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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite
With this report we are initiating coverage on the 7.5% Senior Unsecured
Notes due 2025 ($99.3, 7.6% Y1W, 524bps STVV) with a Buy rating given our
belief that these notes offer investors a strong total return opportunity versus
the DB HY Gaming Index, currently trading at 4.6%.
For 2017, we expect EVRI to report adjusted EBITDA of $213 million (+7.5%
versus $198 million) on revenue of $963 million (+12.0% versus $859 million).
After factoring in the impact from $112 million of capital expenditures, $85
million of interest expense, and S2 million of cash taxes we expect EVRI to
generate $14 million of free cash flow in 2017. Using our forecast of $1.19
billion of debt and $35 million of net available cash, we estimate that EVRI will
end 2017 with gross leverage of 5.6x and net leverage of 5.4x.
For 2018, we expect EVRI to report adjusted EBITDA of $225 million (+6.0%
versus $213 million) on revenue of $1.0 billion (+3.5% versus $963 million).
After factoring in the impact from $100 million of capital expenditures, $65
million of interest expense, and $2 million of cash taxes we expect EVRI to
generate $59 million of free cash flow in 2018. Using our forecast of S1.13
billion of debt and $35 million of net available cash, we estimate that EVRI will
end 2018 with gross leverage of 5.0x and net leverage of 4.9x.
[Exhibit 3: Evert Holdings (S Mill;ons)
2015 (A) 2018 (A) LIM 2017 (E) 2018 (E)
44 9laled EINIDA $200 $198 $211 $219 $226
Leas: Capital Expenditures $80 S92 $97 $112 $103
Lees: Cash Interest 98 93 98 85 65
Less: Cash taxes (121 2 1 2 2
LASS: Acquisitions 11 1 0 0 0
Plus: ONOOtillone 2 6 0 0 0
Free Cat Row $26 $15 $15 $14 $69
Total Debt $3175 $1,151 $1.193 $1,193 $1,134
Cash 7 9 38 35 35
Leverege 6.9x Sax 5.7x 5.6x 5.0x
NM Leong. 6.8x 6.8x 5.5x 64x 4.9x
Coverage 2.0x 2.1x 22x 2.5x 3.5x
San Corp' , hinge no Ninth, Sent
Downside risks include: (1) a deterioration of industry fundamentals; (2) the
further loss of contracts; and (3) the use of free cash flow for activities other
than debt repayment.
Golden Nugget. While the distribution made to the Parent resulted in higher
leverage, we continue to believe that fundamentals for both segments remain
strong. We continue to expect the company will generate meaningful free cash
flow that should be used primarily for debt repayment.
With this report are initiating coverage on Golden Nugget 6.75% Senior
Unsecured Notes due 2024 ($101.9, 6.2% YTW, 400bps STW) and Golden
Nugget 8.75% Senior Unsecured Notes due 2025 ($105.1, 7.5% YTW, 528bps
51W) with a buy rating bas
For 2017, we are projecting Golden Nugget will generate Adjusted EBITDA of
$585 million (+5.0% versus $559 million) on revenues of $3.37 billion (+7.5%
versus $3.13 billion). Factoring capital expenditures of $183 million, cash
interest of $137 million and cash taxes of S15 million, we project free cash
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 89
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0086648
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00232832
EFTA01385364
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