47:32] Department is crazy so there goes our
[00:47:35] one instrument of soft power one of our
[00:47:37] instruments of soft power uh which I'm
[00:47:39] not going to cry about uh that's gone
[00:47:42] and now NATO NATO is a US institution
[00:47:47] NATO is an arm of US foreign policy and
[00:47:49] this signals a massive
[00:47:52] shift from this idea of North Atlant IC
[00:47:57] expansionism and again reorienting
[00:48:00] toward Western Hemisphere bully wagging
[00:48:03] uh bullying Greenland Panama and any
[00:48:05] other country we don't like reimposing
[00:48:07] sanctions on Cuba and
[00:48:09] Venezuela H and refocusing on keeping
[00:48:12] China out of our backyard in the Western
[00:48:15] Hemisphere and isolating them over the
[00:48:17] straight of Taiwan Japan and South Korea
[00:48:19] so yeah
[00:48:22] um yeah so I guess we saw Frederick Murs
[00:48:26] the center right leader who just was
[00:48:28] elected for Germany uh said that his
[00:48:31] priority will be to strengthen Europe as
[00:48:33] quickly as possible to achieve real
[00:48:34] independence from the
[00:48:36] USA I don't think I've ever seen someone
[00:48:39] say something as bold as that but it
[00:48:41] just really goes to show that again my
[00:48:44] premise at the beginning was
[00:48:46] Trump while operating himself as this
[00:48:49] Peacemaker that can get something done
[00:48:51] um is interesting because he packages
[00:48:55] like the expanding of us power and
[00:48:58] Empire
[00:49:00] um that's that's the brand but when he's
[00:49:03] actually doing it he's actually
[00:49:04] dismantling it so uh cool I don't think
[00:49:08] this bodess well for the US Empire which
[00:49:11] a lot of people should be rightly
[00:49:13] excited about and yeah we'll just have
[00:49:15] to wait and see when it comes to like
[00:49:16] this this Russia thing like we have had
[00:49:18] mron and British prime minister Kier
[00:49:20] starmer U you know who will also be
[00:49:23] visiting Trump this week apparently uh
[00:49:25] they're among several European leaders
[00:49:27] who have signaled that they're prepared
[00:49:28] to boost defense spending as Trump steps
[00:49:33] back and you know starmer himself I
[00:49:34] don't if you remember from last week is
[00:49:36] committed to putting boots on the ground
[00:49:38] if necessary to guarantee Ukraine's
[00:49:41] safety
[00:49:43] um European leaders have been discussing
[00:49:45] potential post-war reassurance for force
[00:49:47] to be deployed to Ukraine to deter
[00:49:49] against Russia renewed aggression it's
[00:49:51] bunch of saber rattling um again I don't
[00:49:54] I don't think a ceasefire deal is going
[00:49:55] to happen as quickly people hope and
[00:49:58] then NATO um allies are in a stage of
[00:50:00] anger denial and despair after Pete Heth
[00:50:04] last week effectively declared an end to
[00:50:06] America's role as the primary guarantor
[00:50:09] of European security particularly over
[00:50:13] Ukraine what a post
[00:50:16] US security situation will look like
[00:50:19] nobody knows um they're scrambling to
[00:50:22] figure it out there'll be the NATO
[00:50:24] Summit in June but before that it's all
[00:50:27] speculation so basically though why it
[00:50:30] matters is you know Trump's dramatic
[00:50:32] change in US policy towards
[00:50:34] Russia um you know will side with Moscow
[00:50:38] overtly this is a completely completely
[00:50:41] different foreign policy footing that's
[00:50:43] existed since the post World War II era
[00:50:46] and that's crazy uh us Empire continues
[00:50:48] to decline um I I wouldn't worry too
[00:50:50] much about the mineral
[00:50:52] stuff uh I I'm not sure if that's going
[00:50:54] to happen that seems more like if a uh
[00:50:58] more like a negotiation leveraging
[00:51:00] technique so uh yeah someone said so
[00:51:03] freaking
[00:51:04] excited
[00:51:06] yeah um do you think we're closer to or
[00:51:10] further from World War III than we were
[00:51:11] six months ago well I don't think um
[00:51:16] well it depends what Trump intends for
[00:51:17] Iran I don't I think that's the next
[00:51:19] flash point again I've talked ad nauseum
[00:51:23] on this platform about why a Invasion or
[00:51:27] attack on Iran is unviable it's not just
[00:51:30] my position it's even the position of
[00:51:32] really really hawkish think tanks like
[00:51:34] uh the sabon center for Middle East
[00:51:37] studies uh you know owned by Heim Saban
[00:51:40] the uh ex IDF Soldier Zionist
[00:51:42] billionaire who owns Universal Studios
[00:51:44] even think tanks funded by him are like
[00:51:46] war with Iran is probably not going to
[00:51:48] be a great idea and then of course you
[00:51:51] know the Atlantic Council and you know
[00:51:54] the the the center for strategic and
[00:51:55] independent or international studies the
[00:51:58] csis put out a war games an analytical
[00:52:03] report last year that says in three
[00:52:06] weeks in a shooting war with China over
[00:52:09] Taiwan the us is going to run out of
[00:52:12] Munitions so I don't know what can we to
[00:52:16] accomplish it however just like the cold
[00:52:18] war it's not a cold war for a lot of
[00:52:21] people like I I think World War II
[00:52:25] didn't look like World War I World War
[00:52:27] III is not going to look like World War
[00:52:28] II i' I've heard some knowledgeable
[00:52:32] people assert that we're already in
[00:52:34] World War I it's just going to be more
[00:52:36] of like a cold war situation which is a
[00:52:38] really Western Centric way to frame it
[00:52:41] because the cold war was in fact a hot
[00:52:43] War for a lot of people um I don't think
[00:52:46] it will do we'll see any big great power
[00:52:50] escalation in the near future so like us
[00:52:53] China Russia I don't see that happening
[00:52:56] um
[00:52:59] yes he canceled the election uh
[00:53:01] imprisoned political opposition imprison
[00:53:03] priests even that's very dictator like
[00:53:06] well hey you know um we might see that
[00:53:09] in America and people will still be
[00:53:12] calling us a democracy no no no I was I
[00:53:14] was I'm not I'm not refuting any of this
[00:53:17] I was just saying a lot of Trump's
[00:53:20] comments on his unhinged Kanye westes
[00:53:24] Twitter post was Miss leading and that's
[00:53:27] all I was addressing so he made other
[00:53:30] political parties illegal for Christ
[00:53:31] sakes yeah
[00:53:34] um again his approval rating is still
[00:53:37] pretty high but it's kind of rich I I
[00:53:40] kind of resist anytime that
[00:53:43] uh Trump calls people a dictator because
[00:53:46] he so clearly wants to be one um what's
[00:53:50] the triple lock
[00:53:53] system what hang on
[00:54:06] it's a it's a
[00:54:08] lock wait is this some sort of domestic
[00:54:11] Ireland policy thing that I'm completely
[00:54:13] blanking on I'm not sure exactly what
[00:54:14] that is uh one thing about uh yeah well
[00:54:19] zalinsky is uh you know just carried on
[00:54:21] policies by the first nationalist leader
[00:54:23] that took power after uh yukos shenko
[00:54:27] uh left in
[00:54:29] 2014 and yeah you know we've seen I I
[00:54:33] mentioned the videos of you know the
[00:54:35] Goon squads driving up and taking
[00:54:37] military AED men off the streets and
[00:54:41] putting them to the front lines I think
[00:54:43] ending the war is a way to reestablish a
[00:54:47] lack of authoritarianism but yeah it's
[00:54:51] hard to say that any anyone that cancels
[00:54:53] elections is still a democracy and you
[00:54:55] know there have been a lot of
[00:54:56] accusations that the system was rigged
[00:54:58] in the first place but I haven't seen
[00:55:00] any Concrete Hard Evidence of that but
[00:55:02] yes not to mention the US Le coup at
[00:55:05] least supported coup um um I haven't
[00:55:08] seen any compelling evidence that it was
[00:55:11] completely initiated by the United
[00:55:13] States I know a lot of our Q attempts
[00:55:16] are basically opportunistic in nature
[00:55:18] but um yeah to say that the United
[00:55:20] States wasn't involved in that coup or
[00:55:23] you know the coup that established the
[00:55:25] hashimite German uh monarchy and Jordan
[00:55:28] yeah fingerprints all over that one
[00:55:33] um sad to see the Silver Spoon
[00:55:36] boyfriends on the Duran lose credibility
[00:55:38] with their sycophantic love and for the
[00:55:40] musk Trump billionaire foxes in the henh
[00:55:42] house
[00:55:45] um Russia is also reporting widespread
[00:55:48] incidents of war crimes I guess
[00:55:49] investigations are pending I follow
[00:55:51] Russian and Ukrainian
[00:55:53] channels uh everybody's doing war crimes
[00:55:56] in in that fight like both sides are
[00:55:59] like not taking prisoners so if people
[00:56:01] are in a trench line whether it's
[00:56:03] Russian or Ukrainian and they take a
[00:56:04] position people put up their hands
[00:56:05] they're just getting shot uh I've
[00:56:07] personally see War crims being
[00:56:10] perpetuated on both sides that's
[00:56:11] something to expect during a conflict
[00:56:13] like this doesn't excuse them but yeah
[00:56:16] everybody's doing that right
[00:56:21] now uh Samantha Wy Pro Russia is just a
[00:56:24] label you put on anything you don't like
[00:56:26] like hate speech I'm sure you understand
[00:56:28] that yeah Pro Russia it's kind of like a
[00:56:30] like what do you do you hate democracy
[00:56:32] you hate Freedom bro sound like
[00:56:34] communist even though Russia's
[00:56:36] not uh they've gone through a bunch of
[00:56:39] capitalist reforms in the post Cold War
[00:56:41] era but um why all the imperialists talk
[00:56:45] this I thought this was a cooking show
[00:56:49] um yeah it is a cooking show as as you
[00:56:53] know the young the young kids say like
[00:56:56] when you're cooking right um yeah sorry
[00:56:59] about all the talk about imperialism
[00:57:00] it's almost like it dominates so many
[00:57:02] lives and policies around the world I
[00:57:06] fully agree with the idea that NATO
[00:57:07] expansion led to this but once Russia
[00:57:08] invaded zinsky did what any leader would
[00:57:11] do martial law no elections and no
[00:57:13] groups infiltrated by Russia it's not a
[00:57:16] it's not an unvalid
[00:57:18] Point um and you know there were plenty
[00:57:21] of infiltrated groups by Russia
[00:57:24] especially in the dboss region
[00:57:27] uh there's a whole bunch of historical
[00:57:29] precedents for suspending elections
[00:57:31] during wartime I'm really not so sure
[00:57:34] that that was the best information play
[00:57:36] uh the best PR stunt to do especially
[00:57:40] when you're framing this as a fight for
[00:57:43] democracy over the authoritarian
[00:57:45] autocratic nature of Putin uh but then
[00:57:48] again Ukrainian information operations
[00:57:49] are not as good as they were a couple
[00:57:51] years ago I think they're getting burnt
[00:57:52] out
[00:57:54] um did you see Zary Z Jeffrey sack's
[00:57:58] pres
[00:57:59] presentation to the EU Parliament um I
[00:58:02] heard about it I heard like Danny hyong
[00:58:05] reference it and some other people but
[00:58:08] no I Haven I haven't watched that yet
[00:58:09] but I guess I'll do that after this um
[00:58:11] Peace through War love through hate what
[00:58:13] else we got Trump called it a ridiculous
[00:58:16] War I mean I think most wars that have
[00:58:18] happened in the modern era are
[00:58:19] completely
[00:58:20] ridiculous
[00:58:22] um yes
[00:58:27] okay zinsky was elected in 2018 to end
[00:58:29] the civil war in Ukraine but was ramped
[00:58:31] up instead the US NATO is to blame for
[00:58:33] what's happening in Ukraine zilinski was
[00:58:35] only a puppet and as I said at the
[00:58:37] beginning of this episode the fact that
[00:58:40] ukrainians and Ukrainian officials
[00:58:42] aren't even involved in the peace talks
[00:58:44] at this point really goes to show you
[00:58:47] that this is
[00:58:48] probably probably an American project
[00:58:51] you know it was it was an American
[00:58:53] Adventure uh to see if they could weaken
[00:58:55] Russia you know to isolate them
[00:58:58] economically politically and to use the
[00:59:00] [ __ ] and to use the massive option of
[00:59:03] annihilation to Exile them from the
[00:59:05] Swift banking system it didn't work none
[00:59:08] of this has worked so yes I do think as
[00:59:11] much as I loathe Trump as a fascist
[00:59:13] clown this is a more sane Russia Ukraine
[00:59:17] policy it is it is um of course
[00:59:21] ukrainians are I mean hopefully the war
[00:59:25] will stop but I do worry that you know
[00:59:28] Trump will try to basically steal all
[00:59:31] their resources which would help them
[00:59:32] rebuild their economy after after a war
[00:59:35] of attrition so
[00:59:38] yeah NATO the Irish government and the
[00:59:40] UN have to agree to sending troops to uh
[00:59:44] to peacekeeping I don't know if they
[00:59:46] sign if they sign a peace agreement you
[00:59:48] know you would expect Russia to follow
[00:59:50] it
[00:59:52] um especially with all that's writing
[00:59:54] State uh everything that's going on
[00:59:56] right now especially if they have
[00:59:58] a if they get a good deal which
[01:00:02] seems Seems likely but the Europe is
[01:00:05] pretty demilitarized right now you know
[01:00:08] you need a lot of troops to to secure
[01:00:11] that border in a peacekeeping operation
[01:00:14] so who where are they going to get the
[01:00:15] troops from man um tens hundreds of
[01:00:19] thousands so Russia has to come away
[01:00:21] with some Ukraine territory agreement
[01:00:24] which means the war will never
[01:00:26] and yeah well um a lot of learned people
[01:00:30] think this will end in a frozen conflict
[01:00:33] just because Trump says there's going to
[01:00:35] be a peace agreement just because Russia
[01:00:38] seems to be hopeful or Russian officials
[01:00:40] seem to be hopeful this is a massively
[01:00:43] complicated uh thing to
[01:00:45] end especially with like maybe if Russia
[01:00:48] had some massive decisive Victory but
[01:00:51] it's a war of attrition trench line to
[01:00:52] trench line and just like that the whole
[01:00:55] politic process of implementing a
[01:00:57] ceasefire is also going to be a slog the
[01:00:59] most Salient thing to take away from
[01:01:00] this is the security um situation in
[01:01:04] Europe has changed forever it is the
[01:01:08] end of an era and any supposition on
[01:01:12] what that's going to look like is moot
[01:01:14] at this point I think a ceasefire by may
[01:01:17] may be a little too
[01:01:18] optimistic
[01:01:20] so uh yeah we'll see and we hope to end
[01:01:23] the violence and end all wars and you
[01:01:25] know know if Trump wants to you know
[01:01:28] isolate us from NATO destroy
[01:01:32] usaid um millions of people will be
[01:01:35] fatally affected by that uh because of
[01:01:40] course we leverage Medical Aid and
[01:01:42] support to governments to in order to
[01:01:44] coers them to do what we want them to do
[01:01:46] but I don't know it's the end of an era
[01:01:49] there's going to be consequences for a
[01:01:50] lot of innocent people hopefully this
[01:01:53] Empire ends and we can become just a
[01:01:56] regular old nation state instead of a
[01:02:00] bloodthirsty extractive power in the
[01:02:03] world so um I think Trump's a good uh
[01:02:06] vehicle for that just like Netanyahu is
[01:02:07] a good vehicle for exposing the Israeli
[01:02:10] state for what it is and uh hopefully
[01:02:12] ending that project soon as well well
[01:02:14] thank you so much just wanted to get
[01:02:16] into that thing for today I wish I could
[01:02:19] give more of a detailed prognosis about
[01:02:22] what the future holds but yeah but we
[01:02:25] only had an hour
[01:02:26] and this is completely Uncharted
[01:02:28] Territory it's unprecedented what we're
[01:02:30] seeing right now so should be
[01:02:31] interesting to watch over the next
[01:02:33] coming months and again be looking out
[01:02:35] for the NATO Summit in June that's
[01:02:37] really going to give us a good idea
[01:02:38] about what to look like going forward
[01:02:42] and we will see you next Monday all
[01:02:46] right cheers y'all have a good week and
[01:02:49] try to stay mentally healthy amongst the
[01:02:52] madness have a good night
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