EFTA01618726.pdf

Platform: iMessage Timezone: UTC+0000 • 1212 5333739 +1 (212) 533-3739 LS Larry Summers 2019/06/16 Larry Summers Later. In meantime, strategy w peril? LS 02:45:26 pm 1212 5333739 Continue to dictate -little downside 02:46:46 pm Re later - you can read up on questions -re life on other planets described as " subjective probability" ie . Total nonsense 02:48:19 pm Larry Summers Red ink 02:48:35 pm • Sounds like u r pessimistic re peril but agree. I think my injury is kind of exogenous event u said would change game. On other hand life has lots of bounces. LS 02:51:37 pm 1212 5333739 Not at all. Long game 02:52:10 pm Im rarely pessimistic, i wonder what the probability is? Or in this case as it is a binary decision appropriate to use "odds" 02:53:30 pin • EFTA01618726  Larry Summers On subjective probability, I think life on other planets complex example. Is stock market one continuous event with much Or is this moment unique. If u grant meaningfulness if talking odds on one off events we are down to semantics. Where u say odds I say subjective probability. If u are rarely pessimistic does that discredit your optimism. Suppose instead of peril it was dunking a basketball or going to an island w Angela Jolie 02:57:23 pm LS 03:04:21 pm 1212 5333739 Odds are limited to binary outcomes. . since you are immobile. Do some homework. . I concede your point on pessimism but would under bayesian rules. Feel comfortable. As humans are biased toward bad outcome avoidance. . She is never ever going to find another Larry summers. Probability ZERO 03:06:22 pm Larry Summers That can't be right. There are odds on dem nominee w many outcomes possible. For objective or subjective probability u need well defined events. LS 03:16:09 pm 1212 5333739 When are you able to walk again without crutches. . Its wholly impolite for me to mentally attack a cripple 07:55:05 pin Handicapped , not cripple 07:57:14 pm Larry Summers 6 or 7 weeks. LS 08:15:31 pin EFTA01618727  1212 5333739 On cues. I II have the math professor explain to you some things. And then wait until you are unable to claim your arguments were driven by the high level of pain killers. . on peril. Forced holding pattern in your interest 08:16:45 pm Larry Summers Why in my interest. Odds of success. I think another encounter at some point one third. Sustained series one fifth. Best shot for me. She gives up on marriage. Finds me invaluable and interesting and get her to conclude she can't have it without romance/sex without deciding I'm weak or vengeful LS 08:21:58 pm 1212 5333739 Over time. She is doomed to be with you 08:26:05 pm Larry Summers Unless she marries someone else. She is more monogamous than most LS 08:27:02 pin 1212 5333739 Painkillers? 08:28:23 pm Larry Summers Not for me?? LS 08:47:00 pm 1212 5333739 Your views formed by your meds? 08:47:53 pm EFTA01618728  2019/06/17 Larry Summers Not formed by meds. Other than being a Bayesian rather than a pure math freak which wrong view do I have LS 04:01:18 am 1212 5333739 She continues to be in contact 09:21:14 am Things are good - davos is set for you / she is there because program person is chinese 09:22:23 am Funny 09:22:35 am v Sent Larry Summers Thx re davos. Happy to help re g20 LS 12:33:18 pin V Read EFTA01618729