📄 Extracted Text (504 words)
January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite
management commentary. We estimate that the company will be able to
generate meaningful free cash flow, which we anticipate will be used first to
reduce leverage, to reinvest in the business and perhaps make further
acquisitions. We are maintaining our Buy recommendation on ERI 6.00/0 Senior
Notes due 2025 ($105.0, 4.90/0 YTVV, 275bps STVV) based on relative value. We
believe that the risk-reward profile of ERI 6.0% Senior Notes due 2025
compares favorably to PNK 5.625°/0 Senior Unsecured Notes due 2024 ($103.3.
4.8% YTW, 264bps STW). In our view, the lower expected leverage and real
estate ownership more than compensates the one year of incremental maturity.
For 2017, we are projecting Eldorado will generate Adjusted EBITDA of $399
million (+11.0% versus $359 million) on revenues of $1.70 billion (-1.5% versus
$1.72 billion). Factoring capital expenditures of $80 million, cash interest of $91
million, cash taxes of $2 million, we project free cash flow of $361 million in
2017. Using our projected total debt of $2.08 billion, we estimate Eldorado will
end the year with leverage of 5.2x. Factoring consolidated cash of $135 million,
we estimate net leverage at 4.9x.
'Exhibit 2: Eldorado Resorts ($ Millions)
2018(P) MA(P) 2017 (El 2018(E)
Adjusted EM MA $050 WOO $309 $450
Less:Capital 5m:enthuses $100 $100 $80 $125
Less: Cash Interest 97 110 91 105
Less: Cash taxes 2 2 2 2
Plus: Asset sale 0 0 135 0
Free Cash Flow 003 ties $361 $218
Total Debt $2.256 $2,078 $1,860
Cash 135 135 135
Leverage 59x 5.2x 4.1x
Not Leverage St 4.9x 3.13x
Coverage 3.5x 4.4x 4.3x
<cum Cow,' tons rO OnteN 8"
For 2018, we are projecting Eldorado will generate Adjusted EBITDA of $450
million (+13.0% versus $400 million) on revenues of $1.75 billion (+3.0°k
versus $1.70 billion). Factoring capital expenditures of $125 million, cash
interest of $105 million, cash taxes of $2 million, we project free cash flow of
$218 million in 2018. Using our projected total debt of $1.86 billion and cash
interest of $105 million, we estimate Eldorado will end the year with leverage
of 4.1x and coverage of 4.3x. Factoring consolidated cash of $135 million, we
estimate net leverage at 3.8x.
Eldorado downside risks to our call include worse-than-expected
cannibalization from existing or new competitors that may lead to EBITDA
coming in below expectations. Pinnacle downside risks include increases in
promotional activity in PNK's competitive markets. Pinnacle upside risks
include improved performance at Lake Charles.
Eveti Holdings We believe that over the last twelve months the company's
credit profile has significantly improved owing to the successful execution of
management's strategy, the improvement of the gaming industry
fundamentals, and the recent refinance of the company's capital structure.
We believe that the recent refinance significantly improves the company free
cash flow generation, which should ease some of investors' concerns
regarding Everi's ability to reduce leverage.
Page 88 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0086647
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00232831
EFTA01385363
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