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Subject: Twitter down —9% on earnings, lowest price since IPO. Earnings call
to begin shortly, lock-up expiry on Tuesday (5/6) [C]
From: Tazia Smith sz: >
Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2014 16:55:26 -0400
To: [email protected]
Cc: Vinit Sahni <
Nav Gupta
Paul Morris
Vahe Stepanian
Classification: Confidential
Jeffrey -
As you know, you own 1000 shares of TWTR at $26 (+$12.7k)
TWTR shares are at their lowest level since the stock's IPO (presently
$38.70, vs. a close of $42.62)
Conference call begins at 5pm ET
Twitter reported a better-than-expected top and bottom line for 01, however,
Monthly Active User (MAU) growth was shy of whisper expectations. Investors
are focused on valuation (still high at current stock price - DB's price
target of $65 implies 65x EV/EBITDA vs. Facebook which is —12x), and stock
action has reflected the forthcoming headwind: —474mm shares come out of 180
lock-up as of next Tuesday, 5/6 (includes Execs and early stage PE).
Top and bottom line beat (like last quarter) but user growth is just inline
with consensus ests and disappoint vs expectations:
Revenues Better - $250mm vs $241.5mm
Earnings Better - $0.00 vs ($0.03)
But audience growth (Monthly Active Users) just inline - disappointing vs.
whisper
MAU:
Total 255M vs SA 256.8M and 241M in Q4 - represents y/y growth of +25%
Mobile 198M vs 184M in Q4
US 57M vs SA 57.0M and 54M in Q4
International 198M vs SA 200.0M and 187M in Q4
(source: Streetaccount.com)
Guidance inline/better:
Q2 Guidance inline EBIDGA of $35-30mm vs $28mm
FY Guidance EBIDA of $180mm-205mm vs prior $150-180mm (cons 181mm)
EFTA01479579
TWTR Intra-Day/Aftermarket Price History
TWTR 6mo Price History
Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - US
DB Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue, 10154-0004 New York, NY, USA
Tel
Fax
Mobile
Email
From: Kevin Bur To: Tazia S
Cc: Bill Loftu Kevin Burns
Date: 04/29/2014 04:24 PM Subject: Re: TWTR shares down —7% from closing
print of $42.62 to —$39.45 (giving back the days gains) [C]
New low since breaking syndicate. 38.5
Sent from my iPad
On Apr 29, 2014, at 4:17 PM, "Tazia Smith" < › wrote:
Classification: Confidential
corrected MAUs below to include totals (prey just Mobile)
EFTA01479580
From: Tazia Smith/db/dbcom To:
Date: 04/29/2014 04:15 PM Subjeili cosingprint
of $42.62 to —$39.45 (giving back the days gains) [C]
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Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - US
DB Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue 10154-0004 New York, NY, USA
Tel.
Fax
Mobi e
Email
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EFTA01479581
Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - US
DB Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue, 10154-0004 New York, NY, USA
Tel.
Fax
Mobile
Email
EFTA01479582
ℹ️ Document Details
SHA-256
c677e91017677454834a50cff91f70b8b5914d2b90db155e97015bc3ec9ea584
Bates Number
EFTA01479579
Dataset
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