📄 Extracted Text (405 words)
3January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Mufti SectorMedia. Cable & Satellite
Radio Broadcasting
rRadio Broadcasting: Core Revenue Performance & Guidance:
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The radio industry seems to have settled into a new normal - that of overall
LSD declines. FY14 was down -3%, FY15 down -2.5% Y-o-Y, FY16 down
-3%, and FY17 tracking to down -2.40% Station digital ad sales are growing
-100/0, but still represent just -1CP/0 of revenues. Excess supply and a lack of
pricing discipline have hurt the industry. In addition, terrestrial radio continues
to battle competition for both ad dollars and listeners on multiple fronts:
satellite radio, streaming radio (i.e.. Pandora), and music subscription services
(e.g. Spotify, Apple Music), to name a few. Connected cars may amplify these
competitive pressures.
All that said, unlike other under-pressure traditional media outlets
(i.e. newspapers), the radio industry recovered from the depths of the
recession to post mid-single growth in 2010, followed up by more stable -
albeit down slightly - performance since.
[Radio Industry: Ad Revenue 'Fiend % Change)
4%
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The big players in the industry, iHeart and Cumulus, remain saddled with
excessive debt loads that have hampered re-investment in the business. That
said, recent developments (discussions with creditors) bring hope that debt
loads may be reduced in 2018 (via restructuring), freeing management teams
to operate and invest as they see fit. Further, the recent combination of
Entercom and CBS Radio creates a new scaled national competitor that should
be able to produce more attractive product at better margins and, the industry
hopes, provide another vocal advocate to attract ad dollars to the space.
Page 144 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0086703
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00232887
EFTA01385419
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EFTA01385419
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