EFTA01458618.pdf
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26 September 2016
FX Forecasts and Valuations: Don't throw in the towel
Figure 14: EURIGBP: Sterling remains expensive but Figure 15: EUR/SEK. SEK is very cheap vs. the euro
within the band
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73 77 81 85 89 93 97 01 05 09 13
73 77 81 85 89 93 97 01 05 09 13
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Figure ICS: ELM/CHF: CHF is expensive against the euro Figure 17: EUFI/CAD: CAD is cheap against the euro
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3.6 EUR/CHF 15 17
— — —20% Band ^ r.•
3.0 3.0
PPP EUR/CHF 16
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11 EURCAD 1.1
1.5 - 1.5
--- 20% Band
T 0.9 PPP EYR
1.0 - - - - --- 1.0 0.9
73 77 81 85 89 93 97 01 05 09 13 73 77 81 85 89 93 97 01 06 09 13
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Figure IS: AUD/NZD: NZD is near its fair value against Figure IS: CAD/NZD: NZD remains expensive against
AUD CAD, approaching the 20% band.
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- - - 20% 81411 06 ,r ette. 0.6
— PPP CAD/NZD
PPP AUDi14213
0.6 0.8 0.4 0.4
73 77 81 85 89 83 97 01 05 09 13 73 77 81 85 89 93 97 01 05 09 13
lane 08/44aranth, Oateari•et Mn.M a.va SOObsedt Dagrent
Page 14 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0118612
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00264796
EFTA01458618
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EFTA01458618
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