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30 July 2013
Exchange Rate Perspectives: FX and the Financial Transaction Tax
Figure 43: Equity inflows have tracked the STOXX Figure 44: Foreign interest on the bond Bid: I -x:r
'late 2006 and has slowed now
--Peat E quer Intba, — Nat Bond Inflows
500 4403 5.0
Net hulas Outlaws Net Bond Ouflbvfl
400 —Ewa ST= 50 OM 4100 550
—10Y B
300 .11 3800 450
200 3500 350 4.0
100 r 3200 250
0 2900 150
30
-100 2600 50
-200 2300 -50
-300 2000 -150 2.0
-400 1700 -250
Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 -350
-450 1.0
Jan-CG Jan-05 Jan.07 Jan-09 Jan.11 Jan-13
Snot. Amu*, Bent front gRowe* LP enel Eurpomn Cote** Scan* DetooM Bent *noEt/Mn CentsSint
Australia (AUD bn)
[Figure 45: The basic balance remains negative 'Figure 46: ...in spite of net FDI inflows
120 100
1.10 — NO1 FM
75
Fp Oudbws
1.00
Intows
60
0.90
0.60 25
0.70 0
0.60 .25
0.60
Dizo-90 Dec-94 Dec-98 Dec-02 Dec-C6 De .10 -50 -50
Jan-91 Jan-91 Jan-97 Jan-00 JaD03 Jan-06 Jan-09Jan-12
Soso. 06 Pk Rea to rel RSA Soros 08 fXA rtit owlMA
[Figure 47: Net Portfolio flows have been felling since Figura 48: Foreign investors have favored Australian debt
2010 !(negative IIP a liability for AU)...
200 -t 200 10
Not PoMoto lbws
150 -I
Ports, Oi:thaw 160
1 CO
120 Ponta, Inflow 120
090
80 80
40 40 Dec
0 0 070
AO 40
060
-80 -80
-120 J .120 -550 060
Jan-G1 Jars94 Jan-97 Jan-00 Jan43 Jan-06 J an.09 Jan-12 Ma -90 Mar-91 Mar-98 Mar-Cf2 Mar-06 Mar-10
sant CO a Masao ar4 RSA Soutar 06 fx Moan en2 RS4
Page 32 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0104688
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00250872
EFTA01449328
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