📄 Extracted Text (409 words)
0.90 3.20
For the warrant to lose say 80% of its value, the stock would need to trade down to 0.45 or 0.50 from
0.69 currently. In fact a year ago the stock was trading at 0.5 (athough the warrant was trading 1.00
then)
So i would size conservatively.
Nay
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Nam Gupta
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From: "jeffrey E." [email protected]>
To:
Date: 26/06/2014 20:10
subject: Re: Jeffrey - I like Alpha Bank (Greece) listed call warrants (ticker ALPHAW GA) to play
the Greek story from here
size?
On Thu, Jun 26, 2014 at 2:34 PM, Nav Gupta wrote:
Jeffrey
I like the Greek recovery story, i like Alpha Bank among the banks there and I think the 3.Syr call
warrants issued a year ago which have very little time value priced in and priced close to intrinsic, are
the best way to buy the stock and the broader story.
Background
1. Greece experienced a worse recession than the Eurozone. The wage and unemployment adjustments have
been far more severe than the Eurozone. Greece's economy is showing signs of return to growth over the
next year. IMF forecasts 0.6% GDP growth 2014 and faster growth than broad Eurozone from 2015+.
2. In the short term bank asset quality continues to deteriorate. NPL is 35, doubl e the rate of Italy
and > 3x that of Spain
3. Greek banks raised eur5Obn in 2013 to recapitalise losses from Greek Govt bond PSI (private sector
involvement). The sector is now 35-70% state owned.
Greek Banks
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0 102229
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00248413
EFTA01447564
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